Category: Financial Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, April 23, 2016
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2015 - Stock Bull Market Splutters into 2016 / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2015
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle NewsletterJan 1st, 2016 Issue # 1 Vol. 10
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 31, 2015
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2015 - Stock Bull Market Splutters into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bull market entered it's 7th calendar year at 17,823 and ended the year at 17,425, down 398 points -2.2%, primarily as a result of the Dow having entered into a trading range for the last 2 months of the year, a time when stocks are usually expected to perform well during a santa rally. However this years end of year weakness can be put down primarily to the Mid December Fed decision to start to raise U.S. interest rates, a decision that the Fed had been flagging the prospects of for some time.
Thursday, December 31, 2015
Will A Cascading 'Crackup-Boom' Start In The 'Peripheral Nations'? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gordon_T_Long
This Chart Is Regularly In Gordontlong.Com's Monthly Mata Report
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Today's Turn Date May Influence the Markets / Forecasts / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down 5 points as I write. That is not enough in itself to declare that the top has been made, but today happens to be a combined Trading Cycle and Primary Cycle Pivot. Confirmation may come with the decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2066.04 and/or the 2-hour mid-Cycle support and trendline at 2061.18.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 28, 2015
SPX, TNX Both Threatening a Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down nearly 8 points as I write. It is possible that it has formed another Triangle formation, just as it did prior to the August panic. If so, we may see a break to the downside sometime this week. Most other analysts are focused on the idea that this is bullish. A break of the lower trendline will be proof that it isn’t.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 28, 2015
Crude Oil, SP500, Exxon Mobil - When Will They Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A full blown bear market in energy resources and energy stocks has been underway since mid-2014. History shows that the price of crude oil typically bottoms before the broad stock market. And oil related stocks bottom at the same time or later than the broad market.
The monthly chart below shows how oil bottoms several months before the stock market does. This provides us with some insight on when we should start to expect a bear market to end in the US stock market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 17, 2015
Risk ON? Risk OFF? Find Out Where Your Money Lies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
I have an urgent new report to share with you today, so let's dive right in ...
Here is the opening paragraph of the just-published, subscriber-level report from our friends at Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent financial forecasting firm.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 14, 2015
Investors Learn that High Yield Funds are Not Piggy Banks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is still challenging round number support at 2000.00. The Premarket shows SPX down, but not yet beneath 2000.00.
The tremors are getting bigger and more threatening as oil tumbles below $35.00 while emerging markets and junk bonds increase their turmoil.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 08, 2015
Unwinding Carry Trades and Unintended Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Michael_Pento
The European Central Bank under the auspices of Mario Draghi has created a market destabilizing condition known as the euro carry trade. Mr. Draghi recently telegraphed to the markets a more aggressive attack on the value of the currency heading into the ECB meeting held on December 3rd. In fact, he went on record saying the ECB’s imperative is to, “Do what we must to create inflation as quickly as possible.” Because Draghi promised to destroy the euro at an even quicker pace than it was already falling, financial institutions front ran the ECB’s increased bid for bonds and equities, sending these prices soaring in the weeks prior to the meeting.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 08, 2015
Draghi Leaves Financial Markets Hungry For More QE / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Sam_Kirtley
The most significant event for the markets last week was Draghi disappointing markets that were eager for an increase in ECB QE. Instead, the ECB President cut the deposit rate by 10 basis points to -0.30% and extended the current easing measures to March 2017, and beyond if necessary. Markets saw this action as insufficient with expectations across the board being that the ECB would sizeably increase their current easing measures, rather than just extend them. This was shown be clear declines in both stocks and bond prices, as well as a significant rally in the Euro.
Monday, December 07, 2015
The Fed is About to Trigger a $9 Trillion Debt Implosion / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Graham_Summers
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) have created a very dangerous situation.
Throughout the last six years, there has been a sense of coordination between the Fed and ECB. This was evident both in terms of where capital went as well as how it was delivered via monetary policy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 07, 2015
Soros' Financial Markets Reflexivity Gone Too Far / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Evidence of Soros' Theory of Reflexivity remaining prevalent in financial markets re-emerged this week as the euro made its biggest single day advance since the Fed's announcement of QE in 2009. Simply put, the euro soared 4% due to misplaced and unfulfilled market expectations that the ECB would increase the size of its monthly asset purchases. The crowding out of euro-short algos was pivotal in the magnitude of the resulting short squeeze. But questioning the intensity of euro shorts deserves more time and attention than criticizing or doubting a central banker's decision.
Saturday, December 05, 2015
Financial Markets and the Cycle of Debt Release / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
To many investors cycles are the holy grail of the financial market. Many investors have devoted years to the study of them. Some have even claimed to have found the ideal cycles for consistently predicting price movements. What no one can seem to agree upon is exactly which cycles are most accurate for anticipating market moves. But what all studies of the cycles share in common is an unshakable conviction that cycles hold the answers for what is coming in the future.
Friday, December 04, 2015
Financial Markets Had Been Obedient, Until Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Euro 50 Flips Draghi the Bird, S&P 500 Fails at a Key Parameter, Semi’s are Fundamentally Bearish and Gold Has a Sentiment Washout Within its Bear Market
Markets Had Been Obedient, Until Today
Despite Janet Yellen’s protests to the contrary, the 7 year long asset market bailout (ZIRP + QE’s 1, 2 & 3 with a side of Operation Twist) has served to further enrich formerly troubled asset holders and provide a handy wealth effect for regular 401k holders to boot.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 16, 2015
Bond Traders have not been this Short Since Early 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
ZeroHedge reports, “Bond traders have not been this speculatively short Treasuries since early 2010. Since The Fed turned uber hawkish at the last FOMC, and convinced the market that it will raise rates in December - despite dismally dropping data everywhere, speculators have drastically increased their short positions across the entire Treasury spectrum. The last time the world was this short Treasuries, the 10Y yield collapsed from 3.94% to 2.39% in just 3 months.”
Monday, November 16, 2015
Markets Reacting to Paris Attack 'Rationally': Asness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Bloomberg
Cliff Asness of AQR Capital Management, joined Stephanie Ruhle, David Westin and Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg TV's new flagship morning program, Bloomberg <GO>. He discussed market reaction to the Paris terror attacks and the use of long-term investing to overcome risks.
ERIK SCHATZKER: As I mentioned moments ago, Cliff Asness of AQR is here. Cliff, if we could begin with a little bit on the way investors tend to think about events like the terrorist attacks in Paris on Friday, Matt showed us that things haven't really moved that much. And frankly if you look at the historic record, things don't move that much over time after these horrible incidents. So, again, as the investor, as a man who sits on top of $135 billion and, granted, not all of your strategies would speak to this, why is that the case?
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 14, 2015
Stocks, Gold and Commodities Elliot Wave Theorist Analysis / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2015
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle NewsletterSept 15th, 2015 Issue # 18 Vol. 9
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 09, 2015
SPX, USD and Gold Charts Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Toby_Connor
With momentum starting to diverge and stocks late in their daily cycle it's probably better to sell into a breakout above the all-time highs than buy a breakout.
Monday, November 09, 2015
It’s Now, or Never for Yellen, Impact on Gold and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Bob_Kirtley
It has been seven years in the making, but now the Federal Reserve may be finally ready to lift interest rates from zero. There has been a myriad of reasons to not hike, multiple false starts and huge ongoing debates on what the right course of US monetary policy is, but from the Fed’s point of view the time is at last right to increase rates.
Yellen had said just this week that the Fed meeting in December would be live if the data supports a move, that the Fed is monitoring the data, and that the Fed thought it could be appropriate to move in December. Then, a +271k NFP print is released to all but seal the deal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 28, 2015
“Ignore The Noise” & Focus On The Fact That Central Banks “Remain Extremely Accommodative / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: GoldCore
The primary focus this week is again on the “all powerful” Fed. If the Fed leans toward a rate hike in December, gold could come under pressure again in the short term. However, if it leans toward raising rates next year, then gold would be expected to eke out further gains.