Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Financial Crisis 2007 All Over Again - Banks Starting To Implode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: John_Rubino
So far, each financial crisis in the series that began with the junk bond bubble of 1989 has been noticeably different from its predecessors. New instruments, new malefactors, new monetary policy experiments in response.
But the one that's now emerging feels strikingly similar to what just happened a few years ago: Banks overexposed to assets they thought were safe but turn out to be highly risky see their balance sheets deteriorate, their liquidity dry up and their stocks plunge.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Preparing for Crisis - It's About Risk Mitigation and Capital Preservation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
John Charalambakis is the Managing Director of Group, a boutique style asset and wealth management firm, which focuses on risk mitigation, capital preservation and growth through strategies that are rule based. Dr. Charalambakis has been teaching economics and finance in the US for the last twenty years. Currently he teaches economics at the Patterson School of Diplomacy & International Commerce at the University of Kentucky.
Monday, February 08, 2016
Gold vs Stocks Macro Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
A picture is worth 4-plus years and thousands of words, and the picture below has a lot to say. I'll say some words as well, since I have kept them bottled up for years in an effort to make sure we operate with discipline as opposed to gold bug style emotion.
The bear market and subsequent inflation-fueled credit bubble early last decade was when I first started paying close attention to macro markets (as opposed to stock trading, which I had done for a few years prior) and how they operate. Having seen well paid professionals lose half of my IRA in 2002, I took over all of our finances and never looked back. But I needed to understand how markets worked and that has been a challenging and rewarding endeavor, not to mention an ongoing learning experience.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
FTSE 100 Following Macro Trends in Peripheral Markets / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: MBM_Research
Stock market bulls have seen some discouraging activity in the equities space over the last few months, and many traders are looking for an indication that declines in the major stock benchmarks have reached an exhaustion point. Those that have been caught long at the highs are likely showing even more concern, as positions based on the multi-year positive momentum have likely given back most of their gains.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
NDX, Banks and EuroStoxx All Tumble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
NDX gapped down 76.48 points, putting it well beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline and its prior low.
ZeroHedge comments, “Just over two weeks ago, JPM's Marko Kolanovic, whose unprecedented ability to predict short-term market moves is starting to seem a little bizarre, warned that the next "significant risk for the S&P500" was the bursting of the "macro momentum bubble." Specifically, he said that there is an emerging negative feedback loop that is "becoming a significant risk for the S&P 500" adding that "as some assets are near the top and others near the bottom of their historical ranges, we are obviously not experiencing an asset bubble of all risky assets, but rather a bubble in relative performance: we call it a Macro-Momentum bubble."
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Stock Market Panic Decline Begins... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX has plunged below 1860.00 this morning, challenging the Broadening trendline. Due to its position, the Broadening Flag appears to be a consolidation that allows the index to continue its former trend. I am not yet labeling the decline because the declining pattern may take several paths. Thus far, the pattern suggests that it may not stay at the trendline very long. Its next target appears to be at or below the Head & Shoulders neckline.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Stock Market At Important Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Is the counter-trend rally over?
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Sunday, February 07, 2016
Stock Market S&P, NAS Best, Most Reliable Answers Come From The Market And You / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
Almost everyone is searching for answers about what to do in the stock market. The two best sources are the market itself, and the second source will surprise many, but it is you! No one has a greater vested interest in your financial interests than you when it is your money on the line, at risk. The inherent problem with this simple solution is that few ever consider either source as the best solution.
Wall Street, such a big mystery. Not really. The only mystery about Wall Street is the thieves who run it. Like the Wizard of Oz, Wall Street does not want you to look behind the curtain to discover all of the fraud, the greed, and the purely self-motivated financial interests that are opposite to yours.
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Sunday, February 07, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 1940. On Monday the market rose to SPX 1947 and then traded down to 1872 by early Wednesday. Then the market rallied to SPX 1927 early Thursday, only to selloff again and end the week at SPX 1880. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 2.35%, the NDX/NAZ lost 5.70%, and the DJ World index lost 2.20%. Economic reports for the week were again biased negatively. On the uptick: personal income, construction spending, consumer credit, Q1 GDP, plus the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, the ADP, factory orders, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit worsened. Next week will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s semiannual monetary policy report to Congress.
Saturday, February 06, 2016
More Economic Problems...Jobs...Nasdaq Breaking Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has had every excuse to use economic woes as a reason to fall hard this past week. Poor numbers from the ISM Manufacturing sector, and then a hard decline in the ISM services sector. The market refused to fall, but it was somewhat understandable since the market had taken a massive hit lower and was simply trying to unwind oversold oscillators. The bear flag, if you will, that we have been seeing on all the daily index charts. Today was day fifteen, or exactly three weeks, but it seems as if the fifteenth day was the bad one for the bulls as the market could not withstand the Jobs Report, which came in 34,000 jobs shy of expectations. 151K versus 185K expected. The futures fell initially, only to come roaring back to green for a few seconds ahead of the open. It then began to fall, and, thus, we actually gapped down across the board with the Nasdaq taking the biggest hit. The market tried a few times to come back, but it seemed as if all attempts to rally were sheared off by the bears. They seemed angry today. Enough of these flags seemed to be their mantra for the day, especially in the world of high P/E stocks.
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Saturday, February 06, 2016
The Stocks Bear Is At The Door, Part 1: Momentum Stocks Getting Crushed / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Rubino
One of the common transitions that bull markets go through as they age and die is a narrowing of leadership. As formerly strong sectors begin to stall out, investors shift into whatever is still looking good — that is, whatever still has upward momentum. Eventually capital becomes concentrated in just a few names. Then those stocks roll over and the game ends.
This time around Big Tech was the final category of momentum play, and it ended up attracting astounding amounts of money from both the usual suspects like hedge funds and some new suckers like the Central Bank of Switzerland, now a major holder of Apple shares.
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Friday, February 05, 2016
Gold Reversal and Last Chance for Stock Market Shorts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Gold reversed this morning after making a throw-over above the ending diagonal formation. So far, the low is at 1145.68. A decline beneath 1138.00 puts it back into the formation,, while a break at 1126.88 confirms the new trend.
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Friday, February 05, 2016
As the Stock Market Turns... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX rallied to the Broadening trendline, then began impulsing down. The wackiness may be over and the puzzle appears solved. This may actually be a point 7 (an extra zigzag) within what is normally referred to as a five point reversal. All moves within the Broadening formation are corrective, which makes the outcome confusing and uncertain…until it is over.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Stock Market Sentiment Still Showing Fear... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The bear market almost took another turn down today as the S&P 500 threatened to blow through the last gap up at 1869, but after coming within three points the bulls kicked it in to high gear and blasted the market higher. There have been quite a few tests of this last gap up on the S&P 500 that remains open, but the bulls have taken over the market once the bears get close. The move down off the top needs more unwinding upward on those MACD's, before trying lower over time allowing for an eventual test of 1812, but that will take quite a bit of time from here. The MACD's over the past two days showed no inclination to trend lower as price-dove down on those key, daily index charts. I don't know that the MACD's have to get back to zero, but they are still quite compressed lower, thus, more up time seems right, even if it's nothing on the dramatic side of the ledger. It is possible for the S&P 500 to still get to the 50-day, exponential moving average at 1970, while the Nasdaq lags, but clears the 20's, and falls short of the 50's.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
The Dethroning of Cash: Discouraged, Penalized, Even Banned? / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason writes: Stock market gyrations and deteriorating global economic conditions in the early goings of 2016 sent investors fleeing for safety. Or at least what is commonly thought to be safety.
Many in the financial media are now trotting out the bromide that “cash is king.” A sampling of recent headlines illustrates how pervasive the thinking is:
- “Cash Is King as China Sparks Market Turmoil” (MarketWatch, January 20, 2016)
- “Cash Is King in Times Like These” (Toronto Star, January 15, 2016)
- “Cash Is King as Europe Adapts to Negative Interest Rates” (Bloomberg, January 26, 2016)
- “Cash Is King as Disunity Reigns Within G20” (Barron's, February 1, 201)
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Here’s How You Can End Up Losing All Your Money In The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
If you want to increase your wealth and make more money, you want to consider stock investments. This is quite obvious but there is no real guarantee that you are going to succeed. The statement is true even in the event that you use a perfect strategy. Unfortunately, problems happen. The real problem is that many do not actually know why they lose money. If you find yourself in such a situation and your friends figure out that they shouldn’t loan you more money to invest, consider the following mistakes.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Stock Market Seasonality Is Out of Season / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A “rally” attempt is underway. Stocks are continuing to rebound and all is well with the World? Or is it? With each passing day, the United States plummets deeper and deeper into a “black hole” of debt, of which it will be almost impossible to repay. At the time, of this writing the national debt is $18,939,663,109,937!
To put this into perspective, the national debt is so bad that if every citizen (including children) were to help pay it off, each one of us would have to contribute $58,652.00.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Ugly Day on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a turnaround Tuesday as they rolled over and took a big loss off of clear, overhead resistance, which they failed to get through at Nasdaq 100 4300 area. The S&P 500 had a big problem at the 1950 area, and as a result, they tanked today, coming down on really hard, and declining channels all day. There was a bounce in the last hour but it was a little anemic.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 295.64 at 16,153.54, 45 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 36.35 to 1903.03, 6 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 93.46 to 4193.10, 13 points off its low.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Stock Market Retesting of the January Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
North American markets found support in mid-January after three weeks of sharp declines. However, after a brief rebound, those key support levels are expected to be retested again in February.
The S&P 500 has bounced off of the 1860-1875 range three times in the last 6 months.
Now that the rebound rally has stalled and rolled-over, the index is expected to retest the support range again over the next week or two.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Stock Market Eighth Year Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
As explained in last week's article, my Hybrid Lindsay model is pointing to a high in the Dow today, February 1st. Whether it is today, tomorrow, last Friday, or some other day very close to today, I have every reason to believe equities will begin a decline now that will likely continue for the remainder of the month.
And it is more than just the Lindsay model that has me convinced markets will decline into the first of March. Seasonally, during election years, equities decline for the first two months followed by a rally into April.
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