Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stock Market Bounces as it Closes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After a rocky start following on from equity weakness in Asia and Europe, US stocks ground higher following a better than expected read on the ISM’s June non-manufacturing (services) index of activity. What strikes me as curious is that commodities and equities are telling two different stories with notable weakness in crude, oil, gold and copper prices yesterday pressuring producers, refining and mining stocks as the re-flation trade gets pricked and traders realise how much the prices of these stocks got ahead of themselves. After the bell last night Discover Financial Services (a credit card company) announced a $500m rights issue. This may pressure the market at the off today.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Inflation, Stock Market sentiment and the Kress Cycles / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Despite a 40% market recovery and an abatement of the credit crisis, a climate of high fear abounds among market participants. Investor sentiment polls continue to show an excess of bears over bulls as few believe that a recovery can be sustained.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Blue Chips Lead Stock Market Rally After Early Sharp Setback / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices put on a steady rally all session after early morning sharp weakness, and ended in the positive column, other than the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX). The blue chip indices, in particular, rallied back steadily to end near the highs of the intraday 5-wave rally.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
The Three Best and Worse Investment Sectors for the Next Five Years / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Larry Edelson writes: I often get the question, “Larry, what do you think will be the best and worst sectors to invest in for the next five years?”
So this morning, I’m going to answer that question. For many of you, my answer won’t come as a surprise. For many, it will. Either way, it’s important you know my longer-term forecasts.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Derivative Disaster on the Horizon / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
Regardless which type of derivatives you speak about credit derivatives,financial derivatives,futures derivatives or options derivatives these weapons of mass destruction are STILL OUT OF CONTROL. For all of those that say green shoots are growing, they to forget that unemployment has been increasing as well as foreclosures are increasing. Most scary is the unbelievable amount of credit derivatives,financial derivatives,futures derivatives or options derivatives floating around in the US banking system.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Obama and the Stock Market’s Presidential Cycle Carnival Ride / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
We probably don’t have to tell you that being in the stock market in 2009 has been like spending six months on Coney Island’s Cyclone roller coaster—turn by turn a terrifying and exhilarating ride.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
The SEC Takes Its Cues from… Wall Street? / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Originally today’s essay was going to counter the most common inflationists’ arguments. However, over the weekend the SEC announced it is considering reinstating rules that make it more difficult to go short in the market. This move warrants immediate attention for a number of reasons, namely:
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Monday, July 06, 2009
End of the Financial Crisis, the Great Lie of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Weiss writes: Just as the authorities were touting the “end of the financial crisis,” all heck has broken loose again …
We have a new surge in unemployment, and even without counting those who are excluded from the official numbers, 14.7 million are now jobless, the most since records dating back to 1948. Worse, for the first time since the Great Depression, every single job created after the prior recession has been wiped out.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Stocks Start Soft As Earnings Season Beckons / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Last week was an abrupt reminder to those who oversubscribe to the wishful thinking of the green shoots theory. Another 467k people lost their jobs taking unemployment to a 26 year high. It’s now a three week slump for the Dow Jones as it finished last week off 1.6%. The German DAX also slid 1.6%, but the headline UK index, the FTSE 100, managed to eke out a 0.1% gain.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Secret The Bankers Know / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
"Cash was, is, and always will be - king. Always have cash in reserve. Cash is the ammunition in your gun. My biggest mistake was not in following this rule more often. Time is not money because there may be times when your money should be inactive... Often money that is just sitting can be later moved into the right situation and make a fortune. Patience-Patience-Patience. Patience was the key to success - Don't be in a hurry." - Jesse Livermore. How To Trade In Stocks, 1940.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Stock Index Action Gives Bears a Chance to Gain Control in the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Positioning:
SPY: Nil (Cash)
QQQQ: Nil (Cash)
Sunday, July 05, 2009
Overbought Stock Market Enters Corrective Phase Rather than an Important Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Sunday, July 05, 2009
Indian Stock Market Nifty, What to expect in the week of 6th July / Stock-Markets / India
Last week saw lots of ups and downs in Nifty. Good news is that it was able to close up for the week. Another good news is that it was able to hold it’s support above the breakout levels of 4100+. Does that mean we are again in for a rally in the coming days/this week?
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
US GDP and it’s impact on Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
One of the most important contributors to GDP as a whole is consumer spending. Consumer Spending constitutes over 70% of the GDP. (http://www.hoover.org/research/factsonpolicy/facts/4931661.html). Which means, the more you and me consume, the more money revolves in the country and eventually ticks up the GDP.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report- Markets Wrap 5th July 09 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Gold - Gold was down about 1% last week. In last week’s report I wrote:
Both MACD and STO have turned down and made negative crossovers, (on the weekly chart) which suggest lower prices are likely. This could be the head fake I have been concerned about. Prices could fall yet again and as long as the $850 level holds, the head & shoulders would still obtain, while shaking out a lot of players.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Stock Market Bullish Investor Sentiment: There Is Always Hope / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
In a low volume, holiday shortened week that ended with a bang of selling pressure, the "dumb money" has yet to give up hope.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Financial Markets Outlook for the Next Two Weeks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Here's our market call...
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Stock Market Investors Roller Coaster Ride Hit by Bad U.S. Jobs Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
“Words from the Wise” this week again comes to you in a shortened format as I am still on the road in Europe (also see my post “Gone A.W.O.L. - to Slovenia and Switzerland“) and do not have access to my normal research resources. Although only brief commentary is provided, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is included.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Teck Sector Plays Key Role in Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Bob Blandeburgo writes: If the last three months are any indication, the U.S. tech sector has shaken off its recession-heightened late-winter doldrums, and could see its fortunes soar in the year’s second half as businesses and consumers open their wallets and the broader economy picks up speed.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Global Wealth Report Shows the Way to Investing Profits / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: Capgemini/Merrill Lynch World Wealth Report appeared last week and it makes for some grim reading.
But it also provides global investors with some insights into the best markets to invest in.
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