Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Foundations of the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
This week I have a special Outside the Box for you. My long-time friend Doug Casey wrote a very prescient piece back in 1997. He has updated it somewhat for today's times. The critical part is a summary of the work of Richard Strauss and (friend) John Howe and their book The Fourth Turning, which I consider one of the more important and prescient (that word again) books of the last 25 years. (Amazon.com). It should still be read today. It is seminal to understanding the times we live in.
Doug summarized the book and makes some observations based on that understanding, many of which turned out to be true and some of which may well be in out future. I think you will find this to be very useful and enlightening if you are not familiar with their work, and a great review if you are.
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Monday, December 29, 2008
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Sell Into Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
This is the third week in a row where the "dumb money" is neutral and the "smart money" is bearish, and this is not a scenario that is generally supportive of higher prices especially with prices on the S&P500 under their 40 week moving average. The ideal situation for higher equity prices would be for the "smart money" to be bullish and the "dumb money" bearish (i.e., bull signal). Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 29, 2008
Martin Armstrong and the Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Armstrong's “It's just time” - A friend was kind enough to send me the following link to an article dated October 10 th 2008, written by Martin Armstrong. http://www.scribd.com/.. For those who have never heard of him, Armstrong is possibly the most knowledgeable man on the planet regarding the subject of cycles as they apply to social behaviour. He developed a complex forecasting model – based on fractal natural cycles (cycles within cycles within cycles) – which was so accurate according to Armstrong that it came to the attention of the CIA who sought to acquire ownership of and control over it. As Armstrong tells it, when he turned the CIA down they contrived to ensure that he was sidelined and they took his computer anyway, which led to his source code self-destructing when it was tampered with. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 29, 2008
Stock Markets Heading for Test of Lows in January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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Sunday, December 28, 2008
Stock Market Anticipating Recovery During 2009 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
Recession: A reason to Rejoice ? What would normally be a time of happiness and cheer this holiday season has become instead an occasion of gloom and foreboding for many. At every turn we hear dire predictions of pending calamities to befall the economy in 2009. Prophecies of another Great Crash like the one of 1929 are repeated with such frequency that they are now believed by one and all.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 27, 2008
How We Can Avoid Another Tragic Ponzi Fraud Scheme / Stock-Markets / Scams
By: James_Quinn
“ If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State. ” (Joseph Goebbels) Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 27, 2008
Stock Market Crash Pattern Predicts Future Bear Market Behaviour / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Rouse
Permitting history to predict the future: The astonishing similarities of the DJIA chart from 1929 to 1932 and today.
Chart patterns are very useful to understand human behaviour as it relates to the “herd mentality”. If we view and overlay the performance of the DJIA from July 2008 to December 26, 2008 and July 1929 to November 1930 we can see a frightening similarity between the two charts and a predictor of future behavior:
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Saturday, December 27, 2008
Stock Market Santa Clause Rally Underway Sort-of / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The Santa Clause rally commenced on schedule.
Short Term - Most of the major indices have not been up or down for more than two consecutive days since late November and they were up both Wednesday and Friday of last week. So Monday is likely to be down. 2009 is the 1st year of the Presidential Cycle and the 1st trading day of the 1st year of the Presidential Cycle has been down every year since 1985, however, 1981, the last time the market was up, the 1st trading day of the year fell on a Friday as it does this year.
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Saturday, December 27, 2008
Early Suspicions About Bernard Madoff Ponzi Scheme Fraud / Stock-Markets / Scams
By: Stephen_Lendman
On December 12, 2008, the Wall Street Journal headlined: "Top Broker Accused of $50 Billion Fraud. Bernard L. Madoff....was arrested by federal agents (the previous day) after his sons turned him in for running what they said their father called a giant Ponzi scheme." Too late to matter, the SEC, in a civil complaint, cited an ongoing $50 billion swindle in asking a judge to seize the firm and its assets. "Our complaint alleges a stunning fraud that appears to be of epic proportions," according to Andrew Calamari, SEC's New York associate director of enforcement who was derelict in his duty since being appointed on November 14, 2004 after joining the agency in 2000.
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Friday, December 26, 2008
When Can We Expect A Sustainable Stock Market Price Move? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Guy_Lerner
Most market participants seem to focus on picking that elusive bottom. You here it on CNBC all the time and just about everywhere you go after the market has a good pop off its lows: Is this the bottom?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 26, 2008
Financial Markets and Economic Potpourri December 26, 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Mike_Shedlock
The barrage of noteworthy economic news continues unabated. I took a lot of time off posting Christmas Eve and Christmas. Here are a few headline news reports of interest from the past couple days that have been stacking up. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 24, 2008
Christmas Stocking Filler New Year Investment Bargains / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: It's Christmas Eve. And I hope you're having a happy holiday. Your shopping for loved ones should be done now. So let's turn to the other kind of shopping you might be thinking about … buying undervalued stocks.
After all, the New Year is just around the corner. And as we bid a “good riddance” to 2008, it's time to pick potential bargains for 2009.
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Wednesday, December 24, 2008
Stock Markets Santa Rally Fails to Materialise / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Stocks obviously don't know it's Christmas time. They finished with their fifth straight day's loss as the Dow shed 1.2% in extremely skinny volume. The banks & GM led the way down again. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 24, 2008
Top Financial Markets Stories of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Andy_Sutton
2008 will likely go down in history as the year when all those dire predictions made by Austrian thinkers over the past few years finally came to pass. Decades of excesses finally caught up to America, and in traditional fashion, those in authority tried valiantly to negate those excesses with even more of the same. So, to conclude the year, we'll dig into some of the top stories of 2008. Next week we'll discuss the top stories of 2009 and how they are likely to shape our country and world moving forward. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 24, 2008
Stock Markets Still Waiting for Santa Claus Rally / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets started out with a nice push higher early on, as futures were higher before the opening. They stair-stepped up in a small 5-wave advance and reached 1205 on the Nasdaq 100 and 880 on the S&P 500, but weren't able to do much more after the first hour. They then rolled over hard in the morning, bounced around during mid-day, couldn’t mount an advance, and then rolled over and made session lows with about an hour to go. Over the last hour they did come back a bit, but not enough to save the day.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
U.S. Fed Destined To Become World's Largest Auto Dealership / Stock-Markets / US Auto's
By: Mike_Shedlock
Not content with merely throwing money at the automakers, the Fed has new plans to become the world's largest auto dealership. Details of the plan were buried in this announcement: Fed Opens TALF Loans to All Borrowers, Extends Term .
The Federal Reserve revised its $200 billion program aimed at reviving credit to consumers and small businesses, extending the term of loans to three years from one year.
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Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Market Forecasts 2009- Gold to Soar, U.S. Dollar and Treasury Bonds Crash / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Clive_Maund
The way things look it will soon be impossible - or very difficult and expensive - to obtain physical gold and silver. The first major wave of physical buying has bought up all of the coins and small bar gold and silver available on the market, with the result that if you want any, you must pay a large premium. Right now, the second wave is underway, with astute investors forcing the Comex to deliver, which is having the effect of drawing down their warehouse stocks at a rapid rate. As the Comex is massively leveraged and trades hundreds of times more gold and silver than it has in its possession, it is clear that immediately their warehouse stocks are completely depleted, there will be a mad scramble to buy physical gold and silver in order to meet contract obligations. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Mike Paulenoff Forecasts for Gold, Oil & Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Technical strategist Mike Paulenoff, author of MPTrader.com, shares his chartwork early Tuesday on gold, oil, and equity indices ahead of the Christmas holiday.
Gold: Although I have no desire to be exposed to the gold market over the holiday week, my work is setting up for a continuation to the downside of last week's initial pullback from 86.91 to 81.74 in the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE: GLD). At the very least, the GLD should retest 81.74, which if violated will trigger additional weakness that presses the ETF towards key near-term support at 80.00-79.00. That also happens to coincide with the area that is first of a series of unfilled up-gaps left behind during the early December upmove from 72.91 to 86.91.
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Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Stock Markets in Christmas Wind Down Mode / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Markets are ending this awful year with a whimper as they drift lower in thin volume. Investors are taking some money off the table to buy better (heavily discounted) last minute presents. Sentiment has been further soured by more bad news from the auto sector. The previously immune Toyota have warned on profits for the second time in seven weeks. The market is left to wonder what is the point of spending billions of taxpayer's wedge on basket case Detroit if Toyota can't even win. Then we have the hurdle of all those Madoff redemptions to cope with in early '09. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Financial Markets Review 2008 and Forecasts For 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Armstrong_Davis
What a year! Where are we?
Financial advice - Everyone’s saying ‘thank goodness that year’s over! Phew! That was terrible’. Of course, they’re also saying ‘No-one could possibly have predicted the downturn, the housing crash, the stock market collapse etc’.
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