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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 15, 2008

Forward Thinking for the Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Paulenoff

I am not the only market-watcher who has noticed that although the news seems to get progressively worse for the banks and brokers, and stress to the financial system and the Fed (lender of last resort) gets progressively more intense, the stock indices for the most part have held above their January lows. The Jan. 22 low in the Dow at 11,635, for instance, was tested Monday at 11,732, and perhaps we should consider Friday's low at 11,833 as yet another test -- amidst treacherous news and innuendo about the efficacy of Bear Stearns.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 15, 2008

Over Leveraged Hedge Funds Dancing with the Devil / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHedge funds are now facing their worst crisis since the 1998 Long Term Capital meltdown. Banks are now raising their collateral requirements even on hedge funds with the best (AAA-rated) assets. Many hedge funds have made money for their wealthy investors by borrowing heavily to buy high quality mortgage securities. Their earnings were made by exploiting the spread between the interest paid on shorter-term loans and the interest earned on the longer-term mortgages. However, they figured if a little debt could magnify returns, then a lot of debt would be that much better. Until, that is, the subprime market caused a hiccup in higher-quality bonds, too. Carlyle Capital , which leveraged its portfolio 32-to-1, collapsed on Thursday after failing to come up with additional capital to protect itself from creditors seizing its assets. One domino after another is falling after the turmoil is forcing other hedge funds to come up with extra capital. The problem is, their assets are also deteriorating, as they cannot find a market, even for their higher-quality debt instruments.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 15, 2008

Asian Emerging Market Stock Market Sell off Excellent Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Yiannis_G_Mostrous

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe current market weakness presents an excellent opportunity to buy Asian stocks.

Although the state of the US economy and the global credit crisis is gloomy, and it's on track to remain so for some time, the global financial system won't completely collapse. It seems that the US monetary policy is losing credibility, which will be difficult to restore to previous levels. But the order of the world is changing, and everyone wants to avoid total destruction.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 14, 2008

Big Daily SPX Stock Market Moves Indicative of Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Tuesday March 11th, the flagship S&P 500 (SPX) stock index rocketed 3.7% higher in a single trading day! This big rally proved a welcome respite for embattled stock traders. Not only did it nicely boost most sectors, but it temporarily dispelled the oppressive fog of fear billowing out of the mortgage markets.

While it was certainly a profitable day for me as a speculator, I found it far more interesting as a student of the markets. The catalyst for this particular surge as well as the extensive commentary on CNBC about how long it had been since we'd last seen a similar rally led me to ponder big SPX daily moves in general.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Financial Stocks Retest of Lows Looks Bullish / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Deep retest of Monday's low or another tease? Technically I have lots of indicators telling me it is the former and that the Financial Selecct SPDR (AMEX: XLF) is now in the early stages of revisiting Monday's high at 25.91 on the way to 26.50 thereafter.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 13, 2008

What Advice have the Big Wall Street Firms Given their Large Clients this Year ? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Marty_Chenard

The answer:  Sell on rallies.

Is that what has been happening this year?

The chart below provides the answer. This chart shows the New York Stock Exchange Up-Volume plotted against the Dow Jones Industrials on a 60 minute chart going back to the beginning of the year.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

True Cost of This Global Banking Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...If only the big central banks would sit on their hands and let this crisis work out, they could save Western taxpayers up to 98% of the potential mopping-up costs..."

HOW TO KEEP YOUR HEAD when all about you are losing theirs?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

How to Beat the Stock, US Dollar and Credit Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe recent action on Wall Street is enough to send shivers up the spine of even the biggest bull. Despite yesterday's Fed-induced rally, we have multiple bear markets closing in simultaneously, with everything from stocks to the U.S. dollar to the credit markets getting clawed to pieces.

But there is one sector that is still in a raging bull market — commodities. And the bearish action in the other markets could actually pump up commodities even more.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Dow Transports Set to Trend Higher / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

After a morning dip on profit-taking and because of still-higher oil prices (ahead of the API report), the iShares DJ Transportation Index ETF (AMEX: IYT) pivoted to the upside and has thrust above its nearest-term resistance line at 82.40, which triggers higher projections in my work to 83.80-84.20 next, on the way to a retest of much more important resistance at 86.40/50.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Why the Rich are Getting Poorer / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: John_Browne

As our consumer dominated economy faces the threat of imminent stagflation (economic recession and financial inflation at the same time), losses will not be limited to the poor. Many get-rich-quick investors also will become poorer!

The effects of recession, falling asset prices, insolvency, inflation and a falling dollar are set to have a sometimes devastating effect on the real value of many investment portfolios, including those of the wealthy.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Fed's $200 Billion Baillout Is Positive, But Not a Cure for Credit Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom a perspective of investor confidence, yesterday's move by the Federal Reserve to allow banks and brokerages to temporarily swap mortgage-backed bonds for U.S. Treasuries was important. Stock market reaction was broad based and could be the beginning of a sustained rally. However, previous moves by the Fed aimed at restoring investor confidence were quickly counteracted by more announcements of credit writedowns in the banking and brokerage sector. Therefore, to call a long term bottom in stocks with any degree of confidence you have to believe the Fed's actions will address the root cause of the problem in the credit markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

George Soros and the Worst Financial Market Crisis in 60 Years / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Blood in the streets” is the central theme of the financial news lately. Barely a day goes by without a barrage of bad news hitting investors like a runaway freight train. In just the past few weeks in the Financial Times newspaper we see the following headlines:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Stock Market Leading Indicators: All Showing Major Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe important key leading indicators on the Dow Jones Industrial Average have one item in common now that has not been shown before; they are all displaying weakness. This unified first signals that the U.S. bear market has now moved into a stronger phase and can be expected to show more of its teeth over the next 1-2 years.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Nasdaq Q's Have More Room to Advance / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Earlier when the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) were at 41.60, they had retraced just about 50% of the entire upmove from yesterday's low at 40.98 to this morning's high at 42.19, which is where they held and turned back to the upside. The initial upside exhibits bullish form, while the intraday weakness exhibits corrective form and tells me (so far) that the Q's have additional upside remaining prior to the completion of a larger developing recovery rally period. My sense is that the Q's are only partially finished with the advance, and that they will thrust towards a test of 43.00 in the upcoming hours.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Definitive Proof The Stock Market Bear Is Alive And Well / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Captain_Hook

Well – so much for follow through. With the increase in volume in the stock market rally on Wednesday, yesterday's sell-off was a bit surprising, especially combined with the fact it was on declining volume. As mentioned yesterday however, price managers need to keep equities low going into the Fed meeting on March 11 th to justify more rate cuts, so it's not surprising to see the rally fail from this perspective. What more, it's important to note that not only do nominal rates need to fall further in aiding a failing credit cycle, but real rates need to fall more as well, meaning commodities need to cool off.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Plan to Save the US Financial System From Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCaroline Baum is one of my favorite financial columnists, who writes with a voice of calm reason. She writes for Bloomberg, and I encourage you to read her regularly. This week she touches on the problems in the markets and the continuing calls for government intervention.

Things are coming loose in an ever-widening array of markets in the financial world. No one is suggesting that the subprime problems will be contained, as almost every authority figure did last summer. We now know that everything is seemingly connected, a theme that I have written about for years.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Stock Markets To Follow Housing and Unemployment Sharply Lower / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBEWARE: The Ides of March, aka FIRESTORM!
Volatility is opportunity and we are seeing it in spades. The markets are jumping and thus creating juicy opportunities for the prepared investor. Currencies, interest rates, stocks and commodities are roaring all over the place. The moves are big but in general quite ORDERLY. This is set to continue as far as the eye can see. It also provides you with a measuring stick to how well you and your investment advisors have done in preparing to capture these opportunities and not be harmed by them. Just look at your portfolio bottom line and that will tell you whether you and your advisors get an A for excellent, something less or even an F for failure. Take note!

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 10, 2008

UltraShort S&P Climbs to New Recovery High / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Although the ProShares UltraShort Inverted SPY ETF (AMEX: SDS) has climbed to a new recovery high at 70.52 today, my work continues to warn me that unless the buyers propel the price structure into a vertical thrust right from here, the likelihood is that the SDS will reverse from the channel resistance line and make another attempt to swoon towards the 68.00 support area, which is why I don't want to be long the SDS "up here."

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 10, 2008

Stock Market Pricing in a Recession / Stock-Markets / Recession

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Investors are beginning to price into the markets a recession. The non-farm payroll figures out last Friday were worse than the street expected, showing a loss in jobs that for many, solidified a recessionary outlook. Calls for more rate relief from the Fed pushed the expectations for not just a half percent cut in rates later this month, but a strong likelihood of three quarters, if not a full percent cut. While a nice thing to do to get the economy going, the impact of any rate cut this month will not likely be felt until early 2009 due to the lag effect of changes in monetary policy.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 10, 2008

Credit Crunch of 2007 Turning Into Credit Collapse of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Credit Collapse of 2008 has begun. The place is every home, business and government. The time is now.

The credit collapse is not just an ordinary recession that repeats itself with each new business cycle of the 21st century. Nor is it the Great Depression returning to haunt us from the depths of the 1930s.

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