Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 12, 2009
Historic Oversold Conditions in Almost All Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Larry Edelson writes: 2009 is already shaping up to be yet another year when almost all analysts and investors get the markets dead wrong. Again.
But you don't have to be a part of it. You can be on the right side of the markets.
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Thursday, February 12, 2009
Stock Market Reversion to the Mean and the Risk of Ruin / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Silver Bullet Band - Groping in the dark for the golden gun with silver bullets, should they get their hands on it- the Fed, Treasury, and the political bodies at large, may soon discover they have been on their knee's pleading to engage in a willfully ignorant round of Russian roulette with a fully loaded revolver.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Bearish Stock Market Base Building / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Investing in the financial markets requires the assessment of probabilities for both positive and negative outcomes. You should approach the market with neither a bullish nor a bearish bias. The S&P 500 has been holding up relatively well since the November 20, 2008 low. A sideways pattern in the markets is often referred to as a base. Wall Street, as a whole, is predisposed to view the markets with a significant bullish bias. Consequently, the S&P 500's recent basing pattern has been met with almost a universally positive reaction.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Stock Market Treads Water Ahead of Congressional Fiscal Stimulus Vote / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
US stocks rebounded from their lows to record modest gains after news on ‘fiscal stimulus'. In short the US House and Senate versions of fiscal stimulus plans have been reconciled into a single $789bn stimulus plan – one third tax cuts, two-thirds spending . We are led to expect votes today in the House and this evening for the Senate. However given the price performance of government bonds this morning (they are bid to boots), I'd say the risk aversion trade is back with a bang and this spells trouble for equities. Much more on that below.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Financials Lead Stocks in Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The stock market did have some volatility on Wednesday, but the indices ended narrowly mixed. The day started out with a little move up off the opening followed by a sharp turnaround lower. They spiked down and made a new low on the Nasdaq 100, but did not on the S&P 500, which resulted in a snapback rally. But the rally failed at the 2 day declining tops lines, which resulted in a much sharper afternoon slide that took the market to the lows for the day with about an hour and a half to go.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Financial and Commodity Markets Forecasts Special / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
Dear Reader,
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Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Forecasting Strong China Economy and Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: I was watching CNBC last week and listened to expert after expert rub their crystal balls and predict the best places to invest your money: gold, bank stocks, Brazil, oil companies, large cap multi-nationals, drug stocks, Japan … you name it.
That tassel loafer, Armani suit crowd from Wall Street has one of the most consistent track records I've ever seen … AT BEING WRONG!
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Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Financial Markets Confidence More Important Than Gold / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
In a rare interview with Western media, Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier, told the Financial Times (see http://www.ft.com/wen ),
‘Confidence is the most important thing, more important than gold or currency'
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Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Stock Market Sells Off on Disapointing Banking Sector Bailout Plan / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
I am spending the next few days in Europe on a short business trip. First stop is Dublin where the temperature is icy, the mood is dour, property prices are plunging, the queues for jobless claims are five hours long, the soon-to-be-unemployed are holding protest strikes, and the banks are on the edge of a financial precipice. Yes, it may be a movie with different actors, but the plot is the same as in many other countries.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Stock Market Still In Bear Mode / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Make no mistake about it, this is still a bear market. It has been quite some time since the market has experienced such a violent decline. Any dreams about the rally continuing were violently doused as the market did not appreciate the comments of Mr. Geithner.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Stock Market Bloodbath on Treasury Secretary's News / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets ended in a bloodbath today with extremely negative numbers across the board. The indices did rally after a negative opening, and the NDX and S&P 500 retested yesterday's highs, but they stopped in their tracks and reversed.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Obama Will Revive “Shadow Financial System” to Revive U.S. Banks / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
William Patalon III writes: To ease the ongoing credit crisis and get banks lending again, the Obama administration realizes that it first has to resuscitate the “shadow financial system” that's dominated by hedge funds and other large-scale private investors.
Surprisingly, two key ingredients of this turnaround formula will be structured investments, such as asset-backed securities, and leverage - the combination and poorly policed use of which acted as the accelerants that helped fuel the financial inferno that's now sweeping the globe in wildfire fashion.
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Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Financial Markets Judgment Day on Obama, Geithner Credit Crisis Rescue Plan / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
A moment the market has been waiting for ... The Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) has not gone well. Unaccountability for funds was a major issue. Lack of effectiveness was another issue. As a result, opinions and emotions surrounding TARP have grown to be negative.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Stock Market Breadth Study Shows Positive Developments and Gold / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
As outlined in an October 20, 2008 article Stocks Will Bottom Well Before Economy , we should not expect the stock market to wait for the "all clear" signal from an economic perspective before finding a bear market bottom. There is no doubt the economic news will get worse before it gets better. If we expect the technicals or charts to show improvement before the economy gets better, it makes sense to keep an eye on recent technical developments.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 09, 2009
Stock Market Consolidates Ahead of Bailout Plan News / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had a consolidation day ahead of tomorrow's release of the details of the bailout plan. The day started out with a move down that held support. They then rallied to new 3 day rally highs, and backed and filled in a downward slope until mid-afternoon when they tested the lows. That was successful, and then they bounced back into the positive side on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 by the end of the day, but drifted lower in the last 20-30 minutes.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 09, 2009
Stock Market Pauses After Last Weeks Big Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After some big gains last week, today was a bit of a ho-hum affair as the DJIA only finished down 9.72 points. Does this rally have legs? We will know soon enough. There is a trendline (see the chart) right overhead the current price. Moreover, the DJIA's recent nemesis, the 50 dma , sits menacingly above at 8463.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 09, 2009
Stock Market to Fall AT LEAST Another 40%! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Weiss writes: With the U.S. economy now reeling from the fastest job collapse since the Great Depression …
With the Treasury Secretary ready to introduce yet another bank bailout plan this week …
And as we suffer through the uncontrollable bust of the largest-ever speculative bubble of all time …
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Monday, February 09, 2009
Stock Markets Shrug Off Yet More Dire Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
There was a perverse reaction to the dismal employment news from the US last Friday with indices rising throughout the session. Looks like no one wanted to be caught short with THAT bank bailout master plan coming tomorrow (16.00GMT) and today's fiscal stimulus. Note that the NASDAQ is now back positive for the year to date with Google (+54%) and Apple (+26%) showing strong leadership. Banks have bounced back strongly albeit from almost penny stock status! So a pivotal few days ahead.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 09, 2009
Gold, Silver, Oil and Broad Stock Market Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Last week was exciting as the broad market dipped back down to test Hogan's Bottom again. The market found support and posted a nice two day rally on increased volume as buyers stepped back into the market. The two biggest sectors were financials and homebuilders posting solid gains for the week. It's important to note that both those sectors had the largest amount of short selling, it looks like traders started to cover their short positions, which boosted both those sectors. The market does look like momentum is shifting to the upside but we could still see prices drift sideways or even lower for another couple months, as investors need to become more confident and start investing again.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 08, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Gathers Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when
expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply
that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The lows appear to have been tested successfully. Bullish indications suggest another up-wave is starting. It needs to be confirmed by a further advance.
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