Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 04, 2013
The Perfect Trade for Today's Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
Robert Hsu writes: This is a great way to make some extra money right now.
Over the next 14 days, I expect stocks to remain mired in a relatively tight trading range, as nobody wants to place any really big bets on what's going to happen before the Federal Reserve makes its Sept. 18th announcement on if and/or how it will "taper" its QE bond-buying program.
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Tuesday, September 03, 2013
Stock Market Best Offense Is A Good Defense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
If you do not use stops in a market, do not complain about giving back profits or taking larger losses. That is the negative approach to handling one's portfolio, and for some reason, more the norm for stock investors/traders.
Change is inevitable, but it needs some direction. The use of stops will eliminate a lot of emotional decision-making and help shore up a weakness in strategy, but simply doing away with weakness does not ensure strength. Those areas which will improve overall performance need even greater development. The best way is to have a set of rules.
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Monday, September 02, 2013
Stocks Secular Bull and Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short.Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? Without crystal ball, we simply don’t know.
One thing we can do is examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of possibilities. An obvious feature of this inflation-adjusted is the pattern of long-term alternations between up-and down-trends. Market historians call these “secular” bull and bear markets from the Latin word saeculum “long period of time” (in contrast to aeternus “eternal” — the type of bull market we fantasize about).
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Monday, September 02, 2013
A Generally Grim August For World Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Courtesy of Doug Short. The past week was a generally bad week for my eight focus indexes with China’s Shanghai and India’s SENSEX as the only ones posting gains. (See the four-week tables below for the complete weekly listings). The Shanghai was the top performer with its 1.99% advance. The SENSEX was a distant second with a 0.54% gain. The two eurozone indexes fared the worst, with France’s CAC 40 down 3.33% and Germany’s DAXK down 3.73%.
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Sunday, September 01, 2013
Is Stock Market SP500 1,600 the Next Support Level? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Investors and traders alike are heading into the long weekend with a variety of potential risks facing them. The media has made us aware of the situation that is going on in Syria and that the United States may be planning a military strike.
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Sunday, September 01, 2013
Investing in a Stock Market to Hate, The Silver Lining / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
How do I love thee? Let me count the ways. I love thee to the depth and breadth and height My soul can reach, when feeling out of sight For the ends of Being and ideal Grace. … I love thee with the breath, Smiles, tears, of all my life! — and, if God choose, I shall but love thee better after death. – Elizabeth Barrett Browning (1806-1861)
When I was growing up, Labor Day always marked the official end of summer, since we started school the next day. These days everyone seems to start school sometime in August, but for those of us of a certain age, the natural annual rhythm is still to see the last few days of August as the end of a carefree summer. So with a nod to your need for a little more summer relaxation, I will try to keep this letter shorter than usual. And with apologies to Elizabeth Barrett Browning, I will list a number of reasons why I hate this market and then suggest a few reasons why that should get you excited. We will look at some charts, and I'll briefly comment on them. No deep dives this week, just a survey of the general landscape.
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Sunday, September 01, 2013
Stock Market Moving Averages Momentumn Investing Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 closed August with a monthly loss of 3.13%. All three S&P 500 MAs and one of the five the Ivy Portfolio ETF MAs are signaling “Invested”.
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Saturday, August 31, 2013
Investor Opportunity Knocks via Financial Market Realities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
“ Gold/US$ has had a material seller stopping its advances each day, and yesterday that seller was strongly evident at the $1430-1435 level.
“We suspect that after a day or two of correction following that selling, the bulls will again gather their forces and trump the seller at $1430-1435. It may have to wait until next week, however, when the gold dealing desks are back at fuller staff.”
The Gartman Letter 08/29/2013
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Friday, August 30, 2013
Was Second Quarter The Peak For U.S. Economic Recovery? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
With economies in China and Japan, the world’s second and third largest economies slowing, and economies in emerging markets and the 17-nation eurozone struggling mightily, hopes have been that the U.S. economic recovery will pick up its anemic pace and provide more global support.
Markets around the world received some really good news in that regard this week. The U.S. Commerce Department revised second quarter GDP growth significantly higher, to an annualized rate of 2.5% from its original report a month ago of only 1.7%.
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Friday, August 30, 2013
How to Invest in a Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Greg Madison writes: There are events unfolding right now that show you need to know how to invest in a market correction...
First, this bull market - the most unloved bull market in history, according to Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald - has continued for 54 months now. That's a full 11 months longer than the average bull market run since 1953.
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Friday, August 30, 2013
Make These Market Moves Before the U.S. Attacks Syria / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
William Patalon writes: Oil prices have been surging on fears that the Obama administration is planning to punish Syria for using chemical weapons against its own people.
But the real question is whether this escalation in "black gold" prices is going to continue.
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Friday, August 30, 2013
Why Syria Conflict Is Hitting Markets Hard / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
George Leong writes:
Syria is on the verge of expanding its current conflict to include the United States and its allies as the chaos in the Middle East continues. Then there are also the tensions in Egypt and Iran.
If the U.S. and its allies attack Syria, the impact on the global economy and the stock market will be negative and how bad it gets will largely be dependent on the degree and length of the war.
Friday, August 30, 2013
How Rising Interest Rates Will Affect You / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: According to a survey, 63% of investors don’t know how rising interest rates will affect their portfolios.
They should, because rates are climbing fast. The 10-year Treasury is at nearly 3%. Just three months ago, it was under 2%. The 10-year Treasury yield can affect mortgage rates, interest rates on credit cards… and especially your portfolio.
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Thursday, August 29, 2013
Must Watch Trading Video on Stock Market, Crude Oil and Gold, Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Stock Market Momentum at 10-1 extreme level, Crude oil spike, and Gold stocks sharp drop coming?
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Wednesday, August 28, 2013
Stock Market What's Next....? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
That's a great question. If you study the sixty-minute short-term charts, they're a bit more bullish. As things tried to sell today the MACD's refused to turn down. Yes, I am clearly a MACD guy. Always have been. It's in my blood. Even though 1639 should be very tough resistance, it seems to me that short-term charts may allow a bit higher first. No guarantee whatsoever as 1639 can just knock the market right back down. In addition, any move back down will get things oversold again on those short-term charts. Makes things very tough for both sides.
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Wednesday, August 28, 2013
Bond Markets No Safe Haven from Stock Market Risk / Stock-Markets / US Bonds
Bond yields spike to a 2-year high
Two months ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said he was puzzled by the upward surge in Treasury yields. And bond yields are even higher now, reaching a two-year high on August 15.
Wednesday, August 28, 2013
Bernanke Tells Emerging Markets to Stop Crying and Grow Up! / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Bailouts appear to be the established substitute for sustainable policy. In that spirit, Brazil last week announced a $60 billion program to shore up its currency. India has been introducing capital controls. South Africa is considering currency intervention. Blamed is the Federal Reserve’s taper talk. But as critical as we have been of Fed policy in recent years, emerging markets should stop crying and consider embracing long overdue reforms. We discuss who may win this battle as currency wars continue to rage.
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Monday, August 26, 2013
Stock Market Momentum Still Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
I love good bounce, don't you?
But just how good have our index bounces really been so far. While we had a pretty exciting session on Friday the voulum on a 0.34% up day on the SPY (see Dave Fry's chart) was only 1/2 what it was on the 0.64% drop on Wednesday. As Dave notes: "They don't put volume on your brokerage statement, but…." As to our bounce lines - not too impressive:
- Dow 14,960 (weak) and 15,120 (strong)
- S&P 1,658 and 1,671
- Nas 3,620 and 3,640
- NYSE 9,420 and 9,500
- Rut 1,020 and 1,030
Monday, August 26, 2013
The Truth About the Nasdaq Trading Freeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes: If Goldman Sachs can lose $100 million in a matter of minutes on account of its computers misfiring, is that a sign of things to come? Or is it proof we're already there?
You heard about last week's shutdown, but do you know what it means?
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Monday, August 26, 2013
Stock Market Fractured Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX and some other indices have formed a H&S top which was confirmed with last week's sell-off. A back-test of the neckline is possible over the near-term.
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