Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 08, 2014
Stock Market Renewed Selling on Russia Sanctions Showdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: From a market perspective, this morning’s plunge in new jobless claims was trumped by mounting tensions over sanctions against Russia and Putin’s sanction reprisal. The S&P 500 hit its 0.45% intraday high moments after the open. It then sold off in a couple of waves to its -0.81% intraday low shortly after 3 PM. Some buying in the final hour trimmed the day’s loss to -0.56%.
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Thursday, August 07, 2014
Stock Market Summer Correction Options / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
With the help of some of NFTRH's standard weekly charts, we take a snapshot of the US stock market.
The Bank index is unbroken from a weekly perspective. People will talk about an H&S but it is not activated until the trend channel and the neckline (a well defined support area) are broken. BKX, along with the Semiconductors has been a notable leader to the entire surprise* phase of the bull market out of Q4, 2012.
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Thursday, August 07, 2014
Cold War 2.0 Is a Financial War / Stock-Markets / New Cold War
James Rickards writes: Editor's Note: James G. Rickards is the New York Times best-selling author of The Death of Money and Currency Wars. Today, he'll tell us about a new kind of global conflict – one that could wipe trillions in personal wealth off the map…
Relations between the United States and Russia are now at their lowest ebb since the end of the Soviet Union on Christmas Day 1991.
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Thursday, August 07, 2014
Stock Market Rally Time?...Should A Bit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Markets can often get to the point where they need to stop selling after a strong move down. Oscillators take a beating. Many short- and mid-term charts get oversold, such as the Dow on the daily chart with a 30 RSI. It's time for a small rally. When I say small I mean small, since there's strong resistance at 1846 and 1854 on the S&P 500, which are the 50- and 20-day exponential moving averages. It does NOT have to rally to those levels, but it would make sense technically to get a move up to either one of those levels before heading lower again. Unwinding some oversold oscillators would be best for the bears. This is why it made sense for the market to rally once we had the strong gap down this morning. The Dow RSI was falling below 30, and some short-term oscillators were getting ridiculously oversold.
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Wednesday, August 06, 2014
The Anticipated Stock Market Correction Is Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Last month I wrote that the stock market was overvalued and that caution was warranted.
I reckon the anticipated correction started July 31st, a month or so sooner than I expected.
Recent price movement has done considerable technical damage to all indices and I do not think this is a “standard” pullback. Why, you may ask?
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Wednesday, August 06, 2014
The Most-Anticipated Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
US equities have been going up for so long that most investors — especially those who were only recently enticed into the casino by the apparently easy money on offer — have trouble remembering the last time it was possible to lose big in stocks.
Along the way, a whole slew of indices and indicators have drifted into their historical danger zones, prompting many in the financial media to address the subject, either by making explicit predictions (YouTube is now full of recent videos with pundits hammering the “get out while you can” theme) or considering the issue from unusual angles. Here’s a good example of the latter from MarketWatch’s L.A. Little:
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Wednesday, August 06, 2014
The Single Most Important Strategy Most Investors Ignore / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
“If I scare you this morning, and as a result you take action, then I will have accomplished my goal.” That’s what I told the audience at the Sprott Natural Resource Symposium in Vancouver two weeks ago.
But the reality is that I didn’t need to try to scare anyone. The evidence is overwhelming and has already alarmed most investors; our greatest risk is not a bad investment but our political exposure.
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Wednesday, August 06, 2014
US Stock Market At a Critical Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The past two years we see the stock market steadily climb with low volatility. All investors and traders have had to do is simply buy the pullbacks within the stock market and riding the market to new highs. While this has worked out very well to date, most will in for a big surprise when the market trend reverses.
As of today, the AlgoTrades algorithmic trading system which uses momentum, cycles, volume flows and advanced filters signaled that the market is now in a down trend.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2014
Stock Market Oversold Bounce... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market was due for a bounce today as the sixty-minute short-term charts had gotten very oversold. In the case of the Dow, extremely oversold, with a reading at twelve late last week. That's simply unsustainable, and, thus, some buying was necessary for the market in order to calm down the excessive compressed oscillators we saw. The market struggled early on today to get some type of bounce going, The bears had simply run out of steam as they have caused quite a bit of technical damage, but used up a tremendous amount of energy to accomplish that. Markets can only get so overbought or oversold before some type of reflex bounce occurs. Not only that, but even the daily RSI hit 30 on the Dow. That didn't take long. Only about six hundred points accomplished that feat.
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Monday, August 04, 2014
ASX200 Aussie Stocks Bulls Set To Be Culled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
With the ASX200 in the highest territory it's been since June 2008 and seemingly hopping along nicely (just getting a kangaroo reference out of the way!), I thought I'd investigate. Let's take a top down approach beginning with the yearly chart.
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Monday, August 04, 2014
The Fed-Induced Stock Market EPS Fairy Tale / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
The stock market has advanced sharply over the past five years no matter what geopolitical situation has blown up or how tenuous the economic foundation may be. This is because Investors have simply been forced to throw money at the market with a reckless disregard of logic due to the lack of interest provided through the holding of cash.
But if one looks objectively and the true market fundamentals, it is clear to see that the stock market has blown into yet another bubble, except its total magnitude has been masked by the central bank's engineering of corporate earnings growth.
Monday, August 04, 2014
Volatile Markets Shake U.S. Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Volatile markets are shaking the U.S. economy and geopolitical conflicts are intensifying. This is bad news.
Iraq is falling into civil war, like Syria did after the Arab Spring across North Africa; Israel is invading Gaza; a Malaysia airliner was shot down over Ukraine — by who knows whom; and two Ukrainian fighter jets were shot down by Russian rebels.
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Monday, August 04, 2014
Best Investor Bets in Europe and Asia Right Now - Video / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Interview: Our global markets expert Chris Carolan talks opportunities across Europe and Asia
Enjoy this 7-minute interview with Elliott Wave International's global opportunities expert Chris Carolan.
You will learn where Chris sees the best market opportunities unfolding in both Europe and Asia right now.
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Monday, August 04, 2014
Stock and Financial Markets Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The purpose of this post is to show what is happening.
So, the US $ is to collapse, so say the inflationistas, the gold bugs, the Anderson shelter types etc.
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Monday, August 04, 2014
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty - Will Downtrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,970 and a potential profit target at 1,850, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, following a breakout below recent consolidation:
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Monday, August 04, 2014
Stock Market Short-term Low Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Intermediate correction is in process.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, August 04, 2014
Recession Safeguards Are Coming Under Heavy Attack / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Shah Gilani writes: Lackluster economic growth in the U.S. has nothing to do with financial services regulatory overreach inherent in new Dodd-Frank rules - as some neo-conservatives would have the American public believe.
Let me say, I'm a staunch fiscal conservative. I am a dyed-in-the-wool free markets entrepreneur. But there's a world of difference between free markets and a free-for-all for financial services oligarchs and officers.
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Sunday, August 03, 2014
Dow Stocks Index Setting Up To Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
And the matador strikes a serious blow! The bull is grievously wounded but it’s not ready to give in. Not just yet anyway. While the matador’s sword plunged deep into the bull, it wasn’t the killer blow. And if I’m right, the same can be said of this week’s plunge in the Dow. It did some serious damage to the bullish technical picture but there should be one last hurrah before the next plunge strikes the bull dead.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 03, 2014
Jackson Hole Will Signal Hawkish Tone for Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Jackson Hole Agenda
The annual Jackson Hole economic symposium, a three-day conference in Wyoming begins on Aug. 21 with the official topic of “Re-evaluating Labor Market Dynamics.” Sure, there will be debates from the Bullard camp who views that there isn`t near as much labor slack in the economy versus the Yellen camp who believes that the long-term unemployed will eventually come back to the economy once the job market tightens further. There will be interesting thoughts regarding the structural changes in the economy and how this effects full employment, and the mismatch between job requirements and candidate skillsets. There will be talk about wage inflation in the context of the largest addition of jobs since 1997 to the economy where even a bad employment number these days lands over the 200k a month level.
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Saturday, August 02, 2014
Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The recently awaited downtrend kicked in this week after the SPX made a fifth wave failure at 1985 on Tuesday. After that the rest of the week was downhill with the SPX hitting 1916 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.75%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.20%, and the DJ World index was -2.35%. Economic reports were also biased to the negative. On the uptick: Consumer confidence/sentiment, Q2 GDP, personal income/spending, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing and auto sales. On the downtick: construction spending, the WLEI, pending home sales, Case-Shiller index, ADP, the Chicago PMI, monthly Payrolls, and both the unemployment rate and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week, economically a much quieter one, we get reports on ISM services, Consumer credit and Wholesale inventories. Best to your week!
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