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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 14, 2008

UltraShort S&P Stock Market ETF on the Move / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today's action in the ProShares UltraShort Inverted SPY (AMEX: SDS) has triggered preliminary indications that the upside directional move in the major market ETFs from February 7 into this morning open is complete, and that a period of pullback has started. If that proves to be the case, then the SDS should perform on the upside for a climb to at least 64.00/20, which should provide a hedge for my long XXH, XLF model portfolio positions, especially ahead of options expiration (tomorrow) and ahead of the approaching 3-day Presidents Holiday weekend.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 14, 2008

Stock Market Rallies Determined by Liquidity Inflows and Outflows / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you think of logically ... when money flows into the market, stocks are being bought.  When the amount of Inflowing Liquidity is in Expansion , then more and more investors are entering the market ... and that drives prices up.

However, when Liquidity is out-flowing, it is a condition where investors are removing their capital from the market.  That means the impetus is on selling, and the market pulls back.  When out-flowing Liquidity deteriorates to the point where the net liquidity is in Contraction, then the market experiences a correction.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 14, 2008

FTSE 100 Stock Market Index Showing Remarkable Strength / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe FTSE 100 Indexes January plunge to below 5350 set up the scenerio for a relief rally towards resistance at 6000, which would again be followed by a retest of the January lows the outcome of which was set to determine the trend for much of the year. On Wednesday, the FTSE managed to recoup much of the days earlier losses that had seen the FTSE decline to a low of 5814, closing just 30 points down on the day at 5890, this is evidence of remarkable strength in the light of an anticipated reaction towards the January low of 5350 following a break of 50% of the advance to the 6071 relief rally peak.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Subprime Losses Already Outweigh The Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Time somebody did something, right...?"

IN 1984 THE BANK of ENGLAND saved Johnson Matthey Bank – a horribly over-geared subsidiary of the centuries-old gold dealer – with an emergency buy-out costing just £1. The debts covered by the Bank of England, however, totaled $309 million on one estimate. They took 10 years to clear from the Bank's balance sheet.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Pullback in Financial Stocks Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Now for a look at Financial Select SPDR (AMEX: XLF), which technically indicates that we should expect renewed price recovery. Components Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) all exhibit similar chart structures that argue for higher prices in the financial sector.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Stock Market Technical Breakdowns May Call For More Investor Hedging / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“I think the necessity of being ready increases.” Abraham Lincoln - Based on recent technical breakdowns in many risk-based investments (see Graph 1), the probability of investors incurring additional losses over an extended period of time has increased. Both the technical and fundamental outlook now favors bearish outcomes over bullish outcomes. In addition to the cash we have raised in recent months, it is now prudent to prepare for the possibility of adding additional hedging vehicles to our portfolios. While favorable outcomes are still possible, they are no longer probable. As illustrated in Graph 2, a continued slow migration away from risk and toward more bearish hedging vehicles may be warranted if conditions continue to deteriorate.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

The Debt Disease is Spreading - Sell Now! / Stock-Markets / US Debt

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: The debt disease we've been warning you about, long subdued and dormant, is returning with a vengeance.

You can see its symptoms everywhere — in the massive losses on Wall Street ... in consumer credit turning sour ... in collapsing bond insurers ... in sinking corporate earnings ... in the recession hitting hard.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Rising Risk of a Systemic Financial Meltdown:The 12 Steps to Financial Disaster By Nouriel Roubini / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we look at a recent analysis from Professor Nouriel Roubini of the Stern School of Business at New York University. Nouriel has become known for his rather clear clarion calls that the housing bubble would lead to a credit crisis and possibly much worse. He has been one who has been on CNBC and was in the clear minority early last year, but now no one is laughing (I was once on the show with him, and we were not the majority view).

In this week's Outside the Box, Nouriel details for us how a worse case scenario would develop. We both hope this does not develop. It can be avoided, but realistic investors need to know what to look for to make sure we are not going there. I like Nouriel's work, as it pull's no punches. You can go to RGE Monitor at www.rgemonitor.com to see his regular work, which is geared to institutions. Like this letter, he offers Outside the Box analysis, which I think you will find useful.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

A Primary Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite many conflicting signals from many different quarters, this analyst believes we have entered a Primary Bear Market for Industrial Equities.

A major source of confusion has been that the internet facilitates instantaneous dissemination of information. For that reason, the daily charts, whilst interesting, cannot be relied upon. They can be expected to give conflicting signals as the emotions ebb and flow with daily news.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Homebuilding Stocks ETF Holds Support / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Homebuilders Select SPDR (AMEX: XHB) managed to hold support in the 19.70 area again, creating a minor double-low" with Friday afternoon, and setting up a potentially strong upside acceleration if the price structure hurdles 20.85-.90 later this afternoon. My technical work argues in favor of such a constructive move, which projects the XHB to climb towards a test of its prior rally peak at 23.60 from 2/01. Only a decline that breaks and sustains beneath 19.70 will neutralize my current outlook.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 11, 2008

Stock Market Signaling Intermediate Term Low and End to Short-term Correction This Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Election years that fall in the 8th year of the Decennial pattern call for consolidation in the early part of the year followed by a strong finish. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could also play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.

SPX: Intermediate trend - an extended intermediate-term consolidation is in process.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Stock Market Intermediate Term Bottom In Place - Expecting Stocks to Rally Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: Although prices fell sharply last week the breadth indicators all held up well.

Short Term - Breadth has been improving.

Market breadth indicators are those derived from advancing issues and declining issues, new highs and new lows and upside and downside volume.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 09, 2008

US Fed Interest Rates Cuts Save the World from Financial Meltdown? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Tim_Wood

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust as the equity markets were pushing into their anticipated turn point in late January, the Fed makes a 75 basis point cut of the Discount rate. This was the most aggressive rate cut since August of 1982. The very next week at the regularly scheduled Fed meeting they cut yet another 50 basis points. To hear the spin from the mainstream these cuts were done to save the equity markets from the woes that first began in August. I have heard many of the analysts and commentators explain why the bottom is now in and how the Fed has finally made everything alright.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 09, 2008

Investors Waiting to See Clarity on the US Economy / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Roger_Conrad

Greetings from the Orlando Money Show 2008, America's leading bazaar of investment opinion and products. There are many ways to make money in the markets, just as there are many ways to lose it. Not everyone is going to be interested in everything at the show. But there are few better places for individual investors to see this much at the same time.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 09, 2008

Sovereign Wealth Funds - The Last Bastion's of “Dumb Money”? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn recent months, Wall Street has taken comfort in the idea that Sovereign Wealth Funds will come riding to the rescue of banks that are up to their eyeballs in subprime sludge. First Citigroup, then Merrill Lynch and a host of other commercial banks have reported receiving “injections” of capital to help them reinvigorate their balance sheets. Some $40 to $60 billion of new capital has been promised.

After having stepped to the plate so willingly last year, the Sovereign Funds are now having second thoughts. The $8 billion loan to Citigroup made last year was more than likely made to protect their prior investments from an outright collapse. And the Chinese are becoming more sophisticated about their money as well. They are growing resentful that they are being considered the last bastion of “dumb money” for troubled banks. They may be right.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 09, 2008

Holding Nasdaq Long Position Over the Weekend / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

I am not sure what to make of the intraday action in the major equity market ETFs, other than they are curiously quiet -- on the downside with apparently no buying interest ahead of the weekend. Is today's final hour of trading going to be similar to the last 4 out of 5 Fridays? That is, acute weakness into the closing bell? For one, it seems too obvious, and too quiet to me to argue for such a late session decline.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 08, 2008

The Financial Tsunami Endgame: Unregulated Private Money Creation - Part IV / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: F_William_Engdahl

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAsset Securitization - The Last Tango: What had emerged going into the new millennium after the 1999 repeal of Glass-Steagall was an awesome transformation of American credit markets into what was soon to become the world's greatest unregulated private money creation machine.

The New Finance was built on an incestuous, interlocking, if informal, cartel of players, all reading from the script written by Alan Greenspan and his friends at J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and the other major financial houses of New York . Securitization was going to secure a “new” American Century and its financial domination, as its creators clearly believed on the eve of the millennium.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Brazilian Stock Market Headed Higher - MSCI Brazil ETF EWZ / Stock-Markets / Brazil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

While this week's decline in the SPY has given back about 60% of the Jan-Feb advance, let's notice that the decline in the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (NYSE: EWZ) gave back "only" about 40% of the prior advance. In addition, the form of the decline off of the November high at 87.67 into the 1/23 low at 64.00 has the look of a completed corrective leg. Although all of the action off of the January low could represent the start of a new bull phase, my sense and experience warn me that it probably represents something much less bullish?as in an intervening upleg that separates two bear phases.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Financial Service Shares Turned Significantly Lower Today / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Richard_Gorton

Shares Of Investment Risk Manager Blackrock Fall Significantly Lower

Blackrock, BLK, is one of wall street's premier risk management and financial services companies with over 1.3 trillion dollars in assets under management.

Blackrock turned much lower, in late afternoon trading, falling 2.42%.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 06, 2008

The Coming Collapse of International Credit Ratings Agencies - Moody's, Standard & Poor, and Fitch / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo you thought the Ambac/MBIA bond insurers crisis was bad?

You ain't seen nothin' yet

The problem, the challenge, the scandal, is not that the bond insurers are about to be downgraded. The real scandal lies in the fact that they haven't been downgraded a long time ago - and much deeper than from "AAA" to "AA". In fact, what needs to be downgraded are the major international credit ratings agencies, Moody's, Standard & Poor, and Fitch.

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