Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, October 16, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Primary B Wave Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another impressive week for the bulls: SPX/DOW +5.45%. We have seen quite a few of these since the bear market began, mixed in with some just as impressive downweeks: w/e July 01st S/D +5.5%, w/e August 26th S/D +4.5%, w/e September 16th S/D +5.05%. Economic reports for the week were light but still trending lower. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories and the M1- multiplier. On the downtick: the trade/budget deficits, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, and jobless claims rose. Remaining unchanged were import/export prices. That’s 3 up and 6 down if you’re counting. Equity markets worldwide had impressive gains, especially the NDX/NAZ in the US +7.65%. Asian markets gained 3.1%, European markets were +3.2%, the Commodity equity group rose 7.6%, and the DJ World index gained 5.4%. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by industrial production, the CPI/PPI, housing and the FED’s beige book.
Friday, October 14, 2011
Silver’s Signals Lean Bearish For Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Before we review current bull/bear signals from silver, Bloomberg had an on the money comment relative to the efforts in Europe:
Read full article... Read full article...“Recapitalizing the banks is not the solution,” said Justin Bisseker, who helps manage 205 billion pounds as a European bank analyst in London for Schroders, Britain’s largest independent money manager. “Sovereign risk is the principal concern. Once investors’ confidence in sovereigns returns, then confidence in the banks will follow.&rM.
Friday, October 14, 2011
Investors Great Opportunities (from Great Mistakes) Season / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“… I think this next phase of the crisis — a crisis that started with the credit crunch — has been exacerbated by governments and central banks creating even more debt in the global economy.
… The credit crunch was the result of too much leverage (debt) in the global economy. So the private sector starts to deleverage and instead of letting the market take its natural course, authorities add more debt to the global economy. Now the imbalances are worse than before the credit crunch.
I couldn’t make this stuff up if I tried.
Thus, I believe this story ends badly again; deleveraging globally is the only way to solve the problem if countries wish to see real growth ever again.
It won’t be pretty for most asset classes…”
“The Bank of England falls off the wagon. The pound could be sore in the morning!”
Jack Crooks, Money and Markets, 10/8/11
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Friday, October 14, 2011
A Rising Stock Market Won't Stop the "Economic Rot" Beneath / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
Suppose you see a lovely house -- one with great curb appeal. It has new paint and manicured shrubbery out front.
But also suppose that you look more closely. You press your thumb on the window sill and the wood frame crumbles in. Come to find out, the wood is rotten in too many places to count. The deck joists and supports are fractured. Even the terrain underneath the deck looks unstable. And the closer you look the worse the problems are.
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Friday, October 14, 2011
A Hair Trigger Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Browne
By the first week of October, after having dropped more than 18 percent from its highs achieved in May 2011, U.S. stocks were desperate to latch on to any good news. In this context, the apparent agreement between the major European players to kick their debt can down the road was viewed as an "all clear" for shell shocked investors.
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Friday, October 14, 2011
Will US Shoppers Rescue Europe's Economy? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Regent_Markets
This morning there is a muted reaction to the downgrade of Spanish debt by ratings agency S&P. It seems that the agency has done little more than confirm what markets have been saying for weeks. Today we have the start of the G20 meeting which runs into the weekend. The talks will be centred around Europe with terms of the rescue plan still being finalized amid news that France and Germany are disagreeing on Lisbon treaty reforms.Markets are in a holding pattern right now, but this could be broken by some strong data from the US today.
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Stock Market SPY Lagging the Q's / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let's notice the relative weakness of the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (SPY) in relation to the PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ), exhibited by the juxtapostions of their trading moving averages.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Big Banks Are About to Get Blasted by the Volcker Rule / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes:
When the Volcker Rule regulations go into effect next year, its restrictions could slam the revenue of the fixed income trading operations of several major U.S. banks by as much as 25%.
The Volker Rule is one of the elements required by the Dodd-Frank financial oversight law, which was written to rein in the sort of excessive Wall Street risk-taking that led to the financial crisis of 2008.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Major Market Reversals Brewing for Gold, Silver and Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past year we have been learning more about the financial situations across the pond in Europe. With international issues on the rise, investors are panicking trying to find a safest haven for their capital. This money has been bouncing from one investment to another trying to avoid the next major crash in stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities. It seems every 6 months there is a new headline news issue at hand forcing the smart money to withdraw from one investment class too another hoping to avoid the next meltdown. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Stock Market Rally Continues.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
There really wasn't much to focus on last night from overseas. The futures were up higher, however, and the move higher in Europe, France, etc. gave our markets a nice boost as the morning wore on, allowing for a decent gap up once trading began. The gains didn't explode higher as we were overbought, but the gains sure did hold decently throughout the day. More of the same these past days as sentiment has really kicked in the trade for the short-term, which is allowing for short-term oscillators to remain overbought, an unusual phenomenon when you're in a bear market. The trade has really gotten out of control on the bearishness. More on that later in this report.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Another Similar Stock Market 2008 Crash Chart Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Tony_Pallotta
"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the movement of stock prices and markets in general, ultimately creating patterns that kept repeating." - From a book on Jesse Livermore's trading style
Without a doubt one common similarity between the current market and the fall of 2008 is heightened investor emotions. There are plenty of other similarities from bank nationalizations, a deteriorating global economy and government intervention.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Stock Market Broadening Formation Wave structure now agrees with the Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The market has morphed yet again, but the Broadening Formation is providing a structure within which we may interpret these moves.
Wednesday, October 12, 2011
SP Dec Futures Intraday - Operation Twist Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jesse
Although this could break out and keep going, I have held the thought that this is just a short squeeze within the context of a broad trading range from 1100 to 1220. It should be noted that the futures tend to be a little 'sloppy.' These moves up and down in a broad channel are what is known as a 'wash and rinse' or 'wax on, wax off.'
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Wednesday, October 12, 2011
Slovakia Rejects EFSF, Financial Markets Yawn / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Regent_Markets
Overnight the Slovak government voted against expanding the EFSF (European Financial Stability Fund). All Eurozone countries must ratify the changes before they can come to pass, so technically the vote failure could derail the bailout plans. In reality, there appears to have been some political horse play involved in this vote, with a second vote likely to pass as early as Thursday.
Wednesday, October 12, 2011
$600 Trillion Derivatives Time Bomb That's Set to Explode / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
Do you want to know the real reason banks aren't lending and the PIIGS have control of the barnyard in Europe?
It's because risk in the $600 trillion derivatives market isn't evening out. To the contrary, it's growing increasingly concentrated among a select few banks, especially here in the United States.
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Wednesday, October 12, 2011
What Next for the Stock Market and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
A lot of eyes were watching the Slovakian Parliament around the closing bell today as they voted on the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF). The first vote failed to pass the pending legislation, but members of the opposition party have indicated that they will vote for the bill in a second scheduled vote.
The S&P 500 E-Mini futures contract has not sold off sharply on the news, but the trap door risk for equity traders is that the second vote comes up short and the legislation fails unexpectedly. The marketplace is expecting the second vote to pass without issue and if a different scenario plays out selling pressure could become extreme potentially. With earnings season now upon us, there is plenty of headline risk to go around and this Slovakian situation just adds more complexity to the news flow.
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Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Stock Market Wait For A Pullback Before Making New Buys / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Grandey
The S&P 500 is up 10% in 6 days!
Until we get some sort of pullback there is nothing to do on the longside, that is unless you like chasing buses at these levels. We don’t and we won’t. But if we get some sort of ABC pullback? A Pullback Off Highs (POH)?, then a launch? Sure then we can SELECTIVELY step up to the plate.
Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Markets Slip Back After Monday Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Regent_Markets
Last night, US markets closed strongly with the S&P 500 up 3.41% and the Dow Jones up 2.97%. This morning the S&P 500 futures have slipped back, but not by much, down 0.10% this morning.
Tuesday, October 11, 2011
SPXU Right But too Early / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Several weeks ago I called for a buy of SPXU. The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. Conversely, Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. If you believe as I do that we are setting up for a leg down on the S&P then SPXU is the best way to profit from this trade.
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Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Europe Pulls A Bernanke..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
If you can't beat them, join them, is what we've heard throughout the years. Europe is in a very dire situation with regards to defaults and their banks. Sarkozy from France and Merkel from Germany got together over the weekend and flooded the system with cash. Sound familiar? It should. It doesn't work, but it offers up hope for some reason. This hope got the futures moving higher overnight in Europe, and that happy feeling came into our neck of the woods. Up we went at the open and up we stayed all day. Nothing rousing after the open, but nice action as the major indexes all closed above the opening prints.
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