Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, August 21, 2011
Nasty Stocks Bear Market Below S&P 1249 Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
We look for defining moments that tell us something has changed. That what was once one trend is now another, although it's hard to see it initially. It's about trusting those technicals that tell you where one market ended and another began. S&P 500 1249 was that level. Losing it lost the up trend line off the March 2009 lows. It also meant losing huge horizontal support, and the bottom of the big triangle in place at the time. It opened the door to much lower prices potentially, and that potential has been filled. I don't think anyone would deny that. It's been ugly since we lost S&P 500 1249. Some short-term rallies along the way, but the trend has been to sell and sell hard almost on a daily basis. Some monster days lower of 4% plus. One day like that is unusual enough. Multiple days like that tell you something is terribly wrong economically.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
Major Stock Market Low Soon? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After last week’s rebound, which carried into mid-week, world equity markets headed south on thursday and friday. While the SPX/DOW were losing 4.35%, the 10 Year US Bond hit an all time low of 1.98%, and Gold soared to $1881 on friday. Recession fears, centered around Europe this time, are driving rates lower. While monetary fears, centered around the developed countries, are fueling the rise in Gold. On the economic front reports came in mixed with an interesting theme: rising prices during a weakening economy. On the negative side: housing starts, existing home sales, building permits and the monetary base were all lower. The NY and Philly FED, plus the WLEI, are now all in contraction and negative.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
The Stock Market Bear Lives On / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Last weeks article was titled "setting up the next decline." I mentioned to readers that we could see a push higher towards the 1200ES area in the early part of the week, but I still suspected we would find a high in that area.
The market made it a little more frustrating that I wanted to see, but it eventually it came good, having put in 2 false breakouts, the 3rd attempt finally cracked lower, a what a move!, it finally made the effort that we put in looking for that 4th wave high all the more worth it.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Financial Markets and the Descending Triangle of Doom / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The Dow has been trending lower since July 22, 2011. Other than a fabulous 600-point rally from 3PM to 4PM following the Fed meeting of August 9, 2011, the trend downward has been brutal and abrupt. There was also a 400-point rally two days later that was followed with two more rally days on falling volume. That may have been a warning sign. The Dow then turned lower oddly enough at just about the 38% Fibonacci retracement line of the descent. The Dow now sits at 10817. What will happen when the markets open on Monday?
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
High Frequency Trading are destabilising Global Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
“ Markets are purely about Speculations. There is no more such thing as INVESTING in the markets. It is just Speculation on different timeframes “
Traditionally we have the market that is made up of retail and institutional investors together with the market makers that facilitates these investors. In the last couple of years, there have been much changes in the investment landscape and that is High Frequency Trading or HFT for short. HFT accounted for about 70% of daily trading volume in NYSE, 60% in Europe and 50% in Asia. In other words there is a paradigm shift in the traditional Investors Buy and Hold market to a Trader’s market.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Financial Meltdown: The Case Against the Ratings Agencies / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
In today’s looming confrontation the ratings agencies are playing the political role of “enforcer” as the gatekeepers to credit, to put pressure on Iceland, Greece and even the United States to pursue creditor-oriented policies that lead inevitably to financial crises. These crises in turn force debtor governments to sell off their assets under distress conditions. In pursuing this guard-dog service to the world’s bankers, the ratings agencies are escalating a political strategy they have long been refined over a generation in the corrupt arena of local U.S. politics.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
The Early August Market Swings Were Unprecedented and Unnatural / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
What just happened in the stock market? Last week the Dow Jones industrial average rose or fell by at least 400 points for four straight days, a stock market first.
The worst drop was on Monday, Aug. 8, when the Dow plunged 624 points. Monday was the first day of trading after U.S. Treasury bonds were downgraded from AAA to AA+ by Standard and Poor’s.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
How To Prepare for Economic Depression / Stock-Markets / Great Depression II
The week of August 15 was one of the most volatile stock market performances in years. Negative news about the global economy, gloomy forecasts and mixed signals on the jobs front battered stocks and sent gold repeatedly above $1,800/ounce. The Gold Report asked an analyst, two newsletter writers and an economist the following: What should be a precious metals investor's next move?
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Investors Profitably Surmounting Plutocratic Perfidy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Tuesday’s Fed meeting was sad. They failed to do what wise men urged, ie, cut the fat rate Fed pays banks that put reserves with Fed to zero. That would have caused banks to remove reserves & free them up for lending. Not doing this reveals banks control Fed & Fed is a banks cartel. That’s why Thomas Jefferson said he feared banks more than standing armies.”
Harry Schultz, The Big Picture, 8/11/11, The Aden Forecast
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Permanently Engineered Stock Market Volatility, The New Abnormal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Shah Gilani writes: If the gut-wrenching market volatility of the past few weeks has made you sick to your stomach , I have some bad news for you: violent volatility is the new normal - or more precisely, the new ab-normal.
After massive market moves last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 419.63 points yesterday (Thursday). And, while t hat may be bad news for average investors, it's something Wall Street wants.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
See Prechter's Stock Market "FREE FALL TERRITORY" Chart for Yourself / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In the May 2008 issue of his monthly Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter showed this chart of the Dow Jones Industrials. As you can see, prices go back to the 1970s.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Investment Impact of Primary Stocks Bear Market Trend Since 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
If you happen to be a retiree, you will understand this is your gut: The Primary Trend of the US equity market has been “down” since 2000. As is clearly visible from the 80 year chart below (courtesy Decisonpoint.com) the market peaked in 2000 – that’s 11 years ago. Any arguments about a pending bull market are just noise. There is no evidence to support the argument being made by stockbrokers and investment funds that the markets will rise to new heights in the foreseeable future. For 11 years they have been talking to their book. Since 2000, the only way to make money on the market has been by trading in an out- which is why the hedge fund industry boomed.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Stock Market Yikes!! Dead Cat Bounce Or Flash Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The 5% drop in the US markets on Thursday was exciting, fortunately I hadn’t got around to doing anything about the decision I made in early August to jump in at SPX 1,150…Oops!!
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Robert Prechter's Stock Market Critical Juncture Report Last Chance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
The Dow has plummeted over 2000 points in the past weeks and it seems like volatility is here to stay.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Stock Market Sure Looks Like 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the on stock prices and the patterns seen in the Stock Markets in general." ~ From a book on the teachings of Jesse Livermore
When you think of it in the short term markets are nothing more than a group of people trying to process data and understand what others are doing all under the stress of losing personal wealth. They are trying to solve a problem that in may ways is not solvable unless one can adapt. Similar to a group of Navy SEALs on a mission. They are successful only if they can adjust to the changing situation. There's a reason few are SEALs and few are successful in this business.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Economists Refuse to Recognize the New Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The recent financial slump has caused economists to take stock of the possibility of a "double dip" recession. Most of them, however, won't admit that the economic contraction which began in late 2007 is still underway and, worse still, has a few more years to run according to the Kress cycles. In this commentary we'll address this issue and have a look at where the cycles are leading the financial market and the economy.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Are Gold and the Stock Market Behaving Logically or Irrationally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Back on August 7th the S&P 500 was in the midst of a panic induced selloff and the bulls were running scared. Prices were collapsing and the bulls were racing to the exits. In the following weeks, piles of money flew out of equity mutual funds as the retail investors rang the register and pulled their money out near the lows which seems to be a regularly recurring event.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Stock Market Crash 2011 Critical Juncture Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Dear Investor,
The Dow plummeted some 1800 points in the past weeks.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
How to Save Your Wealth From Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
Sean Hyman writes: The year was 1973.
I was just a toddler, so I couldn't fully appreciate the next-generation Camaro that had just come out or the release of the new Pontiac Firebird Formula.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Volatility is Not The Same As Risk in the Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Volatility
If it looks like risk, feels like risk and acts like risk, it is natural to conclude that it is risk. But in turbulent times, such as now, investors must remind themselves that volatility is not the same as risk.
The stock markets are nothing more than a collection of businesses and risk is highest in individual companies and can be categorised as follows;
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