Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, July 19, 2009
Charting Perspective - Upward Wedge Puzzle - Index revealed and more on the Technology Sector / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
On July 6th 2009 I posted a charting puzzle concerning a USA Index, where I said:
"This index represents one of the most important market sectors in the USA and as you can see, it has an interesting history.
The price patterns displayed are well defined and the upward wedges on the daily chart are typical of ones common at the moment over a broad spectrum of the USA equity market.
Sunday, July 19, 2009
SPX Stock Index Trading Positions Update For July / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
On June 23 we suggested a full position in a July 980/990 SPX Call Spread for a net credit of $0.50 and a half position in a July 770/760 SPX Put Spread for a net credit of $0.40. If you entered this, the premium you received was $70 per $1,000 of capital utilized, i.e. 7.0% before commissions for 4 weeks in the position.
The official CBOE settlement price for the July SPX options was 940.03.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Goldman Sachs Raking in Massive Profits, Market Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Due to the fact that Goldman Sachs is currently the favorite of Washington they are raking in massive profits during a time when most banks and brokerage firms are struggling for survival.
Due to a very successful second quarter, Goldman has set aside $226,156 per employee in compensation – a 75% increase per employee. That means annualized compensation could be $1 million per employee for the year. We find this of great interest inasmuch as the recently converted bank received a $10 billion taxpayer bailout via Goldman’s connections in Washington. They also received a myriad of benefits from several other government schemes over the past two years. It is nice to know that in part American taxpayers made this possible while unemployment is running on a U6 basis at 20.5%, and Americans are losing their homes by the millions.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Stocks Heading towards a Major Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news is: The OEX (S&P 100), OTC (NASADAQ composite) and NDX (NASDAQ 100) all closed at multi month highs on Friday.
Short Term - Last week we witnessed a blow off.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
Stock Market Potential Breakaway Gap....Watching 956 Pivot..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When we look back a month or so from now, it is quite possible that we will be talking about what took place on July 15th. It was on that day when we saw a breakaway gap over the old 912 gap that seemed impossible to get back over while the bulls were fighting to simply hold the 875 neckline. We had been testing that nasty 875 level over and over. We held when suddenly, and out of nowhere, we gapped hard over 912 and just kept on running for the rest of that day.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
Europe Banking and Financial System on the Brink of Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Europe on the Brink
And Then There Was Leverage
Too Big To Save
Those Wild and Crazy Swiss
A Positive Third Quarter?
New York and Maine
We have avoided Armageddon, at least for now. The cost to the US taxpayer has been a few trillion. Some in the media are loudly announcing the end of the recession. But we are not out of the woods yet. There are a few more bumps in the road. Actually, some of them are quite steep hills. As big as the subprime problem? Maybe.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In the wake of the price action seen this past week I have received numerous e-mails asking if this means a “New Bull Market” has begun. The answer is, No! Now, this is not to say or to try to deny the positive price action seen this past week. Fact is, based on the chain of events that have followed the June high, I did not expect the July 1st high to be bettered. However, the price action on Wednesday did in fact better the July 1st high and structurally, this was an obvious positive short-term development. The price action this past week also potentially has intermediate-term implications as well. But, this does not mean that a “New Bull Market” has begun. At best, this simply means that the counter-trend bear market rally that began at the March 2009 low may not have run its course.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
Stock Market Rally, A Magic Pudding? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Twelve month trailing earnings (GAAP adjusted) now yield a P/E ratio on the Standard & Poor Industrial Index of 137.08X (Source: DecisionPoint.com )
Presumably, those who are piling into the market now are expecting earnings across the board to bottom out and rise strongly from here.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
Stock Markets Take a Break from the Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A long wait forecast for full employment to return. - The U.S. won’t see a return to “full” employment for another six years, helping to hold down inflation, according to former Federal Reserve Governor Laurence Meyer. “I think there’s going to be a long legacy of the financial crisis and the deep recession,” Meyer said in an interview today on Bloomberg Radio. Meyer served at the Fed from 1996 to 2002. He now is vice chairman of St. Louis-based Macroeconomic Advisers LLC.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
Which Investments? as America Shifts Towards Thrift / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Mike Larson writes: Sometimes when we’re analyzing market trends … figuring out which investments to buy … or just trying to live our daily lives, we miss the forest for the trees.
We focus too much on the short-term trends and lose sight of the big picture. And we don’t think about what’s likely to happen over the next five or ten years because we’re just trying to make it through the next five or ten DAYS.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
Is This a Stock Market Improvment Worth Noting? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
You know that we monitor and analyze the action of many indicators relative to health and strength of the stock market.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
How to Profit From China's "Hot Money" Investment Strategy / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: China made headlines around the world this week when it revealed that its foreign reserves had eclipsed the $2 trillion market for the first time, rising by a record $178 billion in the second quarter – thanks to a flood of “hot money” that flowed into the world’s most promising economy.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
Investment Banks CDS Derivatives Positions Deceptions, Deceit and Distrust / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
With the former Investment Banks being granted Commercial Banking status due to the unfolding financial crisis in late 2008 – it was widely reported in the mainstream financial press that this “change” would mean that these banks would be subject to more oversight and hence, more transparency would result regarding their derivatives activities.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
Dr Doom Roubini and Meredith Whitney, When Celebrity Economists Move Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
In the era of celebrity economists and analysts real news of good earnings numbers from Google and the big blue IBM yesterday were swamped by the big “story” and controversy over what the fifth man of the economic apocalypse did or didn’t say. At first I thought, whats the world coming to? On Monday, the Queen of darkness, Meredith Whitney gets bulled up on banks & now Dr Doom Prof Nouriel Roubini says the recession could be over by the end of this year propelling stocks higher.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
Explosive Stock Market Rally Puts Bearish Market Patterns In Doubt / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The explosive surge in risk appetite following the earnings blowout from Goldman and Intel is posing serious threat to the validity of the Head-&-shoulder formations in the S&P500 and the Dow30 at the 8.600 and 930 levels, supporting the case for protracted rebound in equities and overall risk appetite. But Thursday's bigger than expected decline (first sub-500K reading in 4-week moving average in 5 months) failed to prolong the rise in stocks and bond yields. Unexpected deterioration in the July Philly Fed index to -7.5 from Junes -2.2 and news of an imminent CIT bankruptcy are preventing the positive impact from Jobless claims and JP Morgan earnings.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
How to Profit From Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
“How can I make a lot of money in this market?”
That’s the question I wake up to every day. Sometimes it’s a real thinker, especially in bear markets. Other times, when there’s a genuine bull market, it’s a lot easier.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Take Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The week is beginning with some major changes in equities, treasury bonds and commodity prices. Starting on Monday, the S&P 500 started a big move to the upside. In our last stock market update, we showed a chart of the E-Mini S&P 500 future with the comment that above 884.63, the short term chart would be bullish again:
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
Trading Financial Markets Using Elliott Wave's Pattern Recognition Techniques / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
Gary Grimes writes: The following article is adapted from market analysis by Elliott Wave International Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy. Now through July 22, Jeffrey Kennedy’s daily, intermediate, and long-term forecasts for up to 18 markets are free via EWI’s FreeWeek. Learn more here.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
What You Should Do If the Stock Market Falls Farther from Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Dan Ferris writes: Though the big stock market indexes are well below their late 2007 highs, I don't expect investors will make much money in stocks on the long side from current price levels. Record dividend cuts, weak earnings, and unattractive valuations are telling you to be careful buying stocks these days.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
ETF's Open the Door to Investing in Foreign Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Ron Rowland writes: Once upon a time, Americans who wanted to invest in foreign stock markets faced all kinds of hurdles. For example, brokers often weren’t able to process orders on non-U.S. exchanges. And the few good global mutual funds that existed tended to have very high loads and fees. Plus you could expect to be harshly punished if you tried to make a short-term trade.
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