Category: Economic Depression
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, November 14, 2021
US Economy in Economic Depression Since 2008 / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Nadeem_Walayat
You know the US GDP growth rate we are all bombarded with to illustrate the strength or weakness of the US economy, we'll it is just as FAKE as that which vomits out of the likes of the CCP.
The Fed states US real GDP is currently +12% year on year . Now consider this, what inflation measure do you think the Fed is using to calculate these GDP figures? CPI? WRONG! GDP price deflator which tends to consistently under estimate inflation even against CPI as the following graph illustrates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 22, 2021
US Economy Has Been in an Economic Depression Since 2008 / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Wait things are even worse than that! You know the US GDP growth rate we are all bombarded with to illustrate the strength or weakness of the US economy, we'll it is just as FAKE as that which vomits out of the likes of the CCP.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 18, 2021
Inflation Or Deflation – End Result Is Still Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Kelsey_Williams
INFLATION OR DEFLATION
The debate continues but not much has been said that clarifies the issue for ordinary investors. What follows in this article should help.
Inflation is the debasement of money by government and central banks. The Federal Reserve and all central banks practice inflation by expanding the supply of money and credit continuously and intentionally.
This debasement of the money results in effects that are harmful and unpredictable. One of these effects of inflation is an unquantifiable loss of purchasing power in the money itself.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2020
We Are Facing a Depression, Not a Recession / Economics / Economic Depression
By: John_Mauldin
We are already seeing large increases in request for unemployment insurance. It is going to explode. Let’s look at this data from Homebase.
A stunning 39% drop in the number of hourly employees going to work in the U.S. just in the 10 days ended Friday, March 20.
Is there anybody who thinks that’s not going to increase?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2020
Why a Second Depression is Possible but Not Likely / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Submissions
Almost everyone who deals in stocks and shares possesses at least a cursory knowledge of the 1929 stock market crash and subsequent Great Depression that crippled the US and sent economic shock waves across the entire globe. With markets tanking on fears of an extraordinarily serious coronavirus event, some are asking if the late 1920s and early 30s could repeat themselves in short order.
The short answer is this: while a second depression is entirely possible, it is not very likely. There are several systemic differences in the financial systems of 1929 and 2020. Moreover, the Great Depression cannot be blamed entirely on the stark market crash. The crash was but a symptom of a much bigger problem. It was also just one factor that went into creating what was arguably the largest financial crisis in modern history.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 31, 2018
Warning Economic Implosion on the Horizon / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our previous three segments of this research report detailed not only the history of the Chinese economic activity but also detailed some of the capital flow issues that have been active in presenting this unique instance in time as it relates to a potential implosion of economic activity in China and most of Asia. We, the research team at Technical Traders Ltd., have attempted to clearly illustrate all of the components and facets that have existed to make up a very unique scenario where traders may be able to experience a once or twice in a lifetime trade that could result in massive returns.
Within our previous posts, we attempted to disclose what we believe to be one of the most critical and potentially damaging economic events in our future. We urge all readers to review (Part I, Part II, Part III) of this multi-part research report to bring everyone up to speed with our thinking. Please take a moment to our earlier posts before continuing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 09, 2015
Why This Feels Like an Economic Depression for Most People / Economics / Economic Depression
By: James_Quinn
Everyone has seen the pictures of the unemployed waiting in soup lines during the Great Depression. When you try to tell a propaganda believing, willfully ignorant, mainstream media watching, math challenged consumer we are in the midst of a Greater Depression, they act as if you've lost your mind. They will immediately bluster about the 5.1% unemployment rate, record corporate profits, and stock market near all-time highs. The cognitive dissonance of these people is only exceeded by their inability to understand basic mathematical concepts.
Thursday, October 30, 2014
Depression and the Economy of a Country / Politics / Economic Depression
By: Harry_Dent
My father worked in politics with many great leaders. I also had the opportunity to speak, and work with many great communicators and entrepreneurs. It’s appropriate for most people to admire accomplished leaders… but on the inside, they also get envious. They wish they could be like them.
Remember the old adage — be careful what you wish for.
I’ve noticed, and with few exceptions, that most great leaders or entrepreneurs experience some major challenge early on in life that forces them to rise up against it. Reacting to this dilemma, they develop strengths most people never will
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 23, 2014
The US Great Depression 1920/21 / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Jonathan_Davis
Never heard of it?
Come on sure you have. You know of the Great Depression of the 1930s. So you must know of the Great Depression of 1920/21.
No?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 24, 2012
Professor Bernanke’s Terrifying Blindness on the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Michael_S_Rozeff
With all his scholarly study of the Great Depression, Prof. Bernanke is blind to several truly major factors that caused the Great Depression. His is a blindness that he shares with very many other economists of this day and age. Their condition can be described as "a certain state of mind" that they share that prevents them from seeking out, seeing and saying what is before their eyes. And what is this state of mind? It is to defend the status quo and to stay within the comfortable bounds of conventional beliefs that support the system as it is. This spares them from confronting other institutions and their own.
Saturday, July 28, 2012
U.S. Drought Disaster Depression Agricultural Commodities Crops Report / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Richard_Mills
Because of the worst drought since 1988 the U.S. Department of Agriculture declared a federal disaster area in almost one-third of all the counties in the United States - more than 1,300 counties covering 29 states, the largest disaster declaration ever made by the USDA. Only in the 1930s and 1950s has a drought covered more land.
Sunday, July 01, 2012
Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World, Learning From the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Jesse
Liaquat Ahamed, author of Lords of Finance, The Bankers Who Broke the World, discusses the parallels between the Great Depression and the Financial Crisis of today at The American Academy of Berlin.
I concur heartily with Mr. Ahamed on the primary causes of the bubble and collapse, especially with regard to the enormous policy errors of the Greenspan Fed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 05, 2012
Look at What 'Worked' in the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Jesse
Here is a fairly simple picture of some of the major metrics during the Great Depression. Too simple yes, but it tracks most of the major indicators.
Hoover followed a policy of 'deleveraging,' that is, allowing for the economy to liquidate its prior excesses without changing much else. The Fed did respond to this crisis by expanding the monetary base fairly significantly as you can see.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 24, 2011
The Great Depression 80 Years Later, Same Culprits, Same Rage / Economics / Economic Depression
By: James_Quinn
The young man stands on the edge of his porch
The days were short and the father was gone
There was no one in the town and no one in the field
This dusty barren land had given all it could yield
I've been kicked off my land at the age of sixteen
And I have no idea where else my heart could have been
I placed all my trust at the foot of this hill
And now I am sure my heart can never be still
So collect your courage and collect your horse
And pray you never feel this same kind of remorse
Dust Bowl Dance - Mumford & Sons
Saturday, October 22, 2011
Revisionist History and the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Andy_Sutton
Over the past several years, the term ‘Great Depression’ has made a grand re-entry into the American mainstream and has as a consequence become perhaps one of the most misunderstood terms. We are told it was everything that it wasn’t and that it wasn’t everything that it was. Like many important historical events, there is a good bit of revisionist history at work with regards to those dark 12 years in American history when it seemed as though there was nothing but despair and governments tripping over themselves to fix something they didn’t have the tools or the business monkeying with in the first place. Think of it like a butcher going to work on the engine of a ’57 Chevy with baseball bat. The results are predictable.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
The "Great Depression" and the "Great Recession" FAQ / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Asha_Bangalore
There have been frequent questions from clients and partners about the “Great Depression” and the recent recession, which is often called the “Great Recession.” Here are five important aspects that should help to put the two periods in historical perspective.
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Politicians Repeating Public Proclamations & Denouncements of Early-1930s / Politics / Economic Depression
By: Aftab_Singh
In light of the monetary woes that have spread across the globe, I thought I’d demonstrate that the continuing montage of oratory acrobatics coming from our politicians are not a new thing. Here, I show a few examples of the demagogic proclamations that emerged during the early-1930s.
Monday, November 15, 2010
The Great “Depression” / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Howard_Katz
Today I would like to continue my discussion of the (so-called) Great Depression as this is the giant lie which is behind most of the other economic lies which have deceived so many people and cost them so much money.
What is a depression? It is a period in a country’s economic history where the large majority of the people become poorer. It is alleged that such a period occurred in the early 1930s. I have pointed out previously that Economic Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970, reports that during this period Americans shifted from margarine to butter. They increased their per capita meat consumption (from 129 lb to 144 lb.). And they gave (substantially) more to charity. Further, real wages rose during this period, and the savings of the average American increased in value (buying power) by 30%. This does not sound like a getting poorer to me.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
The Economics of Great Depression Scrip / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Clifford_F_Thies
According to Paul Krugman, a contributing cause to a depression is hoarding and, concerning this, I have no real quarrel.[1] It is concerning the ability of the market to address the problem of hoarding, versus the need for government intervention because of hoarding, on which I disagree.
Friday, November 27, 2009
The Forgotten Economic Depression of 1920 / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Thomas_E_Woods
It is a cliché that if we do not study the past we are condemned to repeat it. Almost equally certain, however, is that if there are lessons to be learned from an historical episode, the political class will draw all the wrong ones — and often deliberately so.
Far from viewing the past as a potential source of wisdom and insight, political regimes have a habit of employing history as an ideological weapon, to be distorted and manipulated in the service of present-day ambitions. That's what Winston Churchill meant when he described the history of the Soviet Union as "unpredictable."
Read full article... Read full article...