Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Stock Market Extremely Strong Pop to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices started the week off with a very strong move up with an extremely strong pop in the first thirty minutes, reaching the highs for the day. The DOW closed just underneath 20,000 at 19,980. However, in the afternoon, they pulled back in a 3-wave decline, particularly in the last hour, and finished barely ahead on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 11.23 at 19,945.04, 35 points off its high. The S&P 500 was up 5.09 at 2268.88, 5 points off its high. The Nasdaq was up 25.78 at 4965.81, but still 27 points off its high.
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Market Trends Generated By Jubilee 2016 Will Continue Into 2017 And Beyond / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
There were numerous trends established or maintained in 2016. In fact, the seeds planted in 2016 from Jubilee Year are bound to sprout in 2017 or 2018 with the kind of chaos and economic destruction that will give rise to further globalism.
Gold, silver and bitcoin as we have regularly commented, are the assets to consider as we approach grimmer times. (A little more on repercussions at the end of this analysis.)
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Financial Markets 2016: A Year for Contrarians; 2017 Shaping Up That Way as Well / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
2016 was the year I finally decided to codify my niche as a psychology-focused market contrarian, putting the Alice, Red Queen and Rabbit components of NFTRH’s logo right there on my inner forearm, forever.
This is because I love the imagery and themes of NFTRH’s guiding metaphorical story, Alice in Wonderland, and because the weird technical tools I use are generally in service to one thing; being right when the herds are going the wrong way. The concept originally came to me as the markets were beginning their descent into the crash of 2008 as the newly launched market management service needed a view that was apart from the emotional herds then preparing to go down the drain. Alice’s quote (Lewis Carroll), a portion of which occupies my other inner forearm was perfect in this regard…
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Stock Market Final Thrust Higher May Still Be Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX appears to be waiting for the final thrust in Wave [v] of an Ending Diagonal Wave 5. The target appears to be in the vicinity of 2281.00. Remember, 2285.92 is the maximum for Wave [5] in the SPX.
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Tuesday, December 27, 2016
Is an Stock Market Intermediate Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2270 has now been met, but there are higher counts that could still be filled before a serious reversal take place.
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Monday, December 26, 2016
The Big Theme for 2017: a Global Cash Ban / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
The big theme for 2017 will be Cash… not a pro-deflationary “time to own cash” theme… but a “let’s ban it as quickly as possible” theme.
Let’s review.
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Monday, December 26, 2016
The Next Big Stock Market Move Has Already Begun… But 99% of Investors Missed It. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The markets have begun to turn.
Sure… the broad indexes like the Dow and the S&P 500 are holding up…but beneath this surface, BAD stuff is brewing.
Copper, which lead stocks to the upside during this latest rally, has already TOPPED and is now correcting.
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Sunday, December 25, 2016
6 Charts That Show We Are in a Long-Term Stocks Secular Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As I look out over the coming years, I am convinced that we’ll see the blowing up of the biggest bubbles in history—including those of government debt and government promises. And it’s not just in the US, but all over the world.
That will lead to an eventual global crisis of biblical proportions. Although, it isn’t clear what the immediate cause of the crisis will be.
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Sunday, December 25, 2016
2 Charts That Debunk the Bullish Case for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
There’s compelling evidence that US stocks are overvalued. Yet just in the last month, we saw investors react to the US election by bidding the benchmarks up to new all-time highs.
This implies they expect even higher prices next year. Can it happen?
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Saturday, December 24, 2016
Feds Interest Rate Hikes Stance Equates to Nonsense and Masses are Turning Bullish on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"Beware of all enterprises that require a new set of clothes." ~ Henry David Thoreau
Remember over a year ago when they first raised hikes-they huffed and puffed warning everyone that they would raise rates several times in 2016 and viola nothing happened until now. Now they are repeating the same thing all over again. To illustrate how bad this economy take into consideration that the Fed has raised rates only twice in the last decade; the economy was a lot stronger in 2006 and 2007 than it is today. Yellen's statement below illustrates how the Fed is positioning itself so that it can pull another "oops we were wrong once again" moment.
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Saturday, December 24, 2016
Harry Dent - I’m NOT a Bull! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
On December 13, Denzel Washington hit the nail on the head when he said:
If you don’t read the newspaper, you’re uninformed.
If you DO read the paper, you’re misinformed…
We live in a society now where it’s just “get it out first!”
We don’t care who it hurts.
We don’t care who we destroy.
We don’t care if it’s true.
Just say it!
Sell it.
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Friday, December 23, 2016
Stock Market Something Wicked This Way Comes, Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
I stopped trying to predict markets back in 2008 when the Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Wall Street bankers, and their propaganda peddling media mouthpieces colluded to rig the markets to benefit the elite establishment players while screwing average Americans. I haven’t owned any stocks to speak of since 2006. I missed the the final blow-off, the 50% crash, and the subsequent engineered new bubble. But that doesn’t stop me from assessing our true economic situation, market valuations, and historical comparisons in order to prove the irrationality and idiocy of the current narrative.
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Friday, December 23, 2016
Bush Trumps Reagan Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The optimism that has followed the election of Donald Trump has pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the threshold of 20,000, a level that will be both a nominal record and a symbolic milestone. Although this is not the way most observers had predicted that 2016 would play out, most on Wall Street have become extremely reluctant to look a gift horse in the mouth...or to even look at him at all. The impulse is to jump on and ride, and only ask questions if it pulls up lame. But if this year has proven one thing, it is that predictions made by the consensus should not be trusted.
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Thursday, December 22, 2016
Stock Market More Fluctuations Along Record Highs, Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, December 22, 2016
Dow 20k Mission Accomplished, Stocks Bull Market Delights Could Have Violent Bear Market Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Today (21st December) the Dow again traded within a whisker of the mega stocks bull market milestone of 20,000 by hitting a high of 19,987 before retreating to close at 19,942, up 15% on the year and 9% since Trumps election win, and I just cannot wait any longer for those extra 13 points to materialise before publishing this analysis.
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Thursday, December 22, 2016
Considerable Down Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a mixed session and a down day, starting out a little bit positive, but then came down and consolidated all day. In the last hour, they rolled over and closed at the session lows for the S&P 500, but way above the lows on the Nasdaq 100.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 32.66 at 19,941.96, 14 points from its new all-time high at 20,000. The intraday high was 19,986, right at the prior intraday high. The S&P 500 was down 5.58 at 2265.18, right at the low for the day, and 6 points off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 4.90 at 4948.90, 10 points off its low.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Stock Market Bulls, Stock Market Fools - Market Crash Next or Just an Illusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"A learned blockhead is a greater blockhead than an ignorant one." ~ Benjamin Franklin
Since the markets bottomed in 2009, one naysayer after another has penned many an obituary for this market. Alas, all those obituaries were based on fantasy and false perceptions; the bull is alive and kicking while many of those experts are either bankrupt or have bankrupted their clients several times over. We repeatedly stated over the years that the era of low interest fostered an environment that favoured speculation over hard work. This is why so may companies have opted to be boosts EPS via share buyback programs. Why work, when through the magic of accounting you can create the impression of growth when there is none. All is well, and when it ends, only the workers and the masses will lose for the corporate wenches will walk away with bloated accounts.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
European Financials take a Hit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
This is the longest-term USD chart that I can find. The structure leads me to believe that it is on a giant retracement pattern that may have an ultimate target of 131.00 at a 61.8% retracement of the decline starting in 1984. I will be making minor revisions in my daily and weekly charts to reflect that outlook.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Why Are Pakistan’s Stock and Financial Markets Soaring, Really? / Stock-Markets / Pakistan
During six decades of US aid, Pakistan’s living standards plunged. But in the past year, Asia’s largest frontier market delivered foretaste of its promise – with China’s support.Recently, Pakistan’s stock market crossed the 46,000 point milestone. Investor sentiment is increasingly bullish. In the past year, Pakistan’s equity markets beat those of China and India by a wide margin. The former was up 16%, whereas the latter were in negative for the year.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
5 Investment Tips for Investors In 2017 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
We often get questions from readers about the criteria we use when considering positions in a market. Because of that, we decided to release our best insights in this article.
The reason we mention 2017 is that market conditions tend to change over time, and so do our criteria. The investment tips in this article are up-to-date, in line with what we believe are actual market conditions. To illustrate that, we have included recent charts and data points.
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