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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Unfinished Business on the Downside for Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

We review the daily chart of the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) that goes back to the all-time high at 55.07 hit on 10/31/07. The price pattern, the RSI momentum configuration, and the volume levels ALL suggest strongly that the Q's have unfinished business on the downside.

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Stock Market Buying Value on the Dips / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Meet the new boss, same as the old boss – we don't get fooled again. Instead of lyrics to a Who song, it could easily be applied to Tim Geithner's unveiling of the new TARP plan. The market reaction is the same as that of previous Treasury chief Paulson. The rolling out of the initial TARP plan saw the markets embark upon a breathtaking dive that culminated with the first market bottom in mid-November. Let's hope that Tuesday's swoon does not follow the same path.

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

U.S. Economy and Monetary System: Reviving The Patient  / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Captain_Hook

Five trillion dollars, that's what it's going to cost for the good / bad bank and ballooning stimulus plans. Now that's serious money, not too mention serious inflation by strict definition in the sense money supply has been rising, but prices have not. And it's also a great deal of intervention to thwart what appears to be worsening economic problems; problems that continue to worsen despite all the prior interventions. This is of course what socialists do however; they just keep going back to the trough for more until they kill the patient. The socio-political backdrop has turned into a real zoo in this regard, where even Orwell, with his brilliant foresight , if asked way back when, would have likely had difficult imagining such a mess.

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Stock Market Indices Breaking Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

With the land of the free, home of the broke, the United States of Insolvency closed yesterday; markets had to look elsewhere for inspiration. The now ex Japanese Finance Minister found it in a bottle with reports that he was drunk at the G7 meeting over the weekend (see video below). More seriously though for markets. The S&P 500 futures has broken support and is now trading just above the pivotal 800 level. A break below 800 could see heavy selling pressure.

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

No Sign of an Economic Recovery Yet? Look Again at BDI, Copper and Homebuilders / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Donald_W_Dony

There are a number of early economic signals that are beginning to slowly surface that has not yet caught the attention of financial media. These slight changes to the commodity, bond and equity markets are the early indicators and building blocks of the next economic recovery. Throughout 2009 additional evidence is expected to gradually surface. Here are some of the most recent pieces of the recovery puzzle

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Stock Market and Commodities Base Building Considerations / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Clif_Droke

The most salient feature of the markets at this juncture is the number of interim bases that have been building in several major sectors, including copper and other economically sensitive groups. In this commentary we’ll examine the bottoms currently being established for stocks and one of the key supports for the continued recovery in the precious metals mining sector, namely copper and copper mining shares.

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Monday, February 16, 2009

Stock Market Dumb and Smart Money Become Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

Both the "smart money" and "dumb money" became more bullish in their outlook last week. This is what one would expect from the "smart money" - lower prices bringing out more bulls. The "smart money" refers to those investors and traders who make their living in the markets. Supposedly they are in the know, and we should follow their every move.

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Monday, February 16, 2009

America's Financial Apocalypse 2009 Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Mike_Stathis

Posting When It Matters - I want to thank those of you who've patiently waited during my apparent hiatus. I certainly wasn't on vacation. I don't take vacations. As I've said in the past, I'm not one to make daily or weekly posts for the sake of marketing. Guys who spend much of their time marketing are anything but leaders in their field, unless their field happens to be marketing.

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Monday, February 16, 2009

Déjà Vu As Banking Stocks Drag Indices Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Stocks ended on a sour note Friday and down 5% for last week. One wonders where they might have ended if not for the giant stimulus package and the son of TARP? Markets had been fantasising that the Obama administration's big bang would at last put equities on the road to redemption but we remain no closer and there seems no rabbit left to pull. Financials were again caught in the cross wires as Lloyds share price plummeted on renewed nationalisation fears following revelations of a £10bn loss at basket case HBoS.

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Sunday, February 15, 2009

Stock Market Battles Between Bullish and Bearish Signals / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Peter Schiff (Seeking Alpha): This is just the beginning
“The intense scrutiny recently paid to my investment strategy in the immediate wake of the financial crisis of the last six months has unfortunately obscured the central element of my larger economic forecast. The standard line has been that although I was able to predict the crash, in the form of the housing collapse and the credit crunch, my expected fallout of a weaker dollar and global decoupling has been proven false. However, this assumes that the crash has fully played out. In reality, all we have heard thus far is the overture.

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Sunday, February 15, 2009

Financial Markets React to Bank Bailout Blackhole / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you from my abode in a visibly depressed Europe, from where I am compiling this report as welcome relief from gloomy conversations with taxi drivers and cheerless meals in deserted eateries.

Events during the past few days were dominated by the announcement of US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's financial stability plan and a deal reached by Congress on the economic stimulus bill. However, the much-anticipated bailout bang soon whimpered as investors were disappointed about the lack of “beef”. Meanwhile, markets were also mired in uncertainty on the back of fresh evidence of headwinds facing the global economy - notably in major economies such as the UK, continental Europe and Japan.

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Sunday, February 15, 2009

Stock Markets Heading for Successful Retest of November Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: Everything is in place for a successful retest of the November lows.

Short Term I found no indicators that made a compelling case for a short term movement in either direction.

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Sunday, February 15, 2009

Stock Market Continues To Heal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Kingsley_Anderson

Following the market is starting to become a tedious chore. The back and forth action occurring in the stock market may be fertile grounds for the day trader, but not for the position trader. Long or short, trying to trade in this type of environment is tough. Of course, the million dollar question is “when will it be safe to leave the sidelines and enter the market?” No one can answer that. At this time the only real option is to continue to follow the news and observe the market.

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Saturday, February 14, 2009

Financial Markets Analysis: Stocks Bear Market and Government Intervention / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The weeks stock market trend was in one word WEAK, the preceding weeks strong close FAILED to have any follow through, the stock market FAILED to break above 8,400 let alone make it to resistance at 8,600, stocks turned lower to target the lower end of the trading range of between 8,400 and 7,800, including a BEARISH break below support, which triggered the Plunge Protection Team (PPT) into action to support the stock market and bring the selling to a halt, for the time being at least.

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Saturday, February 14, 2009

Is the Stock Market Risk Increasing or Decreasing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Marty_Chenard

The Relative Strength Indicator with a setting of 30 days is one of the most important technical tools to use.  Its daily reading level and its trend tell's investors how much risk there is, AND if the risk is decreasing or increasing.

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Saturday, February 14, 2009

New Major Upleg for UltraShort Dow / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Regardless of whatever carrot stick the Administration or Congress dangles in front of the equity market, my work continue to warn me that since the January 6 low at 49.60 in the ProShares UltraShort Dow 30 (NYSE: DXD), the price structure has entered into a major new upleg.

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Saturday, February 14, 2009

Stock Market at the Edge of a Precipice.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

Dow and across the board for that matter. The market should have followed through to the upside on Friday, but could never get going and ended up closing basically near the lows. Exactly the opposite of what I thought would take place. My thinking couldn't have been more wrong. When you get a 1 point Doji on an 8000 index such as the Dow off a downtrend of 600 points, you should get a reversal the next day 99% of the time.  Friday was the 1%. Only in this bear market, I guess. Another reason why you can't get aggressive.

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Saturday, February 14, 2009

Stock Market Back-and-Fill Session Has Disappointing Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices ended the week on a down note, but they certainly had some volatility. Initially, the markets sold off from the opening on Friday, held support, and then bounced to new rally highs, reaching 1250 NDX and 840 SPX. But that was right at important secondary resistance. They failed to get through, and then had an orderly 5-wave decline that lasted until mid-day. Just before lunch hour the indices reached support and bounced sharply to retest the highs but fell short, pulled back again late afternoon, bounced in the last hour but again couldn't get through and in the last 5 minutes sold off quite sharply, with the NDX dropping 8 points and the S&P 500 more than 6 points.

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Friday, February 13, 2009

Financial Markets React Badly to Obama Economic Stimulus Plan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

“Stimulus Bill” up for a final vote today... After a 24-hour delay caused by late, lingering controversy, Democratic congressional leaders say President Barack Obama's economic stimulus bill -- a massive, $790 billion package of tax cuts and federal spending -- is on track for a Friday vote in the House.

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Friday, February 13, 2009

Investment Performance Expectations: Fine Tuning Working Capital Model / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest

By: Steve_Selengut

Contrary to popular belief and Wall Street propaganda, investing is not a competitive event. Rather, it is a uniquely personal, goal-directed activity that individuals must organize and control for themselves. Too few appreciate that it is a long-term enterprise and only a handful, at best, have discovered that DJIA and S & P 500 numbers are only useful at their extremes.

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