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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, March 06, 2009
By: Joseph_Russo
Desperately Seeking Stability - At the worst of the two-year dot.com bust, the NASDAQ registered a 78% peak to trough decline. In the following five-years spanning 2002-2007, though the market came nowhere near reclaiming its former value, it nonetheless posted a 158% five-year trough to peak bull market return.
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Friday, March 06, 2009
By: Zeal_LLC
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With the S&P 500 slumping below its November panic low, it's been one
tough week in the stock markets. The SPX was holding its own until the Marxist Party inexplicably decided to announce giant and aggressive tax hikes on American investors. So confidence, already very weak after the first true stock panic
in 101 years , continued flagging on the Marxists' plans to steal ever more of the fruits of our labors.
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Friday, March 06, 2009
By: Guy_Lerner
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Jim Cramer is at it again -speaking before thinking and pontificating on a subject he knows very little about.
Before we get to another Jim Cramer "moment" let me state that I have no personal axe to grind with him, and in fact, as a former contributor to TheStreet.com , I am indebted to Jim Cramer for giving me a start and some credibility in the financial publishing business. I don't know the man, and I doubt he is even aware of my existence. I think he is genuine about helping investors, but I guess his downfall is that he must be a entertainer first and an analyst second. It is a tough job.
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Friday, March 06, 2009
By: Mike_Stathis
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The stock market (the DJIA) is now very close to fair value based on my forecasts made in 2006. But fair value doesn't mean the market won't go any lower. It's likely to fall considerably lower. I'll explain below. I decided to do a Q&A format so I can cover more material in less time.
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Friday, March 06, 2009
By: INO
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The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish hinting that a short-term low might be near. If however, March extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1052.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1165.67 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.
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Friday, March 06, 2009
By: EWI
Here's a forecast for you. Clear and direct. As quoted by a Reuters reporter in his January 15, 2009, article, entitled, "Global Lending Thaw May Yet Return to Deep Freeze."
"'This is a temporary respite and when it's over, the stock market will make new lows...,' says Robert Prechter, chief executive officer at research company Elliott Wave International in Gainesville, Georgia." [Reuters, 1/15/09]
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Friday, March 06, 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
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It amazing what you can buy for a buck or two these days. The un-happy meal menu of stocks features Citibank at $1.02 and GM at $1.86 as the death spiral beckons. There are times when too much drink is simply not enough as the horror show continues unabated . Yesterday's laughable notion that the Chinese authorities are in control of events and would be able to turn their export driven economy around displayed the kind of naivety and misplaced optimism not seen since the Alamo. Where are they going to export to?
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
By: Harry_Boxer
It was an extremely negative session and close for the market indices today. The day started out with a gap down, followed by an attempt to bounce early on. They rolled over and went lower all morning, backed and filled mid-day, rolled over in the afternoon again, made lower lows, and had a late sharp rally that just couldn't hold. That was followed by a drop to new lows for the entire move on the S&P 500 and Dow.
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
By: Mike_Paulenoff
For better or worse, to participate in another potent recovery rally, our model trading portfolio positioned long in energy -- like the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas ETF (NYSE: DIG) -- and in the semiconductor sectors, rather than in the major equity market ETFs, such as the SPY's, Q's, or DIA's.
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
By: Donald_W_Dony
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Financial forecasts, whether they are fundamentally or technically driven, are a combination of probabilities and assumptions. For example, when an analyst indicates that the earnings for a company are expected to increase during the next quarter and the business is now trading below its intrinsic value, he is suggesting that the probability of a number of issues should positively affect the near-term earnings outlook for this organization.
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
By: Jim_Willie_CB
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A couple of bright friends reported to me some overriding themes at the PDAC gathering in Toronto last weekend. Apparently, some surprise came to them. They mentioned that more than a few analysts, writers, and speakers still do not get it. They actually believe the situation with the US Economy and US banking system has begun to stabilize. That is like saying a college basketball player has Michael Jordan under control, or a farmer has his Clydesdale horse under control, or a misguided King can call back the ocean tide, or a man has a hurricane under control as he clings to a roof rafter.
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
By: Marty_Chenard
Is there a "pent up demand" brewing of investors who want to become BUYERS?
We have talked a lot about divergences in the past week. Today, we will address a Positive Divergence coming from the New York Stock Exchange's daily "New Lows".
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
By: INO
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The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it consolidates some of Wednesday's short covering rally. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1052.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1173.80 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
By: Harry_Boxer
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The market ended with a solid gain for the session, but it disappointed with a last half-hour sell-off that took back a chunk of the gains. The day started out with a gap up. They backed and filled early in the session, but then took off in the morning, reaching the morning highs just before the lunch hour. During the lunch hour and shortly thereafter they consolidated in a flag-like fashion, holding intraday support, and came on again in the afternoon, especially on the S&P 500 and Dow, as the blue chips caught up with the NDX from yesterday.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
By: Kingsley_Anderson
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The bulls (and the shorts covering their positions) finally made a showing on Wall Street today. CNBC says that the reason for the bounce is that the Obama Administration announced its plan to provide relief to homeowners in distress as well as a stimulus plan being announced in China. That might not have hurt matters, but the real reason for the rally is that the market was extremely oversold. A positive day was bound to happen sooner rather than later.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
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The long ticking time bomb of Eastern European debt is starting to explode with an even greater inevitability as that of subprime mortgages exploding in the United States, as at least in the United States the determining factor of whether or not the mortgage market would go bust is the state of the US housing market. With Eastern Europe the big and obvious question mark that has been raised many times long before the housing markets peaked and the stock markets crashed was the degree of borrowing by Eastern Europeans in foreign currencies that set the borrowers up for the ticking currency time bomb when the forex trends reversed against them would send the value of debts soaring in the domestic currencies thus pushing for example the housing borrowers into negative equity
WITHOUT A FALL IN HOUSE PRICES.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
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Sean Brodrick writes: In these tough times, a good investment is hard to find. In fact, the S&P 500 was down 18.2 percent year-to-date through Friday. And the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 19 percent at the same time — so good investments are pretty scarce indeed.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
By: INO
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The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight due to short covering as it consolidates some of this week's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1052.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1179.22 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
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After a big fall in the previous sessions, traders sometimes look for a turnaround of up to 50% of the previous days drop or even a dead cat bounce. But despite the five day drubbing there was no such relief yesterday as the Dow Jones lost another 0.55%.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2009
By: Harry_Boxer
The market was mixed at the close, but the indices certainly disappointed with a late afternoon sell-off, taking the indices from the plus column into the negative column, except for the Nasdaq 100.
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