Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Global Stock Markets on a Knife Edge Warrant Extreme Caution / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
The list of well-known names identifying value on the US stock market at current levels is growing by the day and includes the likes of Jeremy Grantham ( GMO – “ Careful buying is justified ”), Warren Buffett (“ Buy America. I am ”), John Hussman ( Hussman Funds – “ Why Warren Buffett is right ” and “ How low, how bad, how long ?”) and Barry Ritholtz ( The Big Picture – “ Another buy in ”). Even perma-bears such as James Montier and Albert Edwards ( Société Générale – “ Turning more bullish ”) are increasing their equity exposure, albeit only for the short term. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Stock Market Downside Follow Through / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had another down day following up on yesterday's losses, but also had a lot of volatility. The day started out with a gap down on negative pre-market futures. A steep slide in the morning stabilized by mid-morning, and for the next 3-4 hours the indices moved in a sideways configuration and then exploded out of it in early afternoon, taking the NDX from about 1211 to 1249. The S&P 500 in that period went from 887 to about 917. A sharp 3-wave decline ensued, followed by a late bounce back into the close. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Wedge Pattern Points to New Low -Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It's time to think strategically about what is happening in the market today. There are so many theories and wave counts that it will make your head spin. However, let's see what the probabilities are based on the charts. A look at the Dow chart gives us a couple of immediate scenarios. Note the pink dotted line. This might be a potential support for the proposed triangle formation that some are advocating. This may already have been passed by the time the show is aired, so I will adjust my discussion accordingly. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
What are Leadership Stocks Telling Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
The inside story of what Leadership stocks have been telling investors ...
On November 6th., we posted an in depth study and explanation of the Leadership Stock Ratio . See this link for the study and explanation: Leadership stock Ratio explained . This morning, we will look at a little different twist on the Leadership Stock Ratio .
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Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Bretton Woods II- Roadmap Towards a New Financial System / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: Axel_Merk
Following calls by European leaders for a "Bretton Woods II", the Bush administration has invited the " G-20 " countries to come to Washington with the lofty goal to reform the world financial system. Will the way we do business change November 15?
The first Bretton Woods conference, held in 1944, gave birth to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank and - albeit with half a century delay - the World Trade Organization.
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Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends Monday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the overnight decline, October's low crossing at 1136.75 is the next downside target. Closes above last Wednesday's high crossing at 1389.00 are needed to renew the rally off October's low. Closes above the October 14th reaction high crossing at 1499.00 are needed to confirm that a bottom has been posted. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Credit Crisis Worse to Come as Bank Credit Contracts / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
Can the credit crisis get any worse? In this week's Outside the Box my London partner Niels Jensen shows that it indeed can. Banks, and mainly European banks, have large exposure to emerging market debt of all types through both sovereign, corporate and individual loans. Just as banks have had to write down large losses from the subprime crisis and other related problems, next will come a wave of potential losses from yet another source. Niels then goes on to give us a look the size and problems with hedge fund deleveraging. Altogether, this is a very interesting letter and one that is written from a non-US point of view that I think you will find instructive. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Stock Market Indices Reverse Opening Up-Gaps / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets had what I would call an ugly day today and a nasty way to start the week. They weren't down tremendously, but they ended far from where they started.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Credit Crisis Tentacles Spread to Every Sector of Finance Market / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Dr_Krassimir_Petrov
Finally there is a 100% consensus between economists, experts, journalists, and government officials that restoring interbank lending will restore the stability of the financial system and will reignite economic growth. Too bad, the consensus has gotten again all wrong. This is a pure myth and nothing can be further from the truth.
The grim reality is very different and already forgotten. The reality is that most markets for the majority of financial instruments have collapsed completely and reviving interbank lending will not resurrect any of those markets. In other words, resolving the problem of interbank lending will not help the economy in any way. It is like an air balloon that has deflated and we desperately need to reflate it again with helium, but we are told that even ordinary cold air will lift it off the ground; since the balloon is stubbornly stuck on the ground, we are told we simply need more air!
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Monday, November 10, 2008
Investor Funds Flowing Back into Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Frank_Holmes
Jack Dzierwa writes:Although not proof positive of better times ahead, we were encouraged this week to see a break of a negative trend in the money flows into emerging markets funds.
For the week ending November 5, there were net inflows of $413 million into emerging markets stock funds. This is a significant improvement from the previous week, when there were net redemptions of $1.6 billion. Two weeks ago, the net outflows from emerging markets funds totaled $750 million.
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Monday, November 10, 2008
UltraShort SPYs Heading Higher as Stocks Slide / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
So far this morning the high at 91.11 in the UltraShort SPY (AMEX: SDS) hit the lower side of my original target zone of 91.10 to 91.60. Let's notice that just above current prices -- at 91.90-92.00--the SDS will smack into a powerful near-term resistance line from the late October peak (late Oct low in the SPYs), which if hurdled will argue that a new and powerful upleg commenced this morning at 84.25…that is heading for 116.00-118.00. (12:35 pm ET 91.13). Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 10, 2008
Stock Market Catches a Bottom / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is not acting as if it's ready to break down. A good catch by the bulls at the very bottom of the current triangles. I mentioned last night that the daily charts were strong and thus it can come as no surprise that we were higher today. It's so easy to say that the past two days spell doom for the markets but those daily's, being as strong as they are, were able to stop the bears from breaking this market down right at the bottom of those back and forth triangles. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 10, 2008
Gloom and Doom Folks Will Soon be Proven Wrong / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ronald_Rosen
If you stand to close to a painting you may never see the entire picture. Seen from a distance, the Rembrandt "standing" self portrait in Vienna (1652) shows the bold, confident appearance that is usually attributed to it.
Click here… > Heavy Mellow.
It is the same with the markets that we follow. If one concentrates only on the very short term they will not see the larger picture. The larger picture, the very long term picture as epitomized by the charts posted below is informing us that once again, THE GLOOM AND DOOM FOLKS WILL SOON BE PROVEN WRONG. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 09, 2008
Reaping the Derivatives Mania Whirlwind / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Stephen_Lendman
"Reaping the whirlwind" for money manager and market strategist Jeremy Grantham in his latest no-nonsense commentary. Worlds different from most in the mainstream. Cheerleaders in upturns. Downplaying risks. Soft-pedaling reversals and still many in denial about the severity of today's crisis. The virtual certainty of a deep and protracted recession. The likely emergence of a changed world order at its end - for better or worse. The result of what Grantham calls "the poisonous wind we all sowed," and went on to explain it with his customary thoughtful analysis. Calling it like he sees it as one of the earliest to spot the current storm. Even though it arrived sooner and with more severity than he imagined. In that respect, it fooled some of the best and brightest but no longer the ones most credible. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 09, 2008
Stock Markets Attempting to Bottom Against Grim Economic Background / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
Pretty grim out there. Where is the basis for current optimistic stock market views?
Markets may anticipate recovery, but how soon could that recovery be, given the depth of the problem? How many more stimulus programs are needed? How many more can be paid for now or later? Are we sowing the seeds of greater disaster later by adding more easy money to a problem that was caused in substantial part by easy money in the first place?
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Sunday, November 09, 2008
Stock Market Indices Teetering at the Edge of the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
Wiley Coyote Suspended in Air Over a Canyon - There is nothing left in the charts to suggest support for the S&P 500 index if it pierces the approximate 800 level (roughly 80 for its proxy SPY).
The index has been volatile within a range between generally 850 and 1,000 over the past few weeks.
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Sunday, November 09, 2008
Global Stock Market Rampant Buy Signals / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Richard Russell (Dow Theory Letters): First deflation – then inflation “Deflation/Inflation. First deflation – then inflation. I don't have to convince you that we're now dealing with world deflation. Copper is down 35% this year, cotton down 32%, oil down 26%, platinum down 43%, orange juice down 44%, wheat down 35%, gasoline is now around $3 a gallon, stocks have collapsed, autos are cheaper, home prices have plummeted, suburbs are hanging out ‘for sale' signs. No price is firm – you can make an offer for anything, and you're likely to get it at your bid price.
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Sunday, November 09, 2008
Obama Victory Flashing a Stock Market Buy Signal / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Welcome to Wall Street, Barack Obama. His victory signaled a change in US political direction, but the biggest election day rally ever – a surge of 4.1% in the S&P 500 Index on Tuesday – was quickly overshadowed by the grim realities of the worsening economic and earnings picture, resulting on Wednesday and Thursday in the S&P 500's biggest two-day loss (-10.0%) since 1987.
Mr Obama gave his first press conference as President-elect on Friday afternoon, summarizing a discussion he had had with his economic advisory team. He pledged to confront the US's economic crisis “head on” and said he wanted to see “a rescue plan for the middle class” that would include a new fiscal stimulus package. The week closed on a positive note as a late rush of buying on Friday left the stock market indices higher for the day, although still in the red for the week.
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Sunday, November 09, 2008
How Wars and Stock Market Rallies are Won / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Imagine a war where the battalion leader says, "Charge". The battalion moves forward, but as they do, they turn around and see the leader retreating. What do they do next? First, fear grips them as they know the leader is running from what he perceives as a grave danger. At best, the battalion loses their fervor for winning the charge, or retreats like their leader. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 09, 2008
Stocks Technicals Point to Sustainable Rally Underway / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The bottom indicators have been moving sharply upward suggesting a high likelihood of a rally lasting at least several weeks.
Short Term - Downside volume has been drying up.
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