Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Low and Expanding Risk Premiums Are the Root of Abrupt Stock Market Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Risk premiums. I don’t know anyone who seriously maintains that risk premiums are anywhere close to normal. They more closely resemble what we see just before a major bear market kicks in. Which doesn’t mean that they can’t become further compressed. My good friend John Hussman certainly wouldn’t argue for such a state of affairs, and this week for our Outside the Box we let John talk about risk premiums.
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market at the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Afternoon!
SPX appears to be wrapping up its retracement at the 50% Fibonacci level. This is an irregular Wave 2 in the form of an expanding diagonal. Normally we see prices go to the mid-Cycle resistance, but the SPX does not appear as if it will go any higher.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market Pop and Drop May be in Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Pre-market is up 6.50 this morning, challenging Short-term resistance at 1940.77. This appears to be a retracement probe that may not go much higher. The SPX futures are up 4.95 as I write.
ZeroHedge reports on the effect of the dismal retail sales number.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Japan Economic Collapse - GDP Plunges by 6.8%! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
MORE FREE MONEY!!!
That's all this chart says to traders this morning, who are taking the European Markets up over half a point this morning and are goosing our Futures by half a point as well as bad news is good news and TERRIBLE news is even better in this Central Bank-sponsored market. v
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market Two-Day Rally Ends with a Small Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
A two-day rally in the S&P 500 was snapped today by a small decline. The index opened fractionally lower and spent the next hour struggling at the level of yesterday’s close. It then slowly zigzagged to its -0.45% mid-afternoon intraday low. A late rally trimmed to loss to a modest -0.16.
The big economic news this week will be tomorrow’s Retail Sales, although we won’t have an official deflator for Real Retail Sales until the CPI data is released a week from today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Shanghai Composite Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Ed_Carlson
On the one hand…
Three weeks ago the Shanghai Composite (SSEC) broke out from a multi-year bullish wedge formation. Wedges imply a minimum move back to the start of the wedge which, in this case, would mean an advance to over 3,000 – a 36% rally! Whoo-hoo! A recent spike in volume, however, warns of a short-term top and the better play is to wait until a pullback has completed.
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Correction could be over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 11, 2014
Stock Market Rebound Change Of Trend Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,970 and a profit target at 1,850, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, following a breakout below recent consolidation:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, August 11, 2014
Stock Markets Keep Calm and Carry On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
At the end of July global equity bull markets had a moment of doubt, falling three or four per cent. In the seven trading days up to 1st August the S&P500 fell 3.8%, and we are not out of the woods yet. At the same time the Russell 2000, an index of small-cap US companies fell an exceptional 9%, and more worryingly it looks like it has lost bullish momentum as shown in the chart below. This indicates a possible double-top formation in the making.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 10, 2014
Are Stocks Finally Starting the Topping Process? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
With all the uncertainty in the world, and everything that could happen over the weekend, I think it's safe to say that the market didn't rally 22 points naturally to complete a swing low as we go into the weekend. When I saw the index futures turn from deeply oversold to positive as if by magic in the pre-market Friday morning I had a pretty good idea that the Fed was ready to put an end to this correction. By the end of the day it looks like they probably succeeded (at least for now).
Sunday, August 10, 2014
Stock Market Retail Investors About to Get Fleeced Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Pater Tenebrarum, The Acting Man writes: Mistiming the Market
As a small addendum to our previous post on the market situation, here is a chart recently posted by the “Short Side of Long”. It shows the cash allocation reported by AAII, which surveys retail investors. Not surprisingly, retail investors tend to be completely wrong in their positioning at major lows and major highs, while generally not doing too badly in the middle portion of trends. That latter remark has to be qualified by the fact that they tend to lose their gains from this portion of a trend by being wrongly positioned at its end.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Dow Stock Market Rally is On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The rally is on! Let’s get straight into it by looking at the daily chart.
I have added a Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) which shows a little bullish divergence. This week’s low was less weak than the previous week’s low. Also, notice how the RSI pushed deep into negative territory compared to the previous times the RSI came down during the bull trend. This is the first time it went so deep under the 30 level since the February correction low. This type of negative reading is synonymous with the end of a significant correction or the first swing low in a new bear market.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Quite a roller coaster week for such a small correction. The market started the week at SPX 1925 and rallied to 1943 on Monday. Then it made a choppy eleven small waves on its way down to SPX 1905 on Thursday. On Friday it turned the whole week’s losses green. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.30%, but the DJ World index lost 0.9%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 7 to 2. On the uptick: factory orders, ISM services, wholesale inventories, the monetary base, long term investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Stock Market Risk is On the Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Weak Secondary Stocks and Declining Junk-to-Treasury Bond Ratio Indicate the Stock Market is Ripe for Reversal
The following article is adapted from the August 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published Aug. 1. For the latest from the Financial Forecast Service, click here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
European Stock Markets Look Downright Scary / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Sy_Harding
Here’s the situation.
The economy of the 18-nation European Union is about the same size as that of the U.S., with roughly equal impacts on each other and on global growth. Germany, France, and the U.K. are the largest economies in the EU, and the fourth, fifth, and sixth largest economies in the world.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Deflation’s Final Curtain Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Gold has once again begun to assert its safe haven value after the recent drop in equity prices. Last week’s Argentina bond default scare coupled with rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine have combined to spook global equity markets. On Thursday NATO warned that Russia was preparing to send 20,000 troops into eastern Ukraine under the pretext of a humanitarian mission to save separatist rebels. Due to these concerns gold’s value has risen to a 2-week high. Gold’s rally is all the more conspicuous in light of the recent rally in the U.S. dollar index.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 08, 2014
The Dow Silent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
"Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters
Priced in real value, the Dow has collapsed 84% since 1999
Stock market investors who glance at their screens see the dollar value of the Dow Industrials.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 08, 2014
Iraq, Ukraine, Ebola… Global Concerns Rock US Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
PLENTY of things to worry about and we've ONLY corrected 10 points (7.5%) on the Russell – exactly what we predicted under our fabulous 5% Rule™! None of the other major indexes have fallen as far, so we continue to watch that line very closely for support.
Friday, August 08, 2014
Stock Market Renewed Selling on Russia Sanctions Showdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: From a market perspective, this morning’s plunge in new jobless claims was trumped by mounting tensions over sanctions against Russia and Putin’s sanction reprisal. The S&P 500 hit its 0.45% intraday high moments after the open. It then sold off in a couple of waves to its -0.81% intraday low shortly after 3 PM. Some buying in the final hour trimmed the day’s loss to -0.56%.
Thursday, August 07, 2014
Stock Market Summer Correction Options / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
With the help of some of NFTRH's standard weekly charts, we take a snapshot of the US stock market.
The Bank index is unbroken from a weekly perspective. People will talk about an H&S but it is not activated until the trend channel and the neckline (a well defined support area) are broken. BKX, along with the Semiconductors has been a notable leader to the entire surprise* phase of the bull market out of Q4, 2012.
Read full article... Read full article...