Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, May 20, 2015
Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
The theme of "bad news is good news" continues as several economic reports weighed on investor sentiment. Recent reports have been disappointing, but this has also served to bolster investors' belief that the Fed will respond to the weak data by passing on an interest rate increase.
A Wall Street bromide tells investors to "sell in May and go away." The rationale behind this adage is that the stock market historically posts its best performance between the months of October and April. According to Stock Trader's Almanac, "A $10,000 investment compounded to $578,413 for November-April in 57 years compared to a $341 gain for May-October." While May-October period is statistically less impressive in terms of overall percentage gains in most years, this isn't always the case. It should also be noted that the "sell in May" aphorism is deceptive; indeed, some of the most impressive market rallies of the last 20 years have occurred in the summer months.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Did TNX Cause the Fed to Pull the Plug on Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
ZeroHedge comments, “For the last 9 days in a row, no matter what is occurring in the markets, US Treasuries have begun to sell-off at 1330ET... Some have suggested this points to funding issues being a driver of recent weakness, with the USD up by the most in 2 days since oct 2011, we shall see if the need to sell down USTs is there for the 10th day in a row...”
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Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Lindsay Forecast for the End of the Stocks Bull Market - Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
Similar to forecasting highs, the first step in forecasting a low is in applying Lindsay's 12y interval. The 12y interval stretches 12y, 2m-12y, 8m from an important high.
The next 12y interval is counted from the high in 2004 and points to a low in Apr-Oct 2016.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Global Stock Market, Commodities Group Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
We continue the International indices update with the European indices that made bear market lows in 2012. These three indices were the most severely impacted by the European debt crisis of 2011/2012. While most of Europe was bottoming in 2009, with the US, these three indices only made wave A lows. Then after a B wave rally into 2009/2010 then declined again into 2012 to end their bear markets.
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Stock Market Grinding Higher...Put/Call Moves Up.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Where's the blast? Very interesting to watch this market go through the breakout stage over 2119 in a grinding manor. This is not normal breakout behavior by any means. The short-term charts are up there, but not so much that the market couldn't forcefully move higher. The good news is it's trying to stay on breakout. The bad news is there's no power behind the move. To be honest it's not clear what this means. Maybe a simple pullback towards 2119 will help to unwind enough for a strong breakout move, but, for now, the way this is breaking out is a bit troubling. That said, it is what it is. You never argue with price, thus, I won't start now. I can wish for a better breakout scenario, but I won't argue with the price action. The market still needs to show it can hold this breakout because many breakouts of this type historically fail.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Investing in Europe? 5 Critical Insights to Boost Your Portfolio Now / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: EWI
Dear investor,
Here's a fact you won’t hear about on financial TV.
You know that the European Central Bank has been engaged in an unprecedented 1-trillion-euro quantitative easing effort, right? The goal has been to give European banks more capital.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Stock Market Continues Defying Gravity, Dow New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market continues to confound the doom merchants who have long since convinced themselves that another crash, collapse or bear market was always imminent. Which in many cases is not just for the whole of this year but for the whole of the past 6 years of this stocks bull market that tends to relentlessly grind each supposed new bear market into dust every few couple of months or so as illustrated by the Dow's latest gravity defying new all time high close of 18,298 that marginally beats its early March record high of 18,288.
Monday, May 18, 2015
Nikkei Japanese Stock Index Set To Get Smashed / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Austin_Galt
Of all the indexes I cover, there is no other stock market that I am more bearish about than the Japanese index, the Nikkei. But let’s be under no illusions. The massive bear market that has been in force since the 1989 top is done and dusted.
Let’s take a top down approach to the analysis beginning with the yearly chart.
Monday, May 18, 2015
Which Investing Strategy Is Better: Value or Momentum? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's hard for me to find true friends among my investment buddies...
You see, I believe that both "value" and "momentum" work in investing – and you're not allowed to do that. You have to pick teams...
In the investing world, saying you believe in value AND the trend is like saying you are part of more than one political party... You simply can't do that!
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Monday, May 18, 2015
Europe's Stocks Bull Market Continues After Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
While we comment on most of the markets we follow at least once a week. We thought a consolidated report on the various sectors might help clarify what we are seeing medium and long term. This is the reason for the various reports these past few days.
Other than the US, we track eighteen indices that are country specific, one area specific, and one worldwide. In Europe we track eight indices, Asia eight indices, three indices in what we call the commodity group, and the DJ World index.
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Monday, May 18, 2015
European Banks Vulnerable Today As 2008 Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: GoldCore
- Euro banks no more stable now than in run-up to 2008 crash
- Banks in France, Spain and Italy are “highly vulnerable to failure”
- Low quality bank equity not sufficient to withstand shock
- Risk to system “enormously underestimated”
- Investor deposits at risk of “bail-ins”
Monday, May 18, 2015
Stocks Fluctuate Following Recent Rally - Topping Action Or Just A Flat Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, May 18, 2015
U.S. Dollar Impact on Stocks, Oil, Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Donald_W_Dony
The 1st major corrective phase in almost 10 months for the U.S. dollar continues to unfold. With the US$ declining 7.5% since March, it has provided a boost for many global currencies and a much needed lift for commodity bulls.
The dollar's drop has escalated the Euro by almost 10%, lifted the British Pound by 8%, raised the Australian dollar by 6.6% and increased the value of the Canadian currency by 6.4%.
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Monday, May 18, 2015
Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away - Last Hurrah - Take2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Are long-term cycles sketching an important top?
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
The No. 1 Reason Stocks Will Climb Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Investment_U
Andrew Snyder writes: There’s no end in sight for this bull market. As long as money is cheap, the gains will continue. It’s great news as we embark on our journey to unleash liberty through wealth.
But before I show you why there’s plenty more gains to come, let me remind you of two key facts.
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
Stock Market The Economic Decline Toddles On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
Empire Manufacturing, Industrial Production, and even Michigan Consumer Sentiment came in weakly this morning.
Stocks were trying to rally, but were just able to hold their ground into the weekend.
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
The Stock Market is Topping! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I expected to see new highs on the S&P 500. The week before, I submitted a cycle chart where an expected three week cycle top should occur on May 18th. We are within a hair's breadth of the 2130 target I had for last week and should tag that price on Monday. We also have a new moon, which should easily reverse the trend back to down in the coming days.
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
Stock Market CAC40 Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / France
By: Austin_Galt
The French stock index, the CAC40, looks to have the final top to its bull market already in place. Let's analyse the technicals using the weekly, monthly and yearly charts.
Saturday, May 16, 2015
Stock Market Diagonal Pattern Nearly Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market did this week what it had done the previous three weeks: open higher, dip mid-week, then close the week over 2100. Last four weekly closes: 2118, 2108, 2116 and 2123. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.40%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.85%, and the DJ World index was +0.80%. On the economic front the reports came in biased to the downside. On the uptick: business inventories, the NY FED, the WLEI, plus the budget surplus improved and weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: export/import prices, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment, and the monetary base declined. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, the CPI and reports on Housing.
Saturday, May 16, 2015
Stock Market Basing Below The Breakout.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
When you watch price action near critical levels of resistance you want to see how it holds up, even if the short-term charts are at or near overbought. Watching the action today with those short-term sixty-minute charts near or at 70 RSI it has to give the bulls some comfort due to the fact that the bears couldn't pound the market lower the way they have been in recent weeks whenever the market went to these levels on the oscillators. The market tried many times today to sell off, but the bulls made sure things held up well enough. A change of character for the short term.
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