Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, August 15, 2011
What Is Stock Market SPX Fair Value / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Credit and commodity markets are saying one thing while equities are saying another and only time will tell which market(s) were right. History though is clearly on the side of credit and commodities based on prior recessions including the 2008 "not so great" recession where equities peaked just two months before the NBER declared the first month of contraction.
Monday, August 15, 2011
Is The Stock Market Selling Over (For Now)? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - Due to the recent market action, the odds have again shifted in favor of our being in a secular bear market which started in 2007. Whatever takes place over the next few weeks, the very-long-term cycles are down and will exert increasing downward pressure on prices. If they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014 (which may already have started).
SPX: Intermediate trend - There is a chance that the intermediate downtrend ended last Tuesday at 1101.54. Next week should clarify whether or not this is the case.
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Sunday, August 14, 2011
The Summer Stock Market 15% Discount Sale Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market managed to make it through to the other end of a wild week having survived the bears repeatedly letting off both barrels at the bulls, throwing everything they had at the market, starting with the downgrading of the US debt from AAA to AA (eventually to junk), intensifying in core eurozone countries such as France itself now also in the firing line for a downgrade, however by the end of the week the net result was a market that closed higher by about 100 Dow points against last Sunday evenings Dow futures of 11,170.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Global Stock and Financial Market Confidence Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
I have never been big advocate of conspiracy theories. Most of these theories are information that is reported in the media circus to incite anger towards one group of people. Meanwhile the real stealth culprits go unnoticed.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Stock Market Experiences Come To Jesus Moment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Every now and then, fantasy and lies are dissolved by the truth. The truth cannot be denied. It cannot be misinterpreted. It cannot be distorted. When accepted, these points in time are known as a ‘come to Jesus’ moment. Only the truth matters. This past week, August 8, 2011 thru August 12, 2011, was a come to Jesus moment for the stock market.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Socio-Economics Put China and India at Higher Investment Risk Than The U.S. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EconMatters
This week has turned out to be Wall Street's wildest week since 2008. The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 519 points on Tuesday, Aug. 10, but then went up 423.37 points. But overall, Down has now lost more than 2,000, or 16% since July 21, less than three weeks ago. The selloff intensified after the U.S. got stripped of the top notch AAA rating by S&P first time ever in history.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Stock Market Setting Up For the Next Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
Last week I left readers with this idea (see graph). Well fast forward and it seems we are setting up for the next move lower in what I suspect is a 5th wave towards lower prices.
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Wild Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US market opened the week on a gap down to SPX 1182, hit 1102 on tuesday, then spent the rest of the week trading wildly between the 1120′s and 1180′s only to close the week at 1179. The FED met on tuesday stating they will keep rates low for the next two years, and the economy is weaker than expected. The weekly economic reports were mostly to the downside. Retail sales, weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. Productivity, wholesale/business inventories, and the trade deficit all declined.
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Reflex Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Nothing goes straight up forever. Although it seems to do that quite frequently. And nothing goes down forever, either. When we fall, we fall hard. But a 2100-point drop is quite a fall, and it happened in just a little over two weeks. It was time for a reflex bounce as the oscillators on the daily charts got very oversold. You could say, safely, that it was violently oversold, and although we've seen lower oscillators in past bear markets, this was enough for the first leg down in that process. The bounce was quite good this week as we went up roughly 8% off the lows. Not bad at all, but really not much more than a 30-35% retrace of the move down.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Watching Silver and S&P Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
If we look closely at the enclosed patterns, we can make the case that since Aug 8 & 9, spot gold is looking a bit toppy, while the emini S&P 500 and spot silver have a considerably more constructive look.
If we translate that into fundamental reason, perhaps scared money is beginning to flow out of gold and back into equities and industrial commodities in anticipation of improvement in the U.S. and global economies.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Garnering Profits in The New Abnormal in Gold, Silver, Stocks, Commodities & Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“The United States is quickly approaching a fiscal Armageddon and the players in Washington — specifically Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke — don’t understand what is happening or know what do about it, world renowned investor and author Jim Rogers tells Newsmax.TV...
…any halt in the decline of stocks was just a “temporary bottom.”
He said that while America was not at the brink of a fiscal Armageddon right now, the nation is likely to default on its obligations in the future.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Trading Stock Market Crash Fear and Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
With the plunging stock markets terrifying traders, many are running for the hills. Steep selloffs always generate intense fear, a scary emotion from which we humans are naturally hardwired to flee. But in the stock markets, major fear spikes should be embraced. They mark the best opportunities ever seen to buy low, the necessary prerequisite to selling high and multiplying your wealth.
Friday, August 12, 2011
Stock Market Time For Some Relief! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
We’ve had enough bad news in recent months. It’s time for at least some temporary relief.
The economic news has been awful. The ‘soft-spot’ in the first half that was supposed to be temporary turned out to be worse than previously thought. GDP growth, previously reported as having been around 2% in the first half, was recently revised to being up only 0.8%.
Friday, August 12, 2011
U.S. Downgrade Triggered Flash Crash, Why Stocks Will Go Up Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andrew_Butter
There are many theories about how to value the US Stock market (as a whole); some said that stocks were 40% over priced in May 2009, same story in August 2011. All it took was the hilarious spectacle of the workings of what passes for “modern” democracy to be aired on prime-time, for those same tired-old theories to get dusted off and paraded like some sort of universal truth.
Friday, August 12, 2011
High Risk Reward Trading Strategy in VIX Put Options / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Many investors dream of making the "big trade."
Spurred on by stories of fabled investors who accumulated generations of wealth with just one big trade, they talk incessantly about what they could or should have done.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Aftershocks From a Nervous Stock Market ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
By now, you know why I like the Institutional Index of "core holdings". It is because it is not really an index, and it represents the action of the core holdings being held by institutional investors.
Since it isn't really an index, it can't be manipulated, tweaked, or experience stop running. It is because of these factors, that this index of core holdings can be strikingly accurate relative to market turns and projections on a technical analysis basis.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Credit Markets Point To A Major Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Credit is like a black box to most retail investors. It's a shame CNBC gives Rick Santelli only 10-15 minutes a day to report on this market. The Fed may set short term rates but the bond market sets everything else. From credit formation that fuels economic growth to interest rates that affect everyone's life the bond market is home to many smart investors and one market you do not want to ignore.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Stock Market Recovery Remains Weak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
Thursday's strong bounce in the markets may raise some hope with investors of a recovery, but equity indexes still remain far too weak for the bull to return.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Stock Market History May Not Repeat, But It Always Rhymes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The last time we had a deflationary bear market low followed by a bull market was 1932-1937. When that bull market completed, the 1929-1932 bear market was still fresh in everyone’s minds. We reviewed the waves coming off the spring 1937 top and found a similar pattern to today’s market.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Ever since the rally out of the March 2009 low began, I’ve been saying that we have been in a bear market rally that should ultimately prove to separate Phase I from Phase II of a longer-term secular bear market. This view has not changed. Based on the overall evidence at hand, I continue to believe that we are operating in an environment much like that of the 1966 to 1974 secular bear market, with the advance out of the 1966 Phase I low being similar in nature to the rally out of the 2009 low.
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