Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, August 16, 2017
Stocks, Bonds, Interest Rates, and Serbia, Camp Kotok 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
I went to Camp Kotok, an invitation-only gathering of economists, market analysts, fund managers, and a few journalists. I go every year, and I always learn more than I can manage to remember.
It’s a three-day economic thought-fest (and more rich food and wine than is good for me or anyone else at the camp). For me, that’s about as good as life gets.
Come along with me as I share some of my main takeaways and consensus forecasts from this year’s camp.
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Wednesday, August 16, 2017
U.S. Stock Market: Sunrise ... Sunset / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
See what happens when speculative fever cools down
The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
Stock Market Intermission / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Last week’s Market Update – Showtime! – announced that the time had come for a sell-off in equities and we were not disappointed as the Dow lost over 234 points (worst week since March). Internal indicators now point to a pause in the decline. It’s now time for a short Intermission.
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
The Next Tech Crash Could Delay Your Retirement by a Decade / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The S&P 500 Information Technology Index recently surpassed its previous peak of 988.49 set in March 2000. It took a whopping 17 years to recoup the massive losses from the implosion of the dot-com bubble.
Not even the Federal Reserve chairman at the time, Alan Greenspan, could rein in the enthusiasm of the tech disciples with his oft-quoted 1998 “Irrational Exuberance” speech about market valuation. Valuations stretched to epic proportions as companies with little revenue and no chance to make a profit rushed to join the IPO party.
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
Will North Korea Situation Create a Nifty Stock Market Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The situation in North Korea went to another level last week when President Trump made some “Fire and Fury” comment. His response to the provocation by North Korea resulted in risk off with sell off across the market, higher VIX, Yen strength. Precious metals such as Gold and Silver also saw bids and started to rally in the back of the news. But did Indices really sell off because of President’s Trump remark as the business news and social media make it to be?
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
North Korea Showdown: Pivotal Market Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The next two weeks could be a make-or-break period for President Trump, says Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group.
We're witnessing a classic political attention diverting operation.
Like many before him, President Trump is provoking a foreign affair crisis in order to take our minds off of the problematic U.S. domestic economic and political tensions and focus on matters the government can blame on others instead of themselves.
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Monday, August 14, 2017
Tech Stocks DOT COM Bubble Do-Over? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Our recent analysis suggests we may be setting up to repeat history in an odd and dangerous manner. As market technicians, part of our job is to work with numbers, find patterns and attempt to predict future price moves in US and Global markets. As you can imagine, it is not always easy to accurately predict the future. Still, we take on the challenge and truly enjoy being able to find and share trading strategy concepts with our ActiveTradingPartners newsletter. As such, we are sharing this recent technical research data with your today.
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Monday, August 14, 2017
Stock Market Intermediate Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction.
SPX Intermediate trend: “An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.” The correction has started.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 13, 2017
Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Prologue: This is a bearish article written by someone who covered his short (bearish) positions today (except for the euro) and has only long positions now, in precious metals and stocks, along with a heaping helping of cash. In other words, per yesterday’s snapshot, the market had dropped to levels that could see a bounce, especially since the spark to this week’s reaction was not legitimate as a substantial market input. This article is not concerned with short-term ups and downs; it is concerned with what comes in September or in Q4, after da boyz is back from da Hampins and settled in.
The war of words between the TiC (Tweeter-in-Chief) and the LiC (Lunatic-in-Chief) has little to do with the financial market’s intermediate-term fate. In the very short-term? Sure, man, machine, casino patron and Mom & Pop will fly in and out of stocks as the wind (and sentiment backdrop) blows. But before this standoff of the belligerent, the markets had set a course for changes come September or Q4 2017.
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Sunday, August 13, 2017
Stock Market VIX Explodes and XIV Puts In A Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Mike Golembesky writes: The XIV fell over 13% on Thursday, August 10th and is now down over 23% from the high that was struck on July 26th. Additionally, the XIV has firmly broken through all of shorter term price support levels that I have been mentioning now for several weeks. The break of these support levels is, therefore, making it highly probable that a larger degree top has been struck in the XIV.
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Saturday, August 12, 2017
The Top of the Wealth Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Week two of August. Schools start back soon. Last chance for summer vacations. Football and fall return. The Dow reaches 22,000 this month, proving the “wealth effect” has worked…right?
Yet, cognitive dissonance abounds as we watch global markets and world news.
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Thursday, August 10, 2017
SPX Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX is trying to make another test of the Short-term resistance at 2474.94. From there it should go down hard. Be Time to add shorts. Normally I wouldn’t recommend going 100% short until a trendline is crossed. But there’s enough confidence in the signals to go at least 50%.
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
SPX Bounces Off Brexit Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX bounced off its trendline possibly completing a Wave (i) decline. The bounce may take it back to Short-term resistance at 2474.92. A failure here may have some profound implications, so we use the bounce to add short positions.
Alternatively, this morning’s gap may not be filled. If so, the trendline at 2462.00 gives us another chance to add short positions.
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
Why Is The Stock Market Not Trading On Fundamentals Lately? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Last week, I noted that as long as the market maintains support over 2450SPX, we still have potential to strike the 2500SPX region before we see a top to wave (3). Currently, the market has maintained such support, so I must maintain my expectations.
“The market is just not trading on fundamentals.”
“The stock market is detached from the reality of the economy.”
“Eventually, fundamentals will matter again.”
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
New Monthly Rebate to Help Reduce Your Trading Costs / Stock-Markets / Spread Betting
Financial Spreads have started a new monthly rebate scheme called 'Trader Rebate'.
This gives clients a rebate, up to 20%, on their trading costs every month. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 09, 2017
Dow 22,000 Struck - How Much Higher Can It Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Mike Golembesky writes: I have now been writing for several weeks now that I was looking for an ideal shorter-term target zone of the 21,971 -22,429 zone on the Dow Jones Industrial Average prior to seeing a top in the index. Last week the Dow moved over 22,000 for the first time and is now trading right in the middle of that target zone. Additionally, the path up to this zone since the May 17th low has been exceptionally smooth having seen a tight grind to these higher levels.
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
Stock Market Divergences Are Now Appearing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The loss, of the leadership of the banking and financial sector, BKX ETF, is now a major warning signal which is what is required in order to move the SPX much HIGHER, at this time!
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Tuesday, August 08, 2017
The Case for SPX 2265.22 by August 14th / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the following charts, I present the case for SPX 2265.22 by August 14th, 2017. That is only one week away and would knock about 8.5% off the major average.
I use astrology, Gann & Hurst Cycles, E-Wave and charting techniques to prove my point.
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Tuesday, August 08, 2017
Stock Market Volatility: A Dangerous Game Made Safe / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the coming years, we’ll see much more volatility in the market.The fact that the VIX (or volatility index) has hit its lowest levels ever this year is of course prompting concern that a bear market is lurking in the shadows.
The market boom from late 1982 through late 2007 was based on real fundamentals: the spending wave of the largest generation in history; falling interest rates from rising productivity after the greatest peak in history in 1980 to 1981; the movement of internet and portable computing into mainstream markets.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
CRASH - If Some People Do It, Nothing Bad Happens, But If Everyone Does It, All Hell Breaks Loose / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
BY JARED DILLIAN : In preparation for writing this article, I wanted to brush up on the Crash of 1987, so I let my fingers do the walking:The Crash of ’87 doesn’t even make the list! Wow, short memories.
When I started trading index arbitrage in 2001, people were asking me if index arb caused the Crash of ’87.*
No, index arbitrage didn’t cause the Crash of ’87, nor was it a contributing factor.
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