Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, March 06, 2015

U.S. Employment Numbers Raise USD and TNX, Sink SPX / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket appears to have fallen beneath the hourly mid-Cycle support at 2094.26, but we really need to see the neckline at 2087.62 broken to confirm the reversal.

The big news is that February Payrolls surged to 295,000 and the (official) unemployment rate dropped to 5.5%.

Friday, March 06, 2015

Stock Market Dow Theory Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Christopher_Quigley

European Basic Income Initiative.
Based upon the teachings of Major Clifford Douglas and his Social Credit ideals a major citizens initiative is gaining traction in Europe called UBIC: Unconditional Basic Income Europe.
 
This movement aims to try to solve the issue of structural unemployment in Europe. Unemployment caused not by recession and austerity but labour displacement resulting from the technological fact that increasingly more and more can be produced by less and less labour. Thus the powers that be are beginning to realise that if folk do not have wage income to purchase what is produced a permanent recession will ensue.

Thursday, March 05, 2015

Stock Market FTSE 100: New Record Highs In Store? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Richard_Cox

Stock markets continue to impress and the bull run in the FTSE 100 has its sights set on the 7,000 level.  With price activity trading this close to a clearly defined psychological level, it would not be at all surprising to see an upward break.  But the real question is whether or not a move like this would actually show sustainability in the coming months.  This is a critical question for those that are considering long exposure while valuations are trading at such elevated levels.  Clearly market momentum is still positive but traders entering late still run the risk of being caught long at the wrong market price.  For these reasons, newer investors must assess the underlying strength of the blue chip stocks that actually make up the FTSE 100.

Thursday, March 05, 2015

Fading Recovery, Skittish Stock Market Asset Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jesse

I wonder how far they are willing to take this stock bubble?

It can keep drifting while there is no adverse geopolitical or economic news.

But the economic recovery is faltering. Or perhaps it would be more correct to say that the illusion is fading.

Thursday, March 05, 2015

Here's What Stock Market Bulls Might Be Overlooking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

A growing economy is not necessarily bullish -- see for yourself

Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this story below the video.

Wednesday, March 04, 2015

Stock Market Sell Signals! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This is a good sell signal. The cross beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge has a 94% probability of success. Further confirmation of that signal would be a decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2059.94. However, those who “loaded up” yesterday are being rewarded.

Wednesday, March 04, 2015

Stock Market Investor Psychology Crazy Ratio Record Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

Editor's note: This article is excerpted from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent market-forecasting firm (data through December 2014). You can download the full, 53-page report here -- 100% free.

With so many once-bright investment ideas flaming out— houses, condos, commodities, gold & silver, oil, junk bonds and hedge funds, to name a few—one would think that the buy-and-hold ethos of the Mania Era would at least be under review. But it isn’t. All it has done is become more focused while remaining as cherished as ever.

Wednesday, March 04, 2015

FTSE100 Stocks Index Breaks Key Support / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Austin_Galt

The Footsie has just broken some key support I have been monitoring. We already know from previous analysis of the longer term charts that this bull market is on its knees. So let's look in close at the daily chart to see what this potential kill shot looks like.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

A possible 3PDh formation can be seen on the Dow Industrials index chart. The peaks in Dec’13, July’14, and Sept’14 are the three peaks. At 9mo, the distance between peaks one and three meets Lindsay’s requirement that they be no more than 10mo apart.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Financial Slaughter - The Silence of the Lambs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

One interpretation is that we are living in the best of all possible worlds. Another is that we are being led to financial slaughter.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Stock Market Reversal May Be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

There is a rising probability that my original Wave structure was correct. I have put it back to that count with the anticipation of a break beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge at 2103.75, with Short-term support beneath it at 2102.39. Thus far, today’s low was 2104.92.

Should they both be broken, SPX would have an aggressive sell signal. There may be an aggressive sell signal from the Hi-Lo Index, since it has fallen beneath its mid-Cycle support at 67.08. It is currently at 54 and It still must decline beneath 14 to have a confirmed sell signal. We must monitor it for any upward movement.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Bondholders “Bailed In” In Austria – New Banking Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: GoldCore

- Auditors find €7.6 billion hole in Austria’s “bad bank”, Heta Asset Resolution AG

- Austria’s government says it will not give Heta “a single euro”

- Emergency legislation passed last month means bondholders to be bailed in

- Risk of contagion high as other banks may hold Heta bonds

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Nasdaq 5000 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Jack_Steiman

It took fifteen years to make the round trip from 5000 plus down to 1100 back to 5000 on the Nasdaq. Most thought we'd never get back to that lofty level of 5000 after looking in to the eyes of 1100. The average trader, and especially the long-term holder, was devastated. All hope was lost for the most part by the majority of people. I don't think there's anyone reading this letter that thought the bubble that had burst would get back to a bubble again. But here we are. The glory of the froth bubble is back with us, but under different circumstances. Ms Yellen, and the rest of her global gang members, are protecting their markets through liquidity and rates, thus, it's very complicated when determining from what level this puppy will finally crash from. It will crash out some day, but to this point in time there are still no classic signs of that happening. I will discuss that in a bit.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

SPX, NDX Approaching Their Respective Stock Market Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The pattern in the NDX is the clearest. It shows an expanding Ending diagonal consisting of 5 – abc’s. The final c of (v) appears to be underway and may even be complete by the end of the day, one week shy of 6 years from the March 9, 2000 low at 1040.41. Today it is at 430% of its starting value. I don’t know whether that is a coincidence or not.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Stock Market Investors Herd Can Be Blind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

Going into 2015 the economic outlook held by the U.S. investment establishment could not have been much more positive, and more unified. Pundits saw all the variables aligning to create the best of all investment worlds, a virtual "no-brainer" of optimism. Many believed that the 5.0% annualized growth in 3rd quarter would stay strong in the 4th Quarter and then usher in a strong 2015, which many believed would be the best economic year since the crash of 2008. The only question that divided most forecasters was how good the year would be.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Not So Good Stock Market SPY Wedge Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

Yes, the short term Inflowing Liquidity has been positive and up trending. The affect of the Liquidity can be seen on this weekly chart of the SPY. As expected, the SPY has been moving higher, but is getting very close to its resistance area.

What doesn't look so great, is the longer term, rising wedge pattern that you can see on the SPY.

Monday, March 02, 2015

Stock Market Party Like It’s 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Michael_Pento

In 1982 the artist formally known as Prince released a popular party anthem called “1999”. The song was a premonition that 1999 would be a year we would all aspire to “party like”.  It was obvious that Prince was making reference to the excitement associated with ringing in a new century.  However, unbeknownst to him, the accommodative policies of the Federal Reserve would lead to a festal bubble in NASDAQ stocks, making his call to party in 1999 that much more appropriate.

Monday, March 02, 2015

Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150 and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, March 02, 2015

The Stock Market is in The Process of Major Top! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The 10/20 week cycle low is due within this time frame. The previous 10 wk cycle low (ideally 50 trading days) on Dec 15, 2014 ran just 43 trading days. The next ideal trading low is due on March 6, 2015.

Feb 24 marked an irregular topping pattern off the Feb 20 top, which in Elliott Wave terms means that after the expected fast sell-off, a fast rally should ensue. The larger (b) wave shown on the chart should tag near SPX 2008/09. The next top (wave 'c') should occur about 15 trading days after the Feb 24 top and that should be around Mar 18 near 2130.

Monday, March 02, 2015

Stock Market Weakening Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.