Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, May 28, 2010
Is the Correction in the S&P Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Macro Trader’s view: Equity markets had enjoyed a solid rally until a couple of weeks ago when the Greek debt crisis morphed into a full blown Euro zone Sovereign debt crisis. The reaction from traders was swift; stocks were dumped and the Dollar rallied hard against the Euro as traders began to fear what some had long said; the Euro zone is such an imperfect creation it cannot survive.
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Friday, May 28, 2010
U.S. Stock and Bond Market Total Return vs Price Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We read several blogs lately that lamented the lack of total return charts, instead of merely price charts. While total return is less readily available in charting services than price only, there are some indexes that are available in both price return and total return (price + dividends or interest).
This article presents several of those dual charts based on MSCI data and Dow Jones data. The MSCI data came directly from MSCI, and the Dow Jones data and charts came from StockCharts.com
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Friday, May 28, 2010
Central Banks Blowing Asset Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
BIG PICTURE – Let’s face it; central banks are blowing another asset bubble. As if two burst bubbles in the prior decade are not enough, the money maestros have decided to fuel another speculative orgy.
Let there be no doubt, both the technology and real-estate bubbles were spawned by cheap credit and it is now clear that the central banks have learned nothing from those two episodes. Despite the fact that near-zero interest-rates caused the previous mishaps, the central banks are (once again) pursuing a suicidal monetary policy. By keeping interest-rates well below the rate of inflation, the officials are encouraging speculation, thereby sowing the seeds of yet another asset bubble.
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Friday, May 28, 2010
Stock Market Big Day, as Indices Spike Higher Into the Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a big day, as huge gaps spurred the market sharply higher at the opening. Early on they got to key overhead resistance at 1850 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1095 on the S&P 500, backed and filled the rest of the morning, and then consolidated in a bullish manner holding support.
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Friday, May 28, 2010
Brief Stock Market Notes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I wanted to give you an overview of what I see today and explain how you should view things, emphasizing the need to understand your own investment strategy, because I know that those who read this site comprise ST traders, swing traders and long-term investors.
For those who read my latest special report, today's market activity should come as no surprise. As you will recall, I mentioned the likelihood of a short-term bounce in the market.
Friday, May 28, 2010
Stock Market Right Shoulder Bounce.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The one thing that prevented us from shorting the last few days although the action was poor overall, was the very oversold condition of the MACD's on all the major index charts. Just so far compressed down that the market needed to find a way to get those puppies back up. Suddenly, last night we got news from China that they will be backing the European banks for now and there you go. The news the market needed to unwind those oversold oscillators. Amazing how these pieces of news come out just when the market has to have it. Great stuff.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Possible Scenario For Stock Market Rally Technicals and Fundamentals Could Converge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The bearish outlook is well documented with extensive coverage of the problems in Europe and the "dawn of the next credit crisis". We understand and respect the bearish case. We also understand and respect the seriousness of the debt problems in Europe. However, since the market’s longer-term stance remains positive, it is also reasonable to assume the problems of the day may not yet derail the bull market.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Robert Prechter Stock Market Trend and Cycles Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The following article is excerpted from Robert Prechter's current issue of the Elliott Wave Theorist. For a limited time, you can Download the full 10-page issue, FREE.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Rogue Chinese Whispers Denied As Stocks Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Flip flop on another whiplash Wednesday as US stocks fell late in the day, with the Dow closing below 10,000 for the first time since February, as a (seemingly bogus) report that China may review investments in European government bonds spurred concern the credit crisis will worsen. Microsoft tumbled 4.1% after CEO Steve Ballmer said the effects of the debt crisis will not be isolated to Europe.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Investor Profit and Protection From Chaos and Cartel Interventions, Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“The pace and severity of financial crises has taken an ominous turn for the worse. Over the past 30 years, a crisis has occurred, on average, every three years. Yet, now, only 18 months after the meltdown of late 2008, Europe’s sovereign debt crisis has hit with full force. With one crisis seemingly begetting another, and the fuse between crises now getting shorter and shorter, the world economy is on a very treacherous course.”
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Global Stock Markets Gyrate on Fears of Europe’s Spreading Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
David Walsh writes: Global stock markets were extraordinarily unstable Tuesday, as fears about the expanding European financial crisis and the possibility of military conflict on the Korean peninsula combined to shake investors.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Global Financial Crisis Worst Yet to Come / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Economist Michel Chossudovsky gives his assessment of what's going on in the world of finances. He believes the worst of the global crisis is yet to come and all the measures taken to stop it are actually hurting the economy.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Towards Another Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
This past week the Dow fell 4%, S&P 4.2%, the Russell 2000 fell 6.4% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 4.4%. Banks fell 5.4%; broker/dealers 4%; cyclicals fell 5.6%; transports 5.5%; consumers 3.4%; utilities 4.3%; high tech fell 3.7%; semis 1.3%; Internets fell 4.2% and biotechs 4.2%. Gold bullion fell $56.00, the HUI gold index fell 11.4% and the USDX, dollar index, fell 0.8% to 85.38.
Two-year Treasury bills fell 2 bps to 0.73%; the 10-year notes fell 22 bps to 3.24% and the 10-year German bund fell 20 bps to a record low of 2.66%.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Warning Stock Market Crash Dead Ahead, Sell, Get Liquid Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Paul B. Farrell writes: "This game's in the refrigerator! The door's closed, the lights are out, the eggs are cooling, the butter's getting hard and the Jell-O is jiggling ..."
That was legendary Lakers' radio announcer Chick Hearn's signature way of calling a game early, telling fans the home team won ... you can head for the exits before the final buzzer. Chick wrote the book with popular sports phrases like "slam dunk," "air ball," "charity stripe," and a "bunny hop in the pea patch" for a traveling violation.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Stock Market Nothing Good Here....Rejection At Gap Resistance.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Yesterday showed a fourth gap down off the top at 1220 S&P 500. Fourth gaps are often the place where we see exhaustion in a down pattern. Where down trends go to die for a short period of time. That short period of time was a half-day of upside action. How incredibly sad is that!!
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Stock Market Bigger Than A '10% Correction'? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Every Big Bear Grew From a Cub - The famous "10% correction" that market pundits talk about sounds so nice and tidy, so predictable and tolerable. It's as if this "cute little correction" came neatly wrapped, looked like an M&M candy character, and smiled at you and your family after you open the box.
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Stock Market Break of S&P 1044 Implications / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Let me start off by pointing out that we did indeed break below the yearly cycle low yesterday.
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Stocks Bounce as LIBOR Stabilizes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Yesterday was a game of two halves. An early rout had seen stocks plunge, with the Dow down 3.1% and below the psychological 10k level. Causes include fears of the Korean crisis spinning out of control , Spanish banking woes & funding concerns for financials in general due to the dramatic rise in USD Libor. Put that lot together and you have an indigestible mix.
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Stock Market Topping Continues, Beware of Any Short-Term Rallies! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Things have changed rather quickly for the stock market. Up until two weeks ago it was very difficult for a technical analyst to make a bearish argument. All over the world the big indexes were trending upwards, exhibiting no signs of technical weakness.
Trend-following indicators were rising, too. And indicators based on market breadth, like the advance-decline line and the number of stocks making 52-week highs or lows, were healthy. Last but not least the chart patterns showed no signs of deterioration.
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Financial Reform Bill Failure, Gordon Gekko Is Alive and Well / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
I don’t go to the movies often, but I have a weakness for macho, action films so I went to see the new Robin Hood with Russell Crowe. It was a great movie, but what really caught my attention were the previews before the feature presentation.
What caught my attention was the trailer for Wall Street 2 and the return of Michael Douglas as Gordon Gekko.
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