Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 21, 2011
Stock Market Outlook Still Favors Bearish Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Numerous problems are facing investors:
- The flawed structure of the Eurozone is coming back to haunt global leaders. The markets want the European Central Bank (ECB) to print money, but the golden rule applies: “He who has the gold makes the rules.” In Europe, Germany “has the gold”. Germany has seen what money printing can do and thus, is vehemently opposed to cranking up the printing presses.
Monday, November 21, 2011
Stock Market Sitting on Nothing But Air, Dollar About to Breakout? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
-- The VIX pullback to intermediate-term trend support at 32.08. It is on a weekly buy signal, having crossed above its 4-year cycle support at 27.26 (red line). The buy signal is confirmed on the daily chart, as it is necessary to remain at or above intermediate-term Support/Resistance. The current buy signal remains in effect for a probable three weeks or longer. That indicates the probability of strong positive momentum in the Volatility Index lasting through early December.
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Monday, November 21, 2011
Stock Market Still Consolidating? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The rally from 1075 is most likely expanding its consolidation. It's probably too early to start another major leg down.
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Sunday, November 20, 2011
On the Verge of Huge Stock Market Crash, Implications For Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
We might be on the verge of another huge market crash, one similar to 2008.
Check out the following chart below, and you will see why…
- The RSI hasn’t been overbought anymore in a long time, indicating weakness in stock markets… The same was true in 2008.
- The SP500 found heavy resistance in the 1260-1280 zone (just as we warned our subscribers), which was the low of June 2011. A similar thing happened back in May 2008, where price ran into resistance of the November 2007 low.
Sunday, November 20, 2011
Stock Market Chart Patterns Beauty Of Symmetry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There are no other words to describe the symmetry between these two chart patterns than simply beautiful.
I purposely left the scale and dates off the charts as to not distract your eyes. It is simply too powerful to ignore yet that is what many have done, self included over the past two weeks as the 200MA blurred our vision. A somewhat meaningless number took our eyes off the pattern playing out before us.
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Sunday, November 20, 2011
Stock Market Reply of 2008 Financial Armageddon Panic All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
When I was looking at some long term charts, I found out that the current situation for the SP500 is very similar to the situation in 2008.
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Sunday, November 20, 2011
Has the Stock Market Bear Returned? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The recent market action has me wondering if the next leg down in the cyclical bear market has begun.
I always expected that we would see a very convincing rally out of the October yearly cycle low. I thought it even possible that we would test the 200 day moving average. Most bear markets do rally out of the initial leg down and test the 200 day moving average.
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Sunday, November 20, 2011
Stock Market Bull or Bear, This Correction Should Tell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
For the third week in a row the market had a turnaround tuesday event. Three weeks ago it hit the SPX 1215 low. Two weeks ago the SPX 1278 high. And, this tuesday the high for the week at SPX 1264. Economic reports for the week were again biased to the upside. On the downtick: the CPI/PPI, retail sales, business inventories, housing starts and the Philly FED. On the uptick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the NAHB housing index, building permits, leading indicators, the monetary base, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims improved. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.35%, and the NDX/NAZ were -4.15%. Asian markets lost 3.0%, European markets lost 2.9%, and the DJ World index lost 3.9%. Next week’s holiday shortened economic highlights are Q3 GDP, PCE prices and the FOMC minutes.
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Sunday, November 20, 2011
Japan Stock Market Bearish Trigger Whilst Everyone Is Watching Europe / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
I have been closely following the Japanese Nikkei Stock Market Index ($NIKK) lately waiting for it to break down below the neckline of a big "head and shoulder-y"-type topping pattern that has been going on for over 2 years now. Well, this week it finally broke on a weekly basis. Ignoring other important global markets is a mistake for American and European traders. The fact that Japan broke down this week means there should be very little weight given to the bullish case for common equities in my opinion (unless this break down quickly reverses course, which seems unlikely at this point).
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Sunday, November 20, 2011
Stock Market Rally, It's a Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
So far, the high for the year occurred on May 2nd at 12,876 on the Industrials and on July 7th at 5,627.85 on the Transports. In turn, this left an upside non-confirmation in place and on August 4th both the Industrials and the Transports closed below their previous secondary low points. This was the first time since the March 2009 low that this has occurred. In doing so the primary trend turned bearish in accordance with Dow theory.
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Saturday, November 19, 2011
S&P Stock Index Unable to Sustain Strength / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
As the e-mini S&P 500 circled unchanged near the end of Friday's session, we noticed the price action had failed to lift off of the lower Bollinger Band line at 1206.25 on the daily chart.
In an underlying, very constructive technical set-up, a traverse from the upper BBnd line (1289.25 on Oct 27) to the lower BBnd (1207 on Nov 17) usually resolves itself in a potent upmove off the lower line, which renews the dominant uptrend.
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Saturday, November 19, 2011
Why We Should Help Debt Crisis Europe! / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
A major component of the big new eurozone rescue plan is to substantially increase the European EFSF contingency bailout fund, from 440 billion euros to 1 trillion euros ($1.4 trillion). The fund would then be a substantial firewall, with the ability to lend money to Italy, Greece and other countries at low interest rates, helping them cover their debts until the austerity measures being imposed bring their debt loads under control.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 19, 2011
Stock Market, I Remain Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The hourly chart of the NDX looks unbelievably bearish. There is no hourly support whatsoever. As I had mentioned in prior e-mails, the Broadening Wedge in the Head and Shoulders pattern compel me to believe the crash is imminent. The market held up during options expiration, but that does not mean that we can't have a serious gap down Monday morning.
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Saturday, November 19, 2011
Essential U.S. Budget Deficit Elephant Realities and Gold Antidote for Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“U.S. Federal Budget Deficit Reality. On November 23rd… the Congressional Super Committee is due to announce a mandatory plan for cutting the federal budget deficit. Ostensibly, the package to be produced will provide at least a 1.2-trillion dollar deficit reduction over ten years. Even if the Committee can reach an agreement… the deal will not be meaningful… consider the following:
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Friday, November 18, 2011
Stock Market Flash Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The SPX is caught between intermediate term trend resistance at 1220.23 and hourly cycle bottom support at 1214.43. Final support not shown in the charts is the 17 hour cycle bottom at 1204.79. Below that is free-fall territory.
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Friday, November 18, 2011
Gold Rallies after "Hard Hit", ECB "Now Only Significant Bond Buyer" / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2011
SPOT MARKET prices to buy gold regained some ground on Friday morning – following a sharp drop on Thursday, which saw a disappointing Spanish government bond auction and sustained losses on European and US stock markets.
At one point on Thursday, gold prices fell 1.9% in just one hour – with several analysts suggesting investors ha to liquidate gold holdings to cover positions elsewhere.
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Friday, November 18, 2011
Why Warren Buffett Is Buying Stocks And You Should Be Too / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Legendary investor Warren Buffett recently made news with his purchase of International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM), though I can't say I'm surprised.
Despite criticism that he's buying into a top-heavy market, that IBM is at a premium, and that he's losing his touch, chances are Buffett knows exactly what he's doing.
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Friday, November 18, 2011
Stock and Commodity Markets Make Or Break / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
BIG PICTURE – The global economy is slowing down, most of Europe is in recession and the US is also on the verge of a contraction. Nonetheless, the ‘risk on’ trade has raged over the past month and somehow, the market seems to be oblivious to the real economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Things Getting Ugly for Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX has clearly emerged out of its Diamond pattern formation and, technically speaking, has nothing but air to the bottom of the charts. This is a perfect crash set up. Since the SPX reentered its original Broadening Wedge formation, it may still be under the influence of that Broadening Wedge, which has a target below 1000. In fact, there is some argument that we are now entering the crash phase of the initial Broadening Wedge.
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Thursday, November 17, 2011
A Stock Market Trifecta of Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The NDX has now crossed and back-tested the lower trendline of its Broadening Top at 2312.00 and the intermediated-term trend support at 2306.00. This gives the NDX a confirmed sell signal. The next probable support is the neckline at 2292.00, which happens to correspond with hourly cycle bottom support. Once these are all crossed, we will have a trifecta (or possibly a “fourfecta”) of sell signals. This would put the Head & Shoulders target in play.
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