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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

A Few Thoughts on the Recent Credit Crisis - Half of All Hedge Funds Gone? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
Inflation is Baked into the CPI Numbers
The Mortgage Pig in the Python
Housing Starts Look to Stop
A Few Thoughts on the Recent Credit Crisis
Half of All Hedge Funds Gone?
Golf, Weddings, and Europe

With the economy increasingly looking like it will slow down materially in the last half of the year, there is a drum beat for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. But how likely is a rate cut this year? We take a very different look at inflation to see if there is any room for the Fed to give a boost to the economy. We look over our shoulder at Japan and the yen carry trade and ask a heretical question: does the Fed cutting rates make any difference?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

It's the Fundamentals Stupid / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Peter_Schiff

Amid the recent stock market weakness, the pundits are virtually unanimous in their claims that good underlying economic fundamentals are being trumped by irrational fear. However, if investors understood just how bad the fundamentals for the U.S. economy really are, they would dump stocks even faster.  So, contrary to the rhetoric, it is not that investors are being too fearful, but that they are being too complacent.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

Why Financial Stocks Still Look Too Risky ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: I don't want to pull any punches: This is the worst environment for banks, mortgage lenders, and the general U.S. financial industry that I've seen since 1998!

That's when gun-slinging hedge fund Long Term Capital Management bet billions of dollars in bond markets all over the world.

Everything went swimmingly … until Russia defaulted on its outstanding debts. That spooked global bond investors, prompting massive "flight to quality" buying in U.S. Treasuries. LTCM's bets went haywire and more than $4 billion in losses piled up.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

This is a Liquidity Driven Stock Market ... / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Things have changed since Bernanke took office and M3 was discontinued. This put blinders on what the Fed was doing relative to Liquidity Injections.

Our Long Term Liquidity measurement is the closest we can get to seeing what Liquidity levels are and when they shift.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Time to take out more Gold as Insurance Against a Financial Market Crash! / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: The market action I've been warning you about — a sharp drop in the Dow down to at least 11,000 — has started. There should be no doubt about that now.

We've recently seen …

The worst U.S. stock market decline in almost five years. Last week marked the S&P 500's steepest weekly drop since September 2003, and it was the worst week for the Dow since March 2003. All this just after I warned you repeatedly right here in Money and Markets that the U.S. markets were headed for a sharp contraction.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Dow Jones Megaphone Bearish Stock Market Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Brian_Bloom

The following chart shows a megaphone formation. It also shows a sell signal in the MACD, but the RSI is in neutral territory.

A ‘megaphone' or ‘broadening' formation is essentially one which shows higher highs and lower lows. As this defies all logic, it is also a sign of a market which is highly emotional. Typically, this is a bearish formation because it is also a sign of a market spiralling out of control.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Fed Fund Interest Rate Futures and Other Financial Market Signals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Jim_Willie_CB

A quick review of signals surely can be both encouraging and confusing. They point to higher physical prices, calmer stock prices, and a continued housing crisis & mortgage debacle. The big banks and Wall Street broker dealers are breaking down very badly. The US Dollar bounce is already running out of steam, hampered by a restored expected interest rate cut. Remember: whatever is vigorously and repeatedly denied is almost surely to occur!!! Deception sells products.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

MPTrader -QID (UltraShort Q's) Not Finished on the Upside / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The ProShares UltraShort QQQQ (AMEX: QID) has climbed 16% off of its 7/19 low, but does not look complete on the upside (yet). All roads appear to point to 77.80-78.20 prior to the conclusion of the current upleg. At this juncture, only a decline that violates today's low at 45.60 will begin to compromise the projected target zone.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Holding the Toxic Debt Bag as Credit Crunch will Shred Investment Portfolios to Ribbons / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Dr_William_R_Swagell

"Credit crunch will 'shred investment portfolios to ribbons.'

When creditors led by Merrill Lynch forced a fire-sale of assets ( of two Bear Stearns hedge funds in danger of collapsing) , they inadvertently revealed that up to $2 trillion of debt linked to the crumbling sub-prime and “Alt A” property market was falsely priced on books… The banks halted the sale before “price discovery” set off a wider chain-reaction.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Wrestling with the Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: Is a major bear market creeping up on us? Well, if you were listening to the talking heads on CNBC last week, it sure seemed like it. Sentiment got bearish in a hurry, and good stocks were trampled down with the bad.

Then the bounce on Monday was followed by a red-ink reversal yesterday. The quandary that investors face now is whether this market is:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

HERE Come The BUYERS! - The Crack-up Boom Series Part VIII – Final / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Ty_Andros

The Crack Up Boom series is exploring the unfolding “Indirect Exchange” (as detailed by Ludvig Von Mises), that dollar holders will be using to exit their holdings now and eventually will be followed by all holders of fiat currency holdings no matter which country is perpetrating the “fraud” of confiscation of wealth through the printing and credit creation process that all such monetary schemes evolve into. The “Crack Up Boom” will drive an inflationary global expansion to inconceivable heights over the coming years. Asset prices will skyrocket as people do what they always do when threatened.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Dow Jones Industrials Skating on Thin Ice / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Gary_Dorsch

Perhaps the most important market in the world today is the vast network of foreign currencies, where total trading volume, including derivatives and futures, average around $2.9 trillion a day. This is ten times the size of the combined daily turnover on all the world's equity markets. And as world's economies have become increasingly integrated, so have the foreign exchange and global capital markets.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 31, 2007

MPTrader - S&P UltraShort ETF on the Rise / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Judging from the fact that the UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares ETF (AMEX: SDS) declined right to 54.01 from Friday's high at 56.87, held, and then turned up for a rally to the 55.70/75 area as we speak, suggests strongly that the "bullish scenario" (for the SDS, bearish for the major equity market ETFs) is unfolding.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Stock Market Internals Go Negative / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: John_Mauldin

Will the market rebound this week or continue last week's slide? Will the credit markets stop their turmoil? These are all questions that investors are confronted with by the financial press. In today's "Outside the Box," we will focus our attention on a well-thought out piece by John Hussman, Ph.D. John is the President of Hussman Investment Trust where he manages the Hussman Strategic Total Return Fund - HSTRX and the Hussman Strategic Growth Fund – HSGFX.

In his Weekly Market Comment , John addresses the recent market volatility and puts it in historical perspective, comparing it in duration to that of previous market cycles. We have currently gone almost 1200 days without a 10% correction, the second longest such period on record.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 30, 2007

The Stock Market Crash of 2007 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Greg_Silberman

They say history doesn't repeat it merely rhymes. If that's the case, we may be setting up for a 2007 market crash. Take a look at this 1987 stock market crash picture:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 30, 2007

Light At the End of the Tunnel, Not New Jersey / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Boris_Chikvashvili

Dear Readers, In April We projected the Markets Energy To take it into Late July Early August fall. Article name "August Again? See the future".

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 30, 2007

NOLTE NOTES - The Manic Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Expect the unexpected. Little did we expect that subsequent to a new all-time high in the Dow, we would be talking about the beginnings of a bear market merely a week later. While we have been cautious about the market for some time (some argue too long!), the concerns that we have been expressing about the markets as a whole all came to bear over a few short days. So now what? The economic news last week, specifically the GDP figures, showed an economy that still has some life, however the focus is now exclusively upon housing and borrowing.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 30, 2007

Mitigating Collateral Damage / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Joseph_Russo

After numerous months of shaking and rattling, financial markets have finally begun to roll - - over, that is - and notably to the downside of late.

Financial engineers the world over, are likely scrambling alongside the brotherhood of institutions, deliberating plausible methods by which to orchestrate transfer of unintended, and immeasurable risks across the global financial sphere.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 30, 2007

Stock Market Crash Alert: Five Steps to Take Immediately ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: With last week delivering the worst stock market rout in nearly five years, millions of investors are in a state of paralysis.

They're finally beginning to wake up to the enormity of the meltdown in the housing market.

They're finally beginning see how it's impacting their stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 29, 2007

Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 29th July 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Andre_Gratian

A 3-dimensional approach to technical analysis
Cycles - Breadth - Price projections

Current Position of the Market.

SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.

SPX: Intermediate Trend - An intermediate trend is underway and is expected to continue for another few weeks.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determines the course of longer market trends.

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