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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Financial Crisis Markets Reality Check Now in Progress / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Michael_Pento

The long-awaited dose of reality from the massive and unprecedented financialization of the global economy has finally begun.

Of course, those of us who understood from the start how healthy economies and markets naturally function, knew that a viable recovery from the fiscal and monetary excesses--which caused the great recession and financial crisis of 2008--was never underway. This is because central banks manipulated interest rates to zero percent and below and kept them at that level for a decade. Then, those same low rates engendered a humongous amount of new debt to be incurred, leading to the rebuilding of the current stock and real estate bubbles. And, it also created a tremendous and unprecedented bubble in the global fixed income market. This entire artificial construct, which was built upon bigger asset bubbles and greater debt loads, is now being tenuously held together by that very same government-engineered bond bubble.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

The Stock Market’s Breadth: Another Warning Sign for 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

We are getting more and more signs that the stock market will face trouble in 2019. Some of these market studies center around breadth.

The stock market’s breadth has been deteriorating recently. Some of this is due to weakness in foreign (non-U.S.) stocks.

Long term breadth divergence is a normal part of rallies within bull markets. There’s nothing bearish about breadth divergences. HOWEVER, long term breadth divergences that have gone too far while accompanied by massive bull market rallies are a bearish sign for stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Wall Street Created Financial Crash Catastrophe Ten Years Later / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: James_Quinn

“Government has coddled, accepted, and ignored white collar crime for too long. It is time the nation woke up and realized that it’s not the armed robbers or drug dealers who cause the most economic harm, it’s the white collar criminals living in the most expensive homes who have the most impressive resumes who harm us the most. They steal our pensions, bankrupt our companies, and destroy thousands of jobs, ruining countless lives.” – Harry Markopolos, Madoff Whistleblower

The tenth anniversary of the Wall Street created financial catastrophe brought back some bittersweet memories this week. I wrote my first articles during the summer/fall of 2008 for Seeking Alpha. They included: Is The U.S Banking System Safe? (Aug 2008), The Great Consumer Crash of 2009 (Aug 2008), Looming Financial Catastrophe: A Real Inconvenient Truth (Aug 2008), Is Wachovia the Worst Run Bank in America (Sept 2008), The U.S. on the Precipice (Sept 2008), On Board the U.S.S. Titanic (Sept 2008), Our Coming Depression (Oct 2008), among others. I was pumping out 5,000 word articles every 2 or 3 days.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Trade Wars Are Going To Crash This Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

This week, I am going to bring back the list of reasons that have been paraded before you over the last three-plus years as to why the stock market rally is over:

Brexit – NOPE

Frexit – NOPE

Grexit - NOPE

Italian referendum - NOPE

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Saudi TASI Stock Index Continues to Weaken Following Breakdown from Rising Wedge / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: MarketsToday

Following a breakdown from a bearish rising wedge several weeks ago, the TASI (Saudi Arabia stock market) seen three consecutive weeks of falling prices. The index is now fast approaching the first key support zone to watch for a potential short-term bounce. Typically, at some point following a breakdown a bearish pattern a counter-trend rally will occur back up towards the breakdown zone (approx. 7,226) to some degree, before a continuation lower kicks in.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Financial Markets Macro/Micro View: Waves and Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Brad_Gudgeon

That which has been is what will be,

That which is done is what will be done,

And there is nothing new under the sun. Ecclesiastes 1:9 (NKJV)


Much has been written regarding repeating socio/political economic (SPE) cycles.  Strauss and Howe wrote about the 20-22 year generational turns, which work in a 4 generation cycle called a Saeculum. Each Saeculum lasts about 80-88 years and includes a repeating pattern of Winter, Spring, Summer and Fall back to Winter again.

R.N. Elliot, A.J. Frost and Robert Prechter (over time) were able to map out an Elliott “Grand Super Cycle” 5 Wave pattern stretching from the founding of the USA into about 1999-2000. W.D. Gann was able to see repeating cycle patterns of 90, 82-84, 60, 45, 30, 20 and 10 years. There are many other cycles like the 4-year presidential cycle and Benner’s Cycle (http://bit.ly/2Qzx4OQ) which I will get to in time.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Stock Market Bulls Prevail – for Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Another correction has started which could conceivably continue into mid-October.
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

The China Threat - Global Crisis Hot Spots & Pressure Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Jim_Willie_CB

A preface is required to explain that the US Federal Reserve is responsible for every grand financial crisis in the last 30 years, dating back to the Great Depression and its supposed spurious resolution to Black Monday of 1987. Little realized is that the ’87 crash was a direct result of the impact from outsourcing US industry, whose trend began in 1984 with Intel. The lost legitimate income had a grand effect on the inflows to the US Stock Market. Of course, the newly forming Reich Economic team preferred to describe it differently. The important outcome from the cleanup was the creation of multi-$trillion bank derivatives to serve as phony foundation for the entire Western banking system. Greenspan blessed it as good and firm, but now we know it was soft and weak. These derivatives are blowing up, which will require bailouts and a replacement in the Gold Standard. Instead, expect the derivatives to ramp up further with greater leverage up to the assured catastrophe. The fallout will be great.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 16, 2018

Emerging Markets to Follow and Those to Avoid / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Harry_Dent

Just saw a chart with the second quarter GDP results for the fastest growing countries in the world, and…

Of course, emerging countries – largely Asia – dominated.

India topped at a whopping 8.2%, followed by waning China at 6.7%, Indonesia at 5.3%, and Turkey at 5.1%.

Other notable emerging countries were struggling, with Brazil at -1.2% and Argentina at -0.7%.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 16, 2018

Stock Market Correction Ahead, But When? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Harry_Dent

The broader stock market via the S&P 500 finally broke to new highs in August, while they drifted insignificantly lower on Wednesday.

And as Adam O’Dell recently commented, that typically means substantially higher highs ahead… like 13% plus.

What does this mean for my great crash forecast?

Well, my favored scenario right now, with the strong tax cuts Trump handed us, is that the great bubble peak comes in late 2019, not now.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 16, 2018

Investing - Look at the Facts to Find the Truth / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018

By: Rodney_Johnson

The truth is…

I can’t stand sentences that start with that.

Typically, the author or speaker is discussing a controversial topic and trying to lay the groundwork for his or her position, casting everyone else as a liar or simpleton.

Paul Krugman of The New York Times comes to mind.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 15, 2018

Hindenburg Omen & Consumer Confidence: More Signs of Stock Market Trouble in 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Our Long Term Risk Model suggests that the U.S. economy & bull market are almost at the point at which “things can’t get much better”, but we’re not completely there yet.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 14, 2018

Elliott Wave Analysis of Dow Jones Trucking Index (DJUSTK) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WavePatternTraders

This index has been strong recently and is one of the components of the Dow Transportation Average (DJT). I am closely watching the Dow Jones Trucking Index (DJUSTK) for clues to when the DJT will end its advance from the 2016 lows and reverse lower, as it seems that the recent fuel that is driving the Dow Transportation Average (DJT) higher is coming from the rail road and trucking stocks.

Looking at DJUSTK I can make a solid case that it’s close to ending an impulse wave from the 2016 lows and current advance is in a 5th wave, although it may still push a little higher as some of the major stocks in the DJUSTK would look better if new highs were seen, stocks just as SAIA & XOP etc. Once we see new highs or some evidence of a reversal I am expecting the DJT to reverse lower.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Low Volatility Has Returned to the Stock Market. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As you’ve probably noticed, the U.S. stock market’s volatility has been notably low over the past 2 months. It’s been 55 consecutive days without a >1% daily change!

*This is surprising because volatility is typically higher during August and September (more bearish seasonality).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here! John Lewis 99% Profits CRASH - Retail Sector Collapse / Stock-Markets / Retail Sector

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This week the mainstream press has been busy focusing on remembering the 'start' of the financial crisis of September 2008 "Lehman's Brother Collapse" that most of whom never saw coming. In act the financial crisis actually began much earlier than September 2008 with the first obvious signs of a credit crisis brewing being the collapse of two Bear Stearns hedge funds during July 2007, but it would take the mainstream financial press another year before they started to connect the dots for the train wreck well in motion.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Stock Market Final Probe Higher ... Then the PANIC! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX closed above Short-term support at 2887.58, but SPX futures are challenging it this morning. Despite the cross-currents, there is room for yet another probe higher that may last until early afternoon (near 1:00 pm). That will be the 60th hour and 8.6 days from the top.

Looking at today’s economic calendar, the most intriguing item at 1:00 pm is the 10-Year T-Note Auction.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

US Economy We’re Close to “As Good as it Gets”, But Not Quite There / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index just surged to its highest level ever.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

This Will Be the Mother of All Minsky Moments / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: John_Mauldin

We have all had the fun as kids of going to the beach and playing in the sand. Remember taking your plastic bucket and making sandpiles? Slowly pouring the sand into ever bigger piles, until one side of the pile starts to collapse?

In his very important book Ubiquity, Why Catastrophes Happen, Mark Buchamane wrote about an experiment with sand that three physicists named Per Bak, Chao Tang, and Kurt Wiesenfeld conducted in 1987.

In their lab at Brookhaven National Laboratory in New York, they started building sandpiles, piling up one grain of sand at a time. It’s a slow process, so they wrote a computer program to do it. Not as much fun but a whole lot faster.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

China Extends its Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Starting off with the Shanghai Index, which probed beneath the August low this morning. This confirms that Wave (3) may not be complete. Three other indicators of that analysis are, First, Head & Shoulders, when the neckline rests at the bottom of a Wave (1), indicate the minimum target for Wave (3). Next, the Cycles Model does not indicate a Master Cycle low until late October. Finally, a Wave (3) should terminate well beneath the daily Cycle Bottom. There’s still work to do!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Index Put/Call Ratio spiked. What this Means for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The CBOE’s Index Put/Call Ratio spiked yesterday to 1.78

The Index Put/Call Ratio (CPCI) is different from the Equity Put/Call Ratio (CPCE). The Index Put/Call Ratio measures index options as opposed to equity options. For a more detailed explanation, go to Stockcharts.

The stock market made a short-medium term rally the last 2 times the Index Put/Call Ratio spiked to at least 1.77

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