Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 29, 2009
"Bad Bank" Does Not Trump "Bad" Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
A "bad bank" does have some positive elements and in the long run could help both the economy and the financial markets. This morning's futures tell me people are focusing on the positives many of which are significant and real. However, when managing risk, especially in a bear market, it pays to play devil's advocate. For investors rushing to buy SPY (S&P 500 ETF), DIA (Dow 30), QQQQ (NASDAQ), or XLF (Financials), it may pay to temper your enthusiasm a little.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Stock Market Key Overhead Resistance Gives Way in Bullish Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had a fantastic bullish session as pre-market futures were sharply higher based on the government news about bank corporations that absorb bad debt. In any case, the indices opened sharply higher, backed and filled for the first 45 minutes or so, and then started a strong advance that lasted all morning into mid-afternoon, reaching as high as 1245 the Nasdaq 100, at that point up nearly 32 points. The S&P 500 spiked up near 878, up 31 points. They did have a sharp setback in the last 1 1/2 hours, but in the last 30 minutes took back most of those losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Continue to Act Well / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) continue to act well and are right at their highs for today's thrust from a two-week base pattern. My next near-term target is 30.20/50, the lower portion of which already has been met. My higher target of 30.80 to 31.25 coincides with confrontation with the Nov-Jan resistance line, now at 30.80. The resistance line at 30.80 up to 31.25 should put a lid on any "euphoric" reaction to the FOMC statement released at 2:15 pm ET. Conversely, at this juncture only a decline that breaks 29.70 will begin to compromise the still-constructive near-term pattern in the Qs.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 28th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight and is trading above resistance marked by the 20- day moving average crossing at 1205.62. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1205.62 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If March renews this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Stock Market Volatility VIX Forecasts Trends / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Does a down moving VIX always mean that the market will move up?
As you are well aware, the market is often in conflict with opposing conditions.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Waiting for the Next Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If you have been watching the news, plenty of analysts and commentators, especially the perma -bulls, are falling over themselves because the market put in three positive days in a row. That is all fine and good, but one really needs to look at the charts to see the true picture.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Stock Market Up Again Despite Grim Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stubborn stocks ground out a few more hard yards in the face of more grim economic news. They drew some cheer from better than expected results from American Express (albeit still very weak). That the market can drag itself higher in the face of the current headwinds (job losses, poor earnings and guidance and dire real economy data) reinforces the importance of expectations and the significant pessimism currently built into market pricing.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Catching the Stocks Bear Market Elliott Wave / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
When we last spoke you discussed how you use investor sentiment indicators ("dumb money") and institutional volume indicators ("smart money") in your analysis. But we'd like to understand more about your third component -- technical analysis -- specifically Elliott Wave?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Stock Market Quiet Pre-FOMC Trading Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had what we expected, a non-volatile and somewhat quiet pre-FOMC session, although gains were had at the end. The day started out with a move up. They backed off, held intraday price and moving average support, and went to new session highs, testing yesterday's rally highs on both indices, but fell short, and then backed off mid-afternoon to retest the rising 3-day trendlines, which held again. Then they moved back to once again retest the highs, but they were not able to punch through, as resistance was futile today and they backed off into the close.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Stock Markets to Bounce Or Not to Bounce– That Is The Question / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Like the others , it appears what was formerly reliable sentiment related analysis associated with the study of open interest put / call ratios has now succumb to an increasingly mature market(s) condition. Of course, technically, such a conclusion could be viewed as incorrect in that the reason stocks did not go up this week was not because of selling, but because of a buyers strike. This is why in spite of such devastatingly bad news associated with the economy, and there was a multitude of it this week, stocks did not fall more. It should be noted this has caught the attention of a great many market participants, which is the dynamic that will eventually set up the next round of ‘unwarranted complacency' we expect to grip investor psychology in spring, allowing for far stepper losses in stocks than is being witnessed at present.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Interview With the Kress Stock Market Cycle Master, Part2 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
I have long been an admirer of the stock market cycle analysis of one Samuel J. “Bud” Kress, proprietor of SJK Capital and publisher of the cycle-based SineScope advisory. During my 10 year acquaintance with Mr. Kress, I’ve been privileged to learn of his discovery of a remarkable series of weekly and yearly cycles. These cycles (Kress Cycles as I’ve taken to calling them) have an amazing correlation to each other and are based on the Fibonacci sequence. More importantly, they have accurately identified the major turning points in the financial markets and the economy over the last several years. The Kress Cycles are predicting a major period of change ahead for the U.S. stock market and economy, particularly between the years 2010-2014.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Financial Crisis, Consequences and Investment Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Sharon A. Daniels writes: It has been said that the Chinese alphabet uses the same character to represent both the words ‘crisis' AND ‘opportunity.' While this isn't exactly correct in a literal translation of Mandarin — the meaning comes close enough.
Financial markets are a lot like this too. We have all heard: “for every buyer, there's a seller.” In other words, one investor's panic can also be considered another's profit opportunity.
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Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 27th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was steady to slightly higher overnight as it extends last week's trading range above the 50% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1154.62. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral signaling that sideways trading is still possible near-term. If March renews this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1203.48 would confirm that a short- term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1203.48. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1222.25. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 1132.00. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1123.08.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
China’s “Chuppies” Point the Way to Stock Market Investing Growth and Profits / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Despite what you might be hearing about a global recession, consumer capitalism is alive and well in China. And it's still fueling growth.
Take a stroll through Beijing's trendy Wangfujing area, a quick walk south of Tiananmen Square or the six-story Shin Kong Place in Beijing's Dawanglu area, and you'll find more than 100 top international designer brands on sale, including Prada , Gucci , Bvlgari , Dolce & Gabbana , and others. While you're on the prowl, don't forget Xidan Market , which the locals prefer. It's also bursting at the seams from countless stores, fashionable-clothing shops and, of course, the ubiquitous and ever-present Starbucks ( SBUX ).
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Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Stock Markets Begin Week With Tentative Gain / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
On a very back day for US employment, there was 71,400 job cuts announced. Still equity indices managed to eek out some meagre gains with the blockbuster Pfizer/Wyeth merger, a bullish statement from Barclays, solid earnings from the ever dependable McDonalds and better than expected existing home sales numbers bringing some relief. So a day when investors chose to see the glass as half full. I remain highly sceptical, particularly of tech stocks .Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Dow Jones Industrial Averages Index Price Anomaly / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Over the last week, a number of articles were written about the distortions in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). Because of the collapse of the financial sector the DJIA, a price-weighted index, has become distorted. In a price-weighted index, each stock price is divided by a divisor to determine its price makeup within the index. Normally this is not a major problem but as of the closing bell on Monday, January 26th, four stocks trade below $10 per share and nine stocks trade below $20 per share. This interesting anomaly deserves a closer look.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Stock Market Narrow Gains to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices ended with a plus day to start the week, which was different than we've seen of late. Today the indices started out strongly and within an hour were at the session highs and secondary key formidable resistance near the 1200-02 zone on the Nasdaq 100 and the 850-55 zone on the S&P 500. They failed to break through, backed off and backed and filled in what looked like orderly and potentially bullish consolidation patterns, in anticipation of a late morning or afternoon rally try, but when that did not materialize, they rolled over rather hard by mid-day. After lunch they clawed their way back to secondary resistance but failed and rolled back into the close and bounced.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Financial Markets Action / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The market action over the past few weeks is presenting more questions than answers. First, the new administration is ready to unveil yet another bank bailout package as well as consumer relief designed to cut some taxes, provide some rebates and attempt to provide long-term economic benefit. Earnings season is in full swing, with the usual financial mess – however some bright spots in a variety of industries.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
Stock Market Update, Gold Break-Out and T-Bills Bubble Popping? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Just a few days into the administration and we are already starting to see cracks in the walls. Rumors have been surfacing Obama's much heralded stimulus package will not pass in congress as many republicans, including John McCain promise to be “faithful opposition party members.” The opposition is unfortunately not against the spending but rather, against not enough spending. There are demands to make Bush's tax cuts permanent while democrats instead want to shift the tax burden onto the “rich.” It was expected that Obama will enter politics with so much tailwind behind him, that he would be able to pass any bill in the first months in office.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
Revealed: The Holy Grail of Stem Cell Research / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Last November, while the markets were cratering, we encouraged Prosperity Dispatch readers to take a step back from the doom and gloomers and look at what is really going on in the world. We were looking for opportunity in the carnage. When looking at the world, the aging demographics, and where most of the world's R&D spending is going, we naturally turned to stem cells. The opportunity here is tremendous. It's like buying oil in the late 90's or tech stocks in the early 90's. Sure, you won't get rich quick, but this one of the best spots to get really rich slowly.Read full article... Read full article...