Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 07, 2014
The Real Reason the Stock Market Is Rigged / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Everyone's talking about Michael Lewis' latest book Flash Boys and HFT (high-frequency trading) and whether the markets are rigged.
What they're not talking about is how the markets have been set up for institutionalized rigging.
I'm not kidding.
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Monday, April 07, 2014
Current Jakarta Composite Stock Index Index Run Up Sustainable? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The recent run-up of the Jakarta Composite Index has nothing to do with improving fundamentals in the Indonesian economy but more towards an election play. For all is known, the Indonesian economy is far from out of the woods. Although recently the Indonesian economy managed to record trade surpluses, it is mainly due to the rise in exports. Exports are brought forward from the mining sector as a result of an anticipated ban on mineral exports after Jan 12, 2014. Moreover the sudden surge in the economic activity for the past few months has mainly due to the increased public spending geared towards the run up of the elections. Whatever it is, the Indonesian economy is still very weak and will have problem maintaining the momentum as soon as the elections ends next week.
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Monday, April 07, 2014
Are Leading Stock Market Indexes Turning Bearish? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Failed to overcome resistance at the high.
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Saturday, April 05, 2014
Stocks Bulls vs. Bears: Some Profit Margin Stories Are Better Than Others / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
[M]argins have been rising smartly–faster than Greenspan can ever recall. His only explanation: productivity… Greenspan argues that the U.S. is undergoing a productivity revolution not seen since early this century… In the longer term, he’s betting that as the world moves into the 21st century and the NAlan Greenspan’s Brave New Worldew Economy takes root, more of the old economic rules will fall apart. - From “,” Business Week, July 13, 1997
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Saturday, April 05, 2014
Stock Market Record High Precedes a 1.25% Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Friday morning’s much anticipated March employment report delivered no surprises. The S&P 500 rallied at the opening bell and hit its all-time high a minute later. The index traded sideways for the next hour and then began a steady selloff to its -1.35% mid-afternoon low. At the closing bell the index had trimmed its loss to -1.25%, its fourth worst loss of the year, well off the -2.28% on February 3rd. The selling was most pronounced in tech stocks, with the NASDAQ plunging 2.60%, its second worst session in 2014 (the worst was -2.61% on February 3rd).
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Saturday, April 05, 2014
The Stock Market’s Annual Seasonality is a Real Concern This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
As we move into April, it’s important to look at the stock market’s long history of making most of its gains each year in a favorable ‘season’ of November to April, while most of its corrections and bear market down-legs take place in an unfavorable season from May to October.
Many academic studies and investment strategies going back to the 1970’s have confirmed the pattern, long referred to as ‘Sell in May and Go Away’.
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Saturday, April 05, 2014
Stock Markets Bubbles and Parabolic Slope Theory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Parabolic Slope Theory
There has been extensive discussion questioning the current rally and if it has reached bubble status. Firstly, what is a bubble from a technical standpoint? A bubble is a parabolic advance in a market or stock where the price appears to move straight up without normal corrections. The corrections or pullbacks are small, sending the stock or index straight up. Greed and euphoria are high and complacency is low. The higher the market or stock moves, the bigger the bubble and the more pain on the way back down.
Friday, April 04, 2014
Time to Ditch Stock Market Swinging Cyclicals? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
George Leong writes: The stock market appears to be getting somewhat top-heavy. Scanning through my screens, I am quite amazed to find that the majority of S&P 500 stocks are well above their respective 200-day moving averages, which makes opportunities much more difficult to come by for the average investor who might look at their portfolio once a week or month.
But the buying in the stock market has still largely been with the technology, growth, and small-cap stocks, due to the higher potential to make quick money versus investing in blue chips or industrial companies.
Friday, April 04, 2014
I Can’t Believe The Government Wants To Unleash This On The Public / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Shah Gilani writes: Do you know Ally Financial Inc.?
You’ve no doubt seen their commercials. They used to be all over the tube hawking their high-yielding certificates of deposit. Now they’re all over the tube with their “no hidden fees” campaign.
I like the one where the woman is afraid to try new things because she’s had bad experiences before. Her mechanical dog sparks a fire when he drinks water and her trainer hooks her up to electrodes that zap her. I like these commercials; they’re funny. But Ally isn’t funny.
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Friday, April 04, 2014
Truth - The First Casualty of Economics, Banking and the Ukraine / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Dear Reader, I opened my eyes and stared at the hard packed dirt that substitutes for grass in Paris's famed Tuileries Garden . I struggled to raise my head and peer over the lip of the Grand Bassin Octagonal. My eyes were greeted with the majestic view of the Louvre, basking in the warm early morning glow of the unseasonably hot sunshine that had Parisians reaching for their sunscreen in the middle of March. I struggled to overcome the explosions occurring inside my head, the result of the three bottles of Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone Syrah [an impertinent, cheeky and inexpensive red wine] I had consumed after last night's International Economic Symposium held at the uber-swank Hotel George V Paris.
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Thursday, April 03, 2014
Free Money Thursday – Chinese Stimulus To the Rescue! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
MORE FREE MONEY!!!
China gave the markets a big boost this morning by announcing an immediate $25Bn program for railway construction and another $50Bn a year for "more stuff." That sent the Nikkei flying to 15,150 but then Chinese Non-Manufacturing PMI fell to 54.5 for March and the Nikkei gave back 75 points while the Hang Seng closed just 0.2% over flat and the Shanghai fell 0.75%, back to 2,043, just 5% over the lows they've been testing all year at that critical 2,000 line.
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Thursday, April 03, 2014
Stock Market Waiting On Jobs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Rotation continues. While many areas unwind we see rotation as usual. The transports hit an all-time high today, while the retail stocks held up very well, with transports allowing the market to hold basically flat lined. The S&P 500 holding the 1883 breakout for now. It appears the market is now in wait mode to see how those jobs numbers come in. In order to continue the breakout over 1883 on the S&P 500 with force, it seems as if it's going to need some further proof all is well with a decent jobs report.
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Thursday, April 03, 2014
Look at the Stock Market 4-year Presidential Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
For all the bullish 2014 expectations among Wall Street analysts, few if any consider the impact of the long-term cycles. After all, it’s in late 2014 when several major long-term yearly cycles are scheduled to bottom in unison, from the widely followed 4-year cycle to the well-known 10-year cycle and on to the even bigger 40-year and 60-year cycles. Each of these cycles tends to stamp its unique presence on the stock market when they bottom individually. How much more then can we expect to feel their presence when they’re bottoming contiguously?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Foolish Investment Ideas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
With April Fools' Day behind us, it's time to get serious about investing. Don't be fooled by this week's non-farm payroll report; nor by the assertion that the U.S. may have the cleanest of the dirty shirts. And certainly don't be fooled into thinking the market has your interests in mind...
Foolish to believe the job market drives the stock market?
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Outlook For GOLD, Crude OIL and S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
S&P500 4h Elliott Wave Analysis
S&P500 broke above 1876 and is now approaching all time highs, so we adjusted the wave count and now looking for a five wave rally in progress from 1833 swing low. At the moment leg still cannot be counted in three waves, so looks like price will stay bullish for the next few sessions and possibly hit 1890/1900 area.
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Dow Jones Stocks Index - A Hoax or Not A Hoax, That's the Question / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
After intensive consultation with his advisors, President Obama has decided to modify the formula used for calculating the Dow Jones Index. On January 1, 2015 the Dow Divisor will be changed to 30. The result of this change will be that the Dow Jones Index drops from the current 16532 points to about 85.8 points. The underlying value of the 30 component stocks of course remains unchanged. With this modification to the formula Obama aims to make the large Dow fluctuations of recent decennia a thing of the past, and hopes that this will bring stability to the stock market. Banks, major investors and pension funds welcome this change in the Dow Jones Index formula.
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Lindsay Long Cycle Stock Market Low in 2016 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
In his seminal paper An Aid to Timing (published March, 1950) George Lindsay included a representation of all his long cycles from 1798 until 1949. Each long cycle was approximately 20 years in length and can be divided into two multiple cycles. These long cycles are what we refer to today as secular bull and bear markets.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
World Financial InStability - Stock Market Wealthbuilder Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
I came across the inverted pyramid below last year which outlines the “asset backing configuration” between gold, cash and all other financial instruments.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Bubbleberg News Drivel Masquerading as Financial Reporting / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
David A. Stockman writes: One of the evils of massive over-financialization is that it enables Wall Street to scalp vast “rents” from the Main Street economy. These zero sum extractions not only bloat the paper wealth of the 1% but also fund a parasitic bubble finance infrastructure that would largely not exist in a world of free market finance and honest money.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Stock Market Double-Digit Gain or 30% Crash - How to Profit from S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
John Paul Whitefoot writes: After a miserable winter of weak economic indicators (which were mostly blamed on the weather), the warmer spring weather will be a godsend for Wall Street. Unless, of course, there’s more holding the U.S. economy back than cold winds and snow.
That riddle will be answered in the coming weeks, but the long-term prognosis for the U.S. economy is a little murkier. While the S&P 500 is trading at record-highs, there is mounting evidence to suggest the U.S. economy could slow down, putting the brakes on the bull market.
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