Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 29, 2016
Market Friendly BoJ Action Means more Unfriendly CNY Devaluation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The BoJ's decision to cut the interest rate on current account balances to -0.10% highlights the beginning of the end of Japan's asset purchase program due to insufficient bonds held by banks, pension funds and insurance companies.
The fact that the BoJ voted 5-4 in favour of negative rates and 8-1 to keep monthly assets purchases unchanged exposes the controversial nature of the decision to re-enter negative rates and the unfeasibility of adding fresh QE.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
What a night in the futures and forex markets! The Premarket is up, but this is to be expected in the final ramp of Wave (v) of [c] within a Broadening formation. So the Premarket is higher, but still under the previous high. Whether it makes a higher point 5 in the 5-point reversal is yet to be known. Either way, the reversal may be abrupt and strong. It is likely that the reversal into Wave 3 may begin by the end of the day.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Steve Forbes Speaks Out on the Presidential Race, Fed Recklessness, and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Forbes Pulls No Punches in Exclusive Interview with Money Metals Exchange
Mike Gleason, Director, Money Metals Exchange: It is my great privilege to welcome Steve Forbes, Editor-in-Chief of Forbes Magazine, CEO of Forbes, Inc. to our Money Metals Exchange podcast. Steve is also author of many fabulous books, including Flat Tax Revolution, How Capitalism Will Save Us, and his latest work, Reviving America: How Repealing Obamacare, Replacing the Tax Code and Reforming the Fed Will Restore Hope and Prosperity. He's also a two-time Presidential candidate, having run in the Republican primaries in both 1996 and 2000. It's a tremendous honor to have him with us today. Mr. Forbes, thank you so much for joining us and welcome.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Gloom and Doom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Sharply lower global equity markets since last August reflect years of Fed-led central banks’ money printing madness, running headlong into economic contraction and instability.
China when thriving is a key engine of world economic growth, a depressant when declining. Official numbers conceal how much, at best a small fraction of its earlier annual double-digit increases.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Market Technicals Update: Can We Trust This Stock Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock rally of the last few days has investors wondering if the bottom is in.
Unfortunately, it very likely is not.
High Yield bonds have lead stocks to the upside. They are now leading to the downside, and the High Yield bond market indicates we have further to fall. The stock rally looks out of place here.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Broadening Formation May be in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX ramped this morning from the Premarket and is carrying over into the open. We may be seeing a Broadening formation in motion. If so, the trendline top is near 1920.00 and the mid-Cycle resistance is 1929.79. All of this action is meant to punish both sides as stops are run again in both directions.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
FOMC Announcement Sends Stock Market Indices South... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today, coming down hard in the morning, back up midday, they backed off until the FOMC, and then spiked right after the news for a few minutes, reversed very sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4218 down to 4112, more than 100 points. The S&P 500 then dropped from 1915 to 1872, a total of 43 points. It was a very nasty slide indeed. They managed to bounce, but really formed nothing more than bear flags, and closed down on the day.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Fed Message.....Global Economy Stinks!!!!... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Fed Yellen made herself known to the world today by saying that she would keep the rates at 0.25 percent, for now, because she wanted to watch how things go globally on the economic front. That's what she said. What she didn't say, but clearly implied, was that the global economic situation is worsening far worse than I had envisioned. I blew it big time, and I don't know what to do. Someone help me as we're toast. She might raise 4 times, but it'll take many, many years for that to happen. She wanted to please the markets a month ago, so she raised a quarter, and said she'll keep raising in the hope the global situation would correct itself. It didn't! It worsened and worsened hard. She's stuck, and she knows it, and doesn't have a clue as to how to right her wrongs. Wrongs she continued after Bernanke blew it, and Greenspan blew it before them. No one worse than Greenspan.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Watch The Stock Market VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The VIX closed at 22.50 and will be testing an important fan line support today (the support/fan line that the VIX was sitting on at the close yesterday).
Note the sequence of higher highs from December to now ... so the concern would be centered around a possibility that the VIX could rise higher than the previous high. (Since the VIX moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, that would be a negative.)
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Rally is Over. Hope You're Short or in Cash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Today’s action made me glad that I had gone short on Friday. Today’s move was virtually untradeable, since if you had waited for the Wave (v) of [c], you would have done worse than going short last Friday.
The Wave (v) of [c] was truncated, leaving what appears to be a double zigzag Wave 2. Both the truncation and double zigzag in a Wave 2 are rare. The total time elapsed for the retracement was just shy of 37 hours [2(4.3 squared)] and would have been so, had Wave (v) gone above Wave (iii).
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Crash: Is the Dow headed for a Repeat of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. AnonymousWe could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune. Take a look at some of the recent headlines:
Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Italian Bank Panic & Bail-In - The Next Domino To Fall / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
On January 1st of this year the European Union passed into law an official “bank bail-in” clause. The bail-in legislation put into law, across Europe, what was done in Cyprus in 2013 where bank account holders had their funds seized to “save” the bank. To us, and anyone who is paying half-attention, this was a clarion call to get your funds out of European banks.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Top May Have Been Made on Friday.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Shortly after 2:20 pm, SPX made its intra-day high at 1906.73. From a Cyclical view, last Friday’s high at 1908.85 was the high, consuming exactly 17.2 hours from bottom to top.
Today’s high counts well as an Elliott Wave [c] of 2, but it appears truncated. Short-term resistance is at 1900.28, with SPX now below it. The daily Cycle Bottom resistance is at 1898.86. These resistances are somewhat elastic, but they appear to be holding.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Forecast for February 1st High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
A bottom for the January sell-off appears to be behind us. It fell three trading days after the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a low in the period January 12-15. This should be a good week for the bulls. The next forecast for a high is for Monday, February 1. That forecast is detailed below.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Bear Raid Over or the Last Bull Standing? - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Its not just the Eastern United States that's been paralysed by freezing temperatures and a huge blizzard, as the stocks bull market also remains frozen in a trading range, which has most recently seen the Dow bounce off the icy cold extreme low end of the range, which according to the bear market doom and gloom growing consensus just marks the first bear market counter-trend rally of 2016.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Capital Controls Are Coming / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
By Nick Giambruno
The carnage always comes by surprise, often on an otherwise ordinary Saturday morning…
The government declares a surprise bank holiday. It shuts all the banks. It imposes capital controls to stop citizens from taking their money out of the country. Cash-sniffing dogs, which make drug-sniffing dogs look friendly, show up at airports.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Clueless in Davos / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Making their annual pilgrimage to the exclusive Swiss ski sanctuary of Davos last week, the world's political and financial elite once again gathered without having had the slightest idea of what was going on in the outside world. It appears that few of the attendees, if any, had any advance warning that 2016 would dawn with a global financial meltdown. The Dow Jones Industrials posted the worst 10 day start to a calendar year ever, and as of the market close of January 25, the Index is down almost 9% year-to-date, putting it squarely on track for the worst January ever. But now that the trouble that few of the international power posse had foreseen has descended, the ideas on how to deal with the crisis were harder to find in Davos than an $8.99 all-you-can-eat lunch buffet, with a free cocktail.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Corporate Earnings Are Down, But Debt Keeps Rising… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I recently wrote to you about a number of factors that show the stock market saw a major top back in May 2015.The most glaring?
Small-cap stocks have diverged massively from large-cap since May. They’re down 24% while large-caps are down only 12%. This is the classic sign that the dumb money is pouring in and the smart money is leaving.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Stock Market Bounce, But No Overlap / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Good Morning!
SPX bounced in the Premarket, but did not overlap, which is a condition of a declining impulse. Confirmation of that would be
Evident only after the open. A gap down open would suggest Wave 3 may be underway.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Stock Market Turnaround Tuesday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices started the week off mixed early on, and then they backed and filled, held support, and rallied by midday. The Nasdaq 100 made a new rally high, getting up just under 4270, while the S&P 500 could barely get back above the morning high. That loss of momentum and lack of confirmation led to an afternoon sell off, and a nasty one. The Nasdaq 100 went from 4216 to 4192 before bouncing, and closing at 4195, 3 points off its low. The S&P 500 dropped back from 1903 to 1976. and closed just a point off the low.
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