Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, June 08, 2014
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Summer 2014 Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This video concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Dow Jones Stock Index into August 2014
This video based on the recent article http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article45917.html
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Saturday, June 07, 2014
Stocks Bull Market 63 Months Old / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another good week for stocks. The third week in a row the market has gained about 1%. The market displayed some choppiness early in the week, dealing with the OEW 1929 pivot. But then cleared it on Thursday, as it made new all time highs every day again except Tuesday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.25%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.75% and the DJ World index gained 1.35%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, auto sales and consumer credit. On the downtick: the ADP, monthly payrolls, investor sentiment, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade balance worsened. Next week we get reports on Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.
Saturday, June 07, 2014
U.S. Jobs....Higher Stock Prices....Froth and Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
This morning we had to deal with the monthly Jobs Report. The market was nervous since the ADP Jobs Report on Wednesday came in well below expectations. Would we meet with the same disappointment? Not at all. The number came in Goldilocks again. Not too hot and not too cold. We also saw wages rise nicely. The result was another up day for the averages. With this up day we are now extremely overbought on all the short-term sixty minute-charts. That said, we were also extremely overbought on those same averages coming in to today's action, and that certainly didn't stop the market from moving higher. Overbought is staying that way for now.
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Saturday, June 07, 2014
Stock Market Breaking Bad / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
Non-Farm Payrolls came in a tad to the low side, but close enough to be considered 'in-line.'
Stocks continued to romp higher. The Russell 2000 and the broader market continue to lag a bit, but has finally returned to even money for the year. Chart below.
Saturday, June 07, 2014
The Truth About the U.S. Jobs Report and the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Let’s see now.
Last week, the Commerce Department unexpectedly revised first quarter GDP growth down to negative, -1.0%. The Fed reported its National Business Activity Index, a weighted average of 85 economic indicators the Fed believes are important, fell from +.34 in March to -.32 in April. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence report showed that those who plan to buy a home in the next six months declined to 4.9%, its lowest level in 21 months, and those who plan to buy major appliances fell to its lowest level since 2011.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Stock Market Pop-n-drop Friday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is against the hourly Cycle Top and upper trendline o fits Broadening Top formation. It may have completed a Micro Wave [3] of Sub-Minuette Wave v yesterday. One more surge to go.
My Model suggests resistance at 1943.00, but Wave relationships suggest a pop to 1951.00. It could be anyone’s guess.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Non-Farm Payrolls Friday – Who Needs to Work When the Market Makes 30%? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Is there any point to working?
For Americans, it's just the time we waste while waiting to consume. As more and more of our jobs are taken over by machines – why are we still hung up on working?
There is the small problem of distributing the wealth but, once our bosses let go of the idea of needing us to show up just to get paycheck – I think we can get our economy back on track.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Hammering the ECONOMY, Unfolding Constitutional Crisis, European Banks Still in DEEP Trouble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
It's been a wild and wooly week for students of the economy and politics. A lot of significant developments on a number of subjects took place: ALL OF THEM NEGATIVE for the private sector and public. I will be covering a number of subjects in this week's Weekly Wrap:
- Hammering the ECONOMY
- Constitutional crisis Unfolding
- European banks still in DEEP trouble and economies as well.
- Beware Suppressed Volatility
- ECB meeting: NO SURPRISES - A "Let them eat cake" moment for the Eurozone
Read full article... Read full article..."Government is not reason, it is not eloquence, it is force, like fire it is a dangerous servant, and a fearful master." - George Washington
Friday, June 06, 2014
Stocks Bull Markets - Global Economic Coniditons are Just Right! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - The economies of the developed world are improving; their housing markets are on the rebound and unemployment rates are sliding. On the monetary front, central banks remain accommodative, interest rates are at historic lows and the yield curve is steep. Furthermore, inflationary pressures remain subdued in the vast majority of the developed nations; thereby exerting downward pressure on long dated interest rates.
Admittedly, the world's economy is notgrowing at breakneck speed and many investors are viewing this as a bad omen for the stock market. However, as we have explained previously, as an investor, you do not want the economy to expand at torrid pace; and in the current landscape, bad news is good news!
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Is Your Investment Portfolio a House of Cards? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
The S&P 500 continues to hit new all time highs, but is your portfolio built on a house of cards? The politics to kick the proverbial can down the road may unleash dynamics that could be hazardous to your wealth.
The one thing politicians throughout the world have in common is that they rarely ever blame themselves. They tend to diffuse responsibility or place blame on groups such as political opponents, the wealthy, or foreigners.
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Stock Market - Is Now the Time to Go To Cash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Many commentators are asking whether this market is showing real signs of exhaustion, suggesting that it is time to get out, go to cash, and wait for a serious correction or collapse to jump back in.
To try to answer this question let us look at the situation from a more distant perspective than the standard one. Accordingly, I am going to adopt a 6 year view using the following charts set out below: 1. The Dow Transports, 2. The Dow Industrials, 3. The S & P 500, 4. The NASDAQ 100, 5. The Russell 2000 (small cap. stocks: weekly), The Russell 2000 (small cap. stocks: daily), 7. The NYSE A/D Line and 8. The index of the percentage of stocks above their 200 DMA.
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Economic Recovery and Markets - The Madness of Crowds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
Never in my 30+ year career as a market observer have I seen so many out on a limb which is about to be SAWED OFF. Those who live within the matrix are fully loaded for a recovery which is not and will not appear. Nominally the Main stream media can proclaim ECONOMIC recovery has arrived, point to the rising developed world stock markets, seemingly benign bond markets of all categories: sovereign, investment grade and Junk, Private equity, corporate buy backs and more have priced in "Happy Days are here again". HFT, unrestrained leverage in a financially repressed world and Quantitative easing have done the rest in pushing financial assets to heights rarely, if ever, seen. Volatility is at all-time lows in most markets and investor confidence at superhuman levels. Like a boat where all the passengers are on one side of the boat and it is about to capsize, investors similarly have no fear.
Thursday, June 05, 2014
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Summer 2014 By Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
No 'Sell in May and Go Away' this year for Either Bulls or Bears
Watching the disconnect between stock prices and what passes for stock market commentary since my last detailed look at the stock market of early Feb 2014 is akin to watching two parallel universes in motion that never meet! Where the stock market exists in one universe and the so called stock market analysts (who are really either sales men or journalists who think they are analysts) residing in another. Whilst stocks relentlessly grind higher the others relentlessly scream at the top of their lungs, the 'top is in' the 'top is definitely in this time' following every reaction off a high only to see the stock market once more pop to a new all time high a few weeks later. They MUST reside in separate universes, how else can they continue to reconcile such madness week in week out? It's literally witnessing a form of mass delusion.
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
ECB Thursday...Jobs Friday....Fireworks?.... Stock Market Froth Out Of Control.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Fireworks could be in the cards for the market here. We have two huge events the next two mornings. We have the ECB voting on rate reductions tonight as well as deciding on a QE infusion. If the Euro zone gets what they want, we should see it rally, and that should spill over to our markets ahead of the open. If the market doesn't get what it wants, then the euro zone markets could crash out and things could get very tough for the bulls in the morning.
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Secrets of the Strategic Investors / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: The_Gold_Report
How do you calculate ROI on investment conferences? They often require travel expenses, time away from the office and some eating of rubber chicken with mysterious sauces. But the right conference can result in a whole new way of looking at your portfolio. To evaluate the recent Altegris/Mauldin Strategic Investment Conference in San Diego, The Gold Report asked attendees for their insights on the major themes from thought leaders such as Former Speaker of the House of Representatives and host of CNN's Crossfire Newt Gingrich, Gluskin Sheff + Associates Chief Economist David Rosenberg and Hoisington Investment Management Executive Vice President Lacy Hunt.
Wednesday, June 04, 2014
Low Interest Rates Won't Hide This Looming Threat Forever / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Financial markets are experiencing a significant divergence in 2014 between the direction of stocks and bonds.
While the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have traded to new record highs, the yields on benchmark Treasury bonds have dropped sharply.
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Wednesday, June 04, 2014
Dow Countdown To Stock Market Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
“It’s not timing the market but time in the market”. Yep, we’ve all heard this refrain from market commentators on TV disguised as experts. Some go even further saying it’s impossible to time the market. Well, what a load of codswallop! Anyone that says this to you is a happily oblivious member of the Flat Earth Society (FES). Sure, FES members can still function well and be successful in their one dimensional world. Ignorant bliss can be extremely satisfying. However, in the analysis I’ve undertaken of the Dow, there is clear evidence presented that the market can, despite the naysayers, indeed be timed.
Wednesday, June 04, 2014
Marc Faber Talks Vietnam Investment - How to Understand Vietnam Like Never Before / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
By: Keith_Hilden
In the latest Squawkonomics interview with Marc Faber, Marc offered insights and direction about the future of the Vietnamese economy. Marc laid out that Vietnamese stocks are essentially in a bottoming out phase, and valuations of Vietnamese equities are looking particularly attractive at this point. Marc also explained to us how Vietnamese have different economic habits unfamiliar to many Western countries such as buying houses with gold outright, and how different metrics are required to understand the value of the Vietnamese economy. Check out the video below for more investment insight from Marc Faber on Vietnam. Marc will be speaking at the upcoming Vietnam Investment Forum in Ho Chi Minh on June 19 to inform investors how to invest in Vietnam and find opportunity and value amid the current South China Sea tensions. For those interested in attending, be sure to contact Vicente Nguyen at support@vietnaminvestmentforum.vn for more information.
Tuesday, June 03, 2014
Stock Market Chop, Sadly Continues.....ISM Numbers Changing Unexpectedly.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
I find it annoying. How about you? Do you enjoy this nonsense? I don't, but this is what we have and must accept. The market tried hard to sell decently today. The Nasdaq was down over thirty points, thanks mostly to losses in Google Inc. (GOOG), and especially Apple Inc. (AAPL). AAPL is so heavily weighted, and at one point it was down ten points. Amazingly, even with AAPL down ten points, the Nasdaq was able to bounce back. Strength is strength, and this market continues to find a way, even when a leader says I'm tired, such as AAPL did today.
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Tuesday, June 03, 2014
Stock Market Rally - Is this the End? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
Eventually, every finance geek learns that calling market tops — at least publicly — is so hard that it’s not worth the reputation risk. This is especially true in an era of pervasive government manipulation, where price distortions can persist for far longer than any kind of rational analysis can justify.