Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, July 07, 2016
Is Stock Market VIX Really OK? / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Yesterday, the VIX closed at 15.58, so it looks like it is okay. But is it really?
The verdict is actually not in yet ... take a look at October, April and now. April was the lowest reading, with October and now not as low as it was in April. With that condition, there remains a possibility of an inverted Head & Shoulder pattern which would have upside implications for the VIX.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
SPX Finds Resistance at the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have been stopped by the 4.5-year trendline. This may be an ideal spot to add to short positions. The end of day activity may also be bearish, as institutions begin to sell in the final half hour.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Stock Market Big Money Making Move is Right Around the Corner… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The rally last week was likely end of the quarter performance gaming and little else.
Fund managers have to report their returns every quarter. With the markets gyrating throughout 2Q16, fund managers were highly incentivized to gun the markets higher in order to redeem the quarter.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
European Bank Stocks Plunge! It’s Not The Brexit Stupid / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: James_Quinn
Just over a week ago the world was coming unglued, as enough British citizens grew a pair and spit in the face of the EU establishment and global elite by voting to exit the EU. The fear mongering by central bankers and their puppet political hacks failed to deter people who have become sick and tired of being abused and pillaged by bureaucrats working on behalf of bankers and billionaires.
Stock markets around the world plummeted on Thursday and Friday. The world braced for another Black Monday. The phone lines were buzzing between central bankers around the world over the weekend as their banker constituents demanded relief. If one thing has been proven over the last seven years, its a coordinated effort between central bankers and Wall Street banks to rig the stock market higher can work over a short time period.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Stock Markets Erase Brexit Losses: Is the Fallout Already Behind Us? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Nigel Farage toiled for 17 years building a movement to lead the United Kingdom out of the European Union. A week ago, he stood in front hundreds of drab bureaucrats in the EU Assembly, most of whom have done little but snicker at his free-market ideals, and declared victory. He told them, quite plausibly, their political union is dying - and good riddance!
Fans of liberty cheered for Farage and for Brexit. And, after the sharp recovery in equity indexes around the world, it looks like stock investors have begun cheering as well. Many say stock market losses sustained in the first couple of trading days were an overreaction. Maybe. Or maybe not.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Stock Market 5-year Cycle? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
My own observations of a 4 year cycle show a very consistent low in the Dow every four years. In 1962 the cycle expanded to five years and in 1978 it contracted to three years.
The bull market from 2002 never provided a low that could be considered a cycle low and an important high was seen five years later in 2007. That was followed by a significant low four years later in 2011.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Europe Could Have Bigger Issues Beyond Brexit / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Harry_Dent
The Dow dropped nearly 1,000 points (5%) and the London FTSE dropped 10% after the Brexit vote surprised the markets on June 23. After two days though, markets are marching back up again.That’s just like markets on “crack!” They react to political events, but totally miss the fundamentals.
Yes, Brexit is important. Years from now it will be recognized as the beginning of the end for the great Eurozone experiment.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
S&P 500 Index Back At 2,100 Mark, Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,100, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Miners, Gold, Silver Near Top, Stock Market Could Go Either Way / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The precious metals complex looks toppy here and a pull back is warranted into the end of July (see chart below for added information).
The stock market is in a critical zone. The 4 TD low is overdue by 1 TD and the 8 TD low is due on July 8th. The 16 TD low is due on July 11. The bullish scenario sees a move back to near 2082 SPX on July 5th a rally to 2126 on July 6th and then a pull back to 2070 by July 8th. BUT, IF July 8th holds near the July 5th lows and cracks through it on July 11 to near 1980 SPX, all bets are off for the upside. Either way, we should see an important top on July 6th.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
NYSE Stock Market Megaphone Top & Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
The market has been strong and holding up even in the face of "Brexit" the British referendum which resulted in the majority deciding to vote "leave".
Trading the markets has a lot to do with psychology and many veteran traders are well aware of this.
Which brings me to my next point, July 2015, or more precisely July 5th, 2015, when Greece voters overwhelmingly voted no in their own referendum or popular vote.
Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Robert Kiyosaki Warns 2016 Jubilee Year Collapse Going To Make A Lot of Poor Dads / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
Already in Jubilee 2016, we’ve seen incredible volatility. Brexit is just one example. Within a matter of minutes the British pound soared (when Bremain had the early lead in results) and then had its worst crash in history a few minutes later. The British stock market fell 5.6% quickly after Brexit and has now moved up dramatically in the last week.
Volatility in the markets is just like volatility in real life. Your car rides fine for thousands of miles and then, suddenly,begins to shake madly: A wheel is in danger of falling off, and if you don’t stop quick enough it ends up in a crash.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Brexit!!! Silver!!! Bonds!!! Deflation!!! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
It’s a funny title for a segment, but it is appropriate. I don’t want to be too flippant with dismissals of inflammatory market events like ‘Brexit’ as simply hype. There is very real macro fundamental shifting going on behind the hype. But in market management, macro fundamentals play out over long stretches of time and nobody knows exactly how all the moving parts are going to affect the subject of the hype (in this case Britain and the EU), let alone the asset markets we are tasked to invest in, trade or avoid.
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Monday, July 04, 2016
Deutsche Bank to Trigger the Next Financial Crisis! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I am certain that you remember Lehman Brothers and the “chaos” that it created when it ‘failed’. If you think that the Worlds’ Central Banks are now wiser and consequently will not allow another similar event to occur, think again. We will not only see a repeat of this occurrence, again, but it will be exponentially larger than Lehman’s was!
On June 29th, 2016 the IMF stated that “among the [globally systemically important banks], Deutsche Bank appears to be the most important net contributor to systemic risks, followed by HSBC and Credit Suisse,” reports The Wall Street Journal.
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Monday, July 04, 2016
BrExit Implications for UK Stock Market, Sterling GBP, House Prices and UK Politics... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's vote to LEAVE the European Union triggered immediate financial markets panic that prompted the Bank of England to implement its emergency market rescue plan that included making upto £250 billion available to Britains banks that succeeded in halting the BrExit financial panic in its tracks as sterling stabilised at lower levels whilst the FTSE soared into the stratosphere recovering all of Fridays plunge and registering its best weekly gain in over 4 years. So what's next for the financial markets? Is the BrExit financial storm over? Find out in Part 2 of the Implications of BrExit on the financial markets, stocks, sterling, house prices and UK politics.
Monday, July 04, 2016
A Perplexing Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: More time is needed to evaluate the nature of this rally.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 03, 2016
Stock Market Charts - What Do You See That Frightens You? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jesse
"Peter. Verily, verily, I say to you, when you were young, you dressed yourself, and walked where you liked: but when you are old, you will stretch forth your hands, and another will gird you, and carry you where you would not wish to go."
Since the adults all seem to be leaving Wall Street early today to get a head start to the Hamptons, I will just post the charts as they are now and catch up on any late changes next week.
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Saturday, July 02, 2016
The Stock Market is Reading it Wrong! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The European markets, the British pound, and Euro had rallied for six days prior to its’ meeting based on political polls. These polls were showing that the vote was too close to call. The market incorrectly interpreted this as meaning that the “Remain” side would prevail. The British pound hit a new a year-to-date high last Thursday, June 23rd, 2016, the day of the election. Banks had done especially well in the rally, some being up by almost double digits during their best days. After the Brexit vote, they experienced a massive ‘selloff’.
Saturday, July 02, 2016
Sanitized US Drone Report Masks Killing on an Industrial Scale / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Stephen_Lendman
US administration and congressional news releases reflecting badly on official policies most often occur at low news consumption periods.
Late Friday, the Obama administration chose the start of the July 4 holiday weekend to release its sanitized drone report, an exercise in deception - when few people were paying attention.
It’s not worth the paper it’s written on, fabricated to conceal revealing that drones used for military purposes are instruments of state terror.
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Saturday, July 02, 2016
Two MAJOR Stock Market Warnings Not to Trust This Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The market has exploded higher based on verbal intervention.
The verbal intervention came from Germany’s Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble. Yesterday Schauble announced that, “measures to avoid market chaos have been successful.”
Traders took this to mean that Central Banks were coordinated a massive intervention. So everyone on the planet bought stocks.
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Saturday, July 02, 2016
Stock Market Volatility Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2037. After a gap down opening to start the week, and a decline to SPX 1992, the market reversed and rallied quite strongly for the rest of the week. The two day post Br-exit decline from SPX 2113-1992, was nearly fully retraced when the market hit SPX 2109 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.2%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 3.4%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the downtick: pending home sales, construction spending, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: Q1 GDP, consumer confidence, personal income/spending, the PCE, the Chicago PMI and ISM manufacturing. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls and the FOMC minutes.