Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Stock Market Technicals Point to Strong Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: In the 1930's, the last time we saw declines of this magnitude in the same time frame, the rallies that followed took the S&P 500 (SPX) up 20% - 46%.
Short Term As of Thursday's close the SPX was down over 40% in less than 3 months, a rare occurrence. From its August 87 high to its October crash low the SPX was down 33.2%. Late 1937 was the last time the SPX fell more than 40% in 3 months, 71 years ago.
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Saturday, November 22, 2008
Stock Market Investing From Sell the Rallies to Buy the Pullbacks? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Friday's low in the S&P 500 at 741.02 tested the monthly trendline going
back to October 1987, after breaking the October 2002 low at 768.60. The
RSI reading of a "healthy" oversold reading currently at 15.1 had not been
this far beneath the 25% oversold demarcation line since the October 1974
reading of 13.3. At 2:30 pm Eastern, with the SPX at 754.17, I noted to
our subscribers that the 13-month vicious bear market has created conditions
similar to the most acutely bullish readings in the past 35 years --
creating a potentially explosive technical setup for a recovery rally phase
in the SPX.
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Saturday, November 22, 2008
The Next Financial Markets and Real Earthquake / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The next shoe to drop…synthetic CDOs. In an article by Alan Kohler of the Business Spectator we find the following observation, “As the world slips into recession, it is also on the brink of a synthetic CDO cataclysm that could actually save the global banking system. It is a truly great irony that the world's banks could end up being saved not by governments, but by the synthetic CDO time bomb that they set ticking with their own questionable practices during the credit boom. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Dow Jones Latest Crash and Recession Proofing Your Stocks Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andy_Sutton
With the most recent two day crash in the Dow Industrials average, we are once again poised at the precipice of oblivion. Two important dominos have been toppled in the past two days. On Wednesday, the Dow closed below the psychological mark of 8000. Granted, the 7997.28 level was not the most pronounced of breaches, but it is worth noting. However, yesterday, we solidified the drop below 8000 and blew right through the October 10 th low of 7773.71 going all the way down to 7552.29. In totality, the listed market has now lost approximately half of its value – in 12 months. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Stock Market Sharp Rebound to End Very Negative Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets astounded investors with a late very sharp rally that exploded into the close with a huge gain today. After backing and filling and making new multi-year lows on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, they retested in the afternoon, and when they failed to take out the lows substantially and follow through to the downside, they turned them around with abandon and rallied 600 points in the last hour to close up 494 on the Dow. The S&P 500 rallied from 741 to 801, closing at 800, up 47 1/2. The Nasdaq 100 rallied from 1019 to 1085 and closed right at the high for the day going away, up 49 points. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) jumped from 167 to 180, closing right there, up 8.90.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 21, 2008
Upside Reversal Nearing for Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
With two hours remaining in today's session, I can make a case that this morning's low at 25.21 in the Q's ended the decline from the Election Day high at 33.96. To trigger initial confirmations that such a low is in place, the Q's will have to climb and sustain above 26.65. However, with option expiration approaching during today's final hour, yet another spike to the downside would not surprise me -- that presses the Q's to my optimal target zone of 25.00-24.70 prior to my expectation of a wicked upside reversal.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 21, 2008
Why the Stock Market Keeps Falling Despite Value Bargains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
Some investors are noting that there are some significant "value bargains" appearing on the radar screen, and yet, the market is ignoring this and still moving down .
What's going on?
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Friday, November 21, 2008
Why China Stocks are a Screaming Buy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: It's easy to be gloomy when it comes to the financial markets. It's even easier to write off China.
After all, the Red Dragon's markets have collapsed by 70%, businesses are shutting down, lead-laced toys and poisoned medicines have tainted the minds of Western consumers, there's a growing gap between the rich and the poor, inflationary clouds seem to be gathering, and verbuilding is a growing concern.
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Friday, November 21, 2008
How Low will the Dow Jones Stocks Bear Market Go? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: INO
Make no mistake about it, the market action on Wednesday (November 19th) was extremely negative for all of the indices that we track. The close below 8,000 on the DOW can only be described as negative, indicating further weakness to the downside. I am looking for this index to trade down to around the 6600-6700 level. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 21, 2008
Economic Consequences of De-leveraging for Investors / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
The explosion of credit taken on by consumers and some businesses is the major cause of the current economic problems faced by the U.S. Over the last 20 years consumer debt has risen to $2.6 trillion. In the past when the economy faltered, the consumer has been able to generate a robust recovery. Is this time different? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Downleg Near Completion / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
My pattern and momentum work in the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) argue that the downleg from the June 2008 recovery rally peak at 50.61 is at or is very near completion ahead of a potent recovery rally period that should propel the Q's into the 33.00-34.00 target zone. Can we loop down and retest this morning's low at 26.00 -- and possibly make new lows? Definitely, but relatively marginal new lows should be short-lived prior to a vicious snapback rally period. (12:45pm EST, 27.21).Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Worst Stocks Bear Market Since the Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: HRA_Advisory
If you think you have just been through a month like no other in the market, you're right. One thing separating this market from any in our memories is the level of absolute panic and despair. You can usually count on some of the popular financial media to be bullish in the face of contrary evidence. Not this time. We've been amazed by the total negativity from every corner.
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Secrets to Stock Market Value Investing Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
Value funds have long been viewed as conservative investments. So why are they down an average of 42% during the past 12 months, and what's wrong with them?
No question, such numbers are scary, especially for large-cap value fund investors who have experienced that 42% drop. And the fact that some of the biggest names in value investing have taken such big beatings has to be especially disconcerting for investors who already have had their confidence badly shaken and their portfolios eviscerated.
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Thursday, November 20, 2008
Stock Markets Hit by Deflationary Storm Crash Through Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Adrian_Ash
THE PRICE OF GOLD held steady for US and Japanese investors early Thursday – and leapt for everyone else – as a fresh spike in both the Dollar and Yen, borrowed to fund leveraged speculation during the investment boom of 2002-2007, matched new losses in world equity markets. "Global assets keep deflating, inflation is falling faster than expected," writes Walter de Wet, head of commodity research at Standard Bank in Johannesburg in his Gold Market note today.
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Thursday, November 20, 2008
Exploding Global Stock Markets Hit by Economic Torpedo / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Yesterday was another ugly day for stocks, with bourses around the globe falling victim to strong selling pressure. Fueling the sell-off were concerns that the economic recession could not only be deeper and longer than previously feared, but also fall into a corrosive deflationary phase.
The MSCI World Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell by 4.6% and 2.2% respectively, tallying declines of 51.2% and 63.4% since the peaks of these indices in October 2007. Only the Chinese Shanghai Composite Index (+6.0%) and the Russian Trading System Index (+0.7%) bucked yesterday's declines.
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Thursday, November 20, 2008
Stock Markets Look Set to Crash Through 2002 Lows / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Your plan should foresee and provide for a next step in case of success or failure.” B.H. Liddell Hart (1895-1970)
Losses Highlight Need For Formal Risk Management - Wednesday's painful session in stocks brought the NASDAQ's (QQQQ) total loss from the 2007 highs to over 51%. The S&P 500 (SPY) is nearing a 50% loss as well. These depressing figures underscore the need for investors to have a formal and well defined risk management plan. Said another way, you should have started cutting losses a long, long time ago. However, it is dangerous to believe it is too late to adopt a strategy to cut losses in the event of further declines in asset prices. It is dangerous to assume the worst is over. Prudent money managers plan for the worst and keep an open mind about the possibility of more favorable outcomes.
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Stock Markets Hit by Panic Selling as the Bear Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Boxer
Another very negative day on the Street as the bear market continues in earnest. Despite the fact that futures were down for most of the pre-market, they ended up opening firm and rallying back to initial resistance. When they couldn't break through they sold off sharply to retest yesterday afternoon's lows, backed and filled for several hours and on three different occasions ran right up to initial resistance but once again couldn't get through. Late in the session when it was apparent the rally was not going to materialize, they rolled over in the sharpest decline of the session, closing at the session lows. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Stock Market Apocalyptic Crash Soon? S&P at the Tipping Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: WHC_Bassetti
A short time ago we stirred up one of the lists we belong to by commenting that the SPX might go to minus 4. We had to post a follow up to assure them that we were joking. Of course everybody hates a jester when times are like they are. Grim. In general. Here is the chart we showed them: Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Investing in Stocks During Scary Times / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Nilus Mattive writes: Every time it looks like a real stock market rally is about to happen, the indexes end up right back down where they started (or lower).
Panic and doomsday scenarios are all over the newspapers and TV talk shows.
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Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Stock Markets Last-Hour Rally Brings Indices into Plus Column / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets surprised late in the session after another nasty session, and ended with a late afternoon last-hour rally that brought all the indices back into positive territory except for the SOXX.Read full article... Read full article...