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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 07, 2007

Update Four Year Stock Market Cycle - The Dow Holding on but Overdone / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Tim_Wood

Since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896 there has been a long-term ebb and flow in the stock market known by many as the 4-year cycle. There have been 27 such completed 4-year cycles with an average duration of 47.04 months. I have identified specific common elements and markers that have occurred at all previous 4-year cycle tops and bottoms. Given that none of these common elements or markers have been seen since the 2002 4-year cycle low, the evidence continues to suggest that the market has not made a 4-year cycle top or bottom since the 2002 low. This in turn means that we are now seeing one of the longest 4-year cycles in stock market history. In the past, even the longest 4-year cycle advances ultimately ended with a decline into a low that was sufficient enough to trigger the same markers of all other 4-year cycle tops and bottoms.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 06, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Internet Holders Trust (HHH) Upside Breakout / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

I told our subscribers early this AM that I wanted to reduce exposure to the long side, especially with oil prices rocketing, and bond prices plummeting. However, when I see a chart pattern like the enclosed upside breakout in the Internet HLDRs (AMEX: HHH) from a two month bullish coil, I view it differently than a mature upleg in an instrument that likely will be much more vulnerable to the swings in oil and bonds-- and gyrations of the major equity averages.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 05, 2007

Wall Street Firecrackers and Picnics / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Andy_Sutton

When the Fourth of July rolls around, thoughts generally turn to picnics, pools, and fireworks. Ok, you know I didn't check in this week to write about picnics and pools. However, I am going to talk a bit about fireworks, but probably not the same ones you'll see in the skies above many American cities tonight. I am talking about a cache of fireworks that Wall Street et al are trying desperately to keep under wraps.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 05, 2007

Stock Market Investments - Take Profits Now! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: I hope you had a nice holiday yesterday. I'm making a semi-long weekend out of this year's Fourth of July, by working half-days today and tomorrow. That will allow me to catch up on some much needed R&R.

But don't think for a minute that my market antennae are down. Quite to the contrary, when I "take a break," it means watching the markets six hours a day instead of the usual 18!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 04, 2007

Investing in Hong Kong Stock Market instead of China / Stock-Markets / Hong Kong

By: Money_and_Markets

Tony Sagami writes: Celebrating China in Hong Kong - Although we're just getting ready to fire up our grills and shoot off our fireworks here in the U.S., there was a huge celebration in Hong Kong two nights ago. The occasion? The tenth anniversary of the handover of Hong Kong to Chinese rule. It was a day of elaborate festivities, including a visit from Chinese President Hu Jintao.

The Chinese dubbed the ceremonies the "Celebration of the 10th Anniversary of Hong Kong's Return to the Glorious Motherland." But the most widely used title is " Chat Yat ," which is Cantonese for 7/1.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Sub Prime Mortgage Woes, US Dollar, Gold and Liquidity / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Christopher_Laird

As further revelations of sub prime derivative losses emerge after the latest Bear Stearns episode, the USD takes another hit. Indeed, Right after the Bear mess came out in the news, the USD has been falling badly. Obviously, gold eventually is reacting to the continuing decline. We are looking at a rapid test of the approximately 80.5 level of the USDX. Of course, it took gold a while to react to the weakening USD.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Hedge Funds and CDO Investment Landfills: How professionals dump their toxic waste on you / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Paul_Tustain

"...Not sure what happened at Bear Stearns? The root cause might surprise you. You might also find your own investment funds at risk, after being used as a landfill for the same kind of toxic waste..."

THIS IS NOT the idle chatter of permanent bears. The subprime mortgage collapse now hitting Bear Stearns may be just the start.

Serious analysts from big investment firms are talking ominously about "the big one". It will make you angry to learn just how the investment industry has got you involved.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Markets Continue to Rise into 2007. Growth is More Important Than Safety / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Donald_W_Dony

The long-term relative strength analysis between the S&P 600 Small Cap Index and the Consumer Staples Sector ETF is a very valuable indicator that investors should monitor closely. This is because it provides an important timing tool for determining the top of the four year cycle and the stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Equity Markets Ignore Rising Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Oil has been making an impressive move this past month. As seen through the chart of its ETF the U.S. Oil Trust (USO), oil is pushing against very important intermediate-term resistance plateaus. This starts at 53.50 in the USO and extends up to 55.20. If hurdled, it will unleash a $4 to $7 optimal advance and possibly a $10 upmove to complete the powerful 10-month base pattern.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 02, 2007

Knights of the Round Table: Mapping out the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: John_Mauldin

This week in a very special Outside the Box we have an investment outlook tour de force. My friend and South African business partner Dr. Prieur du Plessis gathered a group of some of the more interesting investment managers in the industry, along with your humble analyst, and let us have the opportunity to opine on what is driving various markets and their respective implications.

We begin with the U.S. economy, addressing the underlying implications of the real estate market, interest rates, liquidity, and the ever precipitously depreciating dollar, procuring an assessment of these collective market drivers and their respective effects on the U.S. economy, the stock market, bond market, and commodities market.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 02, 2007

NOLTE NOTES - Waiting for the Fireworks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Halfway home and we may have learned a few things about the first half of the year that may actually help with the second half. First, the consumer – left for dead when gas prices crossed $2/gal at the pump, then $2.50, then $3 – and much to everyone's surprise, the consumer is still spending.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 02, 2007

The Smell of Financial Contagion in the Air / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Michael_J_Panzner

An ill wind swept through Wall Street last week, seeping into trading rooms, cubicles, and offices on every floor. All of a sudden, people began to feel anxious and afraid. After years of dreaming about how much they would make, people started worrying about how much they might lose. In a matter of days, the notion of risk had been transformed from a hypothetical concept to a potentially lethal reality.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 02, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - iShares MSCI Japan ETF Gaps Up / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The iShares MSCI Japan ETF (AMEX: EWJ) has gapped up and popped above its nearest-term weekly resistance line at 14.63, which should trigger upside follow-through towards a test of its intermediate-term resistance line, now at 15.00.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 02, 2007

News Alert: Brazil and China Trump Dow! Again! / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin here with a news alert investors would be foolish to ignore: Our favorite overseas markets — Brazil and China — are leaving the Dow in the dust! Again!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 01, 2007

Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 1st July 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market.

SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.

SPX: Intermediate Trend - Intermediate cycles are causing a consolidation/correction in the uptrend which could last a few more weeks.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 01, 2007

China Stock Market Crash, A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Millions of chinese small investors have been flooding into the chinese stock market during the last 6 months in ever increasing numbers, as is normally the case they are likely to be the last to enter before the chinese market enters a short but swift bear market.

Over the last 12 months the market has risen from 1512 to a high of 4335, a near tripling in the index. The rise has been fed by speculative fever gripping chinease retail investors, with new recruits to the 'bubble' at the rate of 300,000 per day.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 30, 2007

Erratic Range-bound Trading - Financial Markets Outlook / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Joseph_Russo

As the financial sphere and all of its participants scramble to position themselves on the proper side of the next big move, the “house” goes about doing what it does best. Particularly over shorter periods of erratic range-bound trade, “the house,” (any consolidating broad-based index) becomes most intent upon confusing as many participants as possible.

Amid such chaos, the marketplace (by design) will efficiently assimilate a fair portion of the majority's active trading capital in what is for most traders, a rather frustrating price-discovery process. Perhaps this chronic frustration is origin to a denial-based allusion that “the market is always right.” We also ponder if such mechanics are a suitably alternate way in which to perceive the “efficient market hypothesis.”

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 30, 2007

Iran Runs Out of Gas and Self Destructing, Stand Aside Also $250 Billion in Subprime Mortgage Losses / Stock-Markets / Iran

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
Iran Out of Gas
When an Enemy Is Self-Destructing, Stand Aside
Bear (or Rather Canary?) Stearns
Mark to Model or Mark to Market?
$250 Billion in Subprime Losses?
July 4, Lewis and Clarke, and Fishing

Is the subprime mortgage market collapsing before our eyes, or did we avoid a disaster as Bear Stearns stepped up to the plate with $3.2 billion to help its ailing funds? As we will see from the data, the problems in the subprime world are not over. The Fat Lady has not sung. But will the problems in this market contaminate the rest of the liquidity-driven markets? Is the party over? Not according to the high-yield markets. In this week's letter, we look at what could be the real problem in the next half of the year.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 30, 2007

Germany Wind Power Investing, Tiliting At Windmills / Stock-Markets / Renewable Energy

By: Elliot_H_Gue

Last week I was aboard the MS Deutschland cruising the Baltic Sea in northern Europe for the KCI Investment Cruise. Leaving from the German port of Travemunde, we stopped at a total of seven countries in 11 days. In several of these countries, we had the opportunity to meet with the commercial attaches at the US Embassy as well as local business leaders.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 30, 2007

Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis: Secrets to Success / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Dominick

Did you lose money last week while other traders used the market like a blank check? Did you give into the doom and gloom and short the opening Wednesday morning to just watch the market drain the cash out of your account? Did you make the same mistake during Friday's summer feast, just before the market recovered 13 points in 30 minutes?

If so, you'll be interested in learning the secrets to our success at TradingtheCharts.com, where the traders are unbiased and price action rules.

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