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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Recessionary Contracting Earnings Lift Stock Market P/E Ratios / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRichard Russell (Dow Theory Letters): Danger of deflation
“We've recently seen the greatest expansion of credit in history. It was a product of Asian and Mid-Eastern countries holding down the value of their currency by creating more of their own money and buying dollars. The Fed got into the act in 2003 when it held down Fed Funds to 1% for month after month. It was a wild expansion of money and credit. Now the party is over.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Stock Market Seasonals 60% Probability of Up Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: Most of the indicators suggest a continuation of the advance.

Short Term Advance - decline lines (ADL) are a running total of declining issues subtracted from advancing issues. Their behavior can vary widely and change over time. For example an ADL calculated from issues traded on the NASDAQ (OTC ADL) has had a negative bias while an ADL calculated from issues traded on the NYSE (NY ADL) used to have a negative bias, but, over the past 10 years or so the bias has become very positive.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 16, 2008

De-leveraging of America Does Major Technical Damage to Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDoubling down on bad bets is taking place on the public pension level. It appears that they believe the worst is over and are willing to send good money after bad. What seems to be happening is a scramble to make up for the poor performance of these funds in the last 12 months. The unfortunate problem is that they are heading in uncharted water in the name of “diversification.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 15, 2008

Hard Cold Numbers on the Credit Crunch / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: Last week, I gave you several real-world examples of lenders who were refusing to take the Federal Reserve's "bait."

A quick recap: The Fed has been driving the cost of money down in an effort to spur more lending. But many banks have instead reduced their exposure to various business lines — and eliminated some loan products altogether.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 15, 2008

New Cold War Investment Profit Opportunities / Stock-Markets / New Cold War

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Like it or not, with the invasion of Georgia, we have a new Cold War – as well as the profit opportunities that accompany such a conflict. International investors were able to make a lot of money during the “first” Cold War, so if any more politicians or TV commentators tell me they don't want a return to those halcyon days, I shall scream.

And since the situation in Georgia has effectively created a new Cold War status, it's worth reviewing where the profit opportunities will be this time, and which countries the sensible, geo-strategically conscious investor will avoid – especially since Vladimir Putin looks a lot more dangerous than the sluggardly Leonid Brezhnev .

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Investors Should Pay Attention to Important Stock Market Divergences / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarket divergences tell a story of something, or some investor segment acting contrary to the market's movements. 

Currently ... the DJI, NASDAQ, S&P, and the Russell are showing an up trending condition.

But, what if Institutions were selling while you were buying ... how would you feel then?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Slump in Private Equity Deals / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBloomberg is reporting KKR, Apollo Seek Debt Investments as Private-Equity Deals Wane .
Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) -- KKR & Co. and Apollo Global Management LLC, two private-equity firms planning to go public later this year, are turning to debt and distressed-asset investments as financing for leveraged buyouts remains scarce.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Stocks New Bull Market or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: John_Browne

Despite a series of worrying news items last week, U.S. stock markets managed to deliver strong gains. Time and again, U.S. investors seem to turn lemons into lemonade by assuming each bad data point is an indication that the bottom is in. Is such behavior indicative of a stock market revival or simply evidence of a bear market rally?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Why Today’s Stocks Bull Market is Tomorrow’s Bear Trap / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Depending on your perspective, U.S. equities are either at the edge of another cliff or at the dawning of a new bull market.

We could make the case for either. But in as much as that would be an interesting exercise, the more relevant question is what the data suggests.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

The Oil War - Russia Georgia Geopolitics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Mick_Phoenix

Analysis Dated 10th August 2008 - Welcome to the Weekly Report. Last week, in the subscriber only edition we looked to see if the roadmap I use had moved forward:

  • "A recap of the scenario:

    bubble, easy money, inflation in fiat money supply, inflation in commodities and hard assets, inflation, fear of inflation, rising rates, YC inverting, flattening, rising and inverting again, tightening, withdrawal of liquidity, corrections, crashes, talk of stagflation, FEAR, withdrawal of speculative funds, further corrections and crashes, demand collapse.......Deflation."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

China Growing Risk of Corporate and Economic Distress / Stock-Markets / China Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina is all the rage for the next few weeks as the Olympics are going on. Many are calling this China's time to showcase itself to the world. I have a lot of friends and analysts who are big China bulls, believing that the next few years will see continued high growth in China, although less than the above 10% of the past few years.

In Outside the Box, we like to look at some contrarian analysis from time to time. Value Investor Vitaliy Katsenelson gives us some reasons why the outlook for China might not be so bright. This has implications for lots of markets that are driven by Asian demand.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

India’s Reliability Provides a Razor Thin Investment Edge Over China / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: With sky-high growth potential, China and India are the two markets no investor can afford to miss out on. But that doesn't mean they're impervious to market turbulence, and in times of trouble, India is the more reliable investment.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2008

Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Heading for Consolidation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent Position of the Market
Long-term trend - The Dow Jones Industrials may be deviating from their typical decennial pattern in an election year. Important cycles going into the Fall could be the reason for this, but one also has to consider the possibility that the downward pressure from the 120-yr cycle, which is due to make its low in 2012-2014, has begun to take effect and that October 2007 was the top of the bull market. This is not yet confirmed and remains a low probability.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2008

Stock Markets Set to Consolidate Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: Friday, most of the major indices closed at their highest levels since the mid July lows.

Short Term - Last week all of the major indices were up, but, in a change for he worse, the blue chips were stronger than the secondaries. The Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) was up 3.60%, the S&P 500 (SPX) up 2.86% while the S&P midcap was up 1.61% and the Russell 2000 (R2K) was up 2.53%. On Monday, new lows on both the NYSE and NASDAQ hit their highest levels since the day after the mid July price low. Both the NYSE and NASDAQ new low indicators are moving sharply upward so there should life left in this rally.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2008

The Stocks Relief Rally and Commodities Correction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Wall Street Journal: S&P email – “We should not be rating it” “Some of the most strongly worded emails from analysts questioning their own ratings came from S&P, according to a draft version of the 38-page report, which includes the firms and was reviewed by The Wall Street Journal. The unit of McGraw-Hill is the largest bond-rating firm by revenue.

“In one email, an S&P analytical staffer emailed another that a mortgage or structured-finance deal was ‘ridiculous' and that ‘we should not be rating it'. The other S&P staffer replied that ‘we rate every deal', adding that ‘it could be structured by cows and we would rate it'.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2008

US Dollar and Stocks Olympics Rally Despite Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Olympic Games kicked off at 8:08:08 pm on Friday night, the eighth day of the eighth month of 2008. Coincidence? Not at all. The number eight is considered lucky by the Chinese, because in Cantonese (the language of South China) the word for prosperity is “fa”, which sounds like “ba” (eight).

Let the gains begin. Fortune also smiled upon stock markets, with the S&P 500 Index scoring its first back-to-back weekly gain since April as the US dollar rallied strongly and oil and commodities plummeted. The S&P 500's gain since the low of July 15 has been 6.7%, with the Financial SPDR up by 27.8%.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2008

An Interview With the Kress Stock Market Cycle Master / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have long been an admirer of the stock market cycle analysis of one Samuel J. “Bud” Kress, proprietor of SJK Capital and publisher of the cycle-based SineScope advisory. Kress has been in the equity market business all his adult life, either on Wall Street or in more recent years as an independent analyst/trader. If the Kress name seems familiar to you it's probably because you remember the chain of S.H. Kress & Co. “five and dime” stores that once dotted the country. The store's founder, Samuel H. Kress, was Bud's grandfather.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2008

Stocks and Commodities Bubbles, Parabolic Moves, and Resulting Collapses / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Tim_Wood

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the chart below I have included a weekly chart of the Nasdaq 100. Beginning at the 4-year cycle low that occurred in October 1998, we can see that price rose sharply in February 1999. In fact, in that 4-month period this index moved from a low of 1,063.74 up to 2,150.83. This was a 102% advance in only 4 months. As we moved into October of 1999 this advance was much more orderly, but still managed to advance another 400 points during this time period and in doing so the Nasdaq 100 had advanced 143% in a mere 12 months. As this move received more and more attention more and more people jumped on the bandwagon with the hottest tech stock. As a result, a bubble began to form.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2008

Stocks Soar as Crude Oil Slides / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Equities are on a roll. Looking at the Nasdaq through the daily chart of the Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares (QQQQ), we see that the Q's closed at 47.31, just above the declining 200 DMA at 47.25. This is a very positive sign that today's upmove SHOULD continue Š towards my next optimal target zone of 48.20/50.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2008

Stock Markets Heading for Price Earnings Reversion Below the Mean / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article The Rise of A New Asset Class, Part 2
  • Unrealistic Expectations
  • The Boomers Break the Deal
  • A Nation of Wal-Mart Greeters

Last week's letter was the first part of a speech I have been giving on what I think will be the rise of a new asset class. This week will be the second and final part. Let me set up this section with a few paragraphs from last week's letter and then a quick summary. If you want to read the entire letter from last week, you can go to the website archives .

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