Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, March 21, 2015
Stock Market Keeps It Up...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Last week there was tremendous anticipation coming in to this week about what Fed Yellen would say regarding interest rates. Wednesday of this week couldn't come soon enough, so folks could finally, once and for all, fully understand the short-term, if not longer-term, intentions of the Ms. Yellen. What words would she remove? What words would she add, and so on? The market fell some ahead of the report on Wednesday, and it was not doing well on Wednesday, until two o'clock in the afternoon when she came out and told everyone exactly what I thought she'd say. That she's putting off raising interest rates short term. She said that too many of the economic reports coming in just weren't solid enough to allow for a rate hike cycle of any kind to begin, even if it was a super slow one.
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Saturday, March 21, 2015
We're All Hedge Funds Now! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
As negative interest rates spread from Switzerland, Japan and Germany to the rest of the developed world, people with money to invest face some life-defining choices.
Retirees who need to generate 6% to avoid dipping into principal can't get there with bank CDs. Pension funds that have promised an 8% return in order to meet obligations to future retirees can't get anywhere near that with government bonds. Same thing for insurance companies and money market funds, whose business models require positive returns with low risk.
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Friday, March 20, 2015
Why Stock Market Seasonality May Be Critical in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Sy_Harding
With its FOMC statement, the Fed provided the market with what it wanted to hear.
They removed the ‘patience’ phrase as expected, but replaced it with a similar assurance that there is no set timetable for rate hikes, that it will continue to be in no hurry. “The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent objective over the medium term.”
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Friday, March 20, 2015
Stock Market VIX Extends its Master Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX made a new Master Cycle low today, rather late in the Cycle. I originally indicated it had bottomed in February. The EW pattern was correct, but at a lower degree. This is one of the pitfalls of Elliott Wave analysis in a correction and Waves B and E are especially roguish.
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Friday, March 20, 2015
The New Order Emerges / Stock-Markets / New World Order
By: Alasdair_Macleod
China and Russia have taken the lead in establishing the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), seen as a rival organisation to the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, which are dominated by the United States with Europe and Japan. These banks do business at the behest of the old Bretton Woods[1] order. The AIIB will dance to China and Russia's tune instead.
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Thursday, March 19, 2015
The Double-Edged Sword of a Strong U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Clif_Droke
Until the latest pullback on Wednesday, the U.S. dollar index had been on a rip-and-tear for most of this year. Earlier this week the dollar hit a new multi-year high as concerns over Europe and China have fueled foreign interest in U.S. assets. The greenback's relentless strength is also a cause for concern among investors who fear that a stronger dollar will erode corporate profits this year. Since much of the bull market of the last few years was based on the bull market in corporate profits, this point is being taken seriously by Wall Street pros. It's also worth examining in this our latest installment.
Thursday, March 19, 2015
The Paper Money Titanic Sinks At Dawn! / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
By: DeviantInvestor
What Titanic? The RMS Titanic, or any of the following:
- A titanic quantity of derivatives – say 1,000 Trillion dollars. A derivative crash was at the center of the 2008 market meltdown. It could happen again since there is now more debt, leverage, and risk than in 2008.
Thursday, March 19, 2015
Stocks Got Close To All-Time Highs Following Fed's Decision Release / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
Is a Stock Market Crash Imminent? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
David Eifrig writes: Last month, I attended the World Money Show in Orlando...
The Gaylord Palms Resort & Convention Center was jam-packed with attendees interested in new ideas to make money. But the mood wasn't pure revelry. I sensed that the audience was mainly worried about when the bull market will end and a bear market will begin.
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Wednesday, March 18, 2015
NASDAQ and S&P 500 in Sync with Sept/October Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The charts below of the QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF proxy) and the S&P 500 show that the US stock markets are almost entirely in sync with the September 19-October 15, 2014 drop. The main difference is that they are tracking at a slightly lesser rate of 94.9% of the former drop.
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
Reality Always Wins… But Never on Schedule / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Casey_Research
By Louis James, Chief Metals & Mining Investment Strategist
“Expect the worst and you won’t be disappointed” is true enough, but it’s a miserable way to go through life.
For investors, expecting the worst is paralyzing, a reason to do nothing.
But when a market gets beaten up the way the natural-resource sector has been over the last few years, pessimism comes to dominate the chatter in boardrooms, blogs, and cocktail parties the way mold takes over a shower. It’s a blight.
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Tuesday, March 17, 2015
Stock Market Three Peaks/Domed House Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
In his 1969 brochure One Year Later: A follow-up of the Three Peaks and Domed House George Lindsay wrote that the pattern lasts roughly 2 years and 2 months from the beginning to the end of a bull market. Looking back over the 29 occurrences of the pattern in the Dow (since 1901) it can be seen that the pattern lasted significantly longer than that on just five occasions. Those bull markets that ended in 1961, 1966, 1981, 1987, and the current bull market, all endured for more than three years and concluded a Three Peaks/Domed House pattern.
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Tuesday, March 17, 2015
Stock Market Keeps Them Guessing..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Just when it seemed the market would finally get a strong pullback to get rid of all this froth, it did an about face and rallies hard. Four nice gap downs to make the environment unhealthy, only to see two strong gap ups. Leaves them all guessing, and, of course, that is the intention of the big money. To always leave them guessing and getting emotional. The odds of this move would have seemed almost impossible considering the look of the monthly-index charts, which are basically deathly looking if you're bullish. That said, nothing comes easily for the bears in a bull market. We've discussed this quite frequently. Even if we're topping, the process is very slow, and can take many months.
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Tuesday, March 17, 2015
SPX Hits Triple Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Instead of 5 waves, SPX is finishing off Wave [c] as an Ending Diagonal, which is a bit more complex. However, as of 3:00 it has encountered a trifecta of probable resistances. The first is Wave (v) of [c] equals Wave (i) of [c] at 2079.60. The second is the 50% Fib retracement level at 2079.30. The third is Short-term resistance at 2081.06, just 8 ticks above the high made at 3:03 pm at 2080.99.
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Monday, March 16, 2015
Conflicts Of Interest Between Governments & Retirement Investors / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Dan_Amerman
Most retirement account and other long term investors continue to follow the same financial strategies they've been following for decades, believing that the "science" of modern finance will reliably build wealth and security for them.
Meanwhile, for some years now and as a matter of openly stated policy, the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, as well as the central banks of other nations have sought to create what are known as "negative real rates of return".
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Monday, March 16, 2015
Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Last Week's Move Down - Will Downtrend Reverse? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,090 and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, March 16, 2015
Preparing for the Next Stocks Bear Market - Forecast 2015-2016 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Gary_Savage
So with the advent of global QE, and zero interest rates, have central banks unlocked the key to perpetual bull markets? Let’s just say, I doubt it.
They have managed to stretch some of the multi-year cycles, and hold off the bear much longer than most have anticipated, but I don’t think they have discovered the secret to infinite prosperity.
As I said, the implementation of global QE has stretched some of the longer term cycles, and that is the first thing I’m going to explore in this article. Prior to 2000 there was a very clear four year cycle in the stock market. Roughly every four years stocks would move down into an exceptionally vicious decline, usually associated with either a recession, or some kind of financial debacle.
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Monday, March 16, 2015
Stock Market Pause or Short-term Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 15, 2015
Stock Market Still Not Happy...Monthly Charts Troubling..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Overheard in Jack's Trading Room: "I have only been a member for a few months, but have learned so much from you and all the other quality members on this site. The honesty, integrity and leadership you bring to this service is hard to find these days." -- "Cowgirl" - 3/13/15
And that doesn't mean we won't try much higher again. If a market is topping it is EXTREMELY unusual to not test the old highs, not only once, but potentially three or four times before trying to sell without coming back up. Like gold years ago, it took four or five attempts for the bubble to pop. The bulls would not give up the ship easily. They were trained to see higher prices. They were trained to buy pullbacks. It took many, many months for the market to top. Now it is true that we are dealing with unprecedented levels of froth, and it is true that the monthly charts are deathly, so it doesn't have to keep trying back up. But that is normal protocol, so we have to give the bulls the benefit of the doubt that it won't be any different this time around.
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Sunday, March 15, 2015
Why The Stock Market Must Drop Next Week! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
In the previous two articles, I explained that I have been looking for a pull back in the markets. Now with new data, I can boldly say when I believe the bottom will occur and the best odds of a price target on the S&P 500. The answers lie in the chart below. Using Elliott Wave and Fibonacci, I have determined a price of S&P 500 1957/58 and a date of March 20-23. I can also say with near exactness that we should fall nearly 4.3% on the week.Read full article... Read full article...