Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 30, 2024
GBP/USD Uptrend: What’s Next for the Pair? / Currencies / British Pound
The GBP/USD pair has continued its upward trajectory, climbing from 1.2664 to a recent high of 1.3246. This strong bullish momentum suggests that as long as the price remains within the rising channel on the 4-hour chart, the uptrend is likely to persist. The next targets for the pair are around the 1.3350 area, with potential to reach the 1.3500 level.
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Friday, August 23, 2024
US Dollar Reserves Have Dropped By 14 Percent Since 2002 / Currencies / US Dollar
Dollar dominance is slowly ebbing as the world looks to diversify away from the greenback.
The share of dollars making up global reserves has dropped by 14 percent since the turn of the century, according to data compiled by the Atlantic Council.
As of 2002, dollars accounted for 72 percent of global reserves. Today, dollars make up about 58 percent of reserves.
This doesn’t mean the dollar is about to collapse, but it does reveal a slow drift away from dollar dominance as other countries seek to minimize their dependence on the greenback and cut the monetary strings the United States often pulls on to advance its foreign policy goals.
Friday, August 23, 2024
EUR/USD Update: Strong Uptrend and Key Levels to Watch / Currencies / Forex Trading
The EUR/USD currency pair has continued its upward movement, rising from 1.0777 to a high of 1.1132 and successfully breaking above the 1.1100 resistance level. This strong performance suggests that further gains are possible, although a minor consolidation may occur first, with the next target around 1.1200.
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Sunday, June 30, 2024
Bitcoin Happy Thanks Halving - Crypto's Exist Strategy / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin on cue trended lower into halving setting a new swing low on Friday at $59.6k before bouncing post halving, currently trading at £65k. Overall picture remains for BTC in a trading range of $72k to $60k pending a breakout higher probably timed with when the dollar turns lower.
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Friday, May 31, 2024
Bitcoin Trend Forecast, Crypto's Exit Strategy / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dear Reader
This article is part 2 of 2 of my recent extensive analysis - Stock Market, Interest Rates, Crypto's and the Inflation Red Pill which was first made available to patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $7 per month, lock it in now at $7 before next rises to $10 per month for new sign-ups. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
Contents
Stock Market Trend Forecast
Swings Analysis
AI Stocks Portfolio
TESLA
Why US Interest Rates are a Nothing Burger
Stocks Bull Market Smoking Gun
Time to take the RED Pill
Crypto Correction
Bitcoin Trend Forecast
Bull Market Tops
Crypto's Exit Strategy
Coinbase MSTR 2.0
So much for the Rise of China Narrative
Friday, May 31, 2024
Zimbabwe Officials Already Looking to Inflate New Gold-Backed Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Last month, Zimbabwe officials introduced a gold-backed currency in an effort to stabilize the country’s economy.
At the time, I warned that a gold-backed currency would be a great step, but that it wasn’t going to solve Zimbabwe’s problems unless the government changed its ways.
So far, things don’t look good.
Government officials are already pushing miners in the African nation to produce more gold. This would allow the government to expand the money supply.
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Saturday, May 25, 2024
Congress Moves against Totalitarian Central Bank Digital Currency Schemes / Currencies / cryptocurrency
As hopes for rate cuts fade, metals markets are giving back some of their recent gains.
On Wednesday, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting showed central bankers are frustrated by the lack of progress on inflation. After several months of official inflation readings coming in hotter than expected, the Fed has been forced to back off on previous plans to ease multiple times throughout the year.
Remarks by Fed policymakers were widely interpreted as hawkish, with some even suggesting that rate hikes might be necessary.
Sunday, May 19, 2024
Bitcoin Bull Market Bubble MANIA Rug Pulls 2024! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dear Reader
Bitcoin sets a new all time high of $69,000 before the exchanges pulled the rug on leveraged longs by dumping BTC down to 59,976 within a few hours of the high, job done and bitcoin is back to near where it was before the rug pull. Think about that for a moment, Bitcoin just dumped near $10k in a few hours and then recovered almost all of it! And this bull market is only getting started!
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Friday, May 10, 2024
Micro Strategy Bubble Mania / Currencies / cryptocurrency
Micro strategy went nuts Friday ending the session at $1106 which prompted my early Monday Morning Market brief warning that MSTR was primed for a huge pump and dump, so get ones limit orders in place to capitalise on what could turn into an epic first few days of the week, where I imagined we could even reach something like 1296 before the bubble popped. However reality turned out to be even crazier and more volatile.
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Thursday, May 09, 2024
Bitcoin Price Swings Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
Just as the 2021 Bitcoin bull market illustrated one can expect sizeable corrections during this bull market following a break to a new all time high in addition to the 10% intra-day swings where 2021 saw 3 major down swings of -31%, -25%, and -17% before the mini bear market ahead of the actual final high.
However, the swings to date averaging just -20% for THIS bull market have been a lot milder to date. So it's a choice between using the previous bull markets swings or this bull markets swings in attempts to extrapolate how the tops and bottoms will play out. However, given that most recent price action is more important than for this exercise I have gone with the most recent swings as likely to be more representative of what could come to pass.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2024
Psychologically Prepared for Bitcoin Bull Market Bubble MANIA Rug Pull Corrections 2024 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin sets a new all time high of $69,000 before the exchanges pulled the rug on leveraged longs by dumping BTC down to 59,976 within a few hours of the high, job done and bitcoin is back to near where it was before the rug pull. Think about that for a moment, Bitcoin just dumped near $10k in a few hours and then recovered almost all of it! And this bull market is only getting started!
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Monday, April 29, 2024
Is Bitcoin Still an Asymmetric Opportunity? / Currencies / Bitcoin
What’s that screeching sound?
- Does this make you nostalgic?
I can still hear the screeching sound of my old dial-up struggling to connect to the internet.
Remember those days? I’d fight with my brothers and sister for a turn on our one family computer.
Slow websites. Frozen pages. Dropped connections. The early days of the internet were rough.
Thursday, April 18, 2024
Is the Biden Administration Trying To Destroy the Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
Confidence in Western financial markets has already been shaken enough by the 20% devaluation of the dollar over the last few years. But now the European Commission wants to hand Ukraine $300 billion seized from Russia. Doing so likely would sound the death knell for the dollar and eventually the euro.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who has worked for literally decades to undermine the strength of the dollar, recently urged world leaders to take this disastrous step of outright theft.
Sunday, April 07, 2024
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Many prominent American founders warned us about paper money.
Thomas Paine may have summed it up best:
“The evils of paper money have no end.”
In an 1814 letter to Thomas Cooper, Thomas Jefferson was prophetic.
Sunday, March 31, 2024
Bitcoin S&P Pattern / Currencies / Bitcoin
Here's a log chart of the Bitcoin price and S&P where I broken the bitcoin trend down into main bull and bear markets, which so far have been followed by minor bull and bear markets.
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Sunday, March 24, 2024
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow / Currencies / cryptocurrency
Have you ever wondered what makes successful crypto traders different? How do they navigate an unpredictable market and consistently achieve impressive results? It's time to reveal the secret of their triumph and show what strategies professional traders use.
Taking the first steps to financial success in a promising market is easier than you think. All you need is internet access, a device, and work strategies such as Order Flow.
Thursday, March 14, 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin Crypto Mania $72k, Bitcoin proxy MSTR mania $1650, here's my Bitcoin analysis and concluding trend forecast for the whole of 2024 that was first made available to patrons who support my work who were buying bitcoin from 16k, no kidding $16k! Where this trend forecast for 2024 dates back to $27k, and then we had MSTR at under $500 in January, all for the price of a cheap Martini, $5 bucks! That's all! to have recieved my Bitcoin Gift! I could not have been any clearer at the time both for Bitcoin and the Microstrategy gravy trains.
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Monday, March 11, 2024
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dear Reader
Bitcoin $70k, Bitcoin proxy MSTR $1400, here's my Bitcoin trend forecast for 2024 which includes how you could have bought BTC for $27k and MSTR for under $500 all for the price of a Martini, just $5 bucks! Being tight fisted has cost you the Bitcoin gift! Still it's not over! The crypto bull market is only getting started! Nevertheless my Bitcoin gift that was first made available to Patrons who support my work, so for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $5 per month, this is your last chance to lock it in now at $5 before it soon rises to $7 per month for new sign-ups. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat. I mean what you getting access for just $5 bucks is literally insane as you will soon find out....
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Saturday, March 09, 2024
US Dollar Trend 2024 / Currencies / US Dollar
Generally when the dollar falls US stocks go up, and when the dollar rises US stocks would tend to exhibit a weaker trend, so a rising dollar does not necessary mean that stocks will fall, rather that it is the rate of change, how volatile the dollar is that can send ripples of uncertainty in the market, so the dollar trading sharply lower would be bearish for stocks -
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Wednesday, January 24, 2024
Make Bitcoin's Volatility Work for You / Currencies / Bitcoin
Here's a bullish forecast when a "crypto winter" was proclaimed
The price action of bitcoin has been the very epitome of volatility.
The good news for Elliott wave practitioners is that the greater the emotional swings in a financial market, the clearer the Elliott waves -- but not at every juncture along a market's price path.
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