Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, June 10, 2008
How to Profit From the Sinking US Economy and Rise of Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin D. Weiss writes: Last Monday, my mission was to bring home the vital importance of The Great Dichotomy — the unprecedented contrast between the sinking ship of the U.S. economy and the rising tide of emerging markets.
Today, my mission is to show you ways to profit from both. And as the events this past Friday clearly illustrate, the timing couldn't be more critical:
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Tuesday, June 10, 2008
Importance of Real US Inflation Rate in Forming Investment Decisions / Stock-Markets / Inflation
This week in Outside the Box we look at Bill Gross's recent essay on measuring inflation. How you measure inflation makes a difference not only in social security payments but also in what your real returns on bonds are. As Bill notes, there is a significant difference in how the world measures inflation and how it is done in the US. He gives us some insights that are very thought-provoking.
In the last decade economists regularly argued the CPI over-stated inflation by 1%. Now Gross suggests that it may understate inflation by 1%. This week's OTB makes for very interesting reading. Bill Gross is managing director of PIMCO. (www.pimco.com)
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Monday, June 09, 2008
Crude Oil Comparison Illustrates Major Stock Market Weakness / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Our big picture view of the S&P 500 compared (or contrasted) to the price action of crude oil concludes that we need to get long the UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares ETF (AMEX: SDS), or short the SPY, at some point in the hours directly ahead.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 09, 2008
How to Profit from the Middle East's Global Economic & Investment Expansion / Stock-Markets / Middle East
Middle Eastern countries know their oil supplies aren't going to last forever. So they're pumping more than $2 trillion into new, long-term economic projects - such as brand new cities that will function as both business and vacation hot spots. A special report jointly developed by U.K. affiliate MoneyWeek Magazine and our experts here at Money Morning explores the next moves by these economic heavyweights, their spend-happy sovereign wealth funds and how investors can profit from them.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 09, 2008
US Fed Regulation of Banking System- Fox Asks For More Authority Over Hen House / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Bloomberg is reporting Geithner Calls for More Fed Authority to Prevent Future Crises .Federal Reserve Bank of New York President Timothy Geithner called for greater central bank authority over banks so the financial system can better withstand shocks and recover from the credit crisis.
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Monday, June 09, 2008
Volatility Rocks The Investment Markets / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Gets your attention, doesn't it? The unfortunate thing though, is that most people will react negatively to this intentionally inflammatory, media-ready, title statement. Has some Wall Street virus attacked our financial experience memory chip? Bouncing around unpredictably is precisely what the markets have always done. In the last forty years, there have been no less than ten 20% or greater corrections followed by rallies that brought the markets to significantly higher levels. Volatility is not a bad thing--- a non-event, even.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 08, 2008
Multifaceted Credit Crises Hitting the Financial Markets- Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Click here for Part 2 BCA Research: US Inflation – diverging from expectations
“US core consumer inflation, as measured by the PCE price index, remains near 2%. In contrast, consumer inflation expectations continue to soar, courtesy of gasoline and food prices.
“US inflation worries have intensified, as the surge in highly visible gasoline and food prices continues. Government data are not trusted because they show that core consumer price inflation has failed to rise. The build up of pipeline price pressures from rising input costs is a long-term concern, but higher core consumer inflation will only become a threat after the economy gains significant momentum, i.e. not a danger for 2008.
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Sunday, June 08, 2008
Multifaceted Credit Crises Hitting the Financial Markets- Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
After stock markets have held up bravely in the face of the credit crises and mounting economic woes, a combination of renewed concerns about the financial sector, a record-breaking spurt in the oil price, and a rotten unemployment number claimed their toll on Friday, triggering a sharp sell-off in most parts of the world.
“Today was a bona fide panic day. They threw ‘em in,” said Richard Russell, author of the Dow Theory Letters for the past 50 years. The bears were out in force, as personified by Bill King ( The King Report ): “The technicals, seasonals, fundamentals and financial system conditions are negative. And now the Fed is suggesting that it will no longer cut rates. Rallies should be viewed as a gift from the trading gods.”
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Sunday, June 08, 2008
Dow Support and Resistance Lines / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week we look at some charts, re-introduce you to a way of calling market tops and have a look at what the Russians are saying.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 08, 2008
Stock Market Boom or Bust? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Two Sides to Every Argument:From an Elliott Wave perspective, one can argue with good cause, that the Dow Jones Industrials are en-route toward retesting the depths of their 2002 bear market lows. The magnification of weekly closes from the October 2007 top, display a textbook series of impulsive declines at three degrees of trend. Case closed:
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Saturday, June 07, 2008
Stocks Healthy Correction to Continue Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: The mid and small cap indices hit new recovery highs last Thursday.
Short Term - Aside from the lack of volume it is difficult to find anything wrong with this market. We expect to see new highs expanding in a rising market and that has been happening.
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Saturday, June 07, 2008
Colliding Bubbles, US Unemployment, the Credit Crisis and Oil Price Surge / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
- Unemployment Jumps to 5.5%, On Its Way to 6%
- What the Tax Numbers Show
- What's Up With Oil?
- When Bubbles Collide
- America on a Diet
I remember in the summer of 2006 I would face my blank computer screen on a Friday and wonder, what I could write about? The media was all Goldilocks, all the time. Today, there is such a target-rich environment. I could probably write three letters a week, there is so much happening that is worthy of our attention. The problem today is trying to decide what not to write about, which means I get emails from readers wondering why I don't mention their areas of particular interest. But at eight pages, I just have to stop. You need a break!
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Saturday, June 07, 2008
Stock Market Tanks as US Unemployment Rate Soars to 5.5% / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The unemployment rate rose from 5.0 to 5.5 percent in May, and nonfarm payroll employment continued to trend down (-49,000), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. In May, employment continued to fall in construction, manufacturing, retail trade, and temporary help services, while health care continued to add jobs. Average hourly earnings rose by 5 cents, or 0.3 percent, over the month.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 07, 2008
Protecting the Markets From Itself- Blind Faith & Liberty / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
"The moment we face it frankly we are driven to the conclusion that the community has a right to put a price on the right to live in it..."- George Bernard Shaw, Prefaces (1934)
INVESTMENT BANKERS have a lot to answer in summer 2008. Not least letting idiot ideas about government, markets and your liberty run amok during this, a US election year.
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Friday, June 06, 2008
Stock Market Forecast for Summer 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
To make money in the stock market it is important to follow the trend. I believe it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
Let's start with the long term view of the S&P 500. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) seems to be a good indicator of the cyclical bull and bear markets. In addition, the 78-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) acts as support in a bull market and resistance in a bear market.
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Friday, June 06, 2008
Credit Crisis Pressure Points Building as Major Banks Heading for Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Standard & Poor announced in late May it has cut or might cut debt ratings on $34 billion of securities tied to Alt-A mortgages, whose type issued in 2007 have a default rate to 6.64% for 90 days late as of end April. Massive S&P downgrades might soon force Wall Street firms to move up to $5000 billion of assets from off-balance sheet locations back onto their books. The bank sector has so far seen very little in bank failures, compared to past cycles.
The Texas Ratio is calculated by dividing non-performing loans at a bank, including those 90 days delinquent, by their tangible equity capital plus money set aside for future loan losses. Using this ratio, IndyMac Bancorp, Sterling Financial, Corus Bankshares, Imperial Capital Bancorp, and GMAC Bank are all on the verge of busts. Look for these banks to possibly lead the list of failures, each with unique vulnerabilities.
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Thursday, June 05, 2008
The VIX, Banks, and the Shanghai China Stocks index in Trouble / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
This morning, we will look at the VIX (Volatility Index), the Banking Index, and the Shanghai index which is in peril of having a very sharp drop.
First ... let's look at the VIX vs. the S&P 500. This is its 60 minute chart going back to last September.
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Thursday, June 05, 2008
Six Reasons to Invest in India / Stock-Markets / India
Larry Edelson writes: India is one of the hottest economies on the planet and holds tremendous profit potential for investors. No doubt in my mind.
Why? India's economy is growing at a 9% rate, TEN times faster than the U.S. and only a couple of percentage points behind China.
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Tuesday, June 03, 2008
US Economy Losing Critical Strengths as Others Overcome Greatest Obstacles / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Weiss writes: Since 1952, when I first left the U.S. at the age of 6, I have lived many years in Latin America and Asia.
I have visited every continent except Antarctica. I have studied every major world language except Arabic. I have traveled on cargo planes, by truck, on foot and even by mule.
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Tuesday, June 03, 2008
Stock Markets Marking Time Ahead of Real State of US Economy / Stock-Markets / US Economy
The calendar turns another page and we dive headlong into summer with the hope/expectation that the government checks that have hit our accounts over the past few weeks will save us from the deep end of the debt pool. The reports last week provided little comfort that the economy is improving, as spending and income merely matched inflation – and the income number does include the rebate “income”. So for another month, the consumer is spending what they have and trying to keep pace with an ever-faster treadmill. Housing still looked poor, with the Case-Shiller index still showing lower housing prices. Little surprise that the consumer is feeling blue, with confidence at the lowest level in nearly 16 years.Read full article... Read full article...