Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 06, 2011
Stock Market Like March 2008 or August 2008? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We have been calling for the markets to make new lows for eight weeks. The new low occurred on Monday. Given the similarities to March 2008 that have surfaced since Monday’s low of 1,074 on the S&P 500, it is prudent to understand how sharp bear market rallies can be. The bear market rally off the March 2008 lows pushed the S&P 500 14% higher.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
Stock Market Volatility Continues To Signal Equity Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Looking purely at the Vix one could say it is moving down as fear comes out of the market. Equities are moving higher, Vix moving lower, all is coming back to normal. But if you look behind the Vix it is signaling a completely different picture.
What I see is something pulling back before a final assault and highly probable defeat of the 48.00 line in the sand. I see the Vix moving up to the 60 range in a matter of days. Perhaps that will lead to the final push lower in equities before some form of a tradable bottom is put in. Perhaps it is already in but judging by the divergence between volatility and the SPX I highly doubt it.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
S&P 500 Stock Index Testing Key Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Why did I bail out of my long ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO) position (+7% in a day and a half)? Largely because the e-mini S&P 500 was bumping up against an important one-week resistance line at 1129.00, which in THIS market could elicit a negative reaction.
That said, so far there has been very little weakness after the initial bump against 1129. Should the e-SPZ hurdle and sustain above the resistance line, then my next optimal upside target zone is 1139-1143.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
Stock Market New Cycle Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
Following the September 22, 2011 Market Minute titled "Nearing the low" today's market action suggests that the expected trough has likely occurred.
Over the past two months, models have been indicating the low for the 14-16 week cycle should arrive from late September to early October. The strong reversal on the 4th and today in global markets would correspond with that pattern.
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Wednesday, October 05, 2011
Forget Halloween, It's the Christmas Shopping Season that Has Retailers Running Scared / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes:
Holiday retail sales - which account for almost 40% of retail revenue, worth $453 billion in sales last year - are in jeopardy.
Consumer spending continues to be restrained by an unemployment rate that has stayed above 9% for 26 of the past 28 months. Furthermore, rising food and gasoline costs, fears of a new recession, the loss of equity from the housing collapse, and mountains of leftover credit card debt have prospective purchasers tightening their purse strings.
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Wednesday, October 05, 2011
Stock Market Buying Opportunity Ahead Or Another Plunge? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
"Lost decade."
The phrase originally applied to Japan's stock market. Yet in terms of depth and scale, it more accurately describes today's markets and economy in the United States.
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Wednesday, October 05, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally, Europe to the Rescue! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
It appears that the news out of Europe, right before the close, that the EU is looking at further measures to recapitalize the banks, was enough to halt what was likely going to turn into a very nasty drop into the employment report on Friday. Instead what started as potentially very ugly morphed into a key reversal day. Since the market was getting very late in its daily cycle this will likely mark not only a daily cycle low, but a greater degree intermediate cycle low.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2011
Is the Stock Market on the Verge of a Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
Only 5 short months ago the S&P 500 was trading at the 2011 highs around the 1,370 price level on the S&P 500 Index. Since then, the price action has devastated investors and traders alike. As of the close on Monday, the S&P 500 had worked over 270 handles lower in 5 months. The price action since September 27th has been a bloodbath.
Tuesday, October 04, 2011
How to Get Rich in a Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
To most investors, just surviving a bear market is more important than finding the next jet-fueled growth stock.
But I want to let you in on a secret: Rather than just trying to survive, investors can actually thrive in bear markets. In fact, I make a lot more money a lot faster in bear markets than I do in bull markets.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2011
Stock Market Nasty Start to Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Harry_Boxer
The week started off with a thud as the stock market indices gapped down. They had a strong snapback early in the session on positive economic news, but that was it for the day. The indices then came down hard in a 5-wave decline, but at the end of the day when it looked like they were snapping back into the close, they suddenly reversed course in the last 10 minutes and got crushed into the close, finishing at the lows for the day.
Tuesday, October 04, 2011
Stock Market Moving Down..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Is this a fun market or what! I know all of you have been enjoying the bear market ride for some time now. Well, maybe you haven't been enjoying it, but not getting caught up in it has to be fun to some degree? No? Ok, maybe I'm wishing too hard here, but thankfully, we've avoided a lot of the carnage since S&P 500 1370. Once the SPX lost a triple bottom at 1260 it was lights out. The market has never recovered from that, and likely won't be any time soon, although a strong rally is not too far off. The bear is here bigger picture, and that should never be lost in your minds, even when a strong counter trend rally ensues. A strong rally can make you forget what's really in control. The short-term can always cloud the bigger picture, so make sure you recognize what's at play. Don't get emotional. You'll want to, for sure. I can guarantee that.
Monday, October 03, 2011
When Money Dies - a "Live from the Summit" Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Casey_Research
Kevin Brekke, Casey Research writes: Where is the US and global economy going? What will happen to the dollar and euro? And how can investors protect themselves from the fallout? All these questions and more were answered at the Casey Research/Sprott, Inc. Summit When Money Dies. Kevin Brekke reports live from the conference…
Monday, October 03, 2011
The Stock Market Could Soon Bottom and Nobody Knows It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Banister
The prevailing universal sentiment is neutral to bearish by advisors and the general investing public. Who can really blame them given the Euro-Zone mess, the potential bank contagion collapse effect, and the weak economic trends both here and overseas. However, the work I do is almost entirely behavioral based analysis looking at crowd or herd behavioral patterns.
Monday, October 03, 2011
Global Markets And The Mayan Magic Market Wave / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Andrew_McKillop
GOLD NEWS – The gold price fell sharply on Monday 26 September, plunging $44.25 to $1,615 per ounce. On September 6, the gold price had reached its all-time historic high, at $1,922.20 per ounce.
Never once in the whole year of 2001, even immediately after 9/11 did the New York gold price ever reach $300 per ounce. In September 2011 the price fell by $300 per ounce in one month.
Monday, October 03, 2011
Greece, Recession Odds, and Stock Market Technicals All Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
While inspectors from the International Monetary Fund, EU and European Central Bank, known as the troika, are in Athens to review the books, Reuters reported Sunday:
Read full article... Read full article...Greece will miss deficit targets set just months ago in a massive bailout package, sources said citing a budget draft being adopted by the cabinet on Sunday, in a setback in Europe’s efforts to stave off the country’s bankruptcy.
Monday, October 03, 2011
Three Safe Havens Where Big Money is Going / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It seems everyone is looking for a place to put their hard earned money as uncertainty around the globe continues to rise. Oil, Gold, and Silver which have been the hot investments for the past few years took it on the chin over the past month with oil falling 13%, gold dropping 15%, and silver with a whopping 30% decline. We did actually see sharply lower prices, but last week these oversold commodities had a bounce and recouped some of their losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 03, 2011
Stock Market Beginning of the End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014 after this bull market has run its course.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Ideally, the 3-yr cycle is due to make its low next week. This should put an end to the intermediate downtrend and start a new intermediate uptrend.
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Monday, October 03, 2011
Two charts best define where we’ve been, where we are and where we are most likely to go / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Sustainable bull markets cannot co-exist with falling bank stocks and when bank stocks fall the rest will follow.
In my May commentary I reproduced the monthly chart of the Philadelphia Bank Index. For good measure this time I have added the S&P 500 Diversified Financials Industry Group Index as well. These two charts underline the story I have been trying to convey to my readers for just on two years now. These two charts are the most important ones here, as the bearish patterns have advanced to the point where they are almost impossible to reverse.
Monday, October 03, 2011
The Unpunctured Stock Market Cycle Points to Big Declines Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Robert M. Williams writes: This report is a follow-up to my September 13th report entitled “Running Out Of Time” whereby I projected the demise of the Dow for a number of reasons. At that time I stated my reasons for believing the stock market was going to turn down. I still feel it is important to grasp the turn of events about to befall us, especially in light of the fact the media is busy trying to convince us to buy “cheap stocks”. The Fed of course came out with its “twist” and the market shrugged it off for what it was, a lot of nothing. You simply swap out today’s debt for long-term debt, but nothing is solved. Congress has decided to keep the government open a bit longer but offers no solutions, and Obama’s jobs bill is on a slab in the morgue. Finally problems in Europe once again surfaced and Treasury Secretary Geithner has been assigning blame in an effort to distract Americans from the real problems that face them at home.
Sunday, October 02, 2011
The Stock Market Smells Deflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
In previous commentaries we've talked about how the 6-year cycle is scheduled to peak around Oct. 1. That now appears to be all but certain following the last few trading sessions. Although the cycle has a 1-2 week standard deviation (plus or minus), it appears that it peaked on schedule last week and that the stock market has lost the last remaining cyclical support it had throughout most of September.