Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Dow Stock Market Index History: Where Are We Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short. Advisor Perspectives welcomes guest contributions. The views presented here do not necessarily represent those of Advisor Perspectives.
Following on from my overall summary chart of 110 years of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) published here last week, further detailed analysis serves to demonstrate that volatility has been reliably consistent for the past 110 years, and now is no different.
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Tuesday, January 17, 2012
U.S. Dollar, Weak Corporate Earnings Indicate Stock Market Top is Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Earnings season is now upon us and so far the only major earnings component that has been released is the J.P. Morgan earnings report that came in Friday before the market opened. After the report was digested by the marketplace, prices fell dramatically.
While the charlatans in Washington try to sell the American public into believing that the U.S economy is starting to firm up, the underlying truth is that the recovery has been relatively week. If it were not for the massive liquidity injections provided by the Federal Reserve through multiple quantitative easing adjustments, risk assets would likely be priced significantly lower.
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Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Next Financial Crisis "Lehman Moment' Is Coming Fast / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
Shah Gilani writes: It seems that my Thursday edition of Wall Street Insights & Indictments was warmly received by the bullish crowd, many of whom reached out to me to thank me for my optimism.
I'm sorry to burst your bubbles, but I am not a raging bull (but thank you for asking).
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Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Morphic Fields and Stock Market Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Dan Brown popularized the Institute of Noetic Sciences (IONS) in the novel The Lost Symbol. IONS is in fact a real research organization. The mission of IONS includes the rather unique goal of supporting individual and collective transformation through consciousness research, with an end toward maximizing human potential. Granted, this is a rather lofty and somewhat subjective sounding agenda and you are likely skeptical of the application of research going on at IONS to the real world.
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Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Stock Market Reversal is Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top... or more, is now very close.
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Monday, January 16, 2012
Stock, Commodity, Bond and Forex Markets Breakout or Breakaway? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
We begin this week weekly analysis by looking back at the week COT data which show increasing spec shorts on key currencies.
In Treasury futures, speculative investors have been getting longer in FV, increasing their net long positions to 304K contracts from 252K from the last week. Net spec positions in the charts below show the difference between gross long and short positions in each contact held by speculative traders, or non-hedgers, as reported by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
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Sunday, January 15, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Complacency Still Rules and China Stalls / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It’s my view that the reluctance to believe you are in a prolonged bear market slowly decreases over time until the final bottom is reached and closure is realised. The recent sharp 52%fall in the Baltic Dry Index, together with the low levels currently experienced by the $VIX and the ProShares Ultra Short S&P500 ETF (SDS) and the comparative high levels of the equity markets, clearly show that complacency is still well entrenched in the market place.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 14, 2012
Stock Market Bull is Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Another quiet and positive week, technically, in the US markets. For the third week in a row the market traded in a narrow range: 20 points, 20 points and 22 points this week. The last two weeks have been positive with new uptrends highs. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.70%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.05%. Foreign markets had a better week. Asian markets rose 2.4%, European markets rose 1.3% and the DJ World index rose 1.1%. Economic reports had a negative bias, with two down for every one up. On the uptick: consumer credit, import prices, consumer sentiment and the monetary base. On the downtick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, export prices, the WLEI, and both weekly jobless claims plus the twin deficits worsened. Overall, January has started off with a good positive bias. Next week, we’ll be watching the CPI/PPI, Industrial production and Building permits. Best to your week!
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Saturday, January 14, 2012
Brazil Stock Market Looks Like A Buying Opportunity Again / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Brazil continues to impress as a country and economy, due in no small way to its government’s multi-year efforts and determination to make it an important global presence.
Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world by geographical area and population (190 million), and now has the sixth largest economy, having surpassed the United Kingdom last year.
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Saturday, January 14, 2012
Friday The 13th Stock Market Scare / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
As we approach a long weekend, I was leaning bullish for an extension of the rally into next week which is also options expiration. That changed this am as we had euro concerns causing a jump in the dollar and bonds and corresponding weakness in stocks and commodities. With the market near highs, profit taking is also a consideration.
The dollar moved first, bonds are catching up right now (in the short term).
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Friday, January 13, 2012
U.S. Dollar Centric Derivatives Complex Progenitor of Parasitic Ponzi Price-Fixing / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
The term “derivative” has become a dirty, if not evil word. So much of what ails our global financial system has been laid-at-the-feet of this misunderstood, mischaracterized term – derivatives. The purpose of this paper is to outline the origin, growth and ultimately the corruption of the derivatives market – and explain how something originally designed to provide economic utility has morphed into a tool of abusive, manipulative economic tyranny.
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Trends 2012: The Good, the Really Bad and the Very Ugly / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Are you ready for a 2012 that will be "Good" for the well-prepared, really "Bad" for wishful thinkers, and very "Ugly" for the see-nothings and do-nothings – those with their heads in the sand who blindly trust their leaders?
A few weeks ago we sent you a recap of the Trends Journal’s "Top Trends 2011" forecasts. There is very little in today’s headline news that was not in last year’s Trends Journal forecasts.
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Anticipating the Stock Market Golden Cross / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
I had a neighbor who set his sprinkler system to go on every Wednesday around 5 a.m., about the same time I am about to reach his yard on my jog. After a few weeks of getting my ankles wet, I started to cross the street before I reached his property.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 13, 2012
Deadly Dow 36,000 & The Secret History Of A 70% Stock Market Loss / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Some nvestors fear that the Dow may go to 4,000 or 5,000. Surely that would be bad, but there is a worse possibility to consider, which is that the Dow could go to 36,000 instead. Now, Dow 36,000 may sound like a "problem" that most investors would love to have! So what's the danger?
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Bill Gross of PIMCO on Global Economy, and how investors can get returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
PIMCO's Bill Gross spoke to Bloomberg TV's Trish Regan this afternoon, saying he's "very worried" about the global economy and that U.S. Treasuries are a "safe haven."
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Friday, January 13, 2012
China Stock Investors Face Rampant Chinese Fraud / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Carson Block of Muddy Waters Research spoke to Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker about his outlook for China.
Block said that he is "very much looking for U.S.-listed Chinese companies with which we can go long." He also said that "the chances are better than 50 percent that we'll see [a hard landing in China] in the next two to three years."
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Thursday, January 12, 2012
How Bond yields and Money Supply influence Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
What is a Bond? A bond is a form of debt like a loan or IOUs. A Corporation like AIG may raise fund through the sale of bonds, a city may sell bonds to build a bridge or the Federal Government may issue bonds to finance spiraling debts. All of these entities need money to operate and they do so by issuing bonds.
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Thursday, January 12, 2012
Stock Market Solid Action At Key Resistance.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The bears will make a strong argument that the consolidation is more like churning at key resistance. The bulls will tell you that the market is holding very well at the breakout point, although the S&P 500 is still thirty points away, but needs to clear the old highs at 1292 to get things rolling. If they can do that, then they can challenge the July-high trend line that comes down around S&P 500 1318/1320. I have to form an opinion, of course, about how I see things, and I have to say, it looks more favorable than not. I wouldn't bet the farm, or even a bedroom, on it, but the bulls look to be gaining more and more control on the situation.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Evolving Financial Crisis. Solvency of the Euro Zone / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The hand of the US elitists shows more each day in the decisions being made in Europe. Mario Draghi, ex-Goldman Sachs, Trilateralist and Bilderberg, is putting everything in place just the way the US elitists want. We are about to see full scale quantitative easing.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Market Madness: How to Play Bonds, China, and Gold in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: Yes, I know that markets are irrational.
I read Charles Mackay's 1841 classic, "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" long before it ever became fashionable.
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