Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Investors Must Resolve to Follow the Money In 2013 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

During these first days of January, many adopt an "out with the old, in with the new," approach to shed bad habits or extra pounds. Washington opted for its same ol' strategy when averting the "fiscal cliff," as the addictive nature of "can-kicking is a transatlantic sport," according to The Economist. The magazine suggests that the deal made in the 11th hour is "disturbingly similar to the eurozone's." The short-term fix did "nothing to control the unsustainable path of 'entitlement' spending on pensions and health care ... nothing to rationalize America's hideously complex and distorted tax code... and virtually nothing to close America's big structural budget deficit."

Monday, January 07, 2013

Death Knell of the Economic Recovery, the Future of Inflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

Call it the "shot heard round the world." Its aim was ostensibly to reduce the U.S. budget deficit, its effect was tantamount to a bullet in the chest of the consumer recovery.

Last week the U.S. working class was hit with a significant payroll tax increase, a blow which couldn't have occurred at a worse time. Just as the economic recovery was starting to gain some traction, our elected officials took the proverbial wind out of its sails by raising taxes. A tax increase is the last thing needed when the economic undercurrents are deflationary, as they are now. This measure will eventually beget even more deflation as consumers reign in spending once they see their paychecks diminished courtesy of the U.S. Congress.

Monday, January 07, 2013

The Stock Markets Final Hours? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX pulled back from its Friday high, but appears to have an incomplete fractal/wave pattern. In order to confirm the top is in, we must see SPX decline beneath 1449.00. On the other hand, should SPX rise above 1464.00, the probability of another spike higher rises dramatically.

Monday, January 07, 2013

U.S. Fed Showing Financial Fear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: EWI

Have you heard about the Fed's 180 degree turn?

Think about one of those movie scenes when the leading man does all he can to defeat the big, bad enemy -- punches, kicks, slams, stabs, shoots -- but the bad guy just won't go down. In fact he doesn't even look fazed.

That's when the protagonist really starts to worry.

Monday, January 07, 2013

Ten Steps to Financial Safety 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

1. The best time to start preparing was about a decade ago. The second best time is today. Make a plan and act. Start by reducing living expenses and eliminating credit card debt.
2. Expect sweeping changes! I hope the inevitable currency collapse is slow and gentle, not rapid and destructive, but history suggests rapid and painful are more likely.
3. Phase out of paper assets and into something real. Gold, silver, diamonds, farm land, rental property, and buildings come to mind.

Monday, January 07, 2013

Stock Market Looks Set to Correct into February / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction. The structure has been altered by the fiscal cliff resolution rally.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Stock Market Rally Peak Almost, But Not There Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

Following on from last week's report, we are within striking distance of the Sept 2012 highs on the SPX and ES.

There were many other markets that made impressive moves, the Russell 2000 making new all time highs as did the little followed value line index.

To bullish traders and Elliotticians it should have come as no surprise, if you studied price long enough and remain non-biased and accept what you see, then the upside move was virtually guaranteed, but the bears once again found out the hard way of fighting price and ignoring what price suggested.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Stocks, Bonds, and Gold Inflection Point Market Trend Forecasts 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Darah_Bazargan

Most are sunk in contemplation, and hopelessly clinging on to the ever- changing era of big government spending.

Central bankers and big financial institutions are borrowing money from the FED at rates near zero, and then reinvest it into the ten year or thirty year notes, which are paying 2% to 4%. From the standpoint of any financial institution, it is logical and also more profitable than say, lending to a risky borrower.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Stock Market Bearish Wedge Pattern is Now a Triple Zigzag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This week’s action has “busted” a couple of chart patterns, so the SPX needed a bit of cleaning up. The major one is that the Bearish Wedge pattern is now a triple zigzag Ending Diagonal tracing the boundaries of Primary Cycle Wave [C]. This suggests that Wave [C] may go higher on Monday. The minimum target appears to be 1475.00. Cycle Top resistance is at 1481.05 and that also corresponds with the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top shown in the chart.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Markets Vanish - 'In a Flash' / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Fred_Sheehan

The same title cheered in the new years of 2011 and 2012 ("Markets Vanish - "In a Flash"," January 4, 2011 and January 8, 2012). These warnings described how quickly, and with no foresight by participants, markets evaporated in 1914. In 2013, markets have never been more susceptible to such a bolt of recognition. This is a consequence of such imperturbable faith in the prices set by besotted bureaucrats. What follows is a quick look at the nasty, brutish, and short results from government manipulations after such policy failures.

Saturday, January 05, 2013

Did the Fed Lie About QE 3 and 4? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Graham_Summers

It’s common belief that Bernanke and the Fed are printing $85 billion per month ($40 billion to buy Mortgage Backed Securities and $45 billion to buy Treasuries). After all, these are the policies that the Fed announced in September and December 2012, respectively.

The only issue with this is that the Fed lied.

Saturday, January 05, 2013

Waiting for the Stock Market To Show its Hand on Next Trend Direction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Pallotta

For the week ending January 4, 2013, the SPX was up 4.6%, the Russell small caps were up 5.6% and the COMP was up 4.9%.

The current equity price action is viewed as a normal retracement prior to resumption of the downtrend, a final battle for direction. Though we may see another slight push higher, probability favors a test of support which is roughly 1440 on SPX, 13250 on the Dow, 850 on the Russell and 3040 on COMP. If support holds, then a sustainable uptrend may be forming. If it cannot hold then resumption of the downtrend is most probable.

Saturday, January 05, 2013

Stock Market Overall Solid Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

A week of wild events led first and foremost by the fiscal-cliff drama that literally came down to the final moments. If no deal had been worked out on New Year's Day this market would have taken it on the chin very hard. The Republicans were adamant that they would not accept a deal that wasn't inclusive of major spending cuts. That's exactly what the Democrats didn't offer. Didn't look good, but at the last moment the Republicans gave in stating they were concerned about the state of the markets considering how on the edge our economy is right now. They gave in and the deal was signed into law by President Obama. The market celebrated in a very large way to the tune of 300+ points on the Dow and nearly one hundred points on the Nasdaq. It was quite the day, which also set things up more bullish on the daily charts, but more on that later on in this report.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Fiscal Y2Cliff Sham Held Investors Hostage 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: InvestmentContrarian

John Paul Whitefoot writes: On January 1, 2000, the world breathed a collective sigh of relief that the over-hyped Y2K fiasco dissipated without even a whimper after years of ballyhoo.

Some things never change.

As expected, at the last moment, Democrats and Republicans came together in joyous union and resolved the so-called fiscal cliff. Nervous investors around the world joined together with rapturous optimism and jumped back into the markets.

Friday, January 04, 2013

How the Federal Reserve is Showing Financial Fear / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: EWI

Have you heard about the Fed's 180 degree turn?

Think about one of those movie scenes when the leading man does all he can to defeat the big, bad enemy -- punches, kicks, slams, stabs, shoots -- but the bad guy just won't go down. In fact he doesn't even look fazed.

That's when the protagonist really starts to worry.

Friday, January 04, 2013

S&P 1470-1474 Area Crucial for Stock Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: David_Banister

The SP 500 has been in a potential 5 wave rally going all the way back to October 2011 lows of 1074. This type of 5 wave rally is common in a Bull Market, but must be watched closely as it could also signal another large correction just around the corner from current 1464 levels on the SP 500 Index. Once you complete a 5 wave bullish pattern, there is commonly a 3 wave corrective decline, therefore determining where those key pivot points are is crucial for market watchers.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Federal Reserve Members Question QE Beyond 2013 / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Eric_McWhinnie

The Federal Reserve launched its highly anticipated fourth round of quantitative easing in December. The latest money-printing program came only three months after the central bank’s unlimited QE3 was announced. Now, recent Federal Open Market Committee minutes show that policymakers are dividend about expanding the Fed’s balance sheet to unprecedented levels.

According to the just released FOMC minutes, several members want to ease off the monetary easing gas pedal by the end of this year, sooner than expected.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Monetary Malpractice: Dysfunctional Financial Markets, Mis-pricing and Malinvestments / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Gordon_T_Long

One of the first axioms of analysis is: "Garbage In, Garbage Out"! If your data is flawed, everything you do with it and the decisions stemming from it are flawed and dangerous to your financial health. Experienced analysts will often be found relentlessly checking, rechecking and validating their inputs and assumptions.

If only our economists and the sell side analyst community were this diligent. But then it isn't their money. Only a year-end bonus for the 'extras' in their life is at risk.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Stock Market VIX Compression Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX compression continues into its 17th hour of this declining fractal. Whether this compression is artificial or not, there is a natural limit to how long it may last. This may be it, since the pattern also appears complete. We know that the New York Fed is buying ES and SPY and selling VIX. However, as you will soon see, it may be running out of bullets and is making one last desparate stand against asset deflation.

Thursday, January 03, 2013

Stock Market Flash Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good morning!

I submit a potential flash crash fractal in the one minute SPX Chart.  If you are not short, you probably missed the opportunity already.