Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 09, 2017
Stock Market Tad More Distribution Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 08, 2017
The Trump Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
Donald Trump has a plan for dealing with the stock market bubble. Make it bigger.
Before the election candidate Trump blasted Federal Reserve chairman Janet Yellen for keeping interest rates too low for too long to keep the economy humming along while Obama was still in office. The president elect accused Yellen of being politically motivated suggesting that the Fed’s policies had put the country at risk of another stock market Crash like 2008.
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Sunday, January 08, 2017
Government Bail-ins, Asset Confiscations and the Gold Sword of Self Defense / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Stewart_Dougherty
[Preface: In Part 1 of our report, “Goldman to Trump: Situation Assessment, Government Bail-ins and the Precious Metals Threat,” we inferred what Goldman Sachs’s second in command Gary Cohn might have said to President-elect Trump during their meeting on November 29, 2016. Cohn met again with Mr. Trump on December 2, 2016, and this time, we have inferred that he was accompanied by a second person. Here is Part 2 of our intuited, fictional report.]
Mr. Cohn: It is a pleasure to see you once again, Mr. Trump. I have been pre-empted. I was asked by important friends of our firm to introduce to you their envoy, Dr. Hugo Ehrlich. I can vouch for the fact that he represents extraordinarily powerful people with whom you will be working closely going forward. Let me turn it over to Dr. Ehrlich so he can explain.”
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Sunday, January 08, 2017
Soft Commodities and the SPX Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started on Tuesday at SPX 2239. The market gapped up to start the week, hit SPX 2264, sold off to 2245, then gapped up on Wednesday to hit 2273. Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2260. Then on Friday the SPX made all-time new highs at 2282. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.95%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: the ADP, monthly payrolls, unemployment, factory orders, plus the trade deficit increased. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM manufacturing, auto sales, the WLEI, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by retail sales, business/wholesale inventories and consumer credit.
Saturday, January 07, 2017
DOW Breaths FIRE on Dow 20k, Stock Market New All Time Trading High 19,999.63 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow after a 2 week holiday break on Friday finally re-attempted to break above the stocks bull market mega-milestone of 20,000, by literally breathing fire on 20k for the whole of the trading session, trading to a high of 19,999.63 early in the session, retreating to close at 19,963. The Dow literally cannot get much closer than reaching 20k than 19,999.63 without actually touching it! A remarkable trading session taking the Dow within a cats whisker of achieving 20k.
Saturday, January 07, 2017
4 Reasons the Trump Stock Market Rally Has No Legs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: David_Galland
US equity markets are already factoring in Trump’s promised reforms, while bond markets are pricing in higher inflation.
There’s just one thing: Trump hasn’t done anything yet. We’re still weeks away from his inauguration, and details of his economic plans remain scarce.
Investors seem to take potential positives for economic growth (lower taxes, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus) at face value, but ignore the potential negatives (soaring deficits, tariffs, and trade wars).
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Saturday, January 07, 2017
Financial Crisis, Sleepy Dull Masses & Reality Wake-Up Call / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Many people who have been steady loyal dedicated even honorable investors in the gold & silver trade as personal protection for life savings have endured struggles with the family and friends. Whether the conversations are with dullards or stubborn types, maybe educated and formerly successful types, maybe those who are stuck in the paper world of shuffled investments of seemingly no basis, it is of no matter. The battle has been for a few years to convince those around us that a deep contracted crisis is underway. The battle has been to convince that a paradigm shift is in progress. The battle to convince family, friends, colleagues, neighbors, and acquaintances that the financial and economic system is facing a profound risk of total breakdown has been difficult. Most people are stuck in their own cocoon with family duties and business responsibilities, to be sure. Many people are also stuck within entrenched assumptions, most of which are false and easily dismissed. Many people simply do not care, since the official thermometer and barometer readings all read normal if not healthy signals, but then again they are rigged much like icing a thermometer from a rabidly sick man with a high fever. No resolution to certain pervasive intractable problems can come easily, not without a tumultuous sequence of events. The climax appears to have begun last year, while the breakdown accelerates.
Friday, January 06, 2017
Payrolls Underwhelm Markets, While China Boils Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Short-term support helped to keep the SPX aloft yesterday. The futures markets have been waiting for the monthly payrolls report. Now that it is out, it appears to be less than satisfactory. The question is, will there be a new high, or do the equities markets sell off from here?
Bloomberg reports, “The U.S. labor market turned in a solid performance at the end of 2016, sending job gains above 2 million for a sixth year as paychecks rose by the most during the current expansion.
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Friday, January 06, 2017
Stock markets – the similarities between investment, and online gambling / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
DELETED...
Friday, January 06, 2017
Stock Market Very Mixed Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session today, although at the end of the session they came on strong. The day started out with a pop to the upside for the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 barely bounced. They barely came down in the morning, and the Nasdaq 100 held, although the S&P 500 made two lower lows. When the S&P 500 was not confirmed by the Nasdaq 100 by midday, they rallied, and rallied for the rest of the session. Not only that, the S&P 500 popped near 2270 at the close.
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Thursday, January 05, 2017
The Endgame, Trump & Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
In the bankers’ endgame, slowing economic growth and excessive central bank liquidity forces investor capital into financial markets; driving up the price of stocks, bonds and commodities and creating financial bubbles whose collapse pose a systemic threat in overly-indebted capitalist economies.
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Thursday, January 05, 2017
How Fibonacci Ratios Govern the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Scientists speculate that Elliott waves are the stock market's "critical structure"
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Thursday, January 05, 2017
S&P 500 Gets Close To Record High As Investors' Sentiment Improves / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, January 05, 2017
The War On Cash Ratchets Up In Greece With “Soft Cash” Ban / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: Jeff_Berwick
It wasn’t long ago that it came out that the IMF intentionally wanted to create a “credit event” in Greece - part of a larger plan to destabilize Europe.
The country has already fallen victim to the repercussions of the war on cash, but now the grip of capital control is growing tighter.
The Greek Finance Ministry in their infinite wisdom has decided that its nation’s taxpayers will only be granted deductions or tax-allowances if payments are made using a debit or credit card.
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Thursday, January 05, 2017
Stock Market No New Highs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Wave [c] of 2 is three points shorter than Wave [a] at 30.20 points. However, it has stopped short of 2273.82 and appears to be complete. If so, the decline begins in earnest. Short positions may be taken beneath Short-term support at 2260.63. A second break of the trendline at 2250.00 is also a good short entry.
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Thursday, January 05, 2017
Americans Prefer Pets to Kids After the Great Recession - How to Cash In / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : More and more Americans seem to prefer pets to children… and the resulting demographic trend has massive economic and investment implications.
The numbers are startling and affect everyone—whether you’re a parent, a pet owner, neither, or both. It’s also an investment opportunity you might try in 2017.
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Wednesday, January 04, 2017
Stock Market - Here’s Why It’s Absurd to Be Bearish Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : The trend is your friend. How many times have you heard that saying? HOW MANY?
It’s a deeper philosophical question. You get to believe only one of the following, not both:
1) The market trends
2) The market is mean reverting
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Wednesday, January 04, 2017
2017 – The Year of Banana Skin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: GoldCore
2016 is behind us and we have started a new year with great gusto and no small measure of anxiety. The potential for unknown unknowns turning into banana skins is very high. Right now we are looking at:
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Wednesday, January 04, 2017
Stock Market, Gold Outlook for 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger reflects on how events of 2016 affected the markets, and lays out his strategy for 2017, which includes diamonds and uranium.
One of the most bothersome peccadillos of the advisory community, be it emanations from home computer blogs or the Ivory Towers of Wall Street, is the annoying tendency to accentuate good calls and understate bad ones.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
SPX has made a daily reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has performed a daily reversal by retracing the decline to its cycle Top resistance at 2260.79. It may do a smaller degree retracement to 2253.00 before going lower. The next stop may be the 50-day Moving Average at 2194.98. It may decline past that level in order to do a retest from below.
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