Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Shakes Off Mid-Day Decline to Close Higher / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
It was another volatile session, very similar to yesterday, except for the late afternoon rally. The indices opened lower, bounced around, and then took off in a very sharp rally that took the NDX from 1105 to 1158, a 53-point rally inside of an hour and a half. The S&P 500 went from about 828 to about 864 in that time frame.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
The Important Connection Between Stock Market New Lows and Relative Strength / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
What can the NYA New Lows vs. the S&P's Relative Strength tell you about the market?
We have discussed the NYA "New Daily Lows" vs. the market many times before. Basically, when New Lows fall to below 50 to 28 per day, the market faces a condition where investors have pretty much stopped the big selling and have decided to hold on to the stocks they are still in.
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Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Deflationary Trend Scenario Into into 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Welcome to An Occasional Letter, the third part of the development of the new scenario that I believe will play out over the next 5 or so years. In the last 2 articles we looked at the new themes emerging from the pyre that was Financial Innovation, in this article its time to develop the new road ahead.
If you want to catch up on the first 2 articles click article 1 and article 2 .
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Systemic Risks Means this is a Traders Market / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The latest valueline report makes very sombre reading: "The economy is now in a deepening slump, which is now characterized by issues of viability in the troubled auto sector, by the need for a monumental bailout of ailing behemoth Citi-group, and by further reversions on the housing market, where existing home sales resumed their decline in October and prices fell by the most on record. Given this dour backdrop, it is not surprising that we expect the downwardly revised .5% decline in third quarter gross domestic product to be followed by a materially large 3%-5% set back in GDP in the final three months of the year. The news is likely to get worse before it gets better."Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
U.S. Stock Market Valuations and Returns, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Stock market movements over the past few months have been characterized by increased volatility as uncertainty became paramount. And as new pieces of the economics puzzle are added every day, investors are increasingly grappling to make sense of the most likely direction of stock prices.
It seems to be a case of so many pundits, so many views. Has the market started bottoming out, or are bourses still in the grip of the bear? Or is a “muddle-through” trading range in store?
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Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Caution, Caution, and More Caution / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Just when you think you have this figured out in this impossible environment, you recognize you don't -- and thus the reason to be either all cash or very close to it. Getting aggressive in any way, shape or form is incredibly inappropriate. Two days ago things looked good. Monday made things look bad, but Tuesday not so bad as those daily Macd's hung in there very well -- but of course could totally collapse tomorrow out of no where.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Indices Get Strong Finish to Finish near Highs in Volatile Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets had a volatile session, but a got very strong finish, closing at the highs for the day on some of the indices and near them on the others.
The day started out with positive market futures, but they had come way off their early pre-market highs. They opened positive but then sold off immediately to retest yesterday's late lows, but held there. When that happened, they staged a very strong rally in the morning that took the Nasdaq 100 from about 1192 to 1137, about a 45-point rally.
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Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Plunging Domestic and Global Funds Money Flows / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Mutual fund money flows, which are a good indicator of overall retail investor market views, have been strongly negative in recent months. Global and international equity funds have experienced greater negative money flows than domestic US mutual funds this year. Until the 2008 market drops, US equity funds received lower money inflows than global and international funds.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Financial Markets Technical Analysis- Yorba TV / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Today’s Yorba TV Program may be entitled “Final Landing” since the indexes have now given us a potential map of its intentions. Last week I put out a video on YouTube describing my current views on the BKX. It drew a lot of commentary and gave me a reason to re-evaluate the chart patterns to get the “best fit.” The red horizontal line is the neckline of an earlier head and shoulders pattern that had a target of 33 in the BKX.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Stock Markets Finding More Promising Signs of a Turnaround / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
As the final month of 2008 begins, let's look back at November -- a month that featured a number of promising signs that a market recovery could be drawing nearer.
U.S. markets— According to probability models from Thomas Weisel, the S&P 500 has been a “Buy” since November 21, the day that index closed at 800. They say a verification could come in early December, when monthly liquidity figures come out—if there is extreme positive liquidity to accompany the technical “Buy” signal, history shows that on average there's a six-month price rally of 18.5 percent.
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Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Stock Market Crash Technical Analysis Online Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
How did a dead mathematician pinpoint the downturn in the market?
In my new video, I will show you how a mathematician who has been dead for
several hundred years, pinpointed today's downturn in the market (12/1/08).
I think that you'll find this short video informative, educational and above
all practical.
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Major Stock Market Test Underway / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
... because a formidable 6 month resistance is now being tested ...
Today, we will share the chart of our "Net Daily Difference between the Very Strong to Very Weak" stocks.
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Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Stock Market Rally Ends With a BANG! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The rally abruptly ended today and with a bang, as the indices opened sharply lower on very negative pre-market futures. They dropped precipitously in the morning, bounced around mid-day to try to consolidate, and even tried a mid-day rally. When that failed they sold them off in earnest, as the indices cascaded in the last hour, the Nasdaq 100 dropping from 1128 to 1093 just in the last hour alone, and the S&P 500 dropping from 850 to 815 over that same period of time and closing not far from there.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Inflated Egos Next Bubble To Burst / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
As a follow-up to last week's commentary on the chronic complacency that has gripped the investing public, a population that thinks ‘ big daddy ' will bail them out of all troubles forever apparently, once its realized by the masses this belief is a falsehood , a sense of panic will enter the collective psyche, and the issue of our inflated egos will finally be addressed. Of course in the meantime the bureaucracy is doing a great job of keeping the mob's attention off of real issues, much in the spirit of Rome's bread and circuses so long ago now. In knowing this the question begs, ‘have we not progressed past the failings of our forefathers in matters of society?'Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
Nasdaq Retraces 50% of Upmove / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) are pressing towards a 50% giveback of the prior 5-session upmove, at 27.25, which is the next significant support plateau beneath the 11/25 pullback low of 27.52. If 27.25 does not contain the selling pressure, then we should expect downside continuation that fills the gap area from 11/24 in the 27.00-26.65 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues During December / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012- 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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Monday, December 01, 2008
Stock Market Santa Rally Could Correct this Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Markets pulled their socks up last week, with global equities putting some distance between the November lows and Friday’s close. The FTSE 100 enjoyed a 13% weekly gain, while the Dow, S&P500 and Nasdaq are up 17.1%, 19.9% and 18.3% from the November lows respectively. The week started well with traders liking what they saw in the massive bailout of Citi group.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
European Banks to be Hit by Collapsing Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Jack Crooks writes: Most investors are understandably fixating on the spectacle of the U.S. debt crisis and Washington's $7.8 trillion in loans, investments, commitments and guarantees designed to end it.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Stocks Head into Seasonally Second Strongest Month of the Year / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: New lows all but disappeared over the past week.
Short Term In an up trending market the down days give you the best information. We have not had a down day in the past week.
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Sunday, November 30, 2008
Investors Give Thanks for Stock Market Five Day Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The holiday-shortened Thanksgiving week brought investors an additional item to be thankful for when stock markets closed higher for five consecutive trading days - a rare winning streak last accomplished in July 2007. The S&P 500 Index has gained 19.1% since the start of the rally on November 21 and 12.0% on the week, registering the largest weekly gain since 1974.Read full article... Read full article...