Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, November 04, 2012

Stock Market Downtrend May be Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

The US trading week began on pause, as exchanges were closed ahead of the expected Hurricane Sandy. Weather forecasters probably saved thousands of lives as they correctly anticipated the westward turn of Superstorm Sandy into the east coast. Kudos to them! As a result of the storm the NYSE was closed for four straight days, for the first time since the Blizzard of 1888. After a quiet opening on wednesday, the market surged on thursday (the first day of the month), and then gave it all back on friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.3%. Asian markets gained 0.8%, European markets gained 0.5%, and the DJ World index rose 0.6%. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative reports 13 to 3. On the downtick: the monetary base, the WLEI and the unemployment rate rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, the ADP index, construction spending, auto sales, the monthly payrolls report, consumer confidence, factory orders, and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week we will get reports on ISM services, Consumer sentiment and Consumer credit.

Sunday, November 04, 2012

U.S. Presidential Election Cycle and the Stock and Bond Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It is that time in the presidential cycle that gets everyone emotional and concerned with the future outlook of the United States. While everyone has their opinion on whom they think is best for America, I promised myself a long time ago to keep my thoughts to myself for two key reasons. ONE: only 50% of Americans will agree with me J, and TWO: I am Canadian so I do not experience what Americans go through on a daily basis.

Sunday, November 04, 2012

Stock Market Good Employment Pop, But Other Realities Prevail / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short writes: A better than expected employment report goosed the market futures and the S&P 500 popped at the open, hitting its intraday high three minutes later. The opening gains had disappeared within the first 45 minutes of trading, and after a couple of hours scuba diving in the shallow red, the index slowly sold off to close the day with a 0.94% loss. That virtually erased the gains for the Sandy-shortened week, cutting it to 0.16%. Why the selloff? Some weak earnings, second thoughts about the impact of the storm, pre-election jitters: Take your pick or speculate on some vague combination of the three.

Saturday, November 03, 2012

Could a Bad Stock Market Monday and Tuesday Decide U.S. Presidential Election? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The VIX bounced from its 10-week moving average to complete a minor retracement, then closed above its 40-week support at 17.43 this week.  A breakout above the inverted Head & Shoulders neckline and mid-Cycle support/resistance at 20.83 announces that a Third Wave is underway with substantially higher targets.  Once the initial target is met, VIX has a shot at Cycle Top resistance at 34.02 and possibly much higher. 

Saturday, November 03, 2012

Sandy Stock Market Correction Continues.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

While the market didn't lose much in terms of price, it's still in its correction as evidenced by the back test of the 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages today that saw selling off those key resistance levels. They were both strong support levels not too long ago, but they have now turned into strong resistance levels. All of the key sector, index charts tested those levels today only to see the sellers come marching in to take things back down. This selling came even after we were up early on due to the better than expected employment report that came out one hour pre-market. There were 171,000 jobs created with expectations at 125,000. The futures shot up on this news allowing for a gap up open, but it didn't take long for the selling to come back in and take things into the red across the board.

Saturday, November 03, 2012

Stock Market Investors Are Not Dumb! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

How often do we hear statements like “Most of the ‘smart money’ is going into energy stocks right now”? Or advice to “Watch what the ‘smart money’ is doing”.

I use the term myself in reference to what usually savvy corporate insiders, institutional investors, hedge-funds, and other professional investors are doing at the time, in comparison to high or low levels of bullish investor sentiment.

Friday, November 02, 2012

The Market Decline Begins / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

XEU finally cut loose its supports and crossed the 50-day moving average this morning. This is the Wile E. Coyote moment when he finds there is nothing to stand on anymore.

What is more, there is some “extra payback” for all the lies and deceit by the Euro Politicians in the form of a potential Cup with Handle suggesting a probable target near 80.00.

Friday, November 02, 2012

Surmounting False Investor Assumption Traps of Serious Wealth Destruction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Those who invest and trade on False Assumptions risk being trapped into losses and Serious Wealth Destruction.

Those who are aware that certain commonly accepted Assumptions are False have substantial Profit and Wealth Protection Opportunities.

Friday, November 02, 2012

U.S. Stocks On a Collision Course with Market History / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

Next time you look at a clear night sky, keep in mind that what you see is the distant past.

Most stars are so distant that it takes millions of years before the light is visible to us.

Even so, astronomers can learn much about the future of the universe by studying the past.

Thursday, November 01, 2012

Stock Market Still Waiting for that Stimulus to Kick In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Is the Fed losing it's mojo?

Perhaps we are just impatient. We were discussing this topic in Member Chat yesterday as the so-far weak market action we're seeing since the announcement of QInfinity is beginning to make people wonder how we should position ourselves over the holidays.

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market continued to correct this week, as it has for most of October. After starting the week at SPX 1433, it quickly dropped to 1408 by early tuesday morning. Then for the rest of the week the market tried to rally but ended with a slightly lower low every day, right into friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.65%, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.55%. Asian stocks lost 1.0%, European stocks lost 1.7%, and the DJ World index was -1.7%. On the economic front things continue to improve: positive reports outpaced negative ones 6 to 3. On the downtick: consumer sentiment, new home prices and the WLEI. On the uptick: new/pending home sales, FHFA housing prices, durable goods orders, Q3 GDP and weekly jobless claims declined. While this week’s market action was mostly technical due to the lack of economic reports. Next week the will likely be all about the economy. The monthly Payrolls report highlights the week, with Auto sales and the Chicago PMI.

Monday, October 29, 2012

Nicole Foss And Max Keiser Talk Greed, Fear, Downward Spirals And Risk Divisions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Raul_I_Meijer

The Automatic Earth's Senior Editor Nicole Foss talks to Max Keiser again, this time on PressTV's On The Edge with Max Keiser.

Nicole and Max discuss Europe's shrinking pie, Canada's bursting bubble, the ongoing global debt deflation, the eternal tug of war between greed and fear, the greater fool, and the similarities the demise of the banking system in 14th century Venice has with Washington DC today.

Monday, October 29, 2012

Monday U.S. Financial Markets Closed Due to Sandy Mega Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Hurricane Sandy has cancelled the markets today.

Perhaps tomorrow as well as the storm, as you can see from the map, doesn't really hit us until Tuesday morning. So, unless it veers further south than projected, NYC and the exchanges will be smack in the middle of the storm tomorrow morning.

Monday, October 29, 2012

The Free Market’s Slow Death / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Much has been made in the press of the manipulation of LIBOR, without much explanation of the consequences for prices of all things that depend on supply and demand for bank credit. Outrage focuses on the activities of avaricious bankers, which is why the connection never gets made between relatively minor manipulations of credit pricing by banks and far larger manipulations by central banks.

Monday, October 29, 2012

Time To Trade On The Stock Market Halloween Effect / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Regent_Markets

With Halloween just around the corner, investors are entering what has persistently been a highly profitable period for world stock markets. Investment returns on the benchmark S&P 500 have been roughly three times higher in the period between November and April compared to the summer months of May to October.

Monday, October 29, 2012

Stock Market Possible Downtrend into January 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.  It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend –  SPX has made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern.  It has now given a strong indication that an intermediate correction is underway.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Why This is No Time to Borrow “On Margin” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: With stocks near a three-and-a-half-year high and interest rates dirt cheap, this might seem like a good time to borrow against your stock portfolio.

Then again… perhaps not.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Cross Correlations Between Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

If readers take a look at the chart below you can see how highly correlated the markets are and looking for that little edge can sometimes literally be the missing piece of the jigsaw puzzle that can make the difference to being on the right side of the trend.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Stock Market Roller-Coaster Ride Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: The major world indexes on my watchlist have been oscillating wildly between weekly losses and gains. Last weekend’s snapshot showed all eight posting gains with an average of the bunch at 2.02%. But the week just closed saw the average plummet to -1.38%. China took both the top and bottom spots. The Hang Seng was the top (i.e., least bad) performer with a nearly flat finish of -0.03%. The Shanghai Composite finished at -2.92%. The S&P 500 and FTSE 100 hovered in the middle of the pack, two basis points either side of the -1.50% mark.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Stock Market QED / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Fred_Sheehan

There are many reasons to fear unhedged exposure in the U.S. stock market. Recent corporate conference calls have explored weak or falling revenues. Drooping trade among Asian countries has forewarned of weakness. In the U.S, Europe and Asia, reports describe slumping sales of necessities that may need to be reclassified as luxuries. To rub it in, investment by companies has been scaled back and large layoffs have not slackened.