Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Dow Closes at New All Time High Despite Academics, Journalists and Perma Bears Gibberish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Nadeem_Walayat

New Dow (DJIA) closing high of 15,680 illustrates that the fundamentals as perceived by academic economists, pseudo-economists (Journalists) and market commentators (sales men) which suggested that following the last stock market peak of Mid September, and in the light of dire news of U.S. government shutdown, possible debt default, QE tapering and slowing econcomy that the stock market looked set to have entered into another New bear market. The calls for such dire expectations reached their maximum intensity at the depths of the stock market correction by early October where many commentators in the mainstream press and BlogosFear could be found proclaiming that "The Top Was In", "The Top Was In", and continuing along a now very familiar argument for a debt deflationary death spiral, an argument that is more than 5 years and has YET to materialise whilst 'normal' and seasonally expected stock market corrections have ALWAYS resolved to new all time highs, just as was the case this time around.

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Stock Market Ominous Omens / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Ed_Carlson

With new highs in the S&P 500 last week the bulls are excited again. Never mind the fact that the Dow industrials index is still well below its 9/18/13 high. When determining the health of the broad market technicians like to “look beneath the hood” to the performance of individual sectors particularly the more cyclical groups.

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Stock Market Waiting on the Fed at the Top of the Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Yes, it's a RISING channel!

That's why we are long-term BULLISH but short-term BEARISH. As noted by TraderStewie, this is a movie we've seen before, with the S&P making a power-move to the top of the channel, only to find resistance there that turned out not to be futile.

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Stock Market Bearish and Bullish Trend Outlooks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

My Stock market trend analysis is likely different from what you think is about to unfold. Keep an open mind as this is just showing you both sides of the coin from a technical stand point. Remember, the market likes to trend in the direction which causes the most investor pain.

Since the stock market bottom in 2009 equities has been rising which is great, but this train could be setting up to do the unthinkable. What do I mean? Well, let’s take a look at the two possible outcomes.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Stock Market Drifts High Ahead of Fed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jesse

Today was a very quiet day in the markets with light volumes and a slight upward bias as markets toddle along on earnings results and expectations of no changes from the Fed on Wednesday.

This is a 'dull market.' It looks a bit toppy but I think it might take something to shake the bulls out of their sleepwalking the indices higher.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Stock Market SPX Rally Not Confirmed by the VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Minor Wave 5 is reduced to undecipherable squiggles as the SPX climbs the lower trendline of another Broadening Wedge formation. The break occurs at 1761.00, so we may be on the alert for it.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Stock Market Important Top Within Next Two Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX is back in a short-term uptrend but within days of a top.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Nobel Prize Winner Says Bubbles Don’t Exist / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Casey_Research

By Doug French: No wonder investors don't take economists seriously. Or if they do, they shouldn't. Since Richard Nixon interrupted Hoss and Little Joe on a Sunday night in August 1971, it's been one boom and bust after another. But don't tell that to the latest Nobel Prize co-winner, Eugene Fama, the founder of the efficient-market hypothesis.

The efficient-market hypothesis asserts that financial markets are "informationally efficient," claiming one cannot consistently achieve returns in excess of average market returns on a risk-adjusted basis.

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Is Stock Market Perma-Bearishness a Form of Mental Illness? / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: There was a revealing story in this week’s Wall Street Journal…

David Rosenberg, the chief economist and market strategist at Gluskin Sheff & Associates, spent a decade warning about the health of the U.S. economy and the future of the stock market. That meant he missed the bull market a decade ago but helped the firm’s clients avoid the 2007 to 2008 financial crisis. Unfortunately, he missed the rebound that followed. (Such is the fate of market timers and other psychics and clairvoyants.)

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Repo, Baby, Repo: How Unregulated Banking Triggered Financial Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Mike_Whitney

“Repo has a flaw: It is vulnerable to panic, that is, ‘depositors’ may ‘withdraw’ their money at any time, forcing the system into massive deleveraging. We saw this over and over again with demand deposits in all of U.S. history prior to deposit insurance. This problem has not been addressed by the Dodd-Frank legislation. So, it could happen again.”–Gary B. Gorton, Professor of Management and Finance, Yale School of Management (lifted from Repowatch)

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Stock Market Trick or Treat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jesse

Stocks were drifting higher for much of the day as Amazon's beat on revenues cheered the markets.

The economic news not so much.

Next week is another FOMC decision on October 30. Do we think the Fed will have a trick or a treat for the market?

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

SPX makes an all time high on Tuesday, consolidates, then ends the week at 1760 another all time high. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.0%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.8%, and the DJ World index was 0.4% higher. Economic reporting for the week was almost back to normal, and positive reports edged out negative ones. On the uptick: export/import prices, durable goods orders, wholesale inventories, the FHFA, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: existing home sales, monthly payrolls, consumer sentiment, the M1-multiplier and the WLEI. Next week we get a plethora of economic reports along with the FOMC meeting. Best to your week!

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Stocks Bull Market Continues, But Watch Out For the Short Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

The market’s bias remains to the upside. It could even be that the debt-ceiling fiasco in Washington helped to buy the bull market more time.

Economic reports are beginning to show the government shutdown was a negative for the economy, but had less effect than was feared. Yet it had enough effect to make it unlikely the Fed will begin tapering back its stimulus until at least next March.

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Stock Market Dow Theory Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tim_Wood

With the last all time closing high on the Dow Jones Industrial Average having occurred on September 18th, it is an indisputable fact that as of this writing, structurally, the advance out of the 2009 low remains intact. From a Dow theory perspective, the bullish primary trend change also remains intact. The money makers continue their infusion, the commentators in the mainstream news continue telling us why all is well and what to believe. All the while the public continues taking the bait and seemingly believing that the illusion is real.

Friday, October 25, 2013

U.S. Dollar's Breakdown, Stocks' Breakout and Implications for Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

After 12 years of gains, gold has fallen nearly 20% this year. The price of gold has been pressured for much of this year by the view that the Fed would end its stimulus program soon because of strength in the U.S. economy. However, some recent (weaker than expected) economic data, along with the 16-day U.S. government shutdown, have suggested that the central bank may keep its bond purchase in place for longer and increased gold's safe-haven appeal.

What impact did these circumstances have on the yellow metal?

Friday, October 25, 2013

US Stock Market The Great American Wall Of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Traders and investors all around the world is having trouble climbing over the wall of worry/fear with the US stock market, and rightly so. There is a lot of things taking place and unfolding that carry a high level of uncertainty. Let’s face it, who wants to invest money into the market when it’s hard to come by (high unemployment, banks are still extremely tight with their money, companies are nowhere near wanting to hiring new staff).

Friday, October 25, 2013

Five-Year Stocks Bull Run Showing Signs of Fading? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: A soft jobs reading came out last Tuesday, and the stock market…soared? That’s right. Initially, I was a bit taken aback by the surge, but then again, the buying was driven by the optimism surrounding soft economic growth—because that means the Federal Reserve can justify its continuance of cheap money and the stock market stays at its highs. (You’d be a fool to think the buying was driven by sound economic and corporate growth—even if that is the first lesson in Economics 101.)

Friday, October 25, 2013

Friday’s Fantastic Stock Market Finish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

1,752. You can't argue with that.

We're just a bit off Tuesday's spike high of 1,759 and we closed that day at 1,754 – up 1,088 points (163%) from our March, 2009 low of 666 (the mark of the Dimon!). As you can see from Doug Short's chart, we've had 4 rounds of QE to get us this far and that was after a couple of bailouts but that's all water (or money) under the bridge and here we are…

Friday, October 25, 2013

Gold, Stock Market Investors Time to Sit on the Sidelines / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Toby_Connor

My best guess continues to be that stocks will extend this consolidation on Friday and then deliver one more push higher into the FOMC meeting next week. I expect the Fed will confirm no tapering which will likely trigger a big rally and probably reversal as smart money traders sell into the emotional move. Barring an immediate Fed intervention, that should give us the drop down into the half cycle low.

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Money Printing: Not What It Was / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Adrian_Ash

There are lots of reasons why QE hasn't yet created inflation in the rich West...

SO HEADLINE writers everywhere got to say money really does grow on trees today.

Gold, in fact, has been found in minute quantities in eucalyptus trees in Australia. Analyzing tree leaves and bark could now unearth gold deposits up to 30 metres below ground elsewhere in the world, geochemists say.