Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Stock Market Mergers and Aquisions Buzz Fades... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The optimism that powered pre-market trading faded as the bulls can't sustain any sort of momentum...
Recommendation: Sell shares of DIA, QQQQ, and SPY at market fifteen minutes after the open. This will leave us in cash but we believe that equities will bounce due to their large gap down open.
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Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Stock Market Losing Session Closes Near Key Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed on the day today after a mid-day and afternoon rally brought them back from early losses. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 opened lower, tried to bounce in the morning, but then gave it up. They hit new lows for the entire decline on the SPX down around 1063.90. At that point the NDX held near yesterday's lows around 1811, and without getting any further downside follow-through, the indices began a snapback. When the morning rally highs were taken out they extended that rally, but backed and filled in the last hour. They backed off, particularly in the last few minutes, to remain negative in the blue chips, but the NDX managed to stay positive today.
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Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Stock Market Finds A Way...But On The Edge Of Breaking Down.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Breaking markets down is never an easy chore. The problem for the bulls is that they have yet to get the type of news that would allow them to break this market out, thus the stalemate we are seeing for the past several months. All the bulls need is a little good news to get them moving higher. It needs to be soon one would think, or the floor may finally fall out form underneath them. 2170 is a key level since that's where the long-term up trend line comes in off the March 2009 lows, and on the weekly chart. 2167 is the 70-week exponential moving average. A strong confluence of support the bears just can't seem to make happen with force for themselves. A good start today, but no force yet.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Fascinating Fibonacci Price Grids and Intraday S&P 500 Price Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Analyzing a 2-day 15-minute interval S&P 500 chart from last week, August 19-20, 2010, provides a valuable lesson in Fibonacci ratio related market action. The Level 3 grid included in the chart below comes from drilling down through the Fibonacci ratio price grids in the entire 1982-2007 bull market. What this chart demonstrates is that investors and traders that do not track the current Fibonacci price grids might as well be investing and trading wearing blindfolds.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Hindenburg Stock Market Crash Omen is Nonsense Says BubbleOmics / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Apparently there has been another Hindenburg Omen sighted, and apparently also one of those has preceded every US stock market crash since 1985.
Robert McHugh has a table that proves that: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article22097.html
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Investors Going All in on Bonds Dot Com Bubble Style! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Bond funds are attracting cash like stocks during the dot-com boom.
That’s the headline this morning on Bloomberg, who says: "The amount of money flowing into bond funds is poised to exceed the cash that went into stock funds during the Internet bubble, stoking concern fixed-income markets are headed for a fall. Investors poured $480.2 billion into mutual funds that focus on debt in the two years ending June, compared with the $496.9 billion received by equity funds from 1999 to 2000, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and the Washington-based Investment Company Institute." $480Bn?!? Whuck!?!
Monday, August 23, 2010
Six Reasons To Buy Stocks In The Short-Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
When looking at the charts, we see a potential bull count, specifically this wave 2 morphing into a bigger wave 2.
What is interesting are a few tidbits that make us think a little deeper about us possibly being still in wave 2.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Fear Of God, the Fed's Primary Tool / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The fear of God – or the perception of power – this is the primary tool of the Fed these days. It’s not credibility anymore, as this has been damaged to the same extent as its balance sheet. This is widely understood as a primary fundamental within the larger scheme of things in that the dollar ($) is the world’s primary reserve currency, where expectations associated with renewed Quantitative Easing (QE) is common place, and now talk of hyperinflation is growing amongst the more plugged in market observers. And it’s this that accounts for the growing and extreme bearishness amongst speculators concerning the $.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Fresh M&A Talk Lifts Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
US stocks fell Friday, extending a second straight weekly decline for major benchmarks, as a drop in commodities pulled oil and metals producers down amid concern the economic rebound may be flagging. Research In Motion slumped 3.5 percent as the maker of the BlackBerry smartphone was cut to “underweight” at Morgan Stanley. The firm also trimmed its share-price estimate for tech bellwether Hewlett-Packard sending the stock down by 2.2 percent the biggest drop in the Dow. Elsewhere Freeport- McMoRan Copper & Gold and Schlumberger both declined at least 1 percent to help lead declines in commodity producers.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Stock Market Trend In No-Man's Land... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The major indexes closed mixed and market participants are on edge over whether this a bottom or the beginning of a significant slide.
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
What's Ahead on Wall Street as Investors Tackle a Slow Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Wall Street was hit hard last week with gloomy data that has kept buying interest stalled and investors spooked over a slow economic recovery.
Stocks slipped over the past week after investors learned from government reports that jobs are getting scarcer than straw hats in a wind tunnel, and it isn't always sunny in Philadelphia.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
The Hindenburg Omen, A Potential Fat Tail Event on the Horizon? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The S&P 500 has been flashing a number of technical signals to the market over the month of August. Amongst the various signal we had an inverse head and shoulders and an ascending wedge giving investors bullish and bearish signals. August 11th provided a resolution with the ascending wedge breaking down and the market moving significantly lower. More troublesome was the market's action the next three trading days. After large moves in one direction the market typically consolidates in the opposite direction as short term traders look to book profits and others buy on dips/sell into strength. What we had was the opposite, a market that could not move higher and instead drifted lower.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Are Gold and SP500 Topping Out Here? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Prices continue to churn as traders and investors try to figure if they want their hard earned dollar in cash or investments. The market is very jittery simply because no one wants to get caught on the wrong side of the market if it makes another 30-40% move, which is why we are seeing money rotate in and out each with very little commitment and follow through. Until a major trend looks to be in place most investors will not me holding many positions over night or through the weekend.
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Heading In The Right Direction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Insiders are buying, and the "dumb money" indicator is neutral but nearly becoming more bearish (i.e., bull signal). Another week of downside pressure will likely set up another buying opportunity in the near future as lower prices will bring out the bears. How sustainable will this buying opportunity be is the only question. In recent months, bearish extremes in investor sentiment have led to quick rallies (1-2 weeks) on lackluster volume that have been prone to fail. In other words, the markets aren't going anywhere fast, and the risk of failure is mounting.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 22, 2010
Third Hinderburg Omen Signals Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Friday back on the job.- The FDIC Failed Bank List announced eight new bank closures this week. My count suggests 118 on August 20th. ShoreBank Corp., the Chicago lender operating under a Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. cease-and- desist order for 13 months, will be shut and most of its assets will be bought by Urban Partnership Bank, two people with direct knowledge of the matter said.
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
China U.S. Investing Strategy After Unocal / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
After state-owned CNOOC was blocked from the Unocal acquisition in 2005, China has instead turned toward other countries such as Australia, Canada and Brazil for its natural resource strategic investments.
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
America's Financial System Based on Debt Deception, Stock Markets Headed a Lot Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“When power leads man toward arrogance, poetry reminds him of his limitations. When power narrows the areas of man's concern, poetry reminds him of the richness and diversity of his experience. When power corrupts, poetry cleanses. For art establishes the basic human truths which must serve as the touchstones of our judgment. The artist. . . faithful to his personal vision of reality, becomes the last champion of the individual mind and sensibility against an intrusive society and an offensive state.” - John F. Kennedy
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
Emerging Market Country ETFs: Why These Investments Should Be in Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Carl Delfeld writes: No matter where I went – Tokyo, Hong Kong or London – the story was the same.
When I stopped by global equity fund managers to pitch them on American small cap stocks, they’d pull out elegant, leather-covered ledgers and take notes with their Mont Blanc fountain pens.
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
Hindenburg Stock Market Crash Omen Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
So what is a Hindenburg Omen? It is the alignment of several technical factors that measure the underlying condition of the stock market -- specifically the NYSE -- such that the probability that a stock market crash occurs is higher than normal, and the probability of a severe decline is quite high. This Omen has appeared before all of the stock market crashes, or panic events, of the past 25 years. All of them. No panic sell-off (greater than 15 percent) occurred over the past 25 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen. Another way of looking at it is, without a confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe. But we have an official Hindenburg Omen as of August 20th, 2010.
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
Mega Private Equity Deal in 2010: Some Fundamentals in Place / Stock-Markets / Mergers & Acquisitions
With Merger and Acquisition really picking up steam in the last month, the question arises whether private equity will be able to complete a major move in the remainder of 2010. This past week Intel acquired software security firm McAfee for $7.7 billion in an all cash deal and the prior week BHP offered $40 Billion to take over Potash Corp. from shareholders.
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