Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, September 09, 2016
The ECB’s Private Deals Are Distorting the European Markets / Stock-Markets / ECB Interest Rates
By: John_Mauldin
ECB President Mario Draghi famously pledged to do “whatever it takes” to restore eurozone growth. His attempts to fulfill that promise have led to NIRP and other bizarre policies like the central bank’s massive asset purchases.
Whether the ECB’s interventions are helping the eurozone economy is not yet clear. But they are certainly having consequences. One is the appearance, if not the reality, of central bank interference and favoritism.
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Friday, September 09, 2016
Will Deutsche Bank Crash The Global Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Clif_Droke
The past year has seen its fair share of worries. From the China slowdown to the Brexit, successive waves of overseas fear have rolled onto our shores since 2015, yet none of them were the Tsunamis the bears had predicted.
The latest foreign fear concerns the possibility for a global credit crisis led by the collapse of a major international bank. A simplified summary of this scenario goes something like this: Deutsche Bank is on the brink of bankruptcy and its insolvency could spark a systemic European banking crash. This in its turn could send shockwaves throughout the global financial system, resulting in widespread economic turmoil on par with the previous worldwide crisis.
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Thursday, September 08, 2016
China New Stocks Bull Market Underway? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
If it wasn’t for the quantification of waves by OEW this volatile index would look more like a commodity index than a stock index. When reviewing the entire history of the SSEC we see a series of volatile up moves followed by longer and less volatile down moves. In fact, nearly all of the bullish trends have lasted only 1-2 years, while the bearish trends have taken as long as 4 years.
Thursday, September 08, 2016
Stocks Remain Close To Record Highs, Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, September 08, 2016
U.S. Stocks Election Jitters Coming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Everyone seems to think we are going to get a big sell off right after the elections. I doubt that will happen as we will be entering the most bullish time of the year (not to mention the Nasdaq is breaking out of its 15 year consolidation). The last two intermediate cycles were about normal in duration. I expect this cycle to stretch a bit and possibly not bottom until January.
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Wednesday, September 07, 2016
SPX May have made its Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Today is proposed to be a Trading Cycle pivot day, so this may be what we have been looking for.
This decline may go directly to the belly of the Beast, as Wave (3) of [1] appears to be capable of making a Primary Cycle low on or around September 21. Primary Cycles are often awe-inspiring in their strength and breadth. This is also the decline into point 8 of the Orthodox Broadening Top, which is often a panic low.
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Wednesday, September 07, 2016
Stock Trading based on Mainstream Media Perfect recipe for Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"Emotion is primarily about nothing, and much of it remains about nothing to the end." ~ George Santayana
If CNN, FOX, CNBC, etc. are the primary sources you use to base your investment decisions on, perhaps it is time for a change in strategy. These outlets focus on amplifying the "noise factor". Their only function is to make sure that the crowd will over react to any given event.
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Wednesday, September 07, 2016
Stock Market Closed Near the Highs for the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the week off with an up-session, closing near the highs for the day going away. The day started out with a move up to resistance, a sharp pullback that held support, and then they rallied to midday, consolidated until the last thirty minutes when they surged slightly, and finished near the highs.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
Economic Forecasts Have Nothing to do With Stock Market Direction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"Wise men are instructed in reason men of less understanding by experience; the most unknowing learn by necessity. Wise men do in the beginning what fools in the end." ~ Anonymous
Trying to gauge where the economy is headed is almost always a waste of time; other than pouring over seams of data and losing a large dose of time, you will be none the wiser. If this activity were indeed useful then almost all Economists would be millionaires; sadly, they are not. They are usually working for large multi-million or billion dollar corporations, who can afford to hire them to come out with these silly scenarios that they do not even believe in; it is not by coincidence that economics is referred to as the "dismal science."
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
Stocks and Bonds All Time Highs and Lows … and the Great Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
Stocks and Bonds:
Dow Jones Industrial Index – high 18,636 on August 15, 2016
S&P 500 Index – high 2,190 on August 15, 2016
NASDAQ Index – high 5,262 on August 15, 2016
T-Bonds – the 30 year bond high was 176.94 on July 8, 2016
Dow Transportation Average – high on December 29, 2014 – Oops! Dow Theory says we should be worried about an unconfirmed market top.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
Financial Markets All is Quiet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It has been a very quiet weekend. The SPX Premarket is mildly positive as I write. The market is basically directionless.
ZeroHedge writes, “The return from summer holidays has started in much the same way as we left off August, with another subdued session that has seen European stocks little changed, Asian shares advance and S&P futures are modestly in the green amid a flurry of M&A. The US dollar weakened, with the Bloomberg Dollar Index down 0.2% for the 2nd day in a row as prospects for a U.S. interest-rate hike this month remained subdued.”
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
Stock Market More Short-term Distribution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues. It could soon enter a corrective phase.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
5 Reasons to Be Worried about US Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
The NYSE and NASDAQ stock markets have been on a historic bull run since 2009. The NYSE has bounced back to just under 11,000 from a low of 4,716 during the Financial Crisis. The other major indices have put in similar performances.
There was a 10% or so correction early this year, but US stock markets rebounded strongly.
It’s rare for stocks not to see a major market correction in more than eight years. Many analysts also argue that macroeconomic fundamentals aren’t strong enough to support stock valuations… even if the US is performing better than Europe and other global economies.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
A Look at September: Gold and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The month ahead looks choppy for both markets. Gold (especially the miners) has just come off of hard drop, so we may expect an upward/sideward bias until we get past Mercury Rx (retrograde) around September 22, where we could see a more explosive up move into early October with a GDX target above 33. Next week looks fairly bullish to me, but with some attempt at selling the rallies (look for the 28.43 area Wednesday and also around 29 Friday to be sell zones). Tuesday may go down and if it does, would represent a nice buying opportunity in the miners and PM's, IMO. Taking profits early when in Mercury Rx is usually a wise idea.
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Monday, September 05, 2016
The “End of the World” History Stock Market Chart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to show you a long term 40 year monthly chart for the $COMPQ which I call the history chart. Some of you were not even born when some of these significance events happened. At the time they seemed significant enough that most thought the end of the world as we knew it was near. Some of the older members will remember some of these events like they just happened yesterday.
I was personally involved in the stock market during each one of these times, and I can assure you it did feel like the world was coming to an end. When one observes some of these stock market events from a distance they hardly matter in the big picture. Perspective is everything.
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Sunday, September 04, 2016
Market roundup WTI, EURUSD, FTSE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
WTI now appears to be forming a top, after the price action last week our $60+ scenario appears to be becoming lesss likely, although still possible it would appear as though our dead cat bounce is running out of steam and our lower lows will be coming sooner than we anticipated.
Saturday, September 03, 2016
SPX Uptrend Extending? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2169. After a rally to SPX 2183 on Monday the market pulled back to 2161 by Wednesday. Thursday started off with a rally to SPX 2174, dropped to 2157, then the market rallied to 2185 by Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.50%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.45%. Economic reports for the week had twice as many gainers as losers. On the downtick: the ADP, ISM, auto sales, monthly payrolls and weekly jobless claims increased. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, factory orders, the Q3 GDP estimate, plus the trade balance improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FED’s beige book and ISM services. Best to your week!
Saturday, September 03, 2016
Free Event! 22+ Markets. 3 Continents. Numerous New Opportunities. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
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On September 6-8, they're opening the doors to their latest forecasts for top markets in Europe (FTSE, DAX, CAC + 9 more) and Asia-Pacific (ASX, Shanghai, SENSEX + 8 more).
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Saturday, September 03, 2016
US Jobs Disappoint... Nothing Terrible... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had two reports it was focusing on this week. The ISM Manufacturing Report that was to come out on Thursday and the Jobs Report that would come out today. The first one laid an egg. Huge disappointment. Market fell, but then came back strong. Bad news wasn't bad news for the market. Today the Jobs Report missed, but not as bad as yesterday's miss. That said, still a miss by between 25/50k jobs depending on who you listen to. The market blinked lower on the futures for a moment but then recovered. It's almost as if the market reacted as if was a stock market still. It had a forgetful moment. It immediately then realized that it's now a fed market and fed markets work on rates and basically nothing else.
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Stock Market Master Cycle May have Bottomed Yesterday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I cannot help but conclude that the SPPX made a very shallow Master Cycle low yesterday. Today’s move gives it away, by rallying to the trendline, taking out Monday’s high, but not the trendline.
The shallow decline only went down to match the July 14 gap up above the trendline at 2157.88, spending 34 market days above that level.
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