Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, October 26, 2009
Second Guessing Commodity Trading Systems / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Mechanical trading systems used in commodity trading if followed with discipline and patience can assist one in their quest for long term success. Many of these systems are based on trend following. One of the most positive aspects of mechanical commodity trading systems is that it helps commodity traders control their emotions ( or at least it should)
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Sunday, October 25, 2009
Road Map For Making a Fortune in Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Chris Mayer writes: Two weeks ago, I returned from my second visit to the financial capital of India, the city of Mumbai (formerly Bombay).
On the first go-round, I was mainly in tourist mode and visited several other cities, too. This time, I spent a week here just working, meeting businessmen, and talking with investors.
Sunday, October 25, 2009
Stock Market Indicators Are Screaming SELL, But... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Sunday, October 25, 2009
Stock Market Rydex Market Timers: All In (Again!) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The last time I used those words was on September 25, which marked a short term high in the S&P500. About a week later, a reasonable short term (trading) opportunity developed.
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Sunday, October 25, 2009
Financial Markets Waiting to Change Direction? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Britain's Great Depression caught the mainstream commentators and academic economists off guard (again), as the UK economy failed to grow by 0.2% in the third quarter as widely expected but rather contracted by another 0.4%. However the trend remains inline with my analysis and forecast of February 2009 that called for a low in the third quarter of 2009 followed by a small increase in GDP for the fourth quarter of 2009.
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Sunday, October 25, 2009
Fed Determined to Inflate Another Asset Bubble / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
There goes oil, surging past $80-a-barrel. That’s up 150 percent from the December low, in case you’re keeping score.
Gasoline? Wholesale prices are up more than 40 cents a gallon in just under a month …
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Sunday, October 25, 2009
Financial Crisis Hidden History, The Warning Frontline Video / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
In The Warning, veteran FRONTLINE producer Michael Kirk unearths the hidden history of the nation's worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. At the center of it all he finds Brooksley Born, who speaks for the first time on television about her failed campaign to regulate the secretive, multitrillion-dollar derivatives market whose crash helped trigger the financial collapse in the fall of 2008.
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Saturday, October 24, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Consistency And Credibility / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
This week's comments are about why I continue to present the same data on investor sentiment week after week. Some readers have suggested that this data has been of little value during this historic bull run, and so why keep showing it. I believe the data has been relevant, but for those who see otherwise, let's just agree to disagree for now.
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Saturday, October 24, 2009
A Brief Update on Equities and Gold / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
The bullish Dow theory trend change that occurred in association with the advance out of the March 2009 low still remains intact. Cyclically, the advance out of the March low also still remains intact. Intermediate-term, equities are overbought and I do see weakness on the horizon. The key to this materializing will be the downturn of my intermediate-term Cycle Turn Indicator.
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Saturday, October 24, 2009
Lateral Stock Market... Negative Divergences Abound... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Wouldn't it be nice if the stock market would actually do something! Lateral has been the way for quite some time now. Lots of head fakes both ways but when you study things, the past month or so has seen the market grind up and down due to opposing forces from both the bullish side and the bearish side of the ledger. The bulls can talk quite a bit about what's being reported from our Government. I'm not saying they're reporting the absolute truth. I'm just saying what's being reported. Most of the economic news is favorable these days. It tells us the worst of things has passed on by.
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Saturday, October 24, 2009
Bernanke Says Financial Firms Should Pay for Bank Closings Costs Not Tax Pay / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke called on Congress to ensure that the costs of closing down large financial institutions are borne by the industry instead of taxpayers. The Fed chairman called for a “credible process” for imposing losses on the shareholders and creditors, saying “any resolution costs incurred by the government should be paid through an assessment on the financial industry.”
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Unexpected Stock and Commodity Market Moves Should Not Be Ignored / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In the last two weeks, in Reflation Supported By Stocks, Commodities, and Oil, and Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987, we hypothesized that recent bullish moves in gold, oil, and the CRB Index were evidence of successful "reflation" of asset prices via monetary and fiscal policy. This week, we can add copper and emerging markets to the bullish evidence list. From a fundamental perspective, the desire to hold copper is based on economic need (you want to make a product), and inflation protection (you want to own hard assets rather than paper currencies).
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Heading for Deflationary Stock and Economic Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
We want to tell you about a financial analyst who’s made the journey from fame to outcast and back. We want to tell you about the man who successfully forecast today’s investment environment when virtually everyone, everywhere said he was wrong.
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Stock Market Rally Provides Investors An Incredible Opportunity to Sell into Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Curtain Call for Inflationary Run - The collapse of 2008 occurred because the US was clearly on an unsustainable path of excessive consumption and speculation, financed by credit. Debts are IOU’s with repayment terms, which means debtors must pay interest to creditors; borrowers therefore are on the hook for the principle as well as the interest, and the whole system falls apart when debtors are unable to pay because they 1) don’t produce anything, or 2) are denied new credit that becomes scarce when booms turn to bust.
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Overdue Stock Market SPX Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It’s sure been an awesome year in the stock markets! By this week, the benchmark S&P 500 index (SPX) had soared 62.3% from its despair-laden March low and 21.6% year-to-date. Naturally the gains have been fantastic in this dream environment for traders, with nearly all sectors relentlessly powering higher.
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Punch Back... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Just when it looked like all hope was lost for this rally to hang in there, the bulls fought back today in a big way, engulfing the losses from yesterday. Not much news to go on except some good Dow earnings reports this morning. The market gapped down big on the Nasdaq, but the Dow wanted green. The market was bifurcated with the Nasdaq down 10, but the Dow up 40 an hour or so in. After that, the Nasdaq started to reverse while the Dow kept going. The S&P 500 started lower but it too reversed as the banking stocks started to turn up after the downgrade on Wells Fargo Company (WFC) late day yesterday.
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Stock Indices Close with a Bang! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices ended with a bang on Thursday, but they started out much differently.
The indices dropped sharply at the opening and went to new pullback lows. They were short-term oversold at that point, at key trendline support on the Nasdaq 100 and just below key initial support on the S&P 500. They rallied back in a 5-wave advance, with the 5th wave being the sharpest that took the indices to key overhead resistance, only backing off in the last half hour.
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Cycles Impact on Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Mayan Indian elder Apolinario Chile Pixtun has restated his belief that the world is not going to end in 2012. Or more precisely, that his beliefs don’t suggest the world should end despite it being the end of a major cycle in the Mayan calendar. According to China Daily, he is even more emphatic that he’s tired of being asked about it. 2012 is the end of a 5126 year cycle (end of the 13th of 13 Baktun). It also ends a 26800 year cycle that may relate to the Earth’s wobble, which is useful for gauging the drift of seasonal climate changes. China Daily also briefly mentions predictions by 16th century (Christian calendar) French herbalist Nostradamus that is being combined with the Mayan cycles to create buzz for a spate of movies and TV specials.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2009
Watch What Institutional Stock Market Investors are Doing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
As an analytical firm, we pay for a lot of special data that the public can't get. Sometimes, the data is of major importance relative to what is going on in the stock market.
One such piece of data has to do with what Institutional Investors are doing. We all know that they are responsible for over 50% of any given day's volume ... which is why following this investment group is so important.
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The DJIA Higher? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
The idea of earnings driving the broad stock market is a myth.
Vadim Pokhlebkin writes: It's corporate earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about the influence of earnings on the broad stock market:
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