Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Today is a Stock Market Cycle Turn Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

My earlier forecast of a low on the 13th and a high on the 23rd seems to be prescient. This has been a rather shallow decline and a very sharp rally, but the SPX has managed to become overbought again without breaking new highs. This leaves the vast majority of investors in a very casual mood about the dangers of a decline

Monday, March 23, 2015

Greece and EU Running Out of Time as Bank Runs Intensify / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: GoldCore

- EU and Greece running out of time as talks end “in disarray” – again
- Greece warns Merkel of ‘impossible’ debt
- Concerns Greece out of money by end of April
- Friday’s “agreement” in Brussels falls apart hours later as protagonists fail to agree on specifics
- Greece now insolvent – will run out of liquidity by end of April
- Greek banks on verge of collapse as runs continue – €1.5 billion emptied out of banks last week alone
- ‘Grexit’ could propel gold to over $2,000/oz
- Cyprus style bail-ins look increasingly possible

Monday, March 23, 2015

Stock Market Slightly Negative Expectations Following Last Week's Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Wall Street Doesn't Want You to Do This / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: DailyWealth

Chris Mayer writes: I write a lot about the virtues of buying stocks and sitting on them...

Take my "coffee can portfolio," for example. It's a simple, but successful strategy in which you find the best stocks you can and let them sit for 10 years. By committing to these safe and steady businesses, you incur almost no costs and you keep your worst instincts from hurting you.

But how about sitting still for 80 years?

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Strategy to Profit Before the Markets Head South / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: For the last six months, I have been warning that economic growth is faltering. In November of last year, I predicted that the U.S. economy would experience a "growth scare" in 2015.

This week, we learned that the Atlanta Fed is tracking first quarter GDP growth at a mere 0.3% and that the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC) has significantly downgraded its growth forecast.

Sunday, March 22, 2015

FED Guidance Like Flying in Bermuda Triangle / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I thought from what I was reading on my volume indicators, (showing that money was leaving the S&P 500) that the market would fall on the FOMC news Wednesday. WRONG! Here I am flying in the Bermuda Triangle!

A few weeks ago, I related how last year was so difficult trading the market for me. The normal 10,20,30, 40 week cycle lows are not acting like they used to. I had surmised that the normal 20 week (100 trading day 15-16%) low would not be the dominant low, but that it would likely come in April instead. March 11 proved to be the 100 trading day low and we fell less than 4% top to bottom! But, because of volume indicators like OBV, Money Flow and Chaiken Money Flow that are showing net money outflows (I'll elaborate on these more next week), I thought this time might be different. WRONG!

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2053. On Monday the market gapped up and hit SPX 2083. Then after two gap down openings the market pulled back to SPX 2061 by Wednesday, before the FOMC statement. After a strong Wednesday afternoon rally, the market gapped down on Thursday, but rose into a Friday high of SPX 2114. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.40%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.25%, and the DJ World index gained 3.25%. On the economic front reports continue to come in slightly negative. On the uptick: industrial production, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI and the monetary base. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, housing starts, current account deficit, and weekly jobless claims. Next week we get updates on Q4 GDP, the CPI and more Housing reports.

Saturday, March 21, 2015

Stock Market Keeps It Up...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Last week there was tremendous anticipation coming in to this week about what Fed Yellen would say regarding interest rates. Wednesday of this week couldn't come soon enough, so folks could finally, once and for all, fully understand the short-term, if not longer-term, intentions of the Ms. Yellen. What words would she remove? What words would she add, and so on? The market fell some ahead of the report on Wednesday, and it was not doing well on Wednesday, until two o'clock in the afternoon when she came out and told everyone exactly what I thought she'd say. That she's putting off raising interest rates short term. She said that too many of the economic reports coming in just weren't solid enough to allow for a rate hike cycle of any kind to begin, even if it was a super slow one.

Saturday, March 21, 2015

We're All Hedge Funds Now! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

As negative interest rates spread from Switzerland, Japan and Germany to the rest of the developed world, people with money to invest face some life-defining choices.

Retirees who need to generate 6% to avoid dipping into principal can't get there with bank CDs. Pension funds that have promised an 8% return in order to meet obligations to future retirees can't get anywhere near that with government bonds. Same thing for insurance companies and money market funds, whose business models require positive returns with low risk.

Friday, March 20, 2015

Why Stock Market Seasonality May Be Critical in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Sy_Harding

With its FOMC statement, the Fed provided the market with what it wanted to hear.

They removed the ‘patience’ phrase as expected, but replaced it with a similar assurance that there is no set timetable for rate hikes, that it will continue to be in no hurry. “The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent objective over the medium term.”

Friday, March 20, 2015

Stock Market VIX Extends its Master Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX made a new Master Cycle low today, rather late in the Cycle. I originally indicated it had bottomed in February. The EW pattern was correct, but at a lower degree. This is one of the pitfalls of Elliott Wave analysis in a correction and Waves B and E are especially roguish.

Friday, March 20, 2015

The New Order Emerges / Stock-Markets / New World Order

By: Alasdair_Macleod

China and Russia have taken the lead in establishing the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), seen as a rival organisation to the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, which are dominated by the United States with Europe and Japan. These banks do business at the behest of the old Bretton Woods[1] order. The AIIB will dance to China and Russia's tune instead.

Thursday, March 19, 2015

The Double-Edged Sword of a Strong U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Clif_Droke

Until the latest pullback on Wednesday, the U.S. dollar index had been on a rip-and-tear for most of this year. Earlier this week the dollar hit a new multi-year high as concerns over Europe and China have fueled foreign interest in U.S. assets. The greenback's relentless strength is also a cause for concern among investors who fear that a stronger dollar will erode corporate profits this year. Since much of the bull market of the last few years was based on the bull market in corporate profits, this point is being taken seriously by Wall Street pros. It's also worth examining in this our latest installment.

Thursday, March 19, 2015

The Paper Money Titanic Sinks At Dawn! / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency

By: DeviantInvestor

What Titanic?  The RMS Titanic, or any of the following:

• A titanic quantity of derivatives – say 1,000 Trillion dollars. A derivative crash was at the center of the 2008 market meltdown.  It could happen again since there is now more debt, leverage, and risk than in 2008.

Thursday, March 19, 2015

Stocks Got Close To All-Time Highs Following Fed's Decision Release / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Is a Stock Market Crash Imminent? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: DailyWealth

David Eifrig writes: Last month, I attended the World Money Show in Orlando...

The Gaylord Palms Resort & Convention Center was jam-packed with attendees interested in new ideas to make money. But the mood wasn't pure revelry. I sensed that the audience was mainly worried about when the bull market will end and a bear market will begin.

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

NASDAQ and S&P 500 in Sync with Sept/October Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The charts below of the QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF proxy) and the S&P 500 show that the US stock markets are almost entirely in sync with the September 19-October 15, 2014 drop.  The main difference is that they are tracking at a slightly lesser rate of 94.9% of the former drop.

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Reality Always Wins… But Never on Schedule / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Louis James, Chief Metals & Mining Investment Strategist

“Expect the worst and you won’t be disappointed” is true enough, but it’s a miserable way to go through life.

For investors, expecting the worst is paralyzing, a reason to do nothing.

But when a market gets beaten up the way the natural-resource sector has been over the last few years, pessimism comes to dominate the chatter in boardrooms, blogs, and cocktail parties the way mold takes over a shower. It’s a blight.

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

Stock Market Three Peaks/Domed House Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

In his 1969 brochure One Year Later: A follow-up of the Three Peaks and Domed House George Lindsay wrote that the pattern lasts roughly 2 years and 2 months from the beginning to the end of a bull market. Looking back over the 29 occurrences of the pattern in the Dow (since 1901) it can be seen that the pattern lasted significantly longer than that on just five occasions. Those bull markets that ended in 1961, 1966, 1981, 1987, and the current bull market, all endured for more than three years and concluded a Three Peaks/Domed House pattern.

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

Stock Market Keeps Them Guessing..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Just when it seemed the market would finally get a strong pullback to get rid of all this froth, it did an about face and rallies hard. Four nice gap downs to make the environment unhealthy, only to see two strong gap ups. Leaves them all guessing, and, of course, that is the intention of the big money. To always leave them guessing and getting emotional. The odds of this move would have seemed almost impossible considering the look of the monthly-index charts, which are basically deathly looking if you're bullish. That said, nothing comes easily for the bears in a bull market. We've discussed this quite frequently. Even if we're topping, the process is very slow, and can take many months.