Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, October 30, 2009

U.S. Dollar Premature Death Rumours and Necessary Stock Market 40% Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Brian_Bloom

Summary and Conclusion - Rumors of the US Dollar’s death may be premature. Indeed, rumors of the US economy’s death may be premature. What is needed is a period of cathartic healing to facilitate a process of ecdysis (shedding the old skin to reveal a new and healthy skin beneath). The equity markets need to be allowed to breath out and contract. A fall of up to 40% from current levels is necessary. Below the level of its immediately visible surface the US economy still has the potential to remain a powerhouse in the world economy.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Can U.S. Q3 GDP re-ignite the S&P Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

The Technical Trader’s view:

WEEKLY CHART
Technically, in the weekly chart, the market is under some strain through the influence of the Gap resistance 1110-1077.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Modified Marc Faber Stock Market Sell Signal Model, More Insights / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems

By: Guy_Lerner

As the prior post shows, we can improve a simple moving average strategy by going to cash when the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury are strong.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Celebrating Stock Market Bears Take a Major Hit / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

Yesterday we get some strong volume and blow through the 50-day exponential moving average on the Nasdaq. We fall only a bit below on the S&P 500 (4 points) and hold above it on the Dow. We didn't have all 3 major indexes trading below the 50-day exponential moving averages and that's what you want to see if you believe the market is ready for deeper selling than has already occurred. In addition, you don't want to clear by as little as we did on the S&P 500 as that's not a true breakdown. 4/10th's of 1% is not sufficient to say it's all clear for the bears.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Modified Faber Model Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

Back on June 29, 2009, I presented research that improved the efficiency of the Faber market timing model for the S&P500 by some 50%. By efficiency I meant that the new and improved model made more money with less time in the market and with less draw down. The research can be found in this article, "Inflationary Pressures Are A Legitimate Concern".

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Playing the Health Care Sector with ETFs / Stock-Markets / Healthcare Sector

By: Ron_Rowland

We’ve all been waiting on pins and needles to see what kind of health care reform comes out of Washington. Aside from the fact that we’re all patients of one kind or another, health care is a huge part of the economy.

As you might expect with big changes afoot, health care stocks have been bouncing up and down this year. Such volatility can be frightening — but it also brings opportunity for investors who know how to take advantage.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent Future? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

Nico Isaac writes: The following article includes analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Stock Market Rydex Market Timers No Material Change / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Blueprint for Battling Credit Default Swaps and Avoid Another Financial Crash / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker and Bank of England (BOE) Governor Mervyn King think that banks that are considered “too big to fail” should be broken up. The House Financial Services Committee is drafting a bill that will make banks pay for other banks’ bankruptcies.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Stock Markets and Other Risky Assets Tumble on Recovery Fears / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

I concluded a post on stock markets over the weekend saying: “After equities’ seven-month climb, stock markets certainly look vulnerable for a decline. Two downside reversal days - on Wednesday and Friday - would seem to indicate that stocks could commence a pullback to work off the overbought condition, allowing fundamentals to reassert themselves.”

Global stock markets, as well as other risky assets, closed sharply lower over the past few days as concerns mounted over the sustainability of the global economic recovery and the outlook for central bank policy.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Investment Portfolio Protection Strategy / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Steve_Selengut

A participant in the morning Working Capital Model (WCM) investment workshop observed: I've noticed that my account balances are returning to their (June 2007) levels. People are talking down the economy and the dollar. Is there any preemptive action I need to take?

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Indices Breaking Below 50 Day Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

That's what we did today. Actually did a little dance as we bounced off of them first, just to make the bulls feel things weren't going to get out of hand. The market had been putting in negative divergences after negative divergence for quite a few months off the March lows. As the move matured we could see each poor divergence getting larger than the one before.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Indexes Do Not Tell the Tale of Damage / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Trader_Mark

First, pardon all the trading today - some days just require it.  I'm already exhausted and its only 2 PM.

Second, we've been saying the indexes are not reflecting the carnage seen "underneath" - my watch lists are full of names in the $500M to $5B market cap space which is my sweet spot, and it looks like September 2008 .  Here is a sampling of what is really happening when you move away from McDonalds, IBM, Walmart, and Microsoft.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Perfect Setup for a Big Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Claus_Vogt

Since there’s no holy grail to analyze financial markets, the best approach is an eclectic one. So I incorporate as many tools as possible in my analysis, including: Fundamental valuations, macroeconomic models, monetary and fiscal policies, interest rate developments, sentiment and momentum indicators, and chart analysis.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Trend Depends on Liquidity Inflows and Outflows / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Marty_Chenard

Our Long Term Liquidity Indicator is a measurement of Liquidity Injections flowing into the market.

- Liquidity Expansion means that money inflows are at an expansionary rate which drives the market up. Decelerating Expansion is when the rate of inflows are decreasing while still net positive.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Rydex Market Timers Reminds Me Of My Own Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

In a show of doing the same thing over and over again or as I like to call it - hitting your head on the wall until it hurts - the Rydex market timer continues to anticipate a bounce in the market. This reminds me of my own market follies --only kidding!!

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Multi-Year Stock Market Top Could Be In / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Professor David Waggoner posted the following chart yesterday on Minyanville that I think is worth noting.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Black Tuesday Stock Market Crash Anniversary and a Return to Big Government / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Mike_Whitney

October 29, marks the 80th anniversary of the Stock Market Crash of 1929, the event which most historians point to as the beginning of the Great Depression. On Black Tuesday, traders dumped 16 million shares in one day sending the markets into freefall. In the months that followed, stocks rallied--sometimes for long periods at a time--but the underlying economy continued to deteriorate as consumers curtailed spending and cut back sharply on credit. As a result, hundreds of banks were shuddered, thousands of businesses failed, and unemployment soared to 25 percent. Public confidence plunged and the economy slipped into a decade-long slump. Tariffs were thrown up, international trade slowed to a crawl, and shanty towns began to sprout up across the country.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Bears Dismantling the Rally Step by Step / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

That's how the bears will have to do this. There is no straight down free fall into oblivion coming to a bear market near you. Step by step as we take on each level of support. We get there and get oversold. We bounce. We fall again and we bounce Usually on the third try we get through, but we have so many levels of support close by it's hard for the bears to gain any real momentum. 1080/1074/1060/1047. An average of approximately 1% between levels of strong support. Not exactly what the bears want to deal with but that's the game we're playing here. What's truly amazing is that each level puts up such a strong fight. Not a single one just goes away on the first try. That's how strong this bull market is.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Goldman Sachs, Hazardous to Underweight Brazil, But Hold the Big Mac / Stock-Markets / Brazil

By: Trader_Mark

Despite a 73% increase in the Bovespa this year and the country raising taxes to try to keep out an avalanche of Western central bank liquidity [Oct 20, 2009: Ben Bernanke's Money Printing Parade Forces Brazil to Slap a Tax on Outside Investors], Goldman Sachs still says the shares are cheap.  Certainly if EPS can grow 40%+ next year they might have a point, and who can argue against the fact this is one of the most attractive markets in the world.