Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Manipulated Bond & Stocks Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Captain_Hook
As suspected last week, mutual and hedge fund managers could not resist the temptation to push stocks higher in month end window dressing given the opportunity, so they did. And I wouldn’t doubt for a minute the bureaucracy’s price managers were told to make stocks look good at week’s end because of Geithnier’s trip to China, where he is on his first official US paper selling junket. There’s really no other explanation for why stocks mysteriously surged at the close on Friday due to futures buying. (Later Monday we found out it was broker related buying to aid their secondary issues the following week.)
Monday, June 15, 2009
Stock Market S&P 500 Valuation With Normalized Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Richard_Shaw
There are many institutional S&P 500 forecasts in the media for 2009, generally ranging from 850 to 1100 with some outliers on each side, but seldom is the underlying detail provided. One of the more common methods of estimation involves normalization of earnings times a reasonable multiple based on history.
Monday, June 15, 2009
The Plunging Economy Vs. The Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Larry Edelson writes: If you’re like the average investor, you’re probably wondering how can stocks rally when the economy continues to sink?
How, too, can commodities — especially oil — surge when unemployment continues to rise and businesses are shutting their doors left and right?
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Monday, June 15, 2009
Stocks Bull Market or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Since sinking to a 12-year low of 676.53 on March 9, the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index had risen 24% — the best such short-term rally since 1933. But this isn’t 1933 and you shouldn’t trust the rally. Happy Days are NOT here again, at least not yet.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Stock Markets Tread Water Amidst Low Volumes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
The market eked out another few hard yards last Friday, ending up 28 points to move back into positive territory for the year to date. An early technical systems hitch had depressed volumes. Bank of America was the big winner after a broker upgraded their price target to $22 and also expected them to fully repay TARP funds by the end of 2010. Tech stocks and commodity-related equities were weaker on a fall in crude prices. Although we’ve seen a couple of decent attempts to break out, we remain deadlocked in the same trading range we’ve been in since the first day of June. Indeed according to Bloomberg, the S&P 500 hasn’t posted a daily rise or fall of 1% or more since June 4.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Stock Index Intra-day Trading 4-days in June and a Personal Story of Tribute / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Joseph_Russo
We have dedicated this article to that extremely rare breed of fearless modern-day swashbuckling warriors also known as day traders. It also includes a rather personal tributary story about one such warrior who is no longer with us.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Running Out of Steam Reversal Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The counter-trend rally which started on March 6 is still up, but losing momentum. Red flags are appearing in the A/D and the sentiment indicator. These are signals that normally precede a reversal.
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Sunday, June 14, 2009
Stocks and Commodities Rally In the Direction of Economic Recovery Whilst Bonds Retreat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a shortened format as “day-job” responsibilities precludes me from doing a comprehensive commentary. However, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is provided.
Sunday, June 14, 2009
Stock Market Dumb Money Indicator Giving Way to New Extremes / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
Investor sentiment continues on the same path as the two previous weeks as the "Dumb Money" indicator is moving to new bullish extremes. Typically, this is a bearish signal.
Sunday, June 14, 2009
Stock Market Range Bound, Waiting for Something to Happen / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
I imagine it could but it would have to be a very unique situation to be more boring than this market is right here. I mean, it's not as if we're trading in a large range. The S&P 500 range is 923-950. Neither one wants to break. The daily charts are technically set up to fall with the highly compressed MACD's and the nasty divergences across the board. There is no theoretical timetable for when a market should fall based on these conditions, but the set up is there. What we're seeing, unfortunately, is a market that is teasing both sides near term. We get gap after gap and each one is met with real hope by whomever is fortunate to have it working in their favor.
Sunday, June 14, 2009
Stock Market Summer Seasonal Correction About to Kick Into Gear / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The blue chip indices hit multi month highs last week.
Sunday, June 14, 2009
Mega Trends Suggest Investors Being Over Weight Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Richard_Shaw
Everybody has a different stock / bond /cash allocation that is best for them. Whether the selected equity allocation is high or low, we think over-weighting emerging markets and under-weighting developed markets within the allocation is the better long-term strategy for long-term investors — except for investors currently relying on, or about to rely on, their portfolios for life style support for whom the volatility may not be appropriate.
Saturday, June 13, 2009
Stock Market Rally On Borrowed Money Living on Borrowed Time? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Consumer Sentiment is on the rise - Confidence among U.S. consumers rose this month for a fourth straight time, reflecting signs that the worst recession in at least five decades may end this year. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment increased to 69, the highest level in nine months, from 68.7 in May.
Friday, June 12, 2009
How to Forecast Stock and Commodity Asset Prices / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Adrian_Ash
Pick a Number...Any Number - "We are entering upon waters for which I have no chart and in which I therefore feel myself an utterly incompetent pilot." – James Warburg of the banking dynasty, resigning as President Roosevelt's monetary advisor, 1933
Friday, June 12, 2009
Stocks Secular and Cyclical Bear and Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
Earlier this week, a friend asked me if I thought this stock bear was over. My first thought was “which bear?”, for there isn’t just one. The stock-market action over the last couple years has been a tale of two bears. Investors who’ve failed to understand this critical truth are very confused on what to expect from stocks going forward.
Friday, June 12, 2009
How to Make Money on the Summer Stocks & Commodities Rally / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Sean Brodrick writes: These are not normal markets — take what you know about how the market moves on fundamentals and throw them out the window, where they will probably drown in a flood of government money.
The government is spending so much money that, according to USA Today, taxpayers are on the hook for an extra $55,000 a household to cover rising federal commitments made just in the past year. That’s a rise of $6.8 trillion in new obligations in 2008 alone!
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Friday, June 12, 2009
Stocks Almost Back In Black / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
The AC/DC-like comeback since March 9th was almost complete, as the Dow Jones climbed 140 points early on yesterday on the back of better than expected retail sales numbers, a fall in jobless claims (though continuing claims climbed ever higher), a successful 30 year Treasury bond auction and a bullish cross in the 200 and 30 day moving averages. But Boeing lowering it’s 20 year forecast for the commercial plane market for the first time in a decade, oil topping $73 barrel (on an IEA report predicting rising demand) and tech and consumer discretionary stock weakness dragged the major indices back down, resulting in the Dow only registering a 32 point gain. I preferred Bon Scott anyway.
Friday, June 12, 2009
Looks Like a Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Since humans have been greedy and fearful since the beginning of time, they tend to act in similar ways before, during, and after a financial crisis. These tendencies manifested themselves during the tulip bulb craze of the 1600s, the dot-com craze of the 1990s, and the real estate mania of the 2000s.
Friday, June 12, 2009
Why the Mainstream Financial Media Could DESTROY Your Stock Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Graham_Summers
Welcome to Groundhog Day.
Last year, when Bear Stearns went under and the Federal Reserve intervened via Bear’s shotgun marriage to JP Morgan, the mainstream financial media went absolutely berserk with the “unprecedented market action.” Stocks then rallied in the three months following this, despite the economic and financial fundamentals worsening considerably. However, by the time the summer rolled around, things started to get ugly. And by the 3Q08… well I don’t think anyone wants me to remind them of what happened then.
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Thursday, June 11, 2009
Stocks Unconvincing Up Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a volatile session in that they were up in the morning, down mid-day, rallied back to new highs, and then rolled over in the last couple hours and gave back a chunk of the gains, but still ended up ahead on the day.Read full article... Read full article...