Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Stock Market Low Hybrid Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The late technician George Lindsay wrote that his concept of Middle Sections was his first original idea on the stock market and was his best. He called it his "prize way of calculating time in the market". Using them in combination with his other unique concepts enabled him to forecast the highs and lows of bull and bear markets (See George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing, SeattleTA Press, 2012).
My own work with middle sections has evolved into what I call a "Hybrid Lindsay" forecast. It is a combination of Lindsay's middle section model and short-term intervals combined with traditional cycle analysis.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Financial and Commodity Market Forecasts Pro Services Full FREE Access / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Debt Bomb Going to Explode - Market Crash in September 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Renowned precious metals analyst David Morgan is out with a new book called “The Silver Manifesto.” In a chapter called “The Debt Bomb,” Morgan lays out the biggest problem and the biggest reason to own precious metals. Morgan contends, “Basically, the United States have exported our inflation to every other country. So, for them to stay competitive, they are required to weaken their own currencies for what is called competitive advantage. It simply means if they don’t print . . . their currencies would become too strong, and they would not be able to export. In order to keep trade flowing, these other countries are basically required to do what the U.S. government does, and that is export a great quantity of un-backed paper promises that are impossible to pay back.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Stock Market Short-Term Rally Off Of Oversold...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We came in to today with the short-term, sixty-minutes charts mostly oversold. Barely above 70 RSI on the Nasdaq and small-caps stocks, but in the mid-twenties on the RSI's on the S&P 500 and Dow. Bull markets don't stay oversold for too long, unless a more severe selling is upon us. That has yet to show its hand, thus, no shock that we saw the market head higher slowly, but surely, throughout much of the day. No great thrust, but a nice move upward throughout most of the day. By the time the day was over those short-term index charts were no longer oversold.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
More And More Americans Look To Protect Their Wealth Offshore / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Frank R. Suess writes: Every time you think the US establishment can do no more to threaten the freedom and livelihood of the very Americans who contribute the most to the prosperity of the country, they increase the heat in the furnace by a notch with more cheap money and debt, additional laws and higher taxes. America, the land of the free, as it was rightfully referred to in the past, and certainly a beautiful place in so many ways, is in the process of destroying the very foundation it was built on.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Stock Market Internals Deteriorating Despite the Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX appears to be nearing the end of its retracement and may have one more probe to 2080.00 before turning down.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Preparing For Financial Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The other day, I overheard a conversation among a group of concerned Californians. They were having a debate about how they might be prepared for the next really big earthquake.
Most folks living in the North Ridge area, and where I am located in northern California, are certain that the ‘big one’ will hit some day. There are probabilities based on geological historic data. Based on that data, we know it will happen, we just don’t know when. Consequently, the majority do nothing about it.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Thematic Investing Train Leaves The Station / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
The finance sector is always ready to entertain some new theory. The latest is thematic investing, which can mean just about anything. A handful of asset managers and consultancies have think pieces telling institutional clients how to make this work. Do a Web search to read them yourselves. I poked around a number of reputable sources tracking thematic investing to see what's missing from the discussion.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Stock Market Pull Back Expected: What's Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week I wrote that I believed that the 20 week cycle low would take the S&P 500 to near 2008/09 by March 6. We closed Friday at 2071 and look likely to go lower into next week. As it stands now, I believe I was 4 trading days off in my calculations. The ideal 100 trading day low is due Thursday March 12 right on the Bradley turn (we never know whether a "Bradley Siderograph" turn will be a high or low). Seldom is the 100 trading day cycle low ideal either because it has a tolerance of about 15% either way.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Stock Market Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Dangerous Idiots Are On the Prowl, Stalking Your Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: I often find myself thinking we are living in the golden age of American idiocy.
With the advent of social media, we are exposed to discourse that is often best left unsaid, from actresses discussing their colonic purges to sports talk hosts engaging in tasteless rants on Twitter.
But the idiocy is not confined to social media and is especially rampant in the investment world.
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Sunday, March 08, 2015
Stocks, the Fed and the 'Real Economy' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
An astute patron who shall only be identified as il greco asked a particularly interesting question at the tail end of a long email today.
Here is my answer.
I do not believe that the Fed has 'given up' on the real economy.
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Sunday, March 08, 2015
Strong Economy But the Stock Market Can Still Crash Anyway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A growing economy is not necessarily bullish -- see for yourself
Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this story below the video.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stock Market Pullback Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2105. After a rally to SPX 2118 on Monday the market had gap down openings three of the next four trading days. By late Friday the SPX had traded down to 2067, then ended the week at 2071. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.80%, and the DJ World index lost 1.70%. Economic reports for the week were slightly biased to the negative again. On the uptick: personal income, the PCE, auto sales, ISM services, payrolls, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit improved. On the downtick: personal spending, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the ADP, factory orders, consumer credit, the WLEI, the monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on Retail sales, the PPI and Consumer sentiment.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Hot Jobs...Fear Of Rate Hikes... Hits Stock Market Hard..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It was a very interesting day for the stock, market because it received the type of great news no one wanted to hear. Sometimes good news is not good for your bottom line. It's nice to see a lot of jobs added, well above what was expected. While it is true that many of the jobs added were of the lower paying type, it was still good to see anything on the positive side of job creation. Now the problem. Too many new jobs equates to a few raising rates. The market doesn't want any part of that. It doesn't want folks to have alternative places to go with their dollars. Then real question ultimately will be whether this is the beginning of a rate hike cycle. A full cycle or will it be a onetime situation with the Fed needing a lot more information before making hikes more of a regularity. She is a dove and won't shock the market, but in the end it's not about her.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
SPX Stocks Index Closes at the Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This is beyond my expectation.
SPX did not bounce into the close. At the end of the day it challenged Intermediate-term support at 2069.17. This may be the end of sub-Minute Wave (i) of Minute Wave [iii]. There were a lot of squiggles at the end, so it is difficult to say whether it completed the Wave (ii) retracement or not. If so, it was severely truncated.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
NYA Stocks Index Important Triple Top Test is Going On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Update on: The Old Double Top is being tested now ...
Today, we will look at the NYA Index because of its importance to Institutional Investors.
When you look at today's chart (below), you can see that an important triple top test is going on.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Currencies State of the Global Markets 2015 Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stock Market Remain Bullish - But Watchful / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Remain bullish because the bull market remains in place, with most indexes making new highs as recently as last week. Support levels continue to hold on short-term pullbacks, technical indicators remain on buy signals, and the market’s favorable season usually lasts into April/May.
However, be watchful - because the rally is increasingly abnormal, is unlikely to be sustainable much longer, and could change quickly.
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Friday, March 06, 2015
Stock Market Major Selloff Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The latest record highs in the US stock markets have unleashed astounding complacency. Traders are utterly convinced that the past couple years’ massive Fed-fueled rally will continue indefinitely. But with today’s lofty stock markets extremely overvalued, wildly overextended, and rampantly euphoric, a serious selloff is looming. The prudent contrarians preparing for this inevitable major reversal are going to earn fortunes.
Though you wouldn’t know it from recent history, stock markets rise and fall. They are forever cyclical, an endless parade of alternating bulls and bears. Market history simply couldn’t be clearer on this. Yet ironically after long bull or bear markets, the great majority of traders forget this. They get caught up in their own emotions, and wrongly assume the long-in-the-tooth trend is the new norm that will endure perpetually.
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