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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 01, 2007

Macro Musings: Make Way For the Sovereigns / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

TO EVERYTHING there is a season, the Byrds sang. (And the good book said.)

For leveraged hedge funds, ‘tis now the season for blowing up; the Metamorphosis we spoke of back in June is now on full display.

Stale Prices and Daisy Chains

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 01, 2007

The Wilshire 5000 Stock Market Index Revisited / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Joseph_Russo

Perceptions from May of 2007:
Four months ago, we presented Bullish: Like There's No Tomorrow , which presented a bullish view and critical-mass-breakout buying opportunity for long term-investors interested in capturing further upside potential in the Wilshire 5000 index.

We don't get fooled again:
Those adhering to the general protocols outlined in that piece are flat - as they now hold this index sternly to task - awaiting a long-side re-entry signal upon a close back above the 14991.68 level.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 01, 2007

Seelking Apha in Financial Market Investments / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
Past is Not Prologue, and Hope Is Not a Strategy
Eliminating Negative Alpha
Our Biggest Bet is Equities - Does Cap Weighting Weigh Us Down??
Practicing What We Preach
Update - Fundamental Index™ Today
New Orleans, London and South Africa

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 01, 2007

Weekly Financial Markets Analysis - Deja Vu / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

“This is like déjà vu all over again.” Yogi Berra

When I read the following article, I get the feeling the feeling that, somehow, we've been here before. The Wall Street Journal Online printed an article called, “ 'Conduits' in need of a fix .” The article describes a practice at commercial banks of keeping certain assets “off the books” in order to avoid disclosure rules and collect additional fee income. Until now, this has been a very profitable practice for banks. However, subprime mortgages have found their way into these conduits and are causing havoc in the money markets due to the inability to gauge the risk of these vehicles.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 31, 2007

Stock Market Investing - The Case For Expanding PE Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKnowing whether the PE ratio is going to expand or contract is an important factor when trying to beat the market . This is the second of a four part series on which direction the PE ratio for the S&P 500 will go over the next couple of years. Last week we briefly went over how to use the PE ratio and then we will look at ways to get the underlying PE ratio for the S&P 500. It is not as easy as one might first think. In the later parts we will examine the potential for the S&P 500 PE ratio to expand, contract and then provide an opinion on what investors should do. You can read the first commentary at Will the PE Ratio Expand or Contract? Part 1 . For those readers interested in learning more on how to predict macro moves in the market check out Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles by Joe Ellis. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 30, 2007

Stock Market Crash Alert #4 : How to Buy Immediate Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Martin Weiss writes: This is the fourth crash alert that I have sent you in recent weeks.

If you failed to act on my first , second and third alerts, it's water under the bridge. Just take advantage of market rallies like today's and focus on the protective steps you can take right now …

Step #1. Buy Hedges to Protect Your Portfolio From Potentially Devastating Losses

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 30, 2007

What to Do Next : Five FInancial Alternatives To Stocks For These Volatile Times Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: George_Kleinman

I began the Aug. 6, 2007, issue of Commodities Trends by stating, "In the financial markets, all we know for sure is that nothing's for sure. The way I see it, financially speaking the stock market does not appear to be the place to be right now. Stocks could certainly go lower; possibly a lot lower."

In the last issue, I advocated steering clear of most stocks, investment real estate and any bond below investment grade. I also recommended buying the Japanese yen. I hope this advice helped you.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Upmove in the Nasdaq Not for Long / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Although the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) have the right structure and look of an incomplete upleg off of yesterday's low at 46.71, my overall work argues that in the vicinity of 47.70 up to 48.10 this rally will fail and the Q's will reverse into a decline that will retest 46.71, and perhaps press into the 46 area. In other words, I am viewing this upmove as an intervening rally between two declines of a correction.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Stock Market Indexes Confirm a Bullish Cycle Turn / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Jim_Curry

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom recent information to our investment advisory clients, the S&P 500 index has recently confirmed a 45-day (10-week) and 120-day (20-26 week) cycle bottom in place. The index did so by closing above VTL resistance (chart 1), which goes over top of a shorter-term cyclical component, the nominal 20-day cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

More Stock Market Downside Pressure Coming - Leading Market Indicators: Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, I reviewed three leading indicators of the S&P 500 and found only the Broker/Dealer sector was slowing turning positive. The other two leading indicators were both still declining. This week, three more key indicators will be examined for evidence of possible renewed strength and reversals.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Gold and Dow Jones Analysis - Worrying Times / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Brian_Bloom

That the direction of the gold price has been in a state of indecision can be seen from the following chart. Since the gold price peaked in May 2006, it has been trending sideways, tracing out what appeared to be a Triangle formation. Some weeks ago this analyst thought he saw evidence that the gold price was about to break up out of the triangle. In fact, it did break up briefly – only to pull back again. Intriguingly, the RSI oscillator has been crawling along the 50% level – clearly incapable of pointing a firm direction.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

USAGOLD's Top 25 Quotes on the Credit Crisis of 2007 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Michael_J_Kosares

The financial market globally is up to its elbows in one of the strangest and most complicated credit crises in history. Events have come in rapid succession with mind-numbing effect. No sooner does the dust settle in one part of the market than it is kicked up in another. Through it all, the reactions on the part of the participants have been the stuff of a good financial thriller. We thought it would be interesting to catalog some of that reaction for you on one web page. So here they are - from the witty and profound to the scary and downright silly - our Top 25 Quotes on the Credit Crisis of '07.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Fingers of Financial Markets Instability Part 3 - September: Blitzkrieg of Bad News / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

In This Issue – Four Fingers Financial Markets Instability

  • Banks Out On a Limb
  • No Escape, aka “Roach Motels”
  • Juggling Acts
  • Return of the Resolution Trusts

As we move into September we must keep in mind that historically it is the worst month of the year for the stock markets. Years ending in 7 are particularly nasty as outlined in the July 15 th edition of the “Crack up boom” series. With the events this year, it would argue for more turmoil. As outlined in the previous edition of ‘Fingers of Instability', we are waiting for the cockroaches to emerge into the headlines and in this missive we will put a few “fingers” on them. The turmoil unfolding in the financial sectors of banks and prime brokers has a lot further to run before it will be safe to play on the long side. On the short side however, opportunities would appear to abound.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

The Gathering Financial Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Paul_Tustain

"...Only a lack of imagination can have allowed professional investors to suddenly think of the US Dollar as today's quality refuge..."

ONCE EVERYONE gets back from vacation and starts to focus on what's really going on, we may be in for a torrid few months in the financial markets.

I believe the current lull in gold prices could offer a good opportunity to defend yourself before the real trouble begins.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Predicting the Financial Markets in the Current Chaotic Environment / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Richard_C_Cook

No one can predict how deep the decline in Western economies that is underway will go, because there is so little transparent information. Within the U.S., the government is hiding the severity of the crisis in order to prevent a collapse of consumer confidence.

Realize that the problem does not lie on the side of production. Global industry has the capacity to produce a huge quantity of goods and services. There is even a glut in some sectors, such as automobiles, textiles, IT, and other consumer products.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Fed Policy A Recipe For Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Captain_Hook

As explained Tuesday , the Fed was not about to give into the mob (in terms of official policy) just yet in consideration of the Presidential Cycle and dollar ($), with the end result being the market thought they were demonstrating the economy is stronger than people think, which turned into a credibility boost as stocks continued to squeeze higher. This of course is really just a bluff on the Fed's part, as the credit cycle is turning down, meaning the economy (all Western economies) is in a great deal of trouble moving forward. Here, as you know, stocks are rising not because they are discounting better times ahead, as price managers would have you believe. No, they are rising because of historically high short positions set against ample liquidity conditions sufficient to spark consecutive short squeezes higher, which is why the stock market never corrects fully.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Stock Market and Financial Crash Emergency Audio Update! Online NOW! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: The other shoe is about to drop on this mortgage catastrophe — and before it does, I need to get you some urgent help — fast .

So this morning, my team and I have just recorded an Emergency Audio Update .

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

What to Do Next : 5 FInancial Alternatives To Stocks For These Volatile Times / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: George_Kleinman

In the financial markets, all we know for sure is that nothing's for sure.

The way I see it, financially speaking the stock market doesn't appear to be the place to be right now. Stocks have retreated in recent weeks, but they certainly could go lower, possibly a lot lower. For the foreseeable future, I plan to steer clear of most stocks, investment real estate and any bond below investment grade.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 27, 2007

NOLTE NOTES - The Situation Today is Temporary / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

It is not often Peggy Lee and Wall Street meet, however the market action of the past six weeks begs the question posed by Ms. Lee – Is that all there is? If that is all there is my friends, then let's keep dancing! And stocks did just that, dancing higher as the concerns over housing, sub-prime loans and a liquidity crunch became mere memories. The SP500 is merely a percent away from the closing level of June and three from the May peak.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 27, 2007

Volatility As a Stock Market Indicator / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Hans_Wagner

Investors seeking to beat the stock market are always looking for a way to help predict the trends that lead to profits. The movements up and down create opportunities for investors and traders. They also create serious risks and can cause investors to panic and sell at the wrong time. Knowing how use this volatility can help investors improve their performance.

What is Volatility?

Volatility is a measure of dispersion around the mean or average return of a security. While there are several ways to measure volatility one of the most common is to use the statistical measure called the standard deviation. A standard deviation tells an observer of a stock or index how tightly grouped it is around an average, such as the moving average. A small standard deviation means the price is tightly bunched together. A large standard deviation means the price is spread apart.

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