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We present in-depth analysis from over 150 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction.
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Friday, May 16, 2008
The Geopolitics Of Israel: Historic and Modern / Politics / Israel
By: John_Mauldin
This week we step outside the box of conventional geopolitical analysis to hear the thinking of George Friedman, founder and chief executive officer of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), on the geopolitics of Israel. George makes the key point that Israel's geography has been fundamentally important to its geopolitical successes and limitations, and has lent a surprising continuity to its foreign policy from the Biblical era forward to the present day.
This is the first in a series of monographs by George on the geopolitics of countries that are currently critical in world affairs, and he has kindly let us have a preview.
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Friday, May 16, 2008
Want To Fix the Fed? Get Rid of It / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds have been pondering Volcker's latest statements regarding stagflation, the CPI, regulation of banks, and even the need for an administrator to watch over the Fed.Let's see where Volcker is right and wrong with his analysis of the current economic situation and what to do about it.
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Friday, May 16, 2008
Stock Markets 2008- Sell in May and Go Away? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
Investors who want to beat the market need to be aware of the key trends that will affect their portfolios. To some this year looks like a classic “Sell in May and Go Away.” The theory is the market goes into hibernation for six months from May to November, and during the other six months it gets back into gear and makes its move up. The chart below, from Chart of the Day , shows the history of this phenomenon. Moreover, according to Standard & Poor's the November to April period outperformed the May to October period 69% of the time. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 16, 2008
Mortgage Providers Fail to Pass on Interest Rate Cuts to Borrowers / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008
By: MoneyFacts
“It is now five weeks since the last base rate cut and still 24 lenders (25%) have not announced their intentions with regards to their standard variable rate (SVR). Of those lenders that have done so, 20 (28%) have announced a cut of less than 0.25%. Even more disappointingly is the fact that those lenders which have passed on the smallest cuts offer some of the highest SVR rates.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 16, 2008
Uranium Stocks Continue Bearish Roller Coaster Ride / Commodities / Uranium
By: Merv_Burak
Note that the volume is an average volume of round lot sales for the 50 component stocks. For total volume, multiply by 5000.The roller coaster continues. Today is an up day, tomorrow ?? Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 16, 2008
Mining Companies Leverage / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: David_Morgan
This week I decided to look over some of our earlier reports and provide some information that can help to clarify some common misperceptions in valuing mining companies. The following is edited down considerably from a November 2007 Morgan Report.
One of the best ways to gain leverage to the precious metals is still in the mining sector and specifically through both junior and senior mining stocks. One analytical method is to take the total resource (indicated and inferred) and determine how many ounces you as an investor are receiving per share or per dollar invested.
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Friday, May 16, 2008
S&P Developing Bullish Pattern, While Crude Oil Still Refuses to Rest / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Thursday morning I posted a weekly S&P 500 chart for subscribers noting:
"Although we still have two trading days remaining this week, a very
interesting and potentially extremely bullish pattern has developed since
the end of April. Let's notice that the cash SPX is poised to thrust out of
a 3-week bullish consolidation pattern if the price structure climbs and
sustains above 1422.72."
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Thursday, May 15, 2008
Government Inflation Data Does Not Match Reality / Economics / Inflation
By: Gary_Dorsch
In an age where governments of every political stripe distort economic data to promote their own self-interests, it's hardly surprising that they present inflation statistics that are wildly at odds with the reality faced by consumers and businesses, and regarded with utter disbelief. In the latest US government report on inflation for instance, there was a glaring “seasonal adjustment,” for energy prices that cast great doubt as to the accuracy of the findings. US Labor Dept apparatchniks said consumer prices rose a smaller than expected 0.2% in April, tamed by energy prices, which were unchanged last month. Utilizing an obscure “seasonal adjustment,” Labor figured that gasoline prices actually fell 2% in April, which doesn't reflect the reality of what consumers were paying at the pump. Furthermore, the IMF's global food price index rose 43% over the last 12-months, but the US consumer price index for food is only 5.1% higher.
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Thursday, May 15, 2008
Gold Correction Near its End on Converging Signals from Bonds and Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The springtime corrections are really about done. They have gone on for a couple of months. The extent of the pullbacks have been tested and retested. The long-term trends are just about ready to asset themselves again. Grand deceptions have resumed to attempt to fool the public and the investment community that the worst is over for banks, housing, and mortgage bonds. That is not even remotely true. The deeply wounded banks, the sharply corrected home prices, and the badly damaged mortgage bonds have much more pain ahead. Nothing has been fixed. Many mortgage resets have yet to take place. The New Resolution Trust Corp to facilitate secondary mortgages, to bury dead mortgage bonds, and to renegotiate home loans is not even agreed upon, let alone installed. Its operation will be sometime in 2009 at the earliest. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 15, 2008
Odds Favor Short-Term Crude Oil Downtrend / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Frank_Holmes
Years ago when oil was $30 per barrel, we were laughed at when we suggested that it could trade over $100. Now it seems we were being a bit conservative.
That said, based on statistical tools we use to measure probabilities, we believe oil is currently overbought and due for a short-term correction of $20 to $35 before resuming a longer-term price climb that could well reach $200 per barrel.
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Thursday, May 15, 2008
Fannie Mae Advertising Foreclosed US Homes to the Brit's / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Adrian_Ash
"...'Find a holiday home in America ,' shouts Fannie Mae across the Pond..."
YOU CAN'T BLAME Fannie Mae for trying. Last year saw British property buyers snap up around 20,000 homes in the United States .
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Thursday, May 15, 2008
Playing the Food Boom for Huge Profits / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: I'm long 5,000 bushels of corn in the futures market. I bought the contract at $6.22 (a bushel), near corn's record high price.
Why? Because I'm expecting the price of corn to more than double in the next 18 months, to well over $12 a bushel. And I'll be adding more corn to my portfolio when I see the next buy point.
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Thursday, May 15, 2008
Gold Slips on Queationable Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold was down $ 3.60 to $8 6 5.40 yesterday and silver was down 18 cents to $1 6. 55 . Gold traded flat in Asia and has risen marginally in early trading in Europe. While the dollar is down today, the dollar's short term bounce may continue and this could put further pressure on gold and result in further consolidation at these levels (the $850 to $890 range). But oil is up more than 0.5% again this morning to over $125 a barrel again and this should result in gold being well supported at these levels. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 15, 2008
Commodities Correct after recent Strong Rallies / Commodities / Resources Investing
By: Emanuel_Balarie
Grains
Corn fell for the fourth straight day, with the July contract settling 8.25 cents lower at $5.99 a bushel. Improving planting conditions in the U.S. Midwest with forecasts for no major storms before May 21st will accelerate plantings that have experienced extended delays due to wet weather.
Soybeans held firm today after gaining nearly 3-percent yesterday. The July contract settled unchanged at $13.79 ½ a bushel. New crop futures closed higher with the November contract gaining 7 1/4 cents at $13.33 a bushel. Favorable corn planting conditions, strong demand, and a farmer strike in Argentina sent soybeans steady to higher on the session.
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Thursday, May 15, 2008
Australian Dollar vs. New Zealand Dollar: No Longer a One Way Bet Against the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Black_Swan
There’ve been a couple noticeable changes since the U.S. dollar index marked its most recent all‐time low on March 17th. Traders’ and investors’ appetite has been all mixed up.
The euro continued to rally to the $1.60 mark before falling about 5% versus the buck. It’s yet to recover. And I imagine this pair is under heavy scrutiny in determining the legitimacy of the dollar’s rally.
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