Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 13, 2016
Stock Market Confirmed Sell. Bounces Still Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has crossed its 50-day Moving Average at 2055.10 and is headed for the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2040.00. I know that it is a shallow formation, but there is a potential for another neckline at 1967.85, where another support lies. The target for that formation appears to be nearer 1800.00. Fourth wave necklines are not as strong as those at a wave one. However, they can be equally valid. Let’s see how it follows through beneath the neckline.
Friday, May 13, 2016
Stock Market Challenging the 50-day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket shows it challenging the 50-day Moving Average. How the market opens will tell us whether that support is broken. The odds of a break of the Cycle bottom and Head & shoulders neckline would be high once the 50-day is behind us.
ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks have started Friday the 13th on the wrong foot, with not only Hong Kong GDP unexpectedly tumbling by 0.4%, the worst print in years while retail sales fell for a thirteenth straight month in March, the longest stretch since 1999 as the Chinese hard landing spreads to the wealthy enclave, but also following a predicted collapse in Chinese new loan creation, which will reverberate not only in China but around the globe in the coming weeks. The latest overnight drop in the Yuan hinted that should the recent USD strength continue, China will have no choice but to repeat its devaluation from last summer and winter.“
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
A Retest of Stock Market Resistance... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced back within ticks of its mid-cycle resistance at 2070.92 and within a point of its 50% retracement at 2069.99. We may see it decline back beneath its 4.5-year trendline this afternoon. Short positions should be in place, as it appears the next few days may be eventful.
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
Charles Hugh Smith: "Why Our Status Quo Failed & Is Beyond Reform! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
The Financial Repression Authority is delighted to have Charles Hugh Smith, prolific writer on the web and author of the highly acclaimed book, Why Our Status Quo Failed and is Beyond Reform. FRA Co-Founder, Gordon T. Long delineates with Charles on the core topics that are mentioned in his book as well as go over key diagrams to supportive diagrams.
Charles Hugh Smith is the Publisher of the site “Of Two Minds”. From its humble beginnings in May 2005, Of Two Minds now attracts some 200,000 visits a month and has been listed No. 7 in CNBC’s top alternative financial sites. His commentary is featured on a number of sites including: Zerohedge.com. The American Conservative, Peak Prosperity and AOL’s Daily Finance site (www.dailyfinance.com. He has written eight books. Charles Hugh Smith graduated from the University of Hawaii, Manoa in Honolulu. Charles Hugh Smith currently resides in Berkeley, California and Hilo, Hawaii.
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
Stock Market Decline Makes a Tentative Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is still on an aggressive sell signal. It has crossed the first support at 2077.76, but has several more to go. The Aggressive sell becomes a confirmed sell beneath the 4.5-year trendline or the 50-day Moving Average, now up to 2049.40.
Thursday, May 12, 2016
More Short-Term Stock Market Uncertainty As Stocks Hover Along Last Year's Medium-Term Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Stock Market Turns Down After Two-Day Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a turn-around day after a two-day rally. They retraced and are doing some retesting here, ending the day on a sour note. The day started out with a pop to the upside, they made new highs on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 failed to confirm. When that occurred, they came down hard, formed bear wedges, and by midday were headed lower. In the afternoon there was a steady sell off in stair-step fashion, and they closed near the lows for the day going away.
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
S&P 500 Back Testing...Retail Crushed.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market can confuse the best of them. No one could have seen today coming after we broke out yesterday on the S&P 500 with its move above the 20-day exponential moving average at 2069. It had traded between the 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages for a few days, but then suddenly made the move up, although there didn't seem to be a good reason to do so. Since earnings are poor along with a plethora of other problems it made little sense to make the move, although the trend is clearly higher. That said, the move was made and it was made with some force as we closed at 2084, nearly one percent above.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Investing 101: Be Patient When Markets Are Looking For A Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: InvestingHaven
There is nothing as powerful as a market that is trending. Think of the U.S. stock market in 2013/2014, or gold in 2010/2011. For short sellers, the crude oil market in 2015 was a wet dream.
What we currently see, however, is a neutral market. There is no trend, and that is by far THE most difficult thing to deal with, at least for the majority of investors. In a trendless environment, investors feel the need to “do something”. When you think about logically, you will conclude that it is better to give trendless markets time so they can choose a direction. While that is correct in theory, it appears not as simple in reality. Does that sound familiar?
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
BBC Global 30 Index signalling That Stocks Bull Market is Not Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
All men can see these tactics whereby I conquer, but what none can see is the strategy out of which victory is evolved. Sun TzuThis index gives one an idea of how the global economy is doing; it combines the economic information of 30 of the world’s largest companies. If it is faring badly, then it’s a signal that the global economy is not holding up well.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
A Perspective on the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
I wanted to do a survey of the major domestic stock indices to get a “feel” for where we may be.
The first is the NDX, which has the cleanest pattern. Note the clear (no overlap) pattern in the decline. This decline begs to be extended in a series of impulsive declines. In a measured decline, the NDX may drop to 3724.00, below both the February and the August lows.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
CBOE Stock Market Volatility Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
The VIX gave up 0.98 points last week to close at 14.72 after peaking on the expected short-term cycle high on Wednesday. Since March, the VIX has been turned back by resistance at 16.40 several times highlighting the importance of this level. A breakout from 16.40 will be very bearish for equities. Last Friday was an expected 34-day cycle low. The weekly Coppock is very oversold warning of a tradable rally in the VIX (bearish equities).
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Tuesday, May 10, 2016
SPX May Have Fulfilled its Retracement Requirements / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has challenged its hourly mid-Cycle resistance at 2078.02 and pulled back. It has now completed 94 hours at 1100 hours from the April 20 high at 2111.04. An interesting Cycle measure comes up here. It is 3.1416 X 30 hours = 94.25 hours. This suggests the rally may be over at or near 1115 hours. The European market closes at 1130, so there may be some linkage between markets.
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Tuesday, May 10, 2016
USD may attempt a new Low, SPX probing the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Traders are beginning to ask the question, “Is the Dollar oversold enough for a trend change?”
YahooFinance Has an article explaining the technical analysis for a reversal.
Allow me to weigh in. April 27 was a Pi date, warning that a bottom may come soon. The chart low occurred on May 3, six calendar days later.
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Tuesday, May 10, 2016
Two Investment Giants Prepared For Imminent Stock Market Crash - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript excerpt: hi it's Tuesday May 2016 yet today I'm talking about to investment Giants who
have recently come out and said basically they're preparing for market
crash stock market crash and the reason I'm doing this video is because I think
it's important to pay attention to these guys in especially when they're carl
icon icon and stanley druckenmiller they are like legends in the investment
business first of all I'd like to talk about the markets and my take on what's
been happening markets you know usually frustrate investors or speculators
there's an old adage that says you know markets can remain irrational for longer
can you can remain solvent you know so it's a frustrating business speculating.
Tuesday, May 10, 2016
Stock Market Dance.....Stochastic's Favorable... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has pulled back from very overbought conditions and has done so in a way that has allowed all the daily RSI's on the key index charts to unwind to oversold. While not always the case, when that does happen in an existing bull market the trend usually heads back to the up side. Not always as you can stay oversold, such as what happened in January, but that is rare.
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Monday, May 09, 2016
Stock Market Next Leg Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX turned down minutes after 10:00 am, completing exactly 86 hours in its reversal pattern (waves 1-2) off the April 20 high. This is encouraging, since it implies an order in the timing of the waves.
The next segment (Waves 3-4) may take 30.1 hours, suggesting the next retracement high may be near noon on Friday. The final decline (wave 5) may take 12.9 hours, taking a total of 43 hours from this morning’s high and likely to end near 11:00 am on Tuesday. The total decline from top to bottom may take 129 hours, or near 18.5 days (4.3 squared).
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Monday, May 09, 2016
Is The Most Hated Stocks Bull Market Ready to Crumble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
The first answer that comes to one's mind is yes, as this economic recovery has been nothing but an illusion. The unemployment rate might have dropped, but the way the BLS (Bureau of Labour Statistics) calculates this figure is questionable at best. They conveniently do not include individuals who have stopped looking for a job in their calculation. Mind you, many of these people stopped looking for a job; not because they no longer want to work, but after trying a countless number of times without success, they simply gave up and assumed they would never land a job. The majority of the new jobs created are low paying jobs and in many cases, they are only part time jobs.
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Monday, May 09, 2016
Stock Market Crash! This Is How Bad It Really Is! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Hubert_Moolman
The 1929 Dow crash marked the start of the infamous Great Depression. We currently have a repeat of the pattern that led to that great crash in 1929. This pattern is basically a huge stock market rally (after a period of stagnation) that is driven by a huge expansion of the money supply (or credit expansion). See the chart below (Dow chart from stockcharts.com):
Monday, May 09, 2016
Stocks Extended Their Short-Term Downtrend But Will They Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral