Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 29, 2015
Greece BANKRUPT! Financial and Economic Collapse to Follow IMF Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Syriza government betrays Europe and the Greek people says angry EU President Juncker, by Syriza lying to its people on the truth of Greece's proposed bailout conditions and that he has no trust left in Tsipras. Juncker in blunt language made it clear that a NO vote on the 5th July referendum (that I don't think will actually be held) would mean that Greece will be kicked out of the euro-zone.
“’No’ would mean, regardless of the final question, that Greece is saying no to Europe,”
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Monday, June 29, 2015
Stock Market More Decline Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Waiting for confirmation that the ending diagonal is complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 29, 2015
China Stock Market Crackup - The Final Trap Looms... / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
What was predicted for China has started to happen with the dramatic failure of its parabolic uptrend just over a week ago leading to a plunge. The update China Crash was posted when all indicators were at "nosebleed" levels late in April, right after which the third steepest fanline shown on our 1-year chart for the Shanghai Composite Index below was breached. Somewhat amazingly, that overbought peak late in April was not the final top - it rose even higher into early-mid June, but after that, just over a week ago, it finally broke below the parabola and started to cave in.
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Monday, June 29, 2015
Possible Stock Market Panic Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week, I warned of a possible Head and Shoulders Pattern Top looming. Back in the 1980’s, I learned how to do minimum down side measures by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and then adding it to the neckline. The current minimum measure is for SPX 2003. I also noticed that quite frequently one could also figure the bottom day of the down side move by taking the first touch point of the neckline and counting the trading days to the head (this case it is 10 trading days from 5/6 to 5/20) and then adding that number (10) to the last touch point on the neckline (6/15) + one more trading, which would give us June 30 for the possible low.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 28, 2015
Greece Banking System Collapse Monday as ECB Pulls the Plug, Capital Controls Ahead of GrExit / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
It looks like the 'game theory' playing Tsipras and Varoufakis are succeeding in having Greece thrown out of the Euro-zone as the ECB after financing every single euro withdrawn from the Greek banks for the past 5 years, Euro-zone tax payer funds amounting to E130billion, has finally today announced that it has effectively pulled the plug on the Greek banking system by stating that the ECB would not extend its emergency lending support programme for the Greek banking system that is haemorrhaging billions of euros on a daily basis.
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Sunday, June 28, 2015
COMPQ Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The spike to new highs could be counted as a small thrust from a triangle 4th wave, so we would need to see a large decline now back under 5000 to suggest the idea of a possible end to wave [5] of the larger wave 3, short term its yet to show a small 5 wave decline, but if it can remain below 5120 then I would favor more weakness now and target more downside. The NDX failed to make a new yearly high so we have a small divergence between the COMPQ and NDX.
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Sunday, June 28, 2015
On Monday, It’s China Versus Greece / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Fear and greed are both getting a serious workout lately, but Monday will be even more fun than usual because of two big stories that hit over the weekend. First, Greece decided to put the draconian demands of its European creditors to a popular vote, to which the creditors responded by cutting Greece off from new bailout money. Greek citizens, now staring down the barrel of capital controls and/or bank failures, are busily emptying their bank accounts:
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Sunday, June 28, 2015
FTSE 100 Could Rise on Rates / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Stock markets in the UK have been attempting to recover from recent declines and regain the foothold that was established earlier this year in the 7140 region. Most global stock benchmarks have had a positive year in 2015 but the story has been somewhat different in the UK where there is still the peripheral impact of sovereign debt in the Eurozone to complicate investment ideas.
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Saturday, June 27, 2015
Stock Market Uptrend/downtrend Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2110. A gap up opening took the SPX to 2130 on Monday, the high for the week. Then the market pulled back every day, including Friday, to end the week at SPX 2102. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.4%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.7%, and the DJ World index was +0.1%. Economics reports for the week were mostly positive. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, personal income/spending, FHFA prices, the PCE, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, and Q1 GDP improved. On the downtick: durable goods, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Payrolls, the Chicago PMI and ISM manufacturing. Best to your week!
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Saturday, June 27, 2015
Flatline Investing and Dead End Debt Schemes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Next Tuesday is the end of the first half of 2015. As of today, the Dow has once again rallied up to break the magical 18,000 line, holding this level after coming within inches of this level for the first time on December 5, 2014....now 139 trading days ago.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Stock Market - Why I am Ultra Bearish over the Long Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Some interesting developments are playing out in long term charts that make me feel comprehensively bearish over the long term:
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Stocks and the Slippery Roads For the Rickshaw Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stocks were weak Thursday on the 'better than expected' consumer spending number.
Jobs remain weak, despite the spin about The Recovery™.
There are jobs that will provide a poverty wage, and workers are increasingly insecure in an on-demand, rickshaw economy.
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Thursday, June 25, 2015
Chinese Stocks: "How to Think Like a Billionaire Investor" / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
What's next for the high-flying Shanghai Composite?
With China's main Shanghai Composite index up almost 40% this year, and the tech-heavy Shenzhen Composite index up more than 90% YTD, are Chinese stocks in a bubble?
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Thursday, June 25, 2015
Greece and Stock Market Divergences.......Transports Ugly.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market was gapping down just a drop heading in to the trading day. Nothing to get upset about but, then came the news many didn't want to hear. Talks regarding Greece breaking down, which is not unexpected. The futures fell further still and down we went. Gap down and run for the most part. Not a terrible day by any means. Not a bearish day big picture by any means, but it was a decent down-day with Greece being one part of the equation along with negative short-term divergences being the other culprit. They were pretty large, and, thus, some selling could have been expected.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
China Stocks: Where Have They Been and Where are They Going? / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Historians have aptly named the 20th century the "American Century." THIS century, many experts agree, will belong to China. In Q1 of 2015 alone, the Shanghai Composite stock index gained 16%. And over the prior 12 months, it had gained 84%.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Dow Stock Index Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Equities markets have a tendency to change direction following options expiration. Given equities rallied into the end of last week, a downturn can now be expected. It may have started last Friday or perhaps markets will sneak in one final rally on "hope" of a positive outcome from this week's meeting of European leaders on the Greece problem. Either way, a decline is expected. The only question is "how long will it last?"
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Greece / Stock Market Played Like a Bouzouki / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We have a deal!
No really. This time we do have a deal. Uh, we think.
And the cry went forth, and Very Serious People breathed a sigh of relief, the Greek people continued to take their euros out of the banks, and the markets rallied. Again.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Stock Market is on a Hair Trigger / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Ending Diagonal does not appear to be complete. Micro Wave c of Sub-minute Wave (v) must push higher. The target listed this morning still appears to be reasonable, given the circumstances. If so, this will be the top of Wave (5). I will change it as I see the progress of this (final) rally.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Stock Market Bullish Pattern Still With Us....Greece Still With Us As Well..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The S&P 500 bulls had their hopes lit up this morning. Actually, for those who follow these things, those hopes were lit up last night as soon as the futures came out. They were flying up pretty nicely giving the bulls visions of saying so long to S&P 500 2134. Those futures went higher still as night progressed but fell some before the open. With the close on the S&P 500 at 2110 Friday, there was a lot of work for the bulls to do to get it over 2134. We came within a few points of that, only to see it back off some as the day progressed. Another good old college try that just didn't happen. An up-day, but not a breakout day, so there's still not much to get overly pumped up about, even though other areas are trying to break out, such as the small and mid-cap stocks.
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Monday, June 22, 2015
Stock Market Crash Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
If the Fed continues to intervene and prevents the correction then we will almost certainly have an 87 style crash this fall.
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