Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Stock Market is Not in Uncharted Territory / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: John_Mauldin
This week we visit some very thoughtful analysis by an old friend of Outside the Box, Dr. John Hussman of the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com/ index.html ). Is it 1932? Are we in a Depression? Where is the bottom? John gives us a very balanced view and actually offers some positive insight on the markets. There may be light ahead. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Corporate America on the March for Billion Dollar Government Handouts / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Paul_J_Nolte
The billion-dollar march. As companies file into Washington to get in line for a government handout (cleverly disguised as a bailout!), the markets continue to mark down stocks in advance of the Christmas selling season. The TARP program, passed with the understanding that “toxic” bank debt would be purchased has been scuttled in favor of direct injection of capital into the banking system. Admittedly a better program, but the “on the fly” approach is making the market nervous that the powers that be do not have a mental grasp of the situation. A complicating factor is we are in the dead zone for both Congress and the President, making new policy creation tricky at best. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 17, 2008
Critical Week for Global Stock Markets and Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: John_Derrick
We have pointed out several times that we think the recovery from the current recession will be U-shaped, with several tests of the low before a likely bottom is reached and a sustainable rally can begin.
According to recent research from JP Morgan, the next week or so could be an important period of time for the stock market.
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Monday, November 17, 2008
Value Stock Market Investing- The November Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Steve_Selengut
Every fall, especially in opportunity rich markets like this, I encourage investors to think about some year-end strategies that make the final calendar quarter a special time in all markets. Several forces are at work, all of which have links to conventional Wall Street wisdom; none of which promote good long-term investment decision-making. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 17, 2008
Flawed Central Banking System and Stocks Bear Market Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
In his genius, E.F. Schumaker foresaw the eventual demise of present day central banking long ago, and offers a workable solution that can both co-exit and operate within transition from failing fiat currency based economies flaming out due to accelerating inflation . And make no mistake about it – the global economy is flaming out – with all strata of economies soon to begin the decentralization process. One need only look at the collapse in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) for confirmation in this regard. The credit crisis, and lack of trust it sponsors between financial institutions both domestic and foreign alike, has crashed international trade markets the likes of which never witnessed in the history of mankind. As growing numbers begin to understand this condition is not temporary, but the future, process will take hold, and economies will increasingly regionalize. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 17, 2008
Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 17th November / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends last Friday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-
term. Closes below October's low crossing at 1136.75 would open the door for a possible test of monthly support crossing at 979.90 later this year. Closes above last Monday's high crossing at 1321.25 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1389.00 are needed to renew the rally off October's low. The December NASDAQ 100 was down 6.75 pts. at 1148.75 as of 5:48 AM CST. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 17, 2008
Desperate Investors Seeking a Bottom in Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Michael_Swanson
Yesterday I went into a local bank. Some guy working there I knew in high school stopped me on the way out. He wanted to know what I was doing in the market. He looked nervous. Maybe he was worrying about his 401k.
I told him “nothing.” “I've got a little position in something, but I have a lot of cash and I'm not doing anything. Hopefully it will go up,” I explained.
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Monday, November 17, 2008
Iceland Savings Account Freeze Thaws as G20 Meet / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mark_OByrne
The G20 leaders showed a united front as they pledged to shore up global growth, introduce regulatory reform in a relatively short timeframe and avoid protectionism. However, the timeframe for resolution of these reforms is as soon as March 31st. Success will hinge on the new US Administration's willingness to take big decisions, a mere 2 months after taking office. US analysts think that it will make more sense to try and overcome the crisis first before implementing far-reaching reforms. These reforms include efforts to strengthen the credit derivative markets, create colleges of national supervisors to monitor global banks and provide guidance for valuation of illiquid securities. There will be a follow up summit on April 30th, probably in London.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 17, 2008
Financial Markets Drama Continues as Eurozone Falls into Recession / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Regent_Markets
World stock markets took another tumble last week with the major US indices
penetrating the October lows intraday. The FTSE finished the week down around
4%, but it was UK plc that took a battering. The Pound fell to record lows
against the European single currency, even breaking through the synthetic
Euro/ Deutsche Mark lows from 1996.The week's action was all the more damning
considering the Eurozone's admission that it too is in a recession. The Euro
managed to end the slightly down against the dollar, but the pound plunged
through the 1.5000 level for the first time since 2002. However there is
still some way to go before the low of 1.3685 from 2001 is breached. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Stock Market Showing Signs of a Tradeable Low / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - There is a target of about 795-800 for the ending of the current phase of the decline. This target should be met next week. However, one cannot say for certain that a reversal will lead to a lasting rally.
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Sunday, November 16, 2008
Peak Earnings and the Secular Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Mike_Shedlock
Before we explore the concept of Peak Earnings let's take a look at the mad rush by financial institutions to become banks or bank holding companies. I will tie the ideas together in just a bit. The mad rush to become a bank continues. Reuters is reporting Genworth in deal to buy bank, seeks TARP money .
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Sunday, November 16, 2008
Peeking Under the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: HRA_Advisory
[The following comments went out to subscribers prior to the US Election and Hank Paulson's latest change of tack but our comments on where we expect things to turn first haven't changed. – Eds] - Its too soon to say de-leveraging and “de-Funding” is over, and all trading desks can do is respond to calls by marking up more red on screens while it continues. However, various measures to unlock credit do seem to be creating at least the potential for trading bottoms. Credit market risk measures such as the TED spread are starting to narrow. We don't expect them to return to normal for a long time but that is not required for a rally. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Extreme Stock Market Volatility as Corporate America Heads Towards Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
The Oxford Dictionary defines “volatility” as “liable to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse”. It's not as if investors do not know this by now, as global stock markets were again subjected to extreme fluctuations during the past week.
The red line in the chart below shows the daily percentage change in the S&P 500 Index, illustrating the severe movements stock markets have seen in recent times.
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Sunday, November 16, 2008
Stock Market Bear Still in Control / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
Nothing is a guarantee for sure in life but one thing I do know for sure is that the last 40 minutes of trading told us a lot about where we are in this stock market and the message this market is trying to send to the world that many of us still haven't heard. I now feel for sure that there is something out there that we just don't get at this moment in time because it's not visible. It does, however, have an energy. A vibe. It's saying that we are dealing with something never before seen and it's also saying that it's job isn't over yet. Almost like a punishment for all the improper behavior from the higher ups from just about everywhere. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Why the Dollar is Rising and Potential for Large Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: John_Mauldin
- The Economy Gets a Margin Call
- Where Have All the Consumers Gone?
- Why Is the Dollar Rising?
- Can We Actually Muddle Through?
- The Potential for a Large Stock Market Rally
- Is GM too Big to Let Fail?
As long-time readers know, my daughter Tiffani and I are interviewing millionaires for a book we will be writing called Eavesdropping on Millionaires. This has been one of the more personally impacting projects of my life, as the stories we hear are so very provocative. I hope we can transfer to readers of the book at least half of the impact we are personally experiencing. But at the end of each interview, we let the interviewee ask me questions. Often, they are along the line of "Do you really think we will Muddle Through?" Sometimes they ask in need of assurance and sometimes they simply think that my stance is somewhat naïve. It is something of an irony that I am called a perma-bear in some circles and a Pollyanna in others. The Muddle Through middle has been lonely of late.
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Saturday, November 15, 2008
Bailout for GE But not Yet for GM / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Holiday Retail Sales aren't what they used to be.- “ The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $363.7 billion, a decrease of 2.8 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 4.1 percent (±0.7%) below October 2007.” Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Stock Market Strong Bottom Indicators Supporting a Sustained Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The bottom indicators have been moving sharply upward suggesting a high likelihood of a rally lasting at least several weeks.
Short Term - Many indicators are coincident, i.e. they mirror what is happening. Oscillators and momentum indicators can be misleading because of their tendency to revert to 0 or neutral. The recent activity in volume indicators has been confusing.
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Saturday, November 15, 2008
21st Century Investments, What's Hot and What's Not! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Tim_Iacono
It took a while to make up this chart, therefore, I don't have much of anything to add. Fortunately, the chart speaks for itself.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Hope for a Dismal Economy & Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Dancy
The ‘page one' story last month was simple. If you owned stocks in any market in the world you suffered a serious decline. Year to date the S&P 500 index is down 34% and the Russell Microcap index has declined 33.7%. For the one, three, five, and 10 year periods all the major indexes we track yielded negative returns. An investment in those major market indexes for each of those investment periods would have lost money. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Where Will the Stock Market Go Next? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
This chart is part of a Multi-Indicator Model that we post on our paid website every day. There are actually 5 Indicators on the chart, and we will show two of them this morning.
The chart below compares the market action of the New York Stock Exchange Index to the trend of the Declining Volume on the NYSE, and a C-RSI (Relative Strength) on the NYSE.
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