Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, July 25, 2010

SP-500, GLD and GDX Investor Sentiment Trumps Everything / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: John_Townsend

Markets rise when the preponderance of participants are buyers, and fall when the preponderance of participants are sellers.  One of the key ways to anticipate the pendulum swings of participant behavior, and therefore price behavior, is to evaluate sentiment.  Sentiment, more than fundamentals or technical analysis, trumps everything.

When too many players are on the same side of a trade they eventually find themselves in a crowded position where most everyone around them has the same motivation – to reverse their position when the tide changes. 

Sunday, July 25, 2010

Charting the Stock Market is Similar to Tracking a Squirrel Crossing a Busy Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Guy_Lerner

Glenn Holderreed of Quacera Capital Management and the QPM Radar sent me an email the other day describing the market:

"Charting this market is similar to tracking the moves of a squirrel crossing a busy street. Quickly moving to the middle, no better turn back, no, no, I can make it across, oh no I better go back, shucks I can make it across. Sometimes they make it, but many get flattened. I think there are a few flattened in this market."

Sunday, July 25, 2010

Stocks Bull Markets Generate Economic Growth / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK economy is booming! 1.1% growth for Q2 2010 annualises to 4.4%. The academic economists that populate the mainstream press were caught off guard again! with growth expectations ranging from 0.3% to 0.5%. As is usually the case the excuses button was pressed to try and mask the fact that they to all intents and purposes remain clueless on the direction of UK Economy with much press chatter focused on an non existant double dip recession.

Sunday, July 25, 2010

Positive European Bank Stress Tests Sending Markets Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Gregor_Horva

Hello Traders!!

Equity market was higher this week with S&P 500 up around 3.55%, and finished the week above resistance line connected from May 11th, 2010. At the same time the prices moved and closed above the 50 day SMA, for the first time since early May when S&P was falling from its highs. Technically the stocks market is now headed higher, towards the 1140 region, as we also pointed out in our past newsletter (U.S. Dollar And Stocks: “Market Psychology and Wave Structure").

Sunday, July 25, 2010

Positive European Bank Stress Tests Sending Markets Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Gregor_Horva

Hello Traders!!

Equity market was higher this week with S&P 500 up around 3.55%, and finished the week above resistance line connected from May 11th, 2010. At the same time the prices moved and closed above the 50 day SMA, for the first time since early May when S&P was falling from its highs. Technically the stocks market is now headed higher, towards the 1140 region, as we also pointed out in our past newsletter (U.S. Dollar And Stocks: “Market Psychology and Wave Structure").

Saturday, July 24, 2010

No Dow Theory Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

On June 30th both the Industrials and the Transports closed below their June 7th lows.  In doing so, anyone who had not already proclaimed a Dow theory “sell signal” seems to have done so at that time.  I stated here in my last post, as well as in recent audio interviews, that I disagreed with anyone who has made such statements in regard to Dow theory.   I have since received a number of questions asking me how so many people could be wrong about Dow theory and if my position has changed. 

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Statistical View of Price Ranges for U.S. and China Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Richard_Shaw

The price range you might expect for a security is a function of your time frame and the volatility of the security. Investors with a 10-year time frame have a much different price range expectancy than an investor or trader with a 10-month, 10-week, 10-day or 10-minute time frame.

Let's look at volatility based price range possibilities for the US S&P 500 and the China FTSE Xinhua 25 over different time frames from the unique high of each in 2007, low in 2008 or 2009, YTD and from the most recent important high.

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Stock Market Edging Through The Wall..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Jack_Steiman

What a fight we are witnessing. The bears setting up camp right at 1099. The bulls working every single day to try to get through 1099, but seemingly never able to make the necessary move. Why? Because those bears have such a strong confluence of resistance within an 8-point range. We talked about it yesterday. The previous tails off 1099, the trend line at 1095 and the 50-day exponential moving average at 1091. 1091 to 1099, and yet within that small 8-point range, there is resistance after resistance that on their own would be difficult let alone having all of these headaches come together in such a tight area.

Friday, July 23, 2010

Markets Stressful Finish To The Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: PaddyPowerTrader

On a turn around Thursday markets staged a complete reversal with renewed risk appetite replacing the post Bernanke “unusual uncertainty” risk aversion. The day kicked off with some robust European data (better UK retail sales and German PMI) but it was a series of upside earnings surprises Stateside that proved the catalyst for the rebound U.S. stocks rose, with the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index gaining the most in two weeks, after companies as diverse as United Parcel Service to AT&T and Qualcomm all increased profit forecasts.

Friday, July 23, 2010

A Battle Royal in the S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: INO

The battle between the bulls and the bears continues in the S&P 500 with neither side able to gain the upper hand. This choppy trading action will eventually lead to a large move one way or the other. The bulls are betting that we are headed higher and the bears are betting that the economy is going tank.

Friday, July 23, 2010

The Wall Strikes Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Jack_Steiman

The day after fed Bernanke came out and told the world things stink the market rallied anyway, getting up to the big breakout level at 1099 on the S&P 500 . Interesting in that Bernanke told everyone yesterday that there was risk to the down side with respects to the expected GDP growth of 3.5% over the next few years. The market hated this because it also left the door open to a double dip recession scenario. Today, however, Mr. Bernanke came out and said he did not expect that to happen. Just slow growth but no double dip recession. The market loved it and rallied hard once it opened up for trading.

Friday, July 23, 2010

Excellent Day for the Stocks Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had an excellent day for the bulls, as they gapped up big, blew through initial resistance and kept running, reaching 1870 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1097 area on the S&P 500. Over the next few hours, they pulled back, bounced again, couldn't get through, and then backed off late in the session, but in the last 15-20 minutes came on again to finish with strong gains.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Stock Market, Dollar and Gold Trend Facts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Steve_Betts

I’ve known for a long time that elections were all about money, but I never realized just how bad and broad the problem was until I read that most of the sitting judges along the Gulf Coast receive donations from big oil. Big money has its hand in everything and it is the dominant force in the United States today. It elects your government, decides how you live, decides what and how you eat, where you can go and where you can’t, and what kind of life your children will live. It’s the modern version of the old fashioned “company store”, the theme from Tennessee Ernie Ford’s song “Sixteen Tons”.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Stock Market Thrill-Ride Thursday, Where Will Economic Indicators Lead Us? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: PhilStockWorld

Isn’t this fun?
Up 200, down 200, up 200, down 200 - wash out your savings, rinse and repeat! What a total sham of a market we have these days with machines running us up and down on virtually no news at all. Yesterday they would have you believe that Ben Bernanke caused a sell-off. How ridiculous is that? He didn’t say one thing that he didn’t already say in the Fed Minutes that were released on the 14th, which were the notes from the meeting of June 23rd so for analysts to get on TV and say “the markets were concerned by the Chairman’s comments” is beyond stupid – it’s criminal negligence.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Reasons to Sell China Stocks and ETFs / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Justice_Litle

In the aftermath of the $19 billion Agricultural Bank of China IPO, the dragon is struggling… and there are plenty of reasons to consider selling.

A few months back we broke down the major China ETFs – FXI, HAO and PGJ. (You can access that piece here.)

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Bernankes Unusually Uncertain Gloom Impacts Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: PaddyPowerTrader

US Fed Chairman Bernanke’s semi annual testimony on the Hill proved to be the game changer for stocks yesterday. Just as they had bounced Tuesday on whispers that he may offer fresh new policy measures, accommodation to support the markets, re-stimulate the flagging economy so stocks sold off Wednesday when he failed to deliver such. His comments were basically a rehash of the FOMC minutes (i.e. a fairly dour assessment of the economy) with one added Greenspan like euphemism for our lexicon i.e. that the outlook for the economy is “unusually uncertain”.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Stock Market Back 2 Back Reversals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The market continues to become quicker and fiercer as it move up and down 2+% on a regular basis This week we have seen some wild price swings due to earnings, events and the Fed’s which just makes trading that much more intense.

I have pointed out yesterday that this market only gives you a brief moment to take profits before it starts going wild shaking traders out of positions. This increased volatility is caused from a couple of things:

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Stock Market Sharp Rollover on Bernanke Economy Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the day with a big gap up, but that was it for the day in terms of the highs. They came down sharply, tested support, and did manage to hold by mid-morning and rally into early afternoon, but the S&P 500 failed to take out the 1085 intraday resistance level as the Nasdaq 100 made nominal new highs. That resulted in a sharp rollover after Ben Bernanke spoke about his concerns about the economy.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

MortiES’ Stock Index Analysis, Up or Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Dr_John_Trapp

ES likes to take us for wild rides. Yesterday was a strong, outside reversal green candle. Trading wisdom would have it that there should be followthrough the next day. But ES doesn’t care about trading wisdom. Instead, the Bears came to the party and protected the 78.6% retracement level that we talked about in a previous post. As the first chart will show, we are not done with the W4 count yet, but it’s close. We have a line-in-the-sand that is nearby. Let’s see if the Bulls can defend.

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Ben Bernanke Sends Stock Market Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Jack_Steiman

You have to love honesty, and that's what we heard today when Mr. Bernanke told congress that things in the United States are not very good at all. That although the expectations are for 3.5% GDP (gross domestic product), the risk is towards weakness from that perspective. The moment this news came out, along with other tidbits not too friendly for Wall and Main Street, the market tanked out. No holding back either.