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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Financial Macroeconomic Outlook, The Winds of Change / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnthony J. Krcmar submits: The report relies heavily on the conceptual framework of a U.S economy in a balance sheet recession. Our main thesis rests on the belief that until U.S households repair their balance sheets and generate real income growth, they are in no position to drive a self-sustaining economic recovery.  Monetary policy (including quantitative easing (QE)) produces limited results in generating real economic growth--- since the demand for credit and the lack of qualified borrowers remain the issue not the supply of funds. Instead, expansive fiscal policy, through increased government budget deficits, exists as the primary lever to raise economic activity, transfer real financial assets to the private sector, and ease the pain of the deleveraging cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Marc Faber Stock Market S&P Index Won’t Surpass 2011 1,370 High / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, appeared on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart” with Carol Massar and Matt Miller today.

Speaking from Sao Paolo, Brazil, Faber said that the S&P won’t surpass the 2011 high of 1,370 and that investors are “better off in equities than bonds.” Faber also said that keeping money in cash in 10-Years is a “disaster.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Get Out of the Way and Let Markets Work / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: The_Energy_Report

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThomson Reuters' Commodity and Energy Specialist Christopher Henwood believes bailouts of too-big-to-fail companies and countries addicted to entitlements have cast an ominous shadow over the global economy. Nevertheless, he finds room for optimism as global economic turmoil puts downward pressure on energy prices, which should give the economy some breathing room. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Chris shares a bit of his market knowledge and economic philosophy.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Dow:Gold Ratio & the Secular Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I have been warning investors for many months, stocks have now entered stage III of the secular bear market. Gold on the other hand is now in the final parabolic phase of a 2 1/2 year C wave advance.

My best guess was that we would see a Dow:gold ratio of between 5-6 before this C wave ended. The ratio was at 5.71 as of today. For reasons explained in the nightly reports I think we may still have a little further to go on the downside for stocks and a little further upside in gold. So it's entirely possible that we could see a Dow gold ratio of 1:5 before the trends reverse.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

On the Brink Of Another Financial Crisis, Eurozone Crackup / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"We believe that the market has now entered a major downtrend. It is a mistake to dismiss the slide we’ve seen to date as mindless and devoid of fundamentals as many strategists maintain. These are not just scary headlines—-they are scary fundamentals.... There will undoubtedly be some more sharp rallies that will be interpreted as new bull markets. In our view, however, the bear market has only begun, and has a long way to go." -- Comstock Partners, "Bear Market Rally Far From Over", Pragmatic Capitalism

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Another Stock Market "Lost Decade" Coming Up; Boomer Retirement Headwinds / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are digging into a Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco report that models equity prices and P/E ratios based on demographics. The outlook is not promising to say the least.

Interestingly, the report matches articles I wrote earlier this year based on cycles, not demographics.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Investing: Bad News, Good News, and What's Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Janet_Tavakoli

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe manic depressive market wildly swings up and down on each new news story: The Fed is meeting at Jackson Hole on August 27 possibly to discuss QE3 (or not), and that news may pump up the stock market. But China's banks seem to be using Enron's accounting manual, Europe's banks need liquidity and are loaded with bad debt, and U.S. banks only temporarily TARPed over trouble.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Beginning of Classic Stock Market Break Down / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBased on the chart below (courtesy Bigcharts.com) we have just witnessed the beginning of a classic breakdown.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Stock Market Poor Action Continues....Bears In Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

I spent part of the day in a hospital, and I'm tired, so tonight's report will be a little shorter than usual.

The market was very oversold on the short-term charts heading into the weekend and when those charts get repeatedly oversold, you get bounces for a small period time. You don't expect the world higher, but you know some type of reflex is on the way. We saw the futures blast up allowing for a higher open. The market tried a bit higher, but failed not too long after the market gapped up. The Dow was up just a little over two hundred points. In bear markets you avoid chasing gap ups. The market spent the rest of the day trying to hang in there, and after going red a few times, it did manage to hang on to slight profits.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Financial Markets Outook for Gold, Stocks, Volatility, Euro and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Willem_Weytjens

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne month ago, the SP500 was trading at 1,345 points. Today it is trading at 1,128 points, or down over 16%.
One month ago, Gold was trading at $1,601. Today, it is trading at $1,891, or up over 18%.

We therefore look back at some historical developments in this report, in order to forecast future developments.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 22, 2011

Global Stocks Bear Market Is Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Richard_Shaw

Or At Least Knocking On The Door... QVM Clients:

The attached letter provides charts showing evidence that we are in, or nearly in, a global bear market for stocks.

Important news events that will impact the coming week are:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 22, 2011

Dollar and Crude Oil Bearish Triangles Setting Up / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis

By: Mike_Paulenoff

"Triangle, triangle on the wall, what are thee telling us about market direction overall?" Neither the lack of European financial integration nor the imminent fall of Gadhafi have jogged the Euro and Brent crude oil futures out of their recent sideways ranges. Perhaps we should view the post August 8 pattern in the e-mini S&P 500 as a triangle pattern too? And, if so, what will that mean?

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 22, 2011

Gold and Crude Oil Trading Thoughts, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe past few weeks have been fast moving with fearful investors clearly in control. As we all know fear is the most powerful force in the financial market and when the hedge funds and the masses get spooked they all dart in one direction like a school of fish. Watching the charts and volume levels it’s clear that money was/is flowing out of stocks and into precious metals as the risk off safe plays. This was explained in last week’s report on how the GLD etf can be used as a fear/sentiment indicator (read here).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 22, 2011

Stock Market Dip Buyers Beware: Odds Favor Lower Lows in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhether you rely on fundamentals, technicals, or a combination of both, investment analysis centers around looking at probabilistic future outcomes based on historic outcomes that occurred under similar circumstances. Given the weight of the fundamental and technical evidence we have in hand and in the context of history, the odds have shifted from favoring higher highs in stocks and risk assets to favoring lower lows. Until conditions improve, we will continue to err on the side of caution and treat the current market climate as unfavorable for intermediate to longer-term investing. We have minimal exposure to global stocks. We have positions in gold (GLD), silver (SLV), bonds (TLT), and cash.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 22, 2011

Stock Market Long Term Looks Bleak – Not The Short Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The bull market which started on March 2009 at 667 appears to have ended at 1370. The first intermediate decline of the new bear market may be close to being over.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Is High-Frequency Trading Causing Higher Stock Market Volatility? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Investment_U

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJustin Dove writes: Where were you on August 9, 2011?

Alright, it wasn’t some landmark event like Black Monday. Heck, it wasn’t even the 2010 Flash Crash. But to Art Cashin, it was one of the wildest days for the stock markets in 50-plus years.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 21, 2011

How Far Down Can Stock Markets Go ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe crash of Oct. 19, 1987, AKA “Black Monday” witnessed a 20-percent-plus fall of index numbers, and therefore nominal stock market value in 1 day: since early August 2011 we have had falls of around 15 percent in 15 days. 

Retrospective mythmaking on the 1987 crash noted that Iran had fired missiles over the Persian Gulf, causing some nervous moments, rather like Hamas firing missiles on Israel, today. The decisive factor, for some mythmakers treating the 1987 event, was that 24 years ago the US wanted a lower-valued dollar, rather like today, prompting foreign investors to start to dump stocks fearing exchange rate-related losses.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Begins / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWorld markets have broken important support levels over the past three weeks. Global equity indexes have now fallen into a new bear market.

Fears about the spiraling European debt crises and a stalling US economy is largely the cause for the decline (Chart 1). Most indexes have already dropped 10% to 14% in August as investors run to safe havens. An additional 10% to 12% is expected by year end.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Scarlett O'Hara's Risk-Free Rate / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe death of the long-established risk-to-reward asset categories was the subject of "It's Over." From lowest to highest: cash, bonds, and stocks, are the pecking order of institutional investment policies. Pension plans and endowments that have wandered into warehouses and gas-pipeline management often retain the outline as a mental diagram. The assets with the highest assumed risk (using statistical measurements) are expected to produce the highest return. The genesis for this construction is the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), a deeply flawed academic theory.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Nasty Stocks Bear Market Below S&P 1249 Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Jack_Steiman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe look for defining moments that tell us something has changed. That what was once one trend is now another, although it's hard to see it initially. It's about trusting those technicals that tell you where one market ended and another began. S&P 500 1249 was that level. Losing it lost the up trend line off the March 2009 lows. It also meant losing huge horizontal support, and the bottom of the big triangle in place at the time. It opened the door to much lower prices potentially, and that potential has been filled. I don't think anyone would deny that. It's been ugly since we lost S&P 500 1249. Some short-term rallies along the way, but the trend has been to sell and sell hard almost on a daily basis. Some monster days lower of 4% plus. One day like that is unusual enough. Multiple days like that tell you something is terribly wrong economically.

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