Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Evolving Financial Crisis. Solvency of the Euro Zone / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The hand of the US elitists shows more each day in the decisions being made in Europe. Mario Draghi, ex-Goldman Sachs, Trilateralist and Bilderberg, is putting everything in place just the way the US elitists want. We are about to see full scale quantitative easing.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Market Madness: How to Play Bonds, China, and Gold in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: Yes, I know that markets are irrational.
I read Charles Mackay's 1841 classic, "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" long before it ever became fashionable.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Stocks Vulnerable To Bad News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Financial markets love any story that involves printing money. Tuesday’s report showing China’s import growth fell to a two-year low prompted speculation that “China will loosen monetary policies to bolster economic growth”, according to Bloomberg. Tuesday’s gains left numerous markets overbought and susceptible to any negative headlines.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Five Market Trends to Watch in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The new year begins with a big question mark hanging overhead. The second half of 2011 left many investors weary of what to expect relative to the economy, Europe and other news. The outcome will be based on current trends playing out and new trends developing. Following these trends as they unfold, along with the opportunities they present will play an important role for investment results. The following are trends or potential trends to follow as we start 2012:
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Tuesday, January 10, 2012
The European Debt Crisis and Your Investments / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
About the PublisIn 1999, 11 European countries surrendered their currencies for the euro and a shared monetary authority. Barely a decade later, the once-celebrated EU is in the midst of a credit crisis and its currency is facing collapse.
Elliott Wave International's analysts have been anticipating and tracking the credit contagion across the European nations for the past two years. EWI subscribers were first alerted to the still-developing European debt crisis back in December 2009.
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Tuesday, January 10, 2012
Stock Market Praying For Resolution.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Aren't we all! If this continues for too much longer we may all lose our collective minds. It's almost too painful to wake up, and deal with this every single day. If this was a short-term pattern for just a few months I could deal with it, but this is going on just far too long, and it needs to go away. I am ready to pray to the stock-market Gods for help. It's insane how this is allowed to go on day-after-day. The good is the trend lines. The long-term up-trend line and down-trend line are pinching. This can't go on forever, unless they start having the S&P 500 trade in a two-point range for a few months. I wouldn't put it past the higher-ups to do it, just to drive the last bull and bear to walk away forever. Today was yet another example of this tedious process. It was a small move up at the open that went nowhere for another six-and-a-half hours. Torture! Some volatility would be nice.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Stock Market Uptrends Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The NDX has broken down out of its rising wedge pattern after making a slight new high this morning. The cycles tell us that we have two solid weeks of decline ahead. At the very minimum, we should see a break of the November 25 low at 2150.88. Chances are good that the decline may go even deeper.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
World Stock Markets 2012 New Year Start Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short. Our eight benchmark world indexes got off to a mixed start for 2012, again on thin volume and variously abbreviated by a mix of market holidays. The DAXK and BSE SENSEX were the stellar performers, a full percent above the S&P 500, which also had strong opening week, as did the FTSE 100. The Shanghai finished last and is now a stunning 37.68% off its interim high. In fact, the adjacent chart shows that six of our eight indexes are more than 20% off their interim highs.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Could Crude Oil Prices Intensify a Pending S&P500 Selloff? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Last week we received reports that the unemployment rate in the United States was improving markedly. In addition, sentiment numbers were released that confirmed my previous speculation that market participants were becoming more and more bullish as prices in the S&P 500 edged higher. The exact numbers that came in demonstrated that bullish sentiment had not reached current lofty levels since February 11, 2011. The table below illustrates the most recent sentiment survey:
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Stock Market Another Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top likely soon.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Markets Vanish - "In a Flash" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
What follows is the same warning broadcast in January 2011. In his January 6, 2012, Credit Bubble Bulletin, Doug Noland discussed the same topic: "The '08 crisis is considered a low-probability "tail event" - a so-called rare "black swan" or "hundred-year flood." Yet I would argue that such a financial crisis was in reality a high probability outcome. Bubbles burst - plain and simple. It is the act of predicting the timing of their demise that tends to be an exercise in low probability outcomes. This is especially the case when government policymaking is a major factor fueling Credit and asset Bubble excess...."
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
U.S. Stock Market the New Safe Haven? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
2012 starts off with one interesting day, then returns to the inflection point. Overall, US indices did well for the week with the SPX/DOW +1.40%, and the NDX/NAZ +3.05%. Global equity markets were less robust as Asian markets gained 0.9%, European markets lost -0.4%, and the DJ World index gained 0.8%. US economic reports for the week were quite impressive: nine positive versus two negative. On the uptick: ISM, construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, the Payrolls report, the M1-multiplier, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate declined. On the downtick: the monetary base and the WLEI declined. Next week we have the FED’s beige book, retail sales and consumer sentiment.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Financial Markets Dull Start To The New Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Another year passed, although the start to the New Year has so far has been anything but an explosive start, US markets are pretty stuck in a range and chopped traders to pieces, not exactly great conditions for making successful trades. Times like that I strongly suggest sitting it out and waiting for this market to makes its move.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
The Stock Market Dueling Forces of 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The cyclical bull market recovery which began in March 2009 was powerful in its first year, moderately strong in 2010 and visibly weakened by the end of 2011. Thus we have the pattern of a recovery which is losing internal force with each passing year. The start of a New Year heralds some interesting possibilities for the coming 12 months, which we'll discuss in this commentary.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Mega Trends 2012 and their Impacts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
To arrive at an outlook for the year ahead we first need to analyze the big trends that endure for decades and in some cases even longer.
Population growth and food resources
The number one dynamic over the last century has been the exponential rise in global population. It took 123 years for the world population to grow from 1 to 2 billion (by 1927) and only 12 years to grow from 5 to 6 billion (by 1999). Growth, however, is now slowing and we are predicted to rise from the current 7 billion to a peak of 9 billion in the 2050s.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Stock Market Push-Pull Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The story is definitely an old one. A boring one at that. Push and pull, and then some more push and pull with both sides seemingly exhausting, themselves. While they catch their breath, they realize that they've done nothing to get excited about. They bend down with their hands on their knees and say why bother.
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Saturday, January 07, 2012
Emini S&P Stock Index Pattern Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
After two hours of trading, let's notice that although the e-mini S&P 500 declined 14 points off its reaction spike-high after the Jobs Report, the weakness did NOT violate last evening's pullback low at 1266.75, which preserves a constructive intraday pattern bias.
At this juncture, only a decline that breaks both 1268.25 and 1266.75 will disrupt the overall bullish pattern off of yesterday's low -- and should trigger a press to test more critical support at 1259.75.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Stock Market Rally Party May Be Over! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
About it every 35 to 40 days we get a major profit-taking event occur in the stock market. In bull markets that's all it is, a profit-taking event. In a bear market it is a resumption of the cyclical downtrend triggered by deteriorating fundamentals. It still remains to be seen whether or not stocks have rolled over into another cyclical bear market.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Stock Market Gains May Not last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Numerous markets and time frames still point to lower lows in stocks later in 2012. We believe the S&P 500 could push above 1,285 toward the 1,300 - 1,343 range. However, that move may be retraced fairly quickly, based on DeMark counts, increasing bullish sentiment, and still-elevated Italian bond yields. The negative implications of a 10-year Italian bond yielding 7% were outlined at the 00:29 and 13:00 marks of a December 18 video.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Why China's "Blindside" Could Be A Great Stock Market Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There's not a day goes by that I don't see some variation of the theme that China is going to crash, or that somehow that nation will blindside us, and that its markets may fall 60%.
This is like saying the U.S. markets were in for a hard landing in March of 2009 after they had fallen more than 50%. Folks who bit into this argument and bailed not only sold out at the worst possible moment, but then added agony to injury by sitting on the sidelines as the markets tore 95.68% higher over the next two years.
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