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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis : Intermediate Top Spotting / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Dominick

With volatility, illiquidity, and uncertainty roiling equity markets this week, we tuned out the pundits, removed bias, and traded the charts as they evolved and presented the set ups we identified over the weekend. Last Friday, as “Cramerica” was capitulating, we were looking for a tradable bottom, barring some sort of meltdown. To this effect, last weekend's update said:

“From here, Dom acknowledges that the bears must see Thursday's high as an abc for wave 2, making Friday's selling a wave 3, but this is a low probability setup. Dom's working count has this leg ending soon, but also critical levels where this count has to be abandoned. Remember, price levels are the key to trading here, not unconfirmed counts.”

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 11, 2007

The Grim Reaper Pays A Visit To Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Mike_Whitney

Alan Greenspan's low-interest, subprime, snake-oil Caravan took another spin down Wall Street Thursday - ripping up pavement, knocking down power-poles and sending traders scampering for safety. When the dust finally settled, “Maestro's” wrecking ball had lopped another 387 points off the Dow Jones leaving markets reeling and investors cringing in fear. No doubt about it; the mood on the “Street” has taken a 180 overnight. A long procession of bears---marching three-abreast with arms locked—can now be seen winding through downtown Manhattan. Their sense of triumph is palpable.

Meanwhile the last wounded bull—still writhing at curbside-- is being carted off to slaughter.

MORTGAGE BLUES

No one has summed up the disaster in the mortgage lending business better than Paul Muolo of “Broker Universe”:
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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 11, 2007

Dow Theory and Stock Market Update / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

Many proclaim that the recent decline below the June 2007 lows by the Industrials and the Transports served to trigger a Dow theory sell signal. Based on the evidence as I read the averages, this is not the case.

The extended advance up out of the 2002/2003 lows has proven to be one of the longest advances in stock market history. As a result, it has proven that the single most important aspect of Dow theory is price and that what we may perceive as value or a given market phasing is in fact secondary. In other words, price itself is the single most important aspect of Dow theory and the old time Dow theorists knew it.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 11, 2007

Back to the 1998 Crisis, Subprime's to Impact for a Longtime / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
China - Upping the Rhetorical Ante
Back to 1998
The End of the Quantitative World
Subprime for a Long Time
The Fugu Ultimatum
90 Years and Still Going Strong

In the early fall of 1998, I remember being on a flight to Bermuda from New York. I was upgraded and sat next to a very distinguished looking gentleman. He was going to a conference about re-insurance and I was going to speak at a large hedge fund conference. We hit it off, and began a very interesting conversation, one that still burns in my mind today. It turns out that he was vice-chairman of one of the largest insurance firms in the world, and was a real financial insider, seemingly knowing every big name on Wall Street personally. After he had a few drinks (he was clearly somewhat stressed), he began to talk about the Long Term Capital Management fund and the problems in the markets. He had had a ring side seat at the Fed-sponsored bailout proceedings.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 11, 2007

Central Bank Ponzi-Regimes to the Rescue of Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: Joseph_Russo

Kindly indulge us - as we pen this week's intro with the spirit and dark-humor of a Dennis Miller-like rant.

We cannot help but find it quite amusing that:

The titan institutions currently adhering to egregiously mutated paradigm-doctrines, handed down by their founding architects - the global cartel of central banks - (financial engineers of worthless marked-to-nothing fiat-paper) suddenly find themselves scrambling to affect “rescue” across a broad spectrum of over-bloated markets, from a systemically induced crisis of inevitability - spawned from the godfather of all Ponzi-schemes from which they preside.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 11, 2007

Survive the Credit Crunch by Sticking With Good Stocks / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Roger_Conrad

How do you solve a liquidity crisis? The simple answer is to inject more liquidity into the financial system. The hard part is not pouring in too much and thereby setting off a speculative boom in the markets that leads to a greater meltdown later on.

That's the dilemma facing the world's central bankers today, as the investment markets confront their worst crisis in half a decade. And unfortunately, the answer is no easier this time around than it was in the summer of 1998, the time of the last liquidity crisis.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

The Fed says, “Don't Panic!” / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Yesterday the Federal Reserve “injected” $24 billion into the market. This morning they “injected” another $19 billion. Yesterday the world banks collectively “injected” $150 billion of cash into the markets. This morning, they repeated the procedure with another $173 billion that I can account for. What does that mean? In a nutshell, the Federal Reserve and the other central banks have become the buyers of last resort for Wall Street's toxic waste.

Last night, the banks raised their overnight interest rate from 5.25% to 5.5% as a move that reflected an increased demand for cash and higher risk, even in the overnight (read: bank funds and money markets) accounts. The Fed move was meant to keep markets “orderly” by lowering rates back to 5.25%. The result was to stop the market decline , if only temporarily.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

MPTrader - Small Cap Stocks Recovering / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Purely from a technical perspective, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (AMEX: IWM) currently is in the midst of a recovery rally effort in the aftermath of the downleg from 85.74 to 73.95 (14%). The initial upmove of the recovery started at Monday's low of 76.43, and hit its initial high yesterday at 85.74.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

Full Blown Liquidity Crisis Hits Stocks And Gold / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Christopher_Laird

As news of new subprime losses emerges around the world, stock markets are selling off. What began as the first string of losses at Bear Stearns has now become wider. In fact, it is beginning to look like a developing world liquidity emergency.

This week, the large French bank Paribas froze 3 funds worth about $2 billion after it became clear they cannot value the mortgage derivatives held by the funds. Soon after this news, EU banks and institutions started to flee to cash. The ECB had to lend an unprecedented $130 billion to stave off a banking/liquidity crisis. European investors said the ECB was acting on an emergency basis.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

Mortgage Backed Securties Are America's Shoddiest Exports / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Peter_Schiff

For years, Americans have been able to pay for enormous trade deficits by exchanging IOU's for imported consumer goods. Unfortunately for foreign creditors, a substantial percentage of those IOU's have recently taken the form of mortgaged backed securities.

Sporting higher yields than Treasury bonds, investment grade ratings from reputable agencies, and juicy commissions for the investment banks that packaged them, these structured mortgage bonds have quickly become America 's greatest export. Ironically, amid cll the recent hoopla about defective Chinese exports, America has proved that when it comes to flooding the world with shoddy merchandise, nobody beats the good old USA .

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

Surprises Abound - Central Banks Liquidity Flood Fails to Prevent Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Andy_Sutton

Just as everyone thought things were getting back to normal. Just as everyone thought that all the bad and ugly stuff had receded into seldom-accessed portions of the subconscious. Just as the bulls were starting to get a little of that swagger back and talk of new records filled the airwaves... BANG! The markets were once again slapped with another dose of reality. The really interesting thing about today was not only what didn't happen, but what DID happen.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

Subprime Mortgage Mayhem Spreading! Stock Markets Plunging! / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: If you think yesterday's 2.8% plunge in the Dow was severe, take a look at the shellacking of bank and brokerage stocks: Down 5%, 6%, even 7% across the board.

Why are things getting so hairy? Precisely because of the spreading mortgage market mayhem I've been warning about!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

“ARM”ageddon As Subprime Financial Dominos Fall / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Ty_Andros

The dominos have begun to fall, look for it to cascade into the fall as markets reprice the normalization of credit conditions, and CURTAIL the most risky and foolish lending practices. Cov lite, LBO's, private equity and CDO/CMO paper is dead until the deals are priced in a manner that secures lenders interests in a RATIONAL manner, as they should be as they are just SUBPRIME on a gargantuan scale. I love it as volatility is opportunity for the prepared investor. Volatility rose from 1997 till the high in 2000 and the markets did fine. After several weeks of market turmoil it's time to look at the factors that are the catalyst to this market sell off. It's not over by a long shot but some curious things are happening and I want to inform you of them.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 10, 2007

Central Banks Bailout of Financial Markets Backfires / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Brady_Willett

The central bank support that Cramer was crying for last week arrived, and it didn't work

A funny thing happened during today's central bank bailout attempt: the markets plunged. Is it just me, or when central bankers unite and throw money at a problem isn't that problem supposed to go away? 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

A Credit Crunch, Investors Selling, and the Fed Pumping in Liquidity to Keep the Market Up / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Marty_Chenard

The trickle down of sub-prime problems are now accelerating across the world. France's biggest bank (BNP) stopped withdrawals from investment funds because it can't determine a fair value on their holdings. As this happened, credit default traders are now saying that the risk of holding corporate bonds increased as well this morning.

The Fed and European Central Banks are now planning to increase liquidity in an effort to stem what appears to be a deepening financial crisis.

Where does that leave Bernanke?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Mortgage Backed Securities Monetization and the US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Fannie Mae is being groomed to be the central clearing house for mortgages and their bonds, sponsored by the USGovt and the US Federal Reserve. Fannie Mae (FNM) just requested permission to take on much greater volume of mortgages, in order to alleviate the secondary market flow of capital funds. Since the accounting scandal which peaked in September 2004, a limit was imposed on FNM on its holdings at $727 billion. In today's climate, marred by credit seizure to some degree, FNM is deeply missed in its former prominent centrifuge role.

A key question arises on the general inflation impact, if and when FNM expands its role and is the nexus (surely a hidden basement) of grandiose illicit monetization of mortgage bonds. If the banking maestros undertake to put a secretive floor on mortgage backed securities (MBS), a solid bid to prevent further breakdown, then vast amounts of new printing press money will enter the system. The mortgage finance sector desperately needs a bid on subprime MBS bonds so as to clear them upon liquidations. The bank wizards could start monetizing them, and work their way up the quality ladder toward Alt-A loans which are also in trouble.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

MPTrader - Near-Term Work Remains Positive on Nasdaq (Q's) As Long as 48 Holds / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) rocketed nearly $0.90 (1.9%) off of this morning's pre-open low at 48.08, but stalled and reversed right just below a key near-term resistance plateau between 49 and 49.15, which if (when) hurdled should trigger a powerful upside acceleration off of the development of a 3-week base-like pattern in the aftermath of the Jul-Aug decline.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

The “Plunge Protection Team” Working Overtime to Save US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Gary_Dorsch

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”, the brilliant Albert Einstein used to say. Imagine for just a moment, that the Dow Jones Industrials has become a key instrument of national economic policy, and that by “actively managing” its direction, the government could impact the wealth of tens of millions of US households, and by extension, influence consumer confidence and spending.

Since the appointment of Henry Paulson to the helm at the US Treasury, the US stock market has always found a way to defy the law of gravity. During Paulson's short reign, the Dow Jones Industrials (DJI-30) broke an 80-year old record for the longest streak of gains with only three declining days in between. During the first seven months of his tenure, the S&P 500 did not decline by 2%, the second longest-period without a 2% correction since 1964.

The market savvy Treasury chief, who built a $730 million fortune at Goldman Sachs, is also the chairman of the Working Group on Financial Markets, commonly known as the Plunge Protection Team (PPT), created by Ronald Reagan to prevent a repeat of the Wall Street meltdown in October 1987. The PPT is empowered to intervene in stock index futures and the foreign currency markets in the event of a crash.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Financial Markets Critical Signals Updated / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: In times like these, when markets are swinging wildly, I pay particularly close attention to my systems and the signals they generate.

Not only have those signals proven themselves over the last 30 years, they also help eliminate emotions from the investing process. That's a key ingredient to successfully navigating the markets.

Indeed, the last time I published my signals they should have served you very well. Here's a reminder of what I said back in May, along with what happened afterward:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

MPTrader - Semiconductor Stocks Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Semiconductor HLDRs (AMEX: SMH) briefly popped above key near-term resistance at 38.00/05, but did not sustain that level -- at least not yet. However, my near-term pattern and momentum work argue strongly that higher price will emerge in the upcoming hours that will propel the SMH towards 39.00/25. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Applied Materials (Nasdaq: AMAT), and Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI) will be the big drivers of the next upleg in the semiconductors.

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