Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 04, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Participation Level Slowly Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
In the February Newsletter, I mentioned that the high level of bullish participation was expected to gradually wane starting in February. The extra high percent (85% to 92%) of stocks on the NYSE Composite trading above their 200-day moving averages was not sustainable. Fledgling bulls markets typically display this high range during the first year and then drift lower into a 80% to 50% band in the second year. The NYSE appears to be following the standard path.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Stock Market Ultra Focused on Friday's U.S. Jobs Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Again, the market is getting ultra focused on Fridays Jobs report...
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Bears Battle Lines Are Set Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bulls lost those important 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages nearly two weeks ago and are now in the process of trying to back test and break back through. The real question on everyone's mind is whether the market is broken for good or whether the market is going to roar back and March higher. Good cases can be made for both sides to be fair. The bears can claim that the market made its first breakdown out of an initial thrust down in now over one year. That was a nice change of trend for them. The bulls will counter with the fact that we were very overbought and thus one initial break lower isn't anything to be overly concerned about as long as that move lower helped unwind the overbought daily oscillators and also as long as the market created some fear among investors and traders.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2010
How Investors Can Profit From China's Economic Boom / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Twenty-five hundred of the world’s most influencing corporate and government leaders gathered in the Alpine ski resort of Davos, Switzerland last week.
They weren’t there for skiing, although I’m sure some did. What these world leaders gathered in Davos for was the 40th World Economic Forum.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Stock Market Warning Signs to Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market does not turn on a dime. At least historically that’s been the case.
Take Japan as an impressive example …
At 10,300 the Nikkei is now 74 percent below its all time high of December 1989. On the long way down it has experienced many cyclical rallies, some of them amounting to gains of more than 100 percent!
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Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Stock Market Bottom, To Test or not to Test? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
To Test or not to Test
Usually bottoms get tested - when is this test coming?
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
China’s Economy and Stock Market Leading Us Again… Downward / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Much of the talk of economic recovery has hinged on China’s growth “miracle.” Indeed, while the rest of the world slipped into recession or worse, China has somehow managed to produce GDP growth of 8%, a staggering figure when you consider that roughly 40% of the Chinese economy hinges on exports… and the rest of the world is undergoing a massive state of deleveraging (and purchasing less).
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Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Gaining Insight Into Stock Market Movements / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
All you can do is learn. We had a very intense move lower on the indexes across the board led by the technology stocks. In good markets the technology stocks lead up and in bad markets they tend to lead down as the appetite for beta is always there when things are trending one way or the other. Off the top there was no question that beta led down although we are not seeing beta lead up on this particular move which is somewhat interesting.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Financial Markets Outlook 2010, When Hope Turns To Fear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Currencies, Bombs... er, Bonds and Banks are ALL Rotten to their Core.
This is the epicenter of the unfolding financial crisis and inflationary/deflationary depression. The developed world is BANKRUPT and the policies of INSOLVENCY are entrenched in its leaders and citizens in such a way as to make the final destination of financial system destruction UNAVOIDABLE. The "something for nothings" in the developed world are firmly in control of the electoral process and their constituencies continue to grow as the global financial crisis crushes their incomes and future prospects. Taxes are headed far higher, thus transferring capital from the private economies (where jobs and incomes are created and where production exceeds consumption) to the public sector which has no idea what cost-benefit analysis is and consumes much more than it produces.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Stock Market Bulls and Bears Battle Lines Have Been Drawn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Now that the market has pulled back a bit, the proverbial bounce has commenced at the expected levels. Areas of support and resistance are noted on the charts as the battle lines have been drawn.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Risk Weighted Capital Adequacy: The Elephant In The Davos Jacuzzi / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
One of the “pillars” of financial regulation is the idea of risk weighting.
The way that works is that “assets” which in the case of banks are typically either loans to other people or securities held by the bank like US Treasuries or Sub-prime RMBS (the Brits call those bonds), are assigned a risk weighting by the regulator.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Trend Forecast For 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
This analysis is part of the New Inflation Mega-trend Ebook, the analysis for which has been compiled during the past 3 months which concluded in trend forecasts for inflation, economy and interest rates for 2010 and beyond. The implications of which have been applied towards finance and investment markets for 2010 and beyond. To receive the ebook for FREE as it is rolled out over the coming week(s) as well as updates throughout the year ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Stock and Commodity Market Investors Groundhog Daze / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
February 2 is Groundhog Day. The question is, with this sell off in the markets will consumers see their debt shadows and go back into hibernation. As the stimulus has started to dry up, economic numbers are already starting to weaken. The question brings to mind the Bill Murray movie of the same name.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Catching a Stock Market Falling Knife / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Catch a Falling Knife
Never a smart idea.
The market has moved down for the past three weeks. Yes, three weeks the market has been moving lower. What do we do? Well, we certainly dont catch a falling knife. For now we sit tight and see if my intra-week indicator makes a shift from its cash position.
Monday, February 01, 2010
Stock Market Bears Making Room for the Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last weekend in the northern climes, a whiff of spring could be felt as temperatures rose to levels well above the norms for late January. Unfortunately, we were quickly reminded that winter still holds serve as temperatures quickly dropped to well below normal. Could the ’09 rally be nothing more than a winter reprieve and the ushering in of the ’10 calendar year will ultimately remind us that the bear market is still very much with us? Ok, a bit dramatic, however the past week saw the bullish equity camp decline rapidly as prices fell below their December lows, which historically does not auger well for the remainder of ’10.
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Monday, February 01, 2010
The Investment Grade Value Stock Index Bargain Stock Monitor / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
The Investment Grade Value Stock Index "Bargain Stock Monitor" clearly reflects the profit taking that hit the market late in January--- you and I have been harvesting our gains all along though. Right?
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Monday, February 01, 2010
If China Sneezes, Wall Street Will Catch A Cold / Stock-Markets / Articles
Jon D. Markman writes: Investors who needed proof of China's increased importance in the post-financial-crisis world only have to look at the nervousness of recent weeks to get a glimpse of the future.
When U.S. stocks fell sharply late Friday, they capped off a harrowing 10-day span that has seen the broad U.S. market benchmarks drop by nearly 7%. Emerging markets are down 9%. Not surprisingly, investor fear has sent volatility rocketing 40% - the largest two-week increase since the global financial crisis went nuclear back in October 2008.
Monday, February 01, 2010
Stock Market Trading System on 75% Buy Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
General Commentary: The system for the SPY is on a Buy signal 75%
The system continues to remain on the long side. Its not easy being positioned on one side when the market is moving against that and from time to time this will happen.
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Sunday, January 31, 2010
Stock Market Correction Could be the Start of Something Bigger / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Sunday, January 31, 2010
Stock Market Sharp Sell-Off Develops Into A Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
“’What he really needs now is a recovery strategy. Statistically, it's been proven that big lottery winners wind up poor in a relatively short time unless they took the annuity payment,’ said financial analyst Brian Kronenberger, who has worked with a number of lottery winners.”
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