Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, April 04, 2012
Stock Market Rally Beginning of the End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Toby_Connor
As convincing as this rally has been I am confident this is an ending phase and not the start a new secular bull market. Actually the bear market began last year in May but was temporarily aborted by massive Central Bank printing. Let me explain.
The last four year cycle that started in 2002 and bottomed in 2009 was the longest four year cycle in history. It was stretched to these extreme lengths by Bernanke's desperate strategy of debasing the currency to avoid the bear market that should have begun in 2006. Instead the stock market cycle stretched all the way into the spring of 2009.
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Wednesday, April 04, 2012
Has the Fed Boosted the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
You bet. And aggregate demand for goods and services, too. If the Fed had not expanded its balance sheet in the past few years, the weakest U.S. economic recovery in the post-WWII era would have been even weaker and U.S. stock prices would have suffered. Chart 1 shows the year-over-year percent changes in monetary financial institution (MFI) credit. Private MFI credit is made up of the sum of loans and securities of commercial banks, savings & loan associations and credit unions. Total MFI credit is private MFI credit plus assets on the books of the Federal Reserve, i.e., Fed credit.
Wednesday, April 04, 2012
Stock Market Rollover Likely Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Donald_W_Dony
Equity markets have sustained a steady upward trend over the past four months, many with only a brief pullback in early March. However, with buying pressure in decline since early February, the markets now appear set to retrace some of that advance as the April low approaches.
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Tuesday, April 03, 2012
Investing in a Low Interest Rate Market / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
By: Investment_U
Jason Jenkins writes: For the last year, the effective federal funds interest rate has been 0.25%. The federal funds rate is considered one of the most important interest rates in the U.S. markets.
The federal funds rate is used to control the supply of available funds and hence, inflation and other interest rates. Raising the rate makes it more expensive to borrow. That lowers the supply of available money, which increases the short-term interest rates and helps keep inflation in check. Lowering the rate has the opposite effect, bringing short-term interest rates down.
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Tuesday, April 03, 2012
Why the Fed Will Be Powerless to Stop The Real Crash / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Graham_Summers
Over the last two years, I’ve been caught into believing a Crash was coming several times. In some ways I was right: we got sizable corrections of 15+%. But we never got the REAL CRASH I thought we would because the Fed stepped in.
So what makes this time different?
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Tuesday, April 03, 2012
Are The Stock Markets About to Blink? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
The stock market is off to its best start since 1998, but now what?
The markets could continue drinking the good times Kool-Aid ...
Or April could be the last hurrah before a May hangover has us all reaching for the Alka-Seltzer again.
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Tuesday, April 03, 2012
Global Economies, China Solid...Europe Horrible...USA OK.... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Over the weekend, we had to wait on news from both Europe and China regarding their economic condition. We heard from China first. Their news was surprisingly good. This allowed for our futures to be up quite decently early last night. This morning we got the news from Europe. The news wasn't nearly as good as the news from China. In fact, the news was very bad. It showed a rise in unemployment and a rapid drop in their manufacturing report. The news was met with a sharp drop in their futures that went from very green to red. However, what was quite interesting was how the futures actually hung in there fairly well here in the U.S., considering how nasty the reports were from Europe. I would have thought a big plunge would have occurred. Then, I realized that we had our own huge report to deal with thirty minutes into our trading day. The ISM Manufacturing Report, which would tell us whether we were joining Europe in the big plunge, or China in the good news. The news was good.
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Monday, April 02, 2012
Marc Faber Says Japanese Stocks Will Outperform All Other Stock Markets in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Bloomberg
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom and Doom Report, spoke to Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu this morning and said that the "Japanese market may outperform all the other markets against all expectations in 2012."
Faber said that investors "should be very careful at this stage" because he believes that "earnings may begin to disappoint" and "corporate profit margins could deteriorate." Also that "the economy has bottomed out, but is far from robust."
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Monday, April 02, 2012
Increasing Signs of a Stock Market Top, UK FTSE Leading the Way? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top may already have started to take shape.
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Monday, April 02, 2012
Stock and Currency Markets, Who is Leading Who? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
The US stocks markets continue to chop around, although if you look under the hood there are some startling clues which either will correct themselves or they are suggesting that some markets have already topped and will head lower. Thus I suspect eventually the US markets will follow.
The US markets have held their ground recently but other markets that are interlinked and closely follow US stocks are starting to peel away, so if that continues I suspect US stocks will follow, it's just a matter of time.
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Sunday, April 01, 2012
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Riding Tsunami's of Debt Crisis Fears to New Highs, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle NewsletterFebruary 21st, 2012 Issue #2 Vol. 6
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Sunday, April 01, 2012
AAPL Falls....NDX Lags...ISM On Deck.....Stock Market Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Three days ago Apple Inc. (AAPL) printed a doji candle after a long run up. In most cases, 90% or more, and especially if you're not Apple, it usually means that the stock has topped out short-term. A doji, meaning a candle that gaps up and shows indecision after that gap up, where buyers no longer can take it up with sellers holding the line for the day. A stock will open and close at basically the same price. Apple, for once, has followed normal protocol. It has fallen off that candle stick the past two days. It has helped the Nasdaq lag behind the Dow and S&P 500.
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Sunday, April 01, 2012
Savings, investment, and the Keynesian preference / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Neo-classical economists underestimate the importance of the link between savings and investment. The two should be regarded as linked together: you need savings to be available for investment in new production for the future.
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Sunday, April 01, 2012
Foreign Stock Markets Weakening Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
Somewhat of a volatile week in the US markets, as the SPX rallied to 1419, dropped to 1392, and ended the week at 1408. The market made a new uptrend high, but the pullback that followed was more than expected. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.9%, as did the NDX/NAZ. Foreign markets were again less fortunate. Asian markets ended the week flat, European markets lost ground again this week, (-1.7%), and the DJ World index gained 0.2%. On the economic front there was a slight bias to the downside. On the uptick: durable goods orders, Q3 GDP, personal spending, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, the M1 multiplier, and new home prices. On the downtick: pending home sales, Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, personal income, PCE prices, the Chicago PMI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get a look at the Payrolls report, ISM and the FOMC minutes. Best to your week.
Saturday, March 31, 2012
Dr Copper suggests, its the longs that are the Gamblers / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: readtheticker
Copper is known as a base material for construction and manufacturing, it is also known that China imports 35% of all its copper. If true risk on was built on solid foundations copper prices would reflect this, lets see what you think.
Copper is sensitive to PMI (Purchasing Manufacturing Index) data, the HSBC China PMI has post 5 consecutive drops. Makes you wonder who is doing all the buying.
Saturday, March 31, 2012
S&P 500 Best Quarter Since 1998 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. : The S&P 500 closed the day with a modest gain of 0.37%, breaking a three-day losing streak. But the financial media was quick to point out that this is the best quarterly gain in the index (and the Dow) since 1998.
In honor of this achievement, I’ve added a chart below, courtesy of BigCharts.com, to illustrate the quarterly behavior of the S&P 500 since the mid-1990s — hardly a random walk!
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Saturday, March 31, 2012
Stock Market Trend Similarities to the Last Two Aprils / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Sy_Harding
Almost a year ago in this column I pointed out the eerie similarities in April (2011) to conditions the previous April (2010). And sure enough the similarities continued into almost identical 20% market corrections before the bull market resumed.And here we are again this year looking at eerie similarities as March draws to a close, this time to the last two Aprils.
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Friday, March 30, 2012
Investor Profit and Protection from Two Mega Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the capitalist system was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens….while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some …Lenin was certainly right. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.” John Maynard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, 1919
Friday, March 30, 2012
Stock Market Multi-Year Top, Is European Socialistic Decay Ahead of US? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
The DAX by breaking below 6908 today confirms a major correction is due! Most likely appears all the way below its 09 low of 3695 over the next year or 2 before its long term trend turns up again!Looking from the 07 high we see a clear 5 wave count to the 09 bottom.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Stocks Bull Continues.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
We can try to pull this apart from many different angles, but the reality is the bull market continues, because we have Fed Bernanke, who will do whatever it takes to float the markets. With interest rates low, there's no other place to really put your dollars. Keep it simple. This doesn't mean that at any time we can't go into a prolonged period of going nowhere. The market is showing continued solid action on weakness, and will likely do this type of behavior for a long time to come. If we pulled back 5%, it would feel like death. But in truth, it would do little to the bull market technicals.
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