Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's now over 1 month since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

S&P, Russell 2000, and NASDAQ all made new highs together. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500, Russell 2000 (small caps), and NASDAQ all closed at all-time highs together last Friday for the first time since January 2018.

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Semi Conductor Stocks Sector Warning or a Buy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

We began tracking this negative divergence in NFTRH last year as the leadership of two premier Semi Equipment companies began to decelerate vs. the broad sector.

Monday, August 27, 2018

SPX Making New Highs, But Nearing a Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is making even newer all-time highs, so it’s time to get out the calculator to find what new targets there may be. The next Pivot date is Wednesday, which is day 266 in the Master Cycle, 8 days beyond the mean. It is also a Primary Cycle pivot, which is often associated with Cyclical strength leading up to it. The two red Fibonacci calculations appear to be the most likely, given the short time available to make that high. However, we cannot rule out the top calculation at 2948.70, should there be a panic buying period.

Monday, August 27, 2018

What’s Next for Stocks When the Yield Curve Inverts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Even though the 10 year – 3 month yield curve is the more useful & timely yield curve, the 10 year – 2 year yield curve is still the most popular yield curve. The 10 year – 2 year curve is almost inverted.

Monday, August 27, 2018

Stock Market Sluggish New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Limited uptrend
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, August 27, 2018

Stock Market Setting Up For A Bigger Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have identified a potential in the markets that many people may have overlooked or are not prepared for.  The recent strength in the markets has skewed many opinions toward the bullish perspective as the S&P, DOW, Transports and Nasdaq have all pushed towards new all-time highs.

We are writing this research post to alert our followers that we believe the US Indices and major markets may be setting up for a moderately deep price pullback that could be in excess of 5% or more.

Our proprietary price modeling systems and advanced learning models are warning us that the upside trend is likely still in place, yet there is a growing and stronger potential for a price pullback that could result in a 4~7% pullback in the near future. We want to alert all our followers that we believe an immediate price pullback is setting up and to protect your long positions.

Monday, August 27, 2018

The FTSE 5 Point Broadening Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – price has moved down off the high and in the process has set up a bearish double top, denoted by the horizontal line. These double tops that form just below the high are generally very bearish as they are with the trend.

Saturday, August 25, 2018

Financial Markets Status: Precious Metals, Commodities, US & Global Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

A general review of the current status across different asset markets. This is not comprehensive, forward-looking analysis as per NFTRH, but it is an up to the minute summary (as of Friday afternoon).

Precious Metals

Gold, silver and gold stock indexes/ETFs made what I had thought were bear flags yesterday, but today’s reversal painted them as short-term bounce patterns (‘W’ with a higher low in the miners and silver).

This chart of gold (courtesy of Barchart.com) shows a flag breakdown, whipsaw and new closing high for the short-term move. As we’ve noted for weeks now, the Commitments of Traders (CoT) is in a contrary bullish alignment with large Specs all but wrung out of the market (they were fleeced again; don’t believe hype about their increased shorting being some sort of conspiracy). All in all, not bad for the relic. The bounce lives on.

Saturday, August 25, 2018

Trade War to Continue, Global Debt Default & Higher Interest Rates Unavoidable / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up we’ll hear from Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael describes two scenarios for the Fed that may BOTH result in a day of reckoning for the U.S. stock market, explains why he sees no end to the trade wars for at least several months, and also tells us what it will take to the get metals moving to the upside again. Don’t miss a jam-packed and terrific interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.

Well, gold and silver markets have been attempting a recovery rally this week, and this morning, they have gotten a little help from a weaker dollar.

The gold market traded above the $1,200 level a couple times this week, and as of this Friday recording, gold prices come in at $1,207 an ounce -- up 1.9% for the week now thanks to a rally this morning. Meanwhile, silver has bounced up and down, but has made no real progress in the past week, trading at $14.87 as of this Friday morning recording, rallying today like gold but flat for the week overall.

Friday, August 24, 2018

S&P and NASDAQ are Up 5 Consecutive Months. Russell is up 6 Months. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

With a little more than 1 week left in August, it looks like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000 will all close higher this month vs. the previous month. In other words, unless the stock market makes a downwards reversal next week, the S&P and NASDAQ will be up 5 months in a row while the Russell will be up 6 months in a row.

Friday, August 24, 2018

Combining Andrews and Elliott Wave to find the Third Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Ron_Jaenisch

Over the years the question of whether the Andrews lines and rules can be used in conjunction with Elliott wave to locate the popular third wave has come up several times. Third waves are popular with Elliott wavers because they often result in long and strong moves. In this article you will see that it is possible and that using the earlier - 1970 era Andrews rules (verses the stuff on the web) makes it much easier. We will examine the two stock trades that were written about, before the orders were placed, in the Andrews Email group this year.

The last trade was TYL.  The step by step procedure was pretty easy. First the top was verified with the New Major Andrews Pivot Indicator (MAPI).

Friday, August 24, 2018

Stock Market Just Below New Record Highs, Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Wednesday's trading session was pretty uneventful, as stocks fluctuated following Tuesday's advance. The S&P 500 index remains close to its Tuesday's new record high of 2.,873.23. But will it continue higher? Or is this a topping pattern before downward reversal?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.3% and +0.4% on Wednesday, as investors took some short-term profits off the table following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index reached the new record high at the level of 2,873.23 on Tuesday, as it broke slightly above its January's 26th high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.3% and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4% yesterday.

Friday, August 24, 2018

Things You Should Know About the Last Year of this Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Now that the S&P 500 has made a new all-time high, we can put the January-February 2018 “small correction” behind us and focus on what lies ahead.

For starters, the S&P 500’s forward returns are pretty bullish (see study).

Monday, August 20, 2018

Surviving a Trade War in the Age of Trump and Brexit / Stock-Markets / Protectionism

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

President Donald Trump keeps surprising the world about this policies. The stance that the US took for years is now changing under his administration. Countries that used to be allies of the United States are now seemingly considered enemies. He has launched trade wars against Canada, China, and even the EU.

Brexit is another problem that has a global impact. There is no final decision yet on how Brexit will happen, and what terms the EU and the UK will agree. These significant global changes have impacted a lot of business owners, especially those who are just starting out.

Monday, August 20, 2018

Stocks Get Closer to January's Record High, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks were little changed on Friday, as investors hesitated following Wednesday-Thursday's S&P 500's advance off support level of 2,800. Will the S&P 500 index continue towards its late January's record high? Or is this just an upward correction before another leg down?

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.4% on Friday, extending their short-term consolidation on Friday, as investors hesitated following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index closed at 2,850 mark and it is currently just 0.8% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4% and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained just 0.1% on Friday.

Monday, August 20, 2018

TASI - Saudi Arabia Stock Index Outlook / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: MarketsToday

Further weakness will confirm bearish outlook for the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI)

TASI (Saudi Arabia stock market) poised to breakdown from large bearish Ascending Wedge pattern.

Weakness apparent over past couple of months and follows a prior advance.

Sunday, August 19, 2018

Stock Market Challenging Recent High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  A new correction has started.  More time is needed to determine its extent and duration.
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, August 19, 2018

Heavy Truck Sales Sending a Bullish Sign for Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As you probably already now, Heavy Truck Sales recently made a new high for this economic expansion.

Friday, August 17, 2018

SPX Losing Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are losing yesterday’s gains as selling in the world markets returns. The index appears to be challenging Short-term support at 2835.51 at this time. This morning the SPX E-mini futures and options expire at the open. It is unusual to see the selling begin before expiration. As a result, this may cause more selling for the regular options that expire later today.

ZeroHedge reports, “A sense of "risk off" has returned to the the market, with 10Y yields sliding, the dollar rebounding from session lows and the Turkish Lira resuming its plunge, renewing concerns about emerging market contagion, leading to a "red return" across global market monitors, following yesterday's torrid surge in the S&P500.”